A guidance for assessing and communicating uncertainties

作     者：Janssen, PHM Petersen, AC van der Sluijs, JP Risbey, JS Ravetz, JR 

作者机构：Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy RIVM MNP NL-3720 BA Bilthoven Netherlands Univ Utrecht Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev & Innovat Dept Sci Technol & Soc NL-3508 TC Utrecht Netherlands Monash Univ Sch Math Sci Clayton Vic 3168 Australia Res Methods Consultancy London England 

出 版 物：《WATER SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY》 (水科学与技术)

年 卷 期：2005年第52卷第6期

页      面：125-131页

核心收录：

学科分类：0830[工学-环境科学与工程（可授工学、理学、农学学位）] 08[工学] 0815[工学-水利工程] 

主　　题：communication guidance interaction science-policy tool catalogue uncertainty assessment 

摘      要：In the daily practice of science for policy, as experienced by governmental agencies which inform the policy and the public on the state and outlook of the environment, there is a pressing need for guidance in assessing and communicating uncertainties. This need extends beyond the quantitative assessment of uncertainties in model results, and focuses on the entire process of environmental assessment, running from problem framing towards reporting the results of the study. Using the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (RIVM/MNP) as a case, the development, structure and content of such a guidance system is highlighted. Conditions for a successful implementation of the guidance system are discussed, and some prospects for future work are outlined.