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agent-based Electricity Market simulation With Demand Response From Commercial Buildings

IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SMART GRID 2011年第4期2卷 580-588页

作者： Zhou, Zhi Zhao, Fei Wang, Jianhui Argonne Natl Lab Decis Informat Sci Div CEEESA 9700 S Cass Ave Argonne IL 60439 USA Georgia Inst Technol Coll Architecture Atlanta GA 30332 USA Argonne Natl Lab Decis Informat Sci Div Argonne IL 60439 USA

With the development of power system deregulation and smart metering technologies, price-based demand response (DR) becomes an alternative solution to improving power system reliability and efficiency by adjusting the load profile. In this paper, we simulate an electricity market with DR from different types of commercial buildings by using agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS) techniques. We focus on the consumption behavior of commercial buildings with different levels of DR penetration in different market structures. The results indicate that there is a noticeable impact from commercial buildings with price-responsive demand on the electricity market, and this impact differs with different scales of DR participation under different levels of market competitions.

关键词： agent-based modeling and simulation building stock modeling demand response electricity market smart grid

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Large-Scale Computational Experiments for Complex Enterprise Systems Behaviour Prediction

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IFAC Proceedings Volumes 2012年第6期45卷 691-696页

作者： Radu F. Babiceanu Department of Systems Engineering University of Arkansas at Little Rock Little Rock AR 72204 USA (Tel: 501-683-7520

This work comes as a contribution to the efforts that are undergoing within engineering systems community to account for the increased complexity of today's manufacturing or service systems. These systems are becoming more and more complicated due to the increase in the number of elements, interconnections within the system, and necessary integration with other systems. Moreover, through the emphasis on self-organization and considering the multi-stakeholders context and objectives, these systems are crossing the line towards complexity. There is a need for developing a framework to be used in modeling, analysis, and integration of systems that operate in uncertain environments, in which characteristics such as adaptation, self-organization and evolution, or in other words behavior prediction, need to be addressed. The proposed complex enterprise systems framework combines knowledge coming from complex systems science and systems engineering domains, and uses computational intelligence and agent-based systems simulation methodologies. The approach requires computational experience in manipulating large amounts of data and building large-scale simulation models. A significant result to be made possible by this research is that systems may no longer have a fixed, life-cycle long, design based on identified requirements; systems will be engineered to evolve and adapt as needed during the operational phase, while respecting their operational environment constraints.

关键词： Complex enterprise systems behavior prediction agent-based modeling and simulation

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Assessing the air traffic control safety impact of airline pilot induced latencies 12

Assessing the air traffic control safety impact of airline p...

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Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Application and Theory of Automation in Command and Control Systems

作者： Markus Vogel Christoph Thiel Hartmut Fricke Technische Universität Dresden Dresden Germany

ISBN: (纸本)9782917490204

Current arrival operations in the terminal airspace, designed according to ICAO guidelines to comply with a target level of safety of 10-7 per approach, rely on spatial protection zones and complementing procedures (ICAO Doc. 4444). The purpose of this paper is to quantitatively demonstrate inherent safety margins, which form the basic prerequisite for increasing flight efficiency both economically and ecologically. By means of expert interview, task analyses and experiments on a procedure trainer, human-machine interaction latencies on the flight deck are analyzed as a performance shaping factor and thus a potential driver for collision risk. The effects are studied by means of a sensitivity analysis, performed by coupling our actual-navigation-performance-enhanced collision risk model and agent-based fast-time simulation. The results show that temporal safety margins exist for implementation latencies of advised speed and heading changes alike. For heading changes, the margin is well-defined at 10 seconds. For speed changes, the safety level decreases gradually with human-machine interaction latencies, to become critical between 15 and 20 seconds. Trajectory-based concepts with fewer, but more time-consuming interactions between pilot and airborne IT systems may benefit from these findings.

关键词： sensitivity analysis collision risk model human-machine interaction safety assessment human performance model agent-based modeling and simulation air traffic management

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agent-based Electricity Market simulation with Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle Penetration

Agent-based Electricity Market Simulation with Plug-in Hybri...

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General Meeting of the IEEE-Power-and-Energy-Society (PES)

作者： Zhou, Zhi Wang, Jianhui Botterud, Audun Argonne Natl Lab Argonne IL 60439 USA

ISBN: (纸本)9781457710018

In this paper, we simulate an electricity market with PHEV penetration by using agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS). We model the PHEV users as agents which have unique decision making processes to plan their daily trips and determine their charging schedules. Moreover, we study the impact of different PHEV penetration levels on the power system. The electricity demand from PHEVs is supplied by the electricity market. based on the simulation model, we observe the PHEV owners' payment and investigate the relation to different market structures.

