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Global investments in pandemic preparedness and COVID-19: development assistance and domestic spending on health between 1990 and 2026

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The Lancet Global Health 2023年第3期11卷 e385-e413页

作者： Micah, Angela E. Bhangdia, Kayleigh Cogswell, Ian E. Lasher, Dylan Lidral-Porter, Brendan Maddison, Emilie R. Nguyen, Trang Nhu Ngoc Patel, Nishali Pedroza, Paola Solorio, Juan Stutzman, Hayley Tsakalos, Golsum Wang, Yifeng Warriner, Wesley Zhao, Yingxi Zlavog, Bianca S. Abbafati, Cristiana Abbas, Jaffar Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari, Zeinab Abdelmasseh, Michael Abdulah, Deldar Morad Abedi, Aidin Abegaz, Kedir Hussein Abhilash, E.S. Aboagye, Richard Gyan Abolhassani, Hassan Abrigo, Michael R.M. Abubaker Ali, Hiwa Abu-Gharbieh, Eman Adem, Mohammed Hussien Afzal, Muhammad Sohail Ahmadi, Ali Ahmed, Haroon Ahmed Rashid, Tarik Aji, Budi Akbarialiabad, Hossein Akelew, Yibeltal Al Hamad, Hanadi Alam, Khurshid Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour Alanzi, Turki M. Al-Hanawi, Mohammed Khaled Alhassan, Robert Kaba Aljunid, Syed Mohamed Almustanyir, Sami Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M. Alvis-Guzman, Nelson Alvis-Zakzuk, Nelson J. Amare, Azmeraw T. Ameyaw, Edward Kwabena Amini-Rarani, Mostafa Amu, Hubert Ancuceanu, Robert Andrei, Tudorel Anwar, Sumadi Lukman Appiah, Francis Aqeel, Muhammad Arabloo, Jalal Arab-Zozani, Morteza Aravkin, Aleksandr Y. Aremu, Olatunde Aruleba, Raphael Taiwo Athari, Seyyed Shamsadin Avila-Burgos, Leticia Ayanore, Martin Amogre Azari, Samad Baig, Atif Amin Bantie, Abere Tilahun Barrow, Amadou Baskaran, Pritish Basu, Sanjay Batiha, Abdul-Monim Mohammad Baune, Bernhard T. Berezvai, Zombor Bhardwaj, Nikha Bhardwaj, Pankaj Bhaskar, Sonu Boachie, Micheal Kofi Bodolica, Virginia Botelho, João Silva Botelho Braithwaite, Dejana Breitborde, Nicholas J.K. Busse, Reinhard Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero Catalá-López, Ferrán Chansa, Collins Charan, Jaykaran Chattu, Vijay Kumar Chen, Simiao Chukwu, Isaac Sunday Dadras, Omid Dandona, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dargahi, Abdollah Debela, Sisay Abebe Denova-Gutiérrez, Edgar Desye, Belay Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda Diao, Nancy Doan, Linh Phuong Dodangeh, Milad dos Santos, Wendel Mombaque Doshmangir, Leila Dube, John Eini, Ebrahim El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa El Tantawi, Maha Enyew, Daniel Berhanie Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation University of Washington Seattle WA United States Department of Applied Mathematics University of Washington Seattle WA United States Department of Health Metrics Sciences School of Medicine University of Washington Seattle WA United States Nuffield Department of Medicine University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Department of Juridical and Economic Studies La Sapienza University Rome Italy Antai College of Economics Shanghai Jiao Tong University Shanghai China Non-communicable Diseases Research Center Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Research Center for Immunodeficiencies Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Multiple Sclerosis Research Center Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Children’s Medical Center Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Tehran Heart Center Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Faculty of Medicine Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran National Institute for Health Research Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Department of Pharmacology Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Department of Cardiology Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Sina Trauma and Surgery Research Center Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Digestive Diseases Research Institute Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Department of Neurology Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Social Determinants of Health Research Center Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Department of Epidemiology Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Department of Health Economics and Statistics Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Department of Neurosurgery Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Ophthalmic R

