Using dynamic modeling to scope environmental problems and build consensus

作     者：Costanza, R Ruth, M 

作者机构：Boston Univ Ctr Energy & Environm Studies Boston MA 02215 USA Univ Maryland Dept Zool Ctr Environm & Estuarine Studies Solomons MD 20668 USA Univ Maryland Inst Ecol Econ Solomons MD 20668 USA 

出 版 物：《ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT》 (环境管理)

年 卷 期：1998年第22卷第2期

页      面：183-195页

核心收录：

学科分类：0830[工学-环境科学与工程（可授工学、理学、农学学位）] 08[工学] 

主　　题：dynamic modeling scoping consensus building environmental management ecosystem management policy making graphical programming languages 

摘      要：This paper assesses the changing role of dynamic modeling for understanding and managing complex ecological economic systems. it discusses new modeling tools for problem scoping and consensus building among a broad range of stakeholders and describes four case studies in which dynamic modeling has been used to collect and organize data, synthesize knowledge, and build consensus about the management of complex systems. The case studies range from industrial systems (mining, smelting, and refining of iron and steel in the United Stales) to ecosystems (Louisiana coastal wetlands, and Fynbos ecosystems in South Africa) to linked ecological economic systems (Maryland s Patuxent River basin in the United States). They illustrate uses of dynamic modeling to include stakeholders in ail stages of consensus building, ranging from initial problem scoping to model development. The resultant models are the first stage in a three-stage modeling process that includes research and management models as the later stages.