关键词： agent-based modeling and simulation electricity market plug-in hybrid electrcity vehicle (PHEV)

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A study of the impacts of positive/negative feedback on collective wisdom-case study on social bookmarking sites

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INFORMATION SYSTEMS FRONTIERS 2011年第2期13卷 265-279页

作者： Hwang, Yuan-Chu Yuan, Soe-Tsyr Weng, Jung-Hui Natl United Univ Dept Informat Management Miaoli Taiwan Natl Chengchi Univ Dept Management Informat Syst Taipei 11623 Taiwan

The core spirit for web 2.0 is collective wisdom (i.e., the contribution of users, and the creation of value through the interaction between users). Social bookmarking sites integrate all kind of contents on the Internet (especially those generated by users), and play the role of pivot between content production and consumption. This paper mainly investigates how the positive/negative feedbacks would impact the quality of the collective wisdom within the autonomous service environments (i.e., the social bookmarking sites). Our research findings show that the performance of social bookmarking sites has a tradeoff between collective filtering (i.e., results of positive feedbacks) and front page update frequency that should be carefully managed for ensuring the good quality in collective wisdom and service performance. Moreover, the negative feedback could also shape the collective wisdom and stabilize the system performance. The research findings are believed to provide some managerial guidelines for web 2.0 sites design and operations.

关键词： Collective wisdom Positive/negative impact Social bookmarking site agent-based modeling and simulation

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agent-based Electricity Market simulation with Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle Penetration

Agent-based Electricity Market Simulation with Plug-in Hybri...

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IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting

作者： Zhi Zhou Jianhui Wang Audun Botterud Argonne National Laboratory

ISBN: (纸本)9781457710001

关键词： agent-based modeling and simulation Electricity market Plug-in hybrid electricity vehicle (PHEV) power markets simulation models Hybrid electric vehicles payment simulating power systems agent-based modeling

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A study of the impacts of positive/negative feedback on collective wisdom-case study on social bookmarking sites

A study of the impacts of positive/negative feedback on coll...

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3rd International Conference on Internet and Web Applications and Services (ICIW 2008)

作者： Hwang, Yuan-Chu Yuan, Soe-Tsyr Weng, Jung-Hui Natl United Univ Dept Informat Management Miaoli Taiwan Natl Chengchi Univ Dept Management Informat Syst Taipei 11623 Taiwan

关键词： Collective wisdom Positive/negative impact Social bookmarking site agent-based modeling and simulation

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An Integrated Optimization and agent-based Framework for the US Power System

An Integrated Optimization and Agent-Based Framework for the...

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Conference of the Complex Adaptive Systems on Responding to Continuous Global Change in Systems Needs

作者： Haghnevis, Moeed Shinde, Amit Askin, Ronald G. Arizona State Univ Sch Comp Informat & Decis Syst Engn Tempe AZ 85287 USA

Today, many of the engineered systems are comprised of a large number of components that interact with each other and have the ability to exhibit emergent behavior thus enabling a system to adapt to changing environments. Using the example of the US power grid as a complex adaptive system, we demonstrate how components in a multi-layered power grid structure dynamically interact, evolve and adapt over time. In our model, electricity regulators strive to balance workload by dynamically adjusting service attributes in response to demand fluctuations. Additionally, they seek to change long-term consumption patterns by providing incentives and social education. Moreover, consumer agents focus on maximizing quantitative and qualitative utilities. By embedding a non-convex optimization model with the agent-based framework we study cooperativeness or competition in the consumers game environment. Our framework allows us to study the behavior of consumers under different control and incentive strategies. We expand model dynamics to include intrinsic environment and control factors. This study also examines circumstances in which agent-based and equilibrium models present similar outcomes or are unable to converge to same results. This method is used to study the robustness of the results, present equilibriums of interoperability equations, and study dynamics of traits.

关键词： agent-based modeling and simulation Non-convex Optimization Complex Adaptive systems Non-linear Complexity

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Cognitive biases, volatility, and risk in capital markets: Revealing risk through simulation

Cognitive biases, volatility, and risk in capital markets: R...

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作者： Reddy, Praneel The University of Arizona

学位级别：Ph.D.

The modeling of financial risk, whose shortcomings came to the fore during the financial crisis, generally understands risk from the history of prices and returns. However, the state space of risk is not fully revealed from the history of prices and returns. In this dissertation, certain cognitive biases were modeled, and the simulation results were quantitatively characterized to reveal risk not revealed from the history of prices and returns. This contribution adds to the extant literature on the modeling of financial risk by showing how to reveal parts of the state space of risk not revealed from other methods in use today.

关键词： Cognitive Biases Finance Psychology Volatility and Risk Management Electrical & Computer Engineering agent-based modeling and simulation Behavioral Finance

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agent-based Information Warfare modeling and simulation by ICNP

Agent-based Information Warfare Modeling and Simulation by I...

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2010 Second Asia-Pacific Conference on Information Processing (APCIP 2010)

作者： Xiong Li,Xiuquan Xie,and Sheng Dang Department of Command and Administration Academy of Armored Force Engineering Beijing 100072,China Yingjiu Sun Troop NO.92823 of PLA Sanya 572000,Hainan Province,China

agent-based models or agent-based modeling and simulation allow analysis of evolving systems of autonomous interacting *** this paper,we formulated a model of information warfare system(IWS) by using this *** on the analysis on the problem space,battlespace and information processing of IWS,multi-agent organization of IWS and its essential cells,agents' architectures are *** order to solve the problems about description of military entities interactions in an agents-based modeling,the original CNP is extensively used,i.e.,an improved CNP(ICNP) is proposed in this *** organization model of the ICNP is established and RCA(Representation des Comportements d's agents) formalism is applied to express *** simulation result proves that the established distributed multi-agent system model of IWS can afford advantage for carrying out the advanced concept technology demonstration of the intelligent,complex,dynamic,and information centric process.

关键词： agent agent-based modeling and simulation information warfare information warfare system

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