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检索条件"任意字段=Winter Simulation Conference on Simulation - Making Decisions in a Complex World"

共 418 条记录，以下是61-70 订阅

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REDUCING COMPUTATION TIME IN simulation-BASED OPTIMIZATION OF MANUFACTURING SYSTEMS

REDUCING COMPUTATION TIME IN SIMULATION-BASED OPTIMIZATION O...

引用

winter simulation conference on simulation - making decisions in a complex world

作者： Frank, Matthias Laroque, Christoph Uhlig, Tobias Tech Univ Dresden Chair Modeling & Simulat Nothnitzer Str 46 D-01187 Dresden Germany Univ Paderborn Business Comp CIM D-33102 Paderborn Germany Univ Bundeswehr Munchen Dept Comp Sci D-85577 Neuherberg Germany

ISBN: (纸本)9781479939503;9781479920778

The analysis of production systems using discrete, event-based simulation is wide spread and generally accepted as a decision support technology. It aims either at the comparison of competitive system designs or the identification of a best possible parameter configuration of a simulation model. Here, combinatorial techniques of simulation and optimization methods support the user in finding optimal solutions, but typically result in long computation times, which often prohibits a practical application in industry. To close this gap, this paper presents a fast converging procedure combining a Genetic Algorithm with a material flow simulation including an interactive analysis of simulation runs. An early termination of simulation runs is used for unpromising parameter configurations. The integrated implementation allows automated, distributed simulation runs for practical, complex production systems. A use-case shows the proof of concept with a reference model and demonstrates the resulting speed-up of this approach.

关键词： Genetic algorithms

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SYSML FOR CONCEPTUAL MODELING AND simulation FOR ANALYSIS: A CASE EXAMPLE OF A HIGHLY GRANULAR MODEL OF AN EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT

SYSML FOR CONCEPTUAL MODELING AND SIMULATION FOR ANALYSIS: A...

引用

winter simulation conference on simulation - making decisions in a complex world

作者： Batarseh, Ola G. Goldlust, Eric J. Day, T. Eugene Brown Univ Warren Alpert Med Sch Dept Emergency Med Providence RI 02906 USA Childrens Hosp Philadelphia Off Patient Safety & Qual Philadelphia PA 19104 USA

ISBN: (纸本)9781479939503;9781479920778

Continual improvements to the efficiency of patient flow in emergency departments (EDs) are necessary to meet patient demand. Discrete Event simulation (DES) is commonly employed for this purpose, but validation and verification is daunting in that many stakeholders-clinicians, administrators, and engineers-need to understand the system's processes in a unified manner. Therefore, knowledge transfer between stakeholders requires a unified formal approach. We describe the use use of System Modeling Language (SysML) to this end, as well as the results of model validation by comparing hourly census in many areas in the real-world ED with those predicted from simulation, before and after a process intervention. The accuracy of these comparisons provides evidence that a methodologically rigorous DES model, incorporating our method for model verification using SysML, is a valuable decision making tool for judging the utility of interventions to improve patient flow.

关键词： Discrete event simulation

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REAL-TIME SCHEDULING OF LOGICAL PROCESSES FOR PARALLEL DISCRETE-EVENT simulation

REAL-TIME SCHEDULING OF LOGICAL PROCESSES FOR PARALLEL DISCR...

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winter simulation conference on simulation - making decisions in a complex world

作者： Liu, Jason Florida Int Univ Sch Comp & Informat Sci Miami FL 33199 USA

ISBN: (纸本)9781479939503;9781479920778

We tackle the problem of scheduling logical processes that can significantly affect the performance of running parallel simulation either in real time or proportional to real time. In particular, we present a comprehensive solution to dealing with the mixture of simulated and emulated events in a full-fledged conservatively synchronized parallel simulation kernel to improve efficiency and timeliness for processing the emulated events. We propose an event delivery mechanism for the parallel simulator to incorporate emulated events originated from the physical system. We augment the parallel simulation API to support emulation capabilities independent from a particular simulation domain. Preliminary experiments demonstrate the our simulator's real-time performance on high-performance computing platforms.

