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Optimal introductory pricing for new financial services

JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL SERVICES MARKETING 2016年第1期21卷 34-50页

作者： Nejad, Mohammad G. Kabadayi, Sertan Fordham Univ Sch Business Mkt Bronx NY 10458 USA

Financial services institutions often provide special introductory prices to new customers who sign up for their services such as credit cards, credit monitoring services and online stock trading. Despite their prevalence, the decision to provide introductory prices to new customers entails challenges for decision makers. Providing small incentives may not perceptibly affect the adoption of the service while providing a large incentive leads to the loss of revenue and profits. As a result, the effectiveness of such activities on firm profitability remains largely unexplored. This study seeks to address this gap in the literature by exploring optimal introductory pricing of a financial service. Employing agent-based simulation experiments, we find that offering introductory discounts significantly increases a firm's net present value (NPV) of profits. Moreover, the findings suggest the amount of discount and the duration of time that a new customer receives the discount are critical factors in determining the NPV of profits. The research and managerial implications are discussed.

关键词： new financial services optimal introductory pricing firm profits agent-based modeling and simulation

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A GIS and agent-based Model to Simulate Fire Emergency Response

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International Congress on Information and Communication Technology (ICICT)

作者： Bandyopadhyay, Mainak Singh, Varun MNNIT Allahabad GIS Cell Allahabad Uttar Pradesh India MNNIT Allahabad Dept Civil Engn Allahabad Uttar Pradesh India

ISBN: (纸本)9789811007552;9789811007545

In this paper a computing model for Fire Emergency Response is discussed. The Fire Emergency Response (FER) is considered here as a complex heterogeneous system. The FER system is composed of Fire Incident, Fire Station, Fire Emergency Vehicle, and Road Network components. agent-based modeling (ABM) is used to model the properties and behavior of each of the components. To incorporate the spatial properties and spatial operations in relation to modeling the behavior of components Geographical Information System (GIS) is used. The simulation of the model will provide the results of dynamical behavior of components through interaction with other components. The FER system model is implemented in GAMA 1.5.1 a GIS and agent modeling platform for simulation.

关键词： Fire emergency response agent-based modeling and simulation agent Complex system Geographical information system

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On the contributions and the validation of an agent-based simulation model of innovation diffusion

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EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF MARKETING 2016年第3-4期50卷 647-657页

作者： Nejad, Mohammad G. Fordham Univ Gabelli Sch Business Mkt New York NY 10023 USA

Purpose - This paper provides an overview of agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS) and evaluates the questions that have been raised regarding the "assumptions and mechanisms used" by a well-cited paper that has used this methodology. Design/methodology/approach - This work provides a review of agent-based simulation modeling and its capabilities to advance and test theory. The commentary then evaluates and addresses the raised questions and reservations. Findings - agent-based modeling offers unique capabilities that can be used to explore complex phenomena in business and marketing. Some of the raised reservations may be considered as directions for future research. However, the criticisms are for most part unsupported by existing research and do not undermine the contributions of the paper that is being discussed. Practical implications - Given its relative novelty, reservations regarding agent-based simulation modeling are quite natural. Discussions like this one would bring together different points of view and lead to a better understanding of how using ABMS can benefit academia and industry. Originality/value - This commentary is part of an intellectual dialogue that seeks to provide different points of view about agent-based simulation modeling using a specific paper as an example.

关键词： agent-based modeling and simulation Innovation diffusion Negative word-of-mouth Research methodology Validation and verification

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Multi-agent simulation Model of China's Real Estate Market based on Bayesian Network Decision Making

Multi-Agent Simulation Model of China's Real Estate Market B...

