Model simulation is an important way to study the effects of climate change on *** assessment is subject to a range of uncertainties because of either incomplete knowledge or model technical uncertainties,impeding eff...
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Model simulation is an important way to study the effects of climate change on *** assessment is subject to a range of uncertainties because of either incomplete knowledge or model technical uncertainties,impeding effective decision-making to climate *** the basis of uncertainties in the impact assessment at different levels,this article systematically summarizes the sources and propagation of uncertainty in the assessment of the effect of climate change on agriculture in terms of the climate projection,the assessment process,and the crop models linking to climate ***,techniques and methods focusing on different levels and sources of uncertainty and uncertainty propagation are introduced,and shortcomings and insufficiencies in uncertainty processing are pointed ***,in terms of how to accurately assess the effect of climate change on agriculture,improvements to further decrease potential uncertainty are suggested.
从系统角度为中国最大限度减缓气候变化的最佳秸秆利用政策建模《可再生能源与可持续能源评论》（Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews）了解秸秆资源用作肥料、饲料和替代化石能源之间的竞争优势对于最大限度地减缓气候变化至关...
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从系统角度为中国最大限度减缓气候变化的最佳秸秆利用政策建模《可再生能源与可持续能源评论》（Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews）了解秸秆资源用作肥料、饲料和替代化石能源之间的竞争优势对于最大限度地减缓气候变化至关重要。着眼于减缓全球气候变暖,宋国宝等人2016年发表在《可再生能源与可持续能源评论》上的文章,根据现有生命周期评估的研究建立了一个中国的秸秆最优化利用的不确定性模型,基于14种转化技术在节能和减少温室气体（GHG）的优点,文章提出的秸秆利用模式可以节约中国0.75EJ(7.5×1017焦耳)的能源,并且每年平均减少温室气体2.
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