关键词： Scheduling

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AGGREGATION OF FORECASTS FROM MULTIPLE simulation MODELS

AGGREGATION OF FORECASTS FROM MULTIPLE SIMULATION MODELS

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winter simulation conference on simulation - making decisions in a complex world

作者： Merrick, Jason R. W. Virginia Commonwealth Univ Richmond VA 23284 USA

ISBN: (纸本)9781479939503;9781479920778

When faced with output from multiple simulation models, a decision maker must aggregate the forecasts provided by each model. This problem is made harder when the models are based on similar assumptions or use overlapping input data. This situation is similar to the problem of expert judgment aggregation where experts provide a forecast distribution based on overlapping information, but only samples from the output distribution are obtained in the simulation case. We propose a Bayesian method for aggregating forecasts from multiple simulation models. We demonstrate the approach using a climate change example, an area often informed by multiple simulation models.

关键词： Adaptation models Analytical models Data models Gaussian distribution Meteorology Predictive models Uncertainty

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INSIDE DISCRETE-EVENT simulation SOFTWARE: HOW IT WORKS AND WHY IT MATTERS

INSIDE DISCRETE-EVENT SIMULATION SOFTWARE: HOW IT WORKS AND ...

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winter simulation conference on simulation - making decisions in a complex world

作者： Schriber, Thomas J. Brunner, Daniel T. Smith, Jeffrey S. Univ Michigan Business Informat Technol Ann Arbor MI 48109 USA Kiva Syst Inc Woburn 01801 MA USA

ISBN: (纸本)9781479939503;9781479920778

This paper provides simulation practitioners and consumers with a grounding in how discrete-event simulation software works. Topics include discrete-event systems;entities, resources, control elements and operations;simulation runs;entity states;entity lists;and their management. The implementations of these generic ideas in AutoMod, SLX, ExtendSim, and Simio are described. The paper concludes with several examples of "why it matters" for modelers to know how their simulation software works, including discussion of AutoMod, SLX, ExtendSim, Simio, Arena, ProModel, and GPSS/H.

关键词： Clocks Data models Delays Finite element analysis Load modeling Software

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INTRODUCTION OTD-NET AND LAS: ORDER-TO-DELIVERY NETWORK simulation AND DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS IN complex PRODUCTION AND LOGISTICS NETWORKS

INTRODUCTION OTD-NET AND LAS: ORDER-TO-DELIVERY NETWORK SIMU...

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winter simulation conference on simulation - making decisions in a complex world

作者： Liebler, Klaus Beissert, Ulrike Motta, Marco Wagenitz, Axel Fraunhofer Inst Mat Flow & Logist Fhg IML D-44227 Dortmund Germany

ISBN: (纸本)9781479939503;9781479920778

Global Sourcing adds to a company's value by realizing the best prices on a global market and making new markets accessible. However, increasing global orientation of the companies is associated with new challenges in planning and controlling the network processes to obtain a high service level and a guaranteed availability of supply goods. Order-to-Delivery Network simulation (OTD-NET) offers a simulation based approach for gaining insight in global networks. The OTD-NET suite provides services for modelling, simulating and analyzing complete logistic networks including the specifics of the different network participants like suppliers or producers. With the specialized automotive edition, OTD-NET enables a precise specification of complex products considering its configuration, bill of materials and supports an easy analysis of various network strategies like network design, structure and process concepts, supply strategies as well as different production strategies. OTD-NET is developed by Fraunhofer Institute for Material Flow and Logistics in Dortmund (Germany). Within the paper OTD-NET is presented and exemplarily demonstrated by a joint project with Volkswagen.

关键词： Automotive engineering Bills of materials Logistics Object oriented modeling Planning Unified modeling language

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Regulatory management of distressed financial markets using simulation

Regulatory management of distressed financial markets using ...

