Scenario Based Global Supply Chain Planning Process Considering Demand Uncertainty

作     者：Hongjoo Lee Hosang Jung 

出 版 物：《Journal of International Logistics and Trade》 

年 卷 期：2013年第11卷第1期

页      面：67-86页

主　　题：Global supply chain planning Demand uncertainty Scenario Fuzzy set theory Stochastic linear programming 

摘      要：In this paper, we propose a scenario based global supply chain planning (GSCP) process considering demand uncertainty originated from various global supply chain risks. To generate the global supply chain plan, we first formulate a GSCP model. Then, we need to generate several scenarios which can represent various demand uncertainties. Lastly, a planning procedure for considering those defined scenarios is applied. Unlike the past related researches, we adopt the fuzzy set theory to represent the demand scenarios. Also, a scenario voting process is added to calculate a probability (possibility) of each scenario. An illustrative example based on a real world case is presented to show the feasibility of the proposed planning process.