Economic modeling of mechanized and semi-mechanized rainfed wheat production systems using multiple linear regression model

作     者：Mobin Amoozad-Khalili Reza Rostamian Mahdi Esmaeilpour-Troujeni Armaghan Kosari-Moghaddam 

作者机构：Department of Agricultural EconomicQaemshahr BranchIslamic Azad UniversityIran Department of Biosystems EngineeringFerdowsi University of MashhadMashhadIran Department of Biosystems EngineeringUniversity of TabrizTabrizIran 

出 版 物：《Information Processing in Agriculture》 (农业信息处理（英文）)

年 卷 期：2020年第7卷第1期

页      面：30-40页

核心收录：

学科分类：08[工学] 0828[工学-农业工程] 09[农学] 082801[工学-农业机械化工程] 0901[农学-作物学] 

主　　题：Rainfed wheat Economic modeling Multiple linear regression model Production costs 

摘      要：Mathematical modeling of economic indices is a challenging topic in crop production *** present study aimed to model the economic indices of mechanized and semimechanized rainfed wheat production systems using various multiple linear regression *** study area was Behshahr County located in the east of Mazandaran Province,Northern *** statistical population included all wheat producers in Behshahr County in 2016/17 crop *** input variables were human labor,machinery,diesel fuel,chemical(chemical fertilizers and chemical pesticides)costs,and the income was considered to be the *** results showed that the cost of wheat production in the semimechanized system was higher than that of the mechanized *** both systems,the highest cost was related to agricultural machinery ***,seed cost was lower in the mechanized system than that of the semi-mechanized *** net return indicator was 993.68$ha
1 and 626.71$ha
1 for the mechanized and semi-mechanized systems,*** average benefit to cost ratio was 3.46 and 2.40 for the mechanized and semi-mechanized systems,respectively,demonstrating the greater profitability of the mechanized *** results of the evaluation of five types of regression models including the Cobb-Douglas,linear,2FI,quadratic and pure-quadratic for the mechanized and semi-mechanized production systems indicated that in the developed Cobb-Douglas model,the R2-value was higher than that of the quadratic model while RMSE and MAPE of the quadratic model were determined to be smaller than that of the Cobb-Douglas ***,the best model to investigate the relationship between input costs and the income of wheat production in both mechanized and semi-mechanized systems was the quadratic model.