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Proceedings of 2015 IEEE International Conference on Grey Systems and Intelligent Services (GSIS)

作者： Shen, Yang Guo, Yongchen Fang, Zhigeng Nanjing Univ Aeronaut & Astronaut Coll Econ & Management Nanjing Jiangsu Peoples R China

ISBN: (纸本)9781479983759

In recent years, agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS) methods have attracted the people's attention in the field of management science and is becoming a important tool for solving complex problems. In this paper, the Bayesian network is introduced to ABMS methods, and a multi-agent system of China's real estate market is proposed based on the Bayesian network with uncertain information, which has the abilities of online learning and effect describing for group behavior. China's real estate market ecology is simulated by the system. simulation results can accurately reproduce the operation of China's real estate market, so to prove the effectiveness of the model. Through simulating for related parameters, some valuable findings on operation rule of estate market are obtained. The model and method developed in the paper provide reference for studying China's real estate market rules.

关键词： multi-agent system agent-based modeling and simulation Bayesian network real estate market

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Three-Dimensional agent-based Model and simulation of a Burglar's Target Selection

Three-Dimensional Agent-Based Model and Simulation of a Burg...

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2015 European Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference

作者： Park, Andrew J. Buckley, Shawn Thompson Rivers Univ Dept Comp Sci Kamloops BC Canada

ISBN: (纸本)9781479986576

Residential burglary has been one of the most active research topics in the study of crime. It is also one of the most common crime types and sometimes has a long-lasting impact on victims not only financially but also psychologically. In order to understand residential burglary, many methods have been used such as analyses of crime data and national crime survey data, interviews with incarcerated burglars (and active ones), and developing models and simulations. Recently agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS) has widely become utilized to understand burglars' behaviours at an individual level. However, many studies have developed and simulated their burglar models and environments in two dimensions (2D). This paper presents realistic, three-dimensional (3D) models and simulations of a residential burglar and its virtual environment. By incorporating 3D aspects of the models and simulations, accurate micro-interactions between the burglar and its environment can be simulated. The presented burglar model shows its target selection process based on wealth and layout cues. The benefits and limitations of the 3D ABMS approach are discussed. A few case studies show the validity of this approach and the possibility of its predictive and preventive use.

关键词： agent-based modeling and simulation Burglar's Target Selection Environmental Criminology Residential Burglary

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agent-based simulation Model of Sexual Selection Mechanism 9th

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9th KES International Conference on agent and Multi-agent Systems -Technologies and Applications (KES-AMSTA)

作者： Drezewski, Rafal AGH Univ Sci & Technol Dept Comp Sci Krakow Poland

ISBN: (纸本)9783319197289

agent-based approach is especially applicable and useful in modeling and simulation of social and biological systems and mechanisms. In this paper a formal agent-based model of sexual selection mechanism is presented. The paper includes results of simulation experiments aimed at showing whether sexual selection can trigger speciation processes and maintain genetic population diversity. We show that in certain conditions sexual selection mechanism and co-evolution of sexes resulting from it, can lead to formation of new species.

关键词： agent-based modeling and simulation Speciation Sexual selection

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agent-based modeling and simulation on Emergency Evacuation

Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation on Emergency Evacuation

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1st International Conference on Complex Sciences: Theory and Applications (Complex 2009)

作者： Ren, Chuanjun Yang, Chenghui Jin, Shiyao Natl Univ Def Technol Coll Comp Sci Natl Lab Parallel & Distributed Proc Changsha 410073 Hunan Peoples R China Northwest Univ National Coll Elect Engn Lanzhou 730030 Peoples R China

ISBN: (纸本)9783642024689

Crowd stampedes and evacuation induced by panic caused by emergences often lead to fatalities as people are crushed, injured, trampled or even dead. Such phenomena may be triggered in life-threatening situations such as fires, explosions in crowded buildings. Emergency evacuation simulation has recently attracted the interest of a rapidly increasing number of scientists. This paper presents an agent-based modeling and simulation using Repast software to construct crowd evacuations for emergency response from an area under a fire. Various types of agents and different attributes of agents are designed in contrast to traditional modeling. The attributes that govern the characteristics of the people are studied and tested by iterative simulations. simulations are also conducted to demonstrate the effect of various parameters of agents. Some interesting results were observed such as "faster is slower" and the ignorance of available exits. At last, simulation results suggest practical ways of minimizing the harmful consequences of such events and the existence of an optimal escape strategy.

