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作者机构:Da Yeh Univ PhD Program Management 168 Univ Rd Dacun 51591 Changhua Taiwan Da Yeh Univ Dept Int Business Management 168 Univ Rd Dacun 51591 Changhua Taiwan Natl Kaohsiung Marine Univ Dept Maritime Informat & Technol 482 Zhongzhou 3rd Rd Kaohsiung 805 Taiwan
出 版 物:《SCIENTIA IRANICA》 (Sci. Iran.)
年 卷 期:2018年第25卷第3期
页 面:1629-1640页
核心收录:
主 题:Correlation coefficient Support vector regression model Hybrid model Time series data forecasting Stock indices
摘 要:Stock indices forecasting has become a popular research issue in recent years. Although many statistical time series models have been applied to stock indices forecasting, they are limited to certain assumptions. Accordingly, the traditional statistical time series models might not be suitable for forecasting real-life stock indices data. Hence, this paper proposes a novel forecasting model to assist investors in determining a strategy for investments in the stock market. The proposed model is called the modified support, vector regression model, which is composed of the correlation coefficient method, sliding window algorithm, and support, vector regression model. The results show that the forecasting accuracy of the proposed model is more stable than those of the existing models in terms of average and standard deviation of the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Accordingly, the proposed model would be used to assist investors in determining a strategy for investing in stocks. (C) 2018 Sharif University of Technology. All rights reserved.