A fuzzy systems approach to modeling the US-China arms race

作     者：Simoes, Francielle Santo Pedro 

作者机构：Univ Fed Sao Paulo Paulista Sch Polit Econ & Business Multidisciplinary Dept BR-06190170 Osasco SP Brazil 

出 版 物：《JOURNAL OF DEFENSE MODELING AND SIMULATION-APPLICATIONS METHODOLOGY TECHNOLOGY-JDMS》 (J. Def. Model. Simul.)

年 卷 期：2024年

核心收录：

主　　题：Fuzzy systems differential equations arms race expert knowledge integration defense policy 

摘      要：This paper presents a fuzzy approach to modeling the arms race between the United States and China. In the proposed model, we integrate fuzzy logic with differential equations, enabling the modeling of strategic interactions between the two nations in a non-linear manner, differing from the original Richardson model. This methodology allows for the incorporation of quantitative data and expert knowledge on conflicts into the differential equations-based mathematical model. By studying the phase plane of the fuzzy model, it is possible to analyze scenarios of stability and tension escalation in the dynamics of the arms race.