引用

2013 43rd winter simulation conference - simulation: making decisions in a complex world, WSC 2013

作者： Paddrik, Mark E. Learmonth, Gerard P. Systems and Information Engineering University of Virginia Charlottesville VA 22904 United States

ISBN: (纸本)9781479939503

Government economic policy regarding the financial markets in the United States has been focused on promoting self-regulation based on a belief in natural equilibrium. This has led to decreased regulation and permitted an increase in the complexity of financial assets that has to some degree exceeded the capability of the market to understand the fundamentals of what is being traded. This lack of understanding or information about these assets' values created liquidity problems, and contributed to the crises seen in both US and world markets. Through the use of an agent-based simulation model of an economic market, this paper looks at the effect of information on keeping the markets liquid and at potential strategies to protect markets from illiquidity failure. It considers how the three main government controlled market influences: interest rate targeting, 'information' regulation, and market making can affect market stability. © 2013 IEEE.

关键词： Financial markets

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EFFICIENT SPLITTING-BASED RARE EVENT simulation ALGORITHMS FOR HEAVY-TAILED SUMS

EFFICIENT SPLITTING-BASED RARE EVENT SIMULATION ALGORITHMS F...

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winter simulation conference on simulation - making decisions in a complex world

作者： Blanchet, Jose Shi, Yixi Columbia Univ New York NY 10027 USA

ISBN: (纸本)9781479939503;9781479920778

Rare events in heavy-tailed systems are challenging to analyze using splitting algorithms because large deviations occur suddenly. So, every path prior to the rare event is viable and there is no clear mechanism for rewarding and splitting paths that are moving towards the rare event of interest. We propose and analyze a splitting algorithm for the tail distribution of a heavy-tailed random walk. We prove that our estimator achieves the best possible performance in terms of the growth rate of the relative mean squared error, while controlling the population size of the particles.

关键词： Algorithm design and analysis Mathematical model Monte Carlo methods Random variables Sociology Tin

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AN EXPERIMENT IN TEACHING OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT TO SIXTH GRADERS USING simulation

AN EXPERIMENT IN TEACHING OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT TO SIXTH GRA...

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winter simulation conference on simulation - making decisions in a complex world

作者： Roeder, Theresa M. Roeder, Karen N. San Francisco State Univ Dept Decis Sci San Francisco CA 94132 USA Dept Def Dependents Sch Bamberg Elementary Sch D-96047 Bamberg Germany

ISBN: (纸本)9781479939503;9781479920778

Over the past decade, efforts have been made to incorporate Operations Management and Operations Research into pre-college school curricula. Not only does this approach introduce students earlier to a relatively unknown field, but it also provides a different side of mathematics, showing that math can be very real-world specific, practical, and relevant. In this paper, we describe a semester-long research project working with a group of 14 sixth grade students at a US military base in Germany. At the end of the semester, students presented the results of a discrete event simulation study to their parents and peers. We feel the project was very successful, and would encourage others to try similar projects.

关键词： Operations research

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DISCRETE OPTIMIZATION VIA simulation OF CATCHMENT BASIN MANAGEMENT WITHIN THE DEVSIMPY FRAMEWORK

DISCRETE OPTIMIZATION VIA SIMULATION OF CATCHMENT BASIN MANA...

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winter simulation conference on simulation - making decisions in a complex world

作者： Capocchi, Laurent Santucci, Jean-Francois Univ Corse UMR CNRS SPE 6134 Corte France

ISBN: (纸本)9781479939503;9781479920778

This paper deals with Optimization via simulation (OvS) of the management of a catchment basin involving dams, electrical power station, pumping station, valves, etc. We explain how an iterative process allows us to integrate optimization algorithms into a discrete-event simulation using a DOvS (Discrete Optimization via simulation) methodology. This process has been implemented using the DEVSimPy (DEVS simulator in Python language) environment and the obtained results point out the feasibility of the proposed approach. Furthermore this software is actually used by the Corsican Water Agency in order to efficiently manage the South East water network.

关键词： Computational modeling Load modeling Mathematical model Optimization Power generation Valves Water resources

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