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作者机构:Vrije Univ Amsterdam Boelelaan 1087 NL-1081 HV Amsterdam Netherlands Arizona State Univ 1151 South Forest Ave Tempe AZ 85281 USA Int Inst Appl Syst Anal IIASA Adv Syst Anal ASA Program Schlosspl 1 A-2361 Laxenburg Austria Univ Ljubljana Biotech Fac Dept Landscape Architecture Ljubljana 1000 Slovenia Fed Inst Forest Snow & Landscape Res WSL Zu?rcherstr 111 CH-8903 Birmensdorf Switzerland
出 版 物:《ONE EARTH》 (One Earth)
年 卷 期:2024年第7卷第5期
页 面:896-907页
核心收录:
基 金:The 2017-2018 Belmont Forum and BiodivERsA joint call for research proposals, under the BiodivScen ERA-Net COFUND programme Dutch Research Council NWO [E10005]
主 题:land-use modeling biodiversity intactness food sovereignty environmental justice sustainability scenarios
摘 要:Protecting biodiversity while meeting food demands is a critical challenge due to rising competition over land. The predominant focus on spatial efficiency in land-use modeling frameworks can dichotomize these objectives and ignore local realities by disregarding biodiversity outside priority areas and the land-use needs of communities who depend on local land systems for their nutrition. We develop a spatially explicit exploratory scenario for 2050 that promotes whole-region biodiversity intactness using a land-system-specific intactness index and incorporates differentiated food futures by protecting important land systems for land-dependent communities from conversion for larger-scale objectives. These are pursued alongside SSP2 business-as-usualagricultural demands, uncovering potential tradeoffs. Our results highlight the importance of forest mosaics in agricultural landscapes alongside targeted intensification for meeting food and biodiversity goals and that protecting land-dependent communities does not compromise larger-scale objectives. This demonstrates that land-use models can integrate diverse values, including certain conceptualizations of justice, into sustainability scenarios.