Scenario Research of Complex Manufacturing Systems’ Vulnerability

作     者：Kul'ba, V. Kofoed, L. Busk Kononov, D. Zaikin, O. 

作者机构：V.A. Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences 65 Profsoyuznaya str. Moscow117997 Russia Department of Architecture Design &Media Technology Aalborg University Copenhagen A.C. Meyers Vænge 15 CopenhagenSVDK-2450 Denmark Warsaw School of Computer Science ul. Lewartowskiego 17 Warsaw00-169 United States 

出 版 物：《IFAC-PapersOnLine》 

年 卷 期：2016年第49卷第12期

页      面：372-377页

核心收录：

主　　题：Manufacture Electric resistance Industrial research Complex manufacturing systems Distributed systems Research methodologies Strategic development Structural organization vitality vulnerability Vulnerability factors 

摘      要：This article proposes new analysis methods for complex manufacturing systems as part of the scenario research methodology of complex systems developed by the authors. A new concept of modeling of complex systems’ vulnerability is suggested. A method for analyzing of crisis situations in behavior of complex manufacturing systems, including distributed systems is developed. A concept for determining complex systems’ vulnerabilities is suggested. The strategic development model of PJSC Gazprom was considered. Scenario calculations of model behavior were conducted. The major vulnerability factors in the structural organization of the Company were revealed. © 2016