Planning water resources management systems using a fuzzy-boundary interval-stochastic programming method

作     者：Li, Y. P. Huang, G. H. Nie, S. L. 

作者机构：N China Elect Power Univ Res Acad Energy & Environm Studies Beijing 102206 Peoples R China Beijing Univ Technol Coll Mech Engn & Appl Elect Technol Beijing 100022 Peoples R China 

出 版 物：《ADVANCES IN WATER RESOURCES》 (水资源进展)

年 卷 期：2010年第33卷第9期

页      面：1105-1117页

核心收录：

学科分类：08[工学] 081501[工学-水文学及水资源] 0815[工学-水利工程] 

基　　金：Natural Sciences Foundation of China [50979001, 50775081] MOST [2006CB403307] Special Water Project of China [2009ZX07104-004] 

主　　题：Fuzzy programming Interval optimization Planning Stochastic analysis Uncertainty Water resources 

摘      要：In this study, a fuzzy-boundary interval-stochastic programming (FBISP) method is developed for planning water resources management systems under uncertainty. The developed FBISP method can deal with uncertainties expressed as probability distributions and fuzzy-boundary intervals. With the aid of an interactive algorithm woven with a vertex analysis, solutions for FBISP model under associated alpha-cut levels can be generated by solving a set of deterministic submodels. The related probability and possibility information can also be reflected in the solutions for the objective function value and decision variables. The developed FBISP is also applied to water resources management and planning within a multi-reservoir system. Various policy scenarios that are associated with different levels of economic consequences when the pre-regulated water-allocation targets are violated are analyzed. The results obtained are useful for generating a range of decision alternatives under various system conditions, and thus helping decision makers to identify desired water resources management policies under uncertainty.(C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.