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted gaps in health surveillance systems, disease prevention, and treatment globally. Among the many factors that might have led to these gaps is the issue of the financing of national health systems, especially in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), as well as a robust global system for pandemic preparedness. We aimed to provide a comparative assessment of global health spending at the onset of the pandemic;characterise the amount of development assistance for pandemic preparedness and response disbursed in the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic;and examine expectations for future health spending and put into context the expected need for investment in pandemic preparedness. Methods: In this analysis of global health spending between 1990 and 2021, and prediction from 2021 to 2026, we estimated four sources of health spending: development assistance for health (DAH), government spending, out-of-pocket spending, and prepaid private spending across 204 countries and territories. We used the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)'s Creditor Reporting System (CRS) and the WHO Global Health Expenditure database (GHED) to estimate spending. We estimated development assistance for general health, COVID-19 response, and pandemic preparedness and response using a keyword search. Health spending estimates were combined with estimates of resources needed for pandemic prevention and preparedness to analyse future health spending patterns, relative to need. Findings: In 2019, at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, US$9·2 trillion (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 9·1–9·3) was spent on health worldwide. We found great disparities in the amount of resources devoted to health, with high-income countries spending $7·3 trillion (95% UI 7·2–7·4) in 2019;293·7 times the $24·8 billion (95% UI 24·3–25·3) spent by low-income countries in 2019. That same year, $43·1 billion in development assistance was provided

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Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

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The Lancet 2020年第10258期396卷 1204-1222页

作者： Abbafati, Cristiana Abbas, Kaja M. Abbasi, Mohammad Abbasifard, Mitra Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen Abbastabar, Hedayat Abd-Allah, Foad Abdelalim, Ahmed Abdollahi, Mohammad Abdollahpour, Ibrahim Abedi, Aidin Abedi, Parisa Abegaz, Kedir Hussein Abolhassani, Hassan Abosetugn, Akine Eshete Aboyans, Victor Abrams, Elissa M. Abreu, Lucas Guimarães Abrigo, Michael R.M. Abu Haimed, Abdulaziz Khalid Abualhasan, Ahmed Abu-Gharbieh, Eman Abu-Raddad, Laith Jamal Abushouk, Abdelrahman I. Acebedo, Alyssa Ackerman, Ilana N. Adabi, Maryam Adair, Tim Adamu, Abdu A. Adebayo, Oladimeji M. Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi Adekanmbi, Victor Adelson, Jaimie D. Adeoye, Abiodun Moshood Adetokunboh, Olatunji O. Adham, Davoud Advani, Shailesh M. Afarideh, Mohsen Afshari, Mahdi Afshin, Ashkan Agardh, Emilie E. Agarwal, Gina Agasthi, Pradyumna Agesa, Kareha M. Aghaali, Mohammad Aghamir, Seyed Mohammad Kazem Agrawal, Anurag Ahmad, Tauseef Ahmadi, Alireza Ahmadi, Keivan Ahmadi, Mehdi Ahmadieh, Hamid Ahmadpour, Ehsan Ahmed, Muktar Beshir Aji, Budi Akalu, Temesgen Yihunie Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola Akinyemiju, Tomi Akombi, Blessing Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet Alahdab, Fares Al-Aly, Ziyad Alam, Khurshid Alam, Noore Alam, Samiah Alam, Tahiya Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour Alanzi, Turki M. Albertson, Samuel B. Alcalde-Rabanal, Jacqueline Elizabeth Alema, Niguse Meles Alemu, Biresaw Wassihun Alemu, Yihun Mulugeta Alhabib, Khalid F. Alhassan, Robert Kaba Ali, Muhammad Ali, Saqib Alicandro, Gianfranco Alijanzadeh, Mehran Alinia, Cyrus Alipour, Vahid Alizade, Hesam Aljunid, Syed Mohamed Alla, François Allebeck, Peter Almadi, Majid Abdulrahman Hamad Almasi, Ali Almasi-Hashiani, Amir Almasri, Nihad A. Al-Mekhlafi, Hesham M. Almulhim, Abdulaziz M. Alonso, Jordi Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M. Altirkawi, Khalid A. Alumran, Arwa Khalid Alvis-Guzman, Nelson Alvis-Zakzuk, Nelson J. Amare, Azmeraw T. Amare, Bekalu Amini, Saeed Amini-Rarani, Mostafa Aminorroaya, Arya Amiri, Fatemeh Amit, Arianna Maever L. Amugsi, Dickson A. Amul, Gianna Gayle Herrera Anbesu, Etsay Woldu Ancuceanu, Robert Anderl Department of Juridical and Economic Studies La Sapienza University Rome Italy Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine London United Kingdom Social Determinants of Health Research Center Tehran Iran Department of Neurology Cairo University Cairo Egypt School of Pharmacy Tehran Iran The Institute of Pharmaceutical Sciences (TIPS) Tehran Iran Neuroscience Research Center Isfahan University of Medical Sciences Isfahan Iran Biostatistics Department Near East University Nicosia Cyprus Biostatistics and Health Informatics Madda Walabu University Bale Robe Ethiopia Research Center for Immunodeficiencies Tehran Iran Karolinska University Hospital Huddinge Sweden Department of Cardiology Dupuytren University Hospital Limoges France University of Limoges Limoges France Department of Pediatric Dentistry Federal University of Minas Gerais Belo Horizonte Brazil Department of Research Philippine Institute for Development Studies Quezon City Philippines Department of Healthcare Policy and Research Weill Cornell Medical College in Qatar Doha Qatar Harvard Medical School Boston MA United States Department of Medicine Ain Shams University Cairo Egypt Hamadan University of Medical Sciences Hamadan Iran School of Medicine Cardiff University Cardiff United Kingdom School of Laboratory Medicine and Science University College Hospital Ibadan Ibadan Nigeria Institute of Cardiovascular Diseases University of Ibadan Ibadan Nigeria Centre of Excellence for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis Stellenbosch University Cape Town South Africa Department of Global Health Stellenbosch University Cape Town South Africa School of Health Ardabil University of Medical Science Ardabil Iran Social Behavioral Research Branch National Institute of Health Bethesda MD United States Department of Oncology Georgetown University Washington DC DC United States Department of Health Metrics Sciences School of Medicine Seattle WA

Background: In an era of shifting global agendas and expanded emphasis on non-communicable diseases and injuries along with communicable diseases, sound evidence on trends by cause at the national level is essential. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) provides a systematic scientific assessment of published, publicly available, and contributed data on incidence, prevalence, and mortality for a mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive list of diseases and injuries. Methods: GBD estimates incidence, prevalence, mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) due to 369 diseases and injuries, for two sexes, and for 204 countries and territories. Input data were extracted from censuses, household surveys, civil registration and vital statistics, disease registries, health service use, air pollution monitors, satellite imaging, disease notifications, and other sources. Cause-specific death rates and cause fractions were calculated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model and spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression. Cause-specific deaths were adjusted to match the total all-cause deaths calculated as part of the GBD population, fertility, and mortality estimates. Deaths were multiplied by standard life expectancy at each age to calculate YLLs. A Bayesian meta-regression modelling tool, DisMod-MR 2.1, was used to ensure consistency between incidence, prevalence, remission, excess mortality, and cause-specific mortality for most causes. Prevalence estimates were multiplied by disability weights for mutually exclusive sequelae of diseases and injuries to calculate YLDs. We considered results in the context of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator of income per capita, years of schooling, and fertility rate in females younger than 25 years. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered 1000 draw value

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Correction: ColistinDose, a Mobile App for Determining Intravenous Dosage Regimens of Colistimethate in Critically Ill Adult Patients: Clinician-centered Design and Development Study

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JMIR mHealth and uHealth 2020年第12期8卷 e26593页

作者： Xueliang Hua Chen Li Jason M Pogue Varun S Sharma Ilias Karaiskos Keith S Kaye Brian T Tsuji Phillip J Bergen Yan Zhu Jiangning Song Jian Li Independent Researcher Santa Clara CA United States. Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology Monash University Melbourne Australia. Infection and Immunity Program Biomedicine Discovery Institute Monash University Melbourne Australia. Institute of Molecular Systems Biology Department of Biology ETH Zurich Zurich Switzerland. Department of Clinical Pharmacy University of Michigan College of Pharmacy Ann Arbor MI United States. 1st Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases Department Hygeia Hospital Marousi Greece. Department of Internal Medicine University of Michigan Medical School Ann Arbor MI United States. Laboratory for Antimicrobial Dynamics NYS Center of Excellence in Bioinformatics & Life Sciences Buffalo NY United States. School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences University at Buffalo Buffalo NY United States. Department of Microbiology Monash University Melbourne Australia. Monash Centre for Data Science Faculty of Information Technology Monash University Melbourne Australia.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.2196/20525.].

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Kilonova Luminosity Function Constraints based on Zwicky Transient Facility Searches for 13 Neutron Star Mergers

arXiv

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arXiv 2020年

作者： Kasliwal, Mansi M. Anand, Shreya Ahumada, Tomás Stein, Robert Carracedo, Ana Sagués Andreoni, Igor Coughlin, Michael W. Singer, Leo P. Kool, Erik C. De, Kishalay Kumar, Harsh AlMualla, Mouza Yao, Yuhan Bulla, Mattia Dobie, Dougal Reusch, Simeon Perley, Daniel A. Cenko, S. Bradley Bhalerao, Varun Kaplan, David L. Sollerman, Jesper Goobar, Ariel Copperwheat, Christopher M. Bellm, Eric C. Anupama, G.C. Corsi, Alessandra Nissanke, Samaya Agudo, Iván Bagdasaryan, Ashot Barway, Sudhanshu Belicki, Justin Bloom, Joshua S. Bolin, Bryce Buckley, David A.H. Burdge, Kevin B. Burruss, Rick Caballero-García, Maria D. Cannella, Chris Castro-Tirado, Alberto J. Cook, David O. Cooke, Jeff Cunningham, Virginia Dahiwale, Aishwarya Deshmukh, Kunal Dichiara, Simone Duev, Dmitry A. Dutta, Anirban Feeney, Michael Franckowiak, Anna Frederick, Sara Fremling, Christoffer Gal-Yam, Avishay Gatkine, Pradip Ghosh, Shaon Goldstein, Daniel A. Golkhou, V. Zach Graham, Matthew J. Graham, Melissa L. Hankins, Matthew J. Helou, George Hu, Youdong Ip, Wing-Huen Jaodand, Amruta Karambelkar, Viraj Kong, Albert K.H. Kowalski, Marek Khandagale, Maitreya Kulkarni, S.R. Kumar, Brajesh Laher, Russ R. Li, K.L. Mahabal, Ashish Masci, Frank J. Miller, Adam A. Mogotsi, Moses Mohite, Siddharth Mooley, Kunal Mroz, Przemek Newman, Jeffrey A. Ngeow, Chow-Choong Oates, Samantha R. Patil, Atharva Sunil Pandey, Shashi B. Pavana, M. Pian, Elena Riddle, Reed Sánchez-Ramírez, Rubén Sharma, Yashvi Singh, Avinash Smith, Roger Soumagnac, Maayane T. Taggart, Kirsty Tan, Hanjie Tzanidakis, Anastasios Troja, Eleonora Valeev, Azamat F. Walters, Richard Waratkar, Gaurav Webb, Sara Yu, Po-Chieh Zhang, Bin-Bin Zhou, Rongpu Zolkower, Jeffry Division of Physics Mathematics and Astronomy California Institute of Technology PasadenaCA91125 United States Department of Astronomy University of Maryland College ParkMD20742 United States Deutsches Elektronen Synchrotron DESY Platanenallee 6 Zeuthen15738 Germany Institut für Physik Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin BerlinD-12489 Germany Oskar Klein Centre Department of Physics Stockholm University AlbaNova StockholmSE-106 91 Sweden School of Physics and Astronomy University of Minnesota MinneapolisMN55455 United States Astrophysics Science Division NASA Goddard Space Flight Center MC 661 GreenbeltMD20771 United States Joint Space-Science Institute University of Maryland College ParkMD20742 United States Oskar Klein Centre Department of Astronomy Stockholm University AlbaNova StockholmSE-106 91 Sweden Indian Institute of Technology Bombay Powai Mumbai400076 India American University of Sharjah Physics Department PO Box 26666 Sharjah United Arab Emirates Nordita KTH Royal Institute of Technology Stockholm University Roslagstullsbacken 23 StockholmSE-106 91 Sweden Sydney Institute for Astronomy School of Physics University of Sydney NSW2006 Australia CSIRO Astronomy and Space Science P.O. Box 76 EppingNSW1710 Australia Swinburne University of Technology HawthornVIC3122 Australia Astrophysics Research Institute Liverpool John Moores University IC2 Liverpool Science Park 146 Brownlow Hill LiverpoolL3 5RF United Kingdom Center for Gravitation Cosmology and Astrophysics Department of Physics University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee P.O. Box 413 MilwaukeeWI53201 United States DIRAC Institute Department of Astronomy University of Washington 3910 15th Avenue NE SeattleWA98195 United States Indian Institute of Astrophysics II Block Koramangala Bengaluru560034 India Department of Physics and Astronomy Texas Tech University Box 1051 LubbockTX79409-1051 United States Center of Excellence in Gravitation and Astroparticle Phys

We present a systematic search for optical counterparts to 13 gravitational wave (GW) triggers involving at least one neutron star during LIGO/Virgo’s third observing run (O3). We searched binary neutron star (BNS) and neutron star black hole (NSBH) merger localizations with the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF) and undertook follow-up with the Global Relay of Observatories Watching Transients Happen (GROWTH) collaboration. The GW triggers had a median localization area of 4480 deg2, median distance of 267 Mpc and false alarm rates ranging from 1.5 yr−1 to 10−25 yr−1. The ZTF coverage had a median enclosed probability of 39%, median depth of 20.8 mag, and median time lag between merger and the start of observations of 1.5 hr. The O3 follow-up by the GROWTH team comprised 340 UltraViolet/Optical/InfraRed (UVOIR) photometric points, 64 OIR spectra, and 3 radio images. We find no promising kilonova (radioactivity-powered counterpart) and we show how to convert the upper limits to constrain the underlying kilonova luminosity function. Initially, we assume that all GW triggers are bonafide astrophysical events regardless of false alarm rate and that kilonovae accompanying BNS and NSBH mergers are drawn from a common population, and later, we relax these assumptions. Assuming that all kilonovae are at least as luminous as the discovery magnitude of GW170817 (−16.1 mag), we calculate that our joint probability of detecting zero kilonovae is only 4.2%. If we assume that all kilonovae are brighter than −16.6 mag (extrapolated peak magnitude of GW170817) and fade at a rate of 1 mag day−1 (similar to GW170817), the joint probability of zero detections is 7%. If we separate the NSBH and BNS populations, the joint probability of zero detections, assuming all kilonovae are brighter than −16.6 mag, is 9.7% for NSBH and 7.9% for BNS mergers. Moreover, no more than −1), at the 90% confidence level. If we further take into account the online terrestrial probability for each GW trigger,

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Genome-wide analyses identify 30 loci associated with obsessive–compulsive disorder

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Nature Genetics 2025年 1-13页

作者： Strom, Nora I. Gerring, Zachary F. Galimberti, Marco Yu, Dongmei Halvorsen, Matthew W. Abdellaoui, Abdel Rodriguez-Fontenla, Cristina Sealock, Julia M. Bigdeli, Tim Coleman, Jonathan R. Mahjani, Behrang Thorp, Jackson G. Bey, Katharina Burton, Christie L. Luykx, Jurjen J. Zai, Gwyneth Alemany, Silvia Andre, Christine Askland, Kathleen D. Bäckman, Julia Banaj, Nerisa Barlassina, Cristina Nissen, Judith Becker Bienvenu, O. Joseph Black, Donald Bloch, Michael H. Børte, Sigrid Bosch, Rosa Breen, Michael Brennan, Brian P. Brentani, Helena Buxbaum, Joseph D. Bybjerg-Grauholm, Jonas Byrne, Enda M. Cabana-Dominguez, Judit Camarena, Beatriz Camarena, Adrian Cappi, Carolina Carracedo, Angel Casas, Miguel Cavallini, Maria Cristina Ciullo, Valentina Cook, Edwin H. Crosby, Jesse Cullen, Bernadette A. De Schipper, Elles J. Delorme, Richard Djurovic, Srdjan Elias, Jason A. Estivill, Xavier Falkenstein, Martha J. Fundin, Bengt T. Garner, Lauryn Gironda, Christina Goes, Fernando S. Grados, Marco A. Grove, Jakob Guo, Wei Haavik, Jan Hagen, Kristen Harrington, Kelly Havdahl, Alexandra Höffler, Kira D. Hounie, Ana G. Hucks, Donald Hultman, Christina Janecka, Magdalena Jenike, Eric Karlsson, Elinor K. Kelley, Kara Klawohn, Julia Krasnow, Janice E. Krebs, Kristi Lange, Christoph Lanzagorta, Nuria Levey, Daniel Lindblad-Toh, Kerstin Macciardi, Fabio Maher, Brion Mathes, Brittany McArthur, Evonne McGregor, Nathaniel McLaughlin, Nicole C. Meier, Sandra Miguel, Euripedes C. Mulhern, Maureen Nestadt, Paul S. Nurmi, Erika L. O’Connell, Kevin S. Osiecki, Lisa Ousdal, Olga Therese Palviainen, Teemu Pedersen, Nancy L. Piras, Federica Potluri, Sriramya Rabionet, Raquel Ramirez, Alfredo Rauch, Scott Reichenberg, Abraham Riddle, Mark A. Ripke, Stephan Rosário, Maria C. Sampaio, Aline S. Schiele, Miriam A. Skogholt, Anne Heidi Sloofman, Laura G. Smit, Jan Artigas, María Soler Thomas, Laurent F. Tifft, Eric Vallada, Homero van Kirk, Nathanial Veenstra-VanderWeele, Jeremy Vulink, Nienke N. Walker, Christopher P. Wang, Ying Wendland, Jens R. Winsvold Department of Psychology Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin Berlin Germany Department of Psychiatric Phenomics and Genomics (IPPG) Ludwig-Maximilians University Munich Munich Germany Centre for Psychiatry Research Department of Clinical Neuroscience Karolinska Institutet and Stockholm Health Services Region Stockholm Stockholm Sweden Department of Biomedicine Aarhus University Aarhus Denmark University Hospital of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy University of Bern Bern Switzerland Department of Mental Health and Neuroscience Translational Neurogenomics QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute Brisbane QLD Australia Department of Population Health and Immunity Healthy Development and Ageing Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research Melbourne VIC Australia Department of Psychiatry Human Genetics Yale University New Haven CT United States VA Connecticut Healthcare System West Haven CT United States Department of Center for Genomic Medicine Psychiatric and Neurodevelopmental Genetics Unit Massachusetts General Hospital Boston MA United States Stanley Center for Psychiatric Research Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard Cambridge MA United States Department of Genetics University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill NC United States Department of Psychiatry Amsterdam University Medical Centers University of Amsterdam Amsterdam Netherlands Center for Research in Molecular Medicine and Chronic Diseases (CiMUS) Genomics and Bioinformatics University of Santiago de Compostela Santiago de Compostela Spain Grupo de Medicina Xenómica Genetics Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela (FIDIS) Santiago de Compostela Spain Vanderbilt Genetics Institute Vanderbilt University Nashville TN United States Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences SUNY Downstate Health Sciences University Brooklyn NY United States VA NY Harbor Healthcare System Brooklyn NY United States Social Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre Insti

Obsessive–compulsive disorder (OCD) affects ~1% of children and adults and is partly caused by genetic factors. We conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis combining 53,660 OCD cases and 2,044,417 controls and identified 30 independent genome-wide significant loci. Gene-based approaches identified 249 potential effector genes for OCD, with 25 of these classified as the most likely causal candidates, including WDR6, DALRD3 and CTNND1 and multiple genes in the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) region. We estimated that ~11,500 genetic variants explained 90% of OCD genetic heritability. OCD genetic risk was associated with excitatory neurons in the hippocampus and the cortex, along with D₁ and D₂ type dopamine receptor-containing medium spiny neurons. OCD genetic risk was shared with 65 of 112 additional phenotypes, including all the psychiatric disorders we examined. In particular, OCD shared genetic risk with anxiety, depression, anorexia nervosa and Tourette syndrome and was negatively associated with inflammatory bowel diseases, educational attainment and body mass index. © The Author(s) 2025.

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Penetrance of neurodevelopmental copy number variants is associated with variations in cortical morphology

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Biological psychiatry. Cognitive neuroscience and neuroimaging 2025年

作者： Ana I Silva Ida E Sønderby George Kirov Abdel Abdellaoui Ingrid Agartz David Ames Nicola J Armstrong Eric Artiges Tobias Banaschewski Anne S Bassett Carrie E Bearden John Blangero Rune Boen Dorret I Boomsma Robin Bülow Nancy J Butcher Vince Calhoun Linda E Campbell Eva W C Chow Simone Ciufolini Michael C Craig Benedicto Crespo-Farroco Adam C Cunningham Shareefa Dalvie Eileen Daly Paola Dazzan Eco J C de Geus Greig I de Zubicaray Joanne L Doherty Gary Donohoe Mark Drakesmith Thomas Espeseth Vincent Frouin Hugh Garavan David C Glahn Naomi J Goodrich-Hunsaker Penny A Gowland Hans J Grabe Antoine Grigis Maria Gudbrandsen Boris A Gutman Jan Haavik Asta K Håberg Jeremy Hall Andreas Heinz Sarah Hohmann Jouke-Jan Hottenga Sébastien Jacquemont Neda Jahanshad Rachel K Jonas Derek K Jones Erik G Jönsson Sanne Koops Kuldeep Kumar Stephanie Le Hellard Herve Lemaitre Jingyu Liu Astri J Lundervold Jean-Luc Martinot Karen A