关键词： agent-based modeling and simulation Evacuation Escape Panic Repast Simphony

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agent-based modeling and simulation OF RESOURCE ALLOCATION IN ENGINEERING CHANGE MANAGEMENT

AGENT-BASED MODELING AND SIMULATION OF RESOURCE ALLOCATION I...

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11th International Conference on Enterprise Information Systems

作者： Wang, Bochao Moon, Young B. Syracuse Univ Dept Mech & Aerosp Engn Syracuse NY 13244 USA

ISBN: (纸本)9789898111852

An engineering change (EC) refers to a modification of products and components including purchased parts or even supplies after product design is finished and released to the market. While any company involved in product development would have to deal with engineering changes, the area of engineering change management hasn't received much attention from the research community. It is partly because of its complexity and lack of appropriate research tools. In this paper, we present preliminary research results of modeling the engineering change management (ECM) process using an agent-based modeling and simulation technique. The aim of the research reported in this paper is to study optimal strategies of resource allocation for a company when it is dealing with two kinds of ECs: "necessary ECs" and "initialized ECs." We discuss results from these simulation models to illustrate some insights of ECM, and present several research directions from these results.

关键词： Engineering Change Management agent-based modeling and simulation Resource Allocation

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modeling the propagation of topology-aware P2P worms considering temporal parameters

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PEER-TO-PEER NETWORKING AND APPLICATIONS 2015年第1期8卷 171-180页

作者： Mojahedi, Elnaz Azgomi, Mohammad Abdollahi Iran Univ Sci & Technol Sch Comp Engn Tehran *** Iran

The propagation of topology-aware peer-to-peer (P2P) worms in the Internet is a serious threat due to their ability to evade traditional detection mechanisms by means of avoiding revealing any abnormal behavior. Recent increase in the popularity and the usage of P2P systems and applications is exponentially increasing the risk of this threat. The existing models of P2P worms' propagation consider network topology as an important parameter affecting the propagation process. However, a drawback of these models is that they ignore the infection time lag (i.e. the time taken by worm to infect a host). In this paper, we extend the four-factor worm propagation model and propose timed four-factor model to consider both the network topology and the infection time lag. We have also developed an agent-based simulation model to conduct simulative experiments based on the proposed model. The results of our experiments show that the infection time lag has considerable impact on the attack performance of topology-aware P2P worms. The performance of different peer immunization strategies considering the launch time of immunization strategies and other effective parameters have also been investigated in this paper.

关键词： Topology-aware P2P worms Temporal parameters Immunization strategy agent-based modeling and simulation

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Research on modeling and simulation of Space Information System based on agent

Research on Modeling and Simulation of Space Information Sys...

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2014 IEEE International Conference on Progress in Informatics and Computing

作者： Chao Guo Wei Xiong Equipment Academy

Space information system(SIS) is a typical complex system, which challenges traditional modeling methods. agentbased modeling and simulation(ABMS) can be an appropriate and effective approach tomodeling and simulation of SIS. Firstly, the advantages and basic concepts of ABMS are introduced briefly. Secondly, the complexity of SIS is analyzed, and itis concluded that the complexity of SIS results from the diverse component entities and their relations. Thirdly, the entities involved in SIS are classified as three categories, and on the basis, the structure models of agents and object are built, including reactive agent, cognitive agent and environment object. Finally, an implementation plan of SIS simulation is put forward, and SIS simulation system software with basic functions is developed. And the foundation of further researches on modeling and simulation of SIS is laid.

关键词： space information system entity agent-based modeling and simulation implementation of simulation system

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