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检索条件"任意字段=Winter Simulation Conference on Simulation - Making Decisions in a Complex World"

共 418 条记录，以下是291-300 订阅

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Limitations In The Use Of Mathematical Models To Support Investment decisions 07

Limitations In The Use Of Mathematical Models To Support Inv...

引用

simulation winter conference

作者： Mario Jorge Lima Guilherme de Aquino Barbosa Rio de Janeiro RJ Petrόleo Brasileiro S.A. Rio de Janeiro Brazil

ISBN: (纸本)9781424413065

Summary form only given. Decision making is a complex job, especially when it involves millions of dollars. Experience, intuition and other personal features are essential, but the support of a mathematical tool can help avoiding errors. This paper presents a summary of the experience acquired by the Petrobras refinery simulation team in using mathematical models to support investment decisions in tank farm problems. Real situations will be presented where limitations and risks came up along with recommendations to avoid similar problems in the future.

关键词： Mathematical model Investments Decision making

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AgentsCourt: Building Judicial Decision-making Agents with Court Debate simulation and Legal Knowledge Augmentation

AgentsCourt: Building Judicial Decision-Making Agents with C...

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2024 conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, EMNLP 2024

作者： He, Zhitao Cao, Pengfei Wang, Chenhao Jin, Zhuoran Chen, Yubo Xu, Jiexin Li, Huaijun Liu, Kang Zhao, Jun The Key Laboratory of Cognition and Decision Intelligence for Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China School of Artificial Intelligence University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory Shanghai China AI Lab China Merchant Bank Shenzhen China

ISBN: (纸本)9798891761681

With the development of deep learning, natural language processing technology has effectively improved the efficiency of various aspects of the traditional judicial ***, most current efforts focus on tasks within individual judicial stages, making it difficult to handle complex tasks that span multiple *** the autonomous agents powered by large language models are becoming increasingly smart and able to make complex decisions in real-world settings, offering new insights for judicial *** this paper, (1) we propose a novel multi-agent framework, AgentsCourt, for judicial *** framework follows the classic court trial process, consisting of court debate simulation, legal resources retrieval and decision-making refinement to simulate the decision-making of judge.(2) we introduce SimuCourt, a judicial benchmark that encompasses 420 Chinese judgment documents, spanning the three most common types of judicial ***, to support this task, we construct a large-scale legal knowledge base, Legal-KB, with multi-resource legal knowledge.(3) Extensive experiments show that our framework outperforms the existing advanced methods in various aspects, especially in generating legal articles, where our model achieves significant improvements of 8.6% and 9.1% F1 score in the first and second instance settings, respectively. © 2024 Association for Computational Linguistics.

关键词： Autonomous agents

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AN INTEGRATED MODEL OF TEAM MOTIVATION AND WORKER SKILLS FOR A COMPUTER-BASED PROJECT MANAGEMENT simulation 13

AN INTEGRATED MODEL OF TEAM MOTIVATION AND WORKER SKILLS FOR...

引用

simulation conference

作者： Wee-Leong Lee Singapore Management University Singapore

ISBN: (纸本)9781479920778

In this paper, I shall propose an integrated model of worker skills and team motivation for a computer-based simulation game that can be used to provide experiential learning to students. They can act as project managers here without being burdened by the costs and risks associated with unsuccessful projects. I shall present an approach of classifying skills into five different types (relevant to IT projects) and apply a five-point competency scale to each skill type. The Pearson Correlation will be applied to the scores of each skill type to generate an efficiency index that will characterize the effectiveness of a team working on a task. I shall also describe a model to represent the relationship between the social needs of team members and their motivation levels. The results of the actual simulation games will be presented here followed by a discussion on the practical implications and recommendations.

关键词： Team working Project management simulation game Workers Experiential Learning motivation simulating social needs

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Modeling of complex decision making using forward simulation 16

Modeling of complex decision making using forward simulation

引用

simulation winter conference

作者： Thomas Winkler Paul Barthel Ralf Sprenger GLOBALFOUNDRIES Dresden Module One LLC & Co. KG Dresden GERMANY

ISBN: (纸本)9781509044849

The complexity of simulation models has increased during the last years in semiconductor foundries. Manual and automated decisions have to be modeled in detail to make the right conclusions from them. We describe an approach that uses forward simulation to minimize modeling effort and mimics fab behavior to a high degree. The approach is applied to the problem of controlling time link chains. Results are presented and other applications are discussed.

关键词： Data models Predictive models Decision making complexity theory Computational modeling Foundries

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simulation Fidelity in Training System Design 1

引用

丛书名： Recent Research in Psychology

1000年

作者： Robert T. Hays Michael J. Singer

ISBN: (数字)9781461235644

ISBN: (纸本)9780387968469

Business, academia, industry, and the military require well trained personnel to function in highly complex working environments. To reduce high training costs and to improve the effectiveness of training, training system developers often use sophisticated training media such as, simulators, videodisks, and computer-based instruction. The designers of these training media are continually striving to provide maximum training effectiveness at minimum cost. Although literature is available on the implementation and use of specific training media, there is little guidance on a major feature that is central to these media. All of these media present the learner with an interactive simulation of the real world. Effective training system design can be facilitated if the requirements of the real-world task are properly included in training. A conceptual bridge is necessary to link these actual task requirements to the characteristics of the training system. This book provides such a conceptual bridge. The need for improved training is critical in the area of equipment operation, maintenance, and decision making tasks. For example, the importance of improved operator training in the nuclear power industry has become paramount since the Three Mile Island accident and the more serious accident at the Chernobyl reactor in the U. S. S. R. Technology, such as the availability and power of computers,offers a wider variety of training options, but requires additional training system design decisions.

关键词： Psychology Research Education, general

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Analysis of environmental and economic efficiency using a farm population micro-simulation model

Analysis of environmental and economic efficiency using a fa...

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IMACS world Congress/Modelling and simulation Society-of-Australia-and-New-Zealand (MSSANZ)/18th MODSIM09 Biennial conference on Modelling and simulation

作者： Ramilan, Thiagarajah Scrimgeour, Frank Marsh, Dan Univ Waikato Dept Econ Hamilton New Zealand Univ Melbourne Melbourne Sch Land & Environm Melbourne Vic 3010 Australia

New Zealand's success in raising agricultural productivity has been accompanied by higher input use, leading to adverse effects on the environment. Until recently, analysis of farm performance has tended to ignore such negative externalities. The current emphasis on environmental issues has led dairy farmers to target improvements in both environmental performance and productivity. Therefore, measuring the environmental performance of farms and integrating this information into farm productivity calculations should assist in making informed policy decisions which promote sustainable development. However, this is a challenging process since conventional environmental efficiency measures are usually based on simple input and output flows but nitrogen discharge is a complex process affected by climate, pasture composition, cow physiology and geophysical variability. Furthermore, the outdoor pastoral nature of New Zealand farming means that it is difficult to control input and output flows, particularly of nitrogen. We present a novel approach to measure the environmental and economic efficiency of farms, using the Overseer nutrient budget model and spatially micro-simulated virtual population data. The empirical analysis is based on dairy farms in the Karapiro catchment, where nitrogen discharge from dairy farming is a major source of nonpoint pollution. (c) 2010 IMACS. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

关键词： Data Envelopment Analysis Economic efficiency Environmental efficiency Dairy farming Micro-simulation

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simulation AND OPTIMIZATION OF TEMPORARY ROAD NETWORK IN MASS EARTHMOVING PROJECTS 13

SIMULATION AND OPTIMIZATION OF TEMPORARY ROAD NETWORK IN MAS...

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simulation conference

作者： Chang Liu Ming Lu Sam Johnson University of Alberta Edmonton Alberta Canada North America Construction Group Edmonton Alberta Canada

ISBN: (纸本)9781479920778

Haulage cost typically accounts for around 30% of the total cost of mass earthmoving projects. The temporary road network is a major factor influencing haulage cost and production efficiency. The simulation of earthmoving operations considering temporary road networks, not only facilitates the site formation design but also leads to realistic, cost-effective construction plans. Utilizing the Floyd-Warshall algorithm and linear programming, this study formulates the temporary road network problem and sheds light on the potential benefits of selecting routes and directions for handling earthmoving jobs. An optimization approach for temporary road networks is further proposed. It reduces the total cost of the project and shortens its duration. simulation models were used to prove the effectiveness and feasibility of optimization.

关键词： road network Temporary roads simulating Haulage Total Costs earthmoving construction planning Network Road

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simulation versus constraint-based graphical modeling of construction processes 13

Simulation versus constraint-based graphical modeling of con...

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Proceedings of the 2013 winter simulation conference: simulation: making decisions in a complex world

作者： Ian Flood Valeh Nowrouzian University of Florida Gainesville FL

ISBN: (纸本)9781479920778

The paper introduces a new constraint-based graphical approach to modeling construction processes, Foresight, designed to combine the versatility of discrete-event simulation, the ease-of-use of the Critical Path Method, and the visual insight of linear scheduling. The usability of Foresight is compared with Stroboscope (a construction-specific simulation system) in a case study of the classic earthmoving problem. The Foresight model is shown, first, to be visually more insightful than its Stroboscope equivalent, and second, to require a fraction of the number of modeling terms and modeling concepts in its definition.

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DYNAMIC DATA DRIVEN EVENT RECONSTRUCTION FOR TRAFFIC simulation USING SEQUENTIAL MONTE CARLO METHODS 13

DYNAMIC DATA DRIVEN EVENT RECONSTRUCTION FOR TRAFFIC SIMULAT...

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simulation conference

作者： Xuefeng Yan Feng Gu Xiaolin Hu Carl Engstrom Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Nanjing Jiangsu China The City University of New York Staten Island NY Georgia State University Atlanta GA

ISBN: (纸本)9781479920778

simulation models are commonly used to study traffic systems. Accurate traffic predictions need proper characterization of the traffic flow and knowledge of related parameters representing the state of the traffic flow in the models. To correctly estimate the traffic flow in real time, we need to reconstruct the event by answering such critical questions as the source of the congestions. The availability of sensor data from the real traffic provides information that can be assimilated into a traffic simulation model for improving predicted results. In this paper, we use the sequential Monte Carlo methods to assimilate real time sensor data into the simulation model MovSim, an open-source vehicular-traffic simulator, to reconstruct events such as the slow vehicles that cause the traffic jam. Related experimental results are presented and analyzed.

关键词： Monte Carlo technique Traffic flow simulation models Sensor Data Traffic traffic congestion traffic systems simulating

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MULTIPLE worldS IN simulation GAMES FOR SPATIAL DECISION making: CONCEPT AND ARCHITECTURE 08

MULTIPLE WORLDS IN SIMULATION GAMES FOR SPATIAL DECISION MAK...

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winter simulation conference (WSC 2008)

作者： Michele Fumarola Alexander Verbraeck Delft University of Technology Delft The Netherlands

ISBN: (纸本)9781424427086

In this paper we present the use of "what-if"-analysis in simulation games for spatial decision making by introducing the concept of multiple worlds. We expect that "what-if"-analysis in games enables the trainees to achieve more robust results, which is defined as the ability to achieve the required goals given different scenarios. Scenarios are defined as exogenous variables on the multiple-worlds. Viable decisions for a particular world are assessed by splitting the given world into multiple ones and running simulations for these new worlds. This assessment is performed by a) comparing the alternatives represented by each world and b) exploring the timeline of each world by selecting specific time instants. The navigation both through multiple worlds and through time should provide the users the possibility to formulate a robust answer for the specified problem. We will present a viable architecture and 4 distinct modes of game-play for the simulation game.

关键词： simulation game ARCHITECTURE Building construction decision making simulating navigation Trainees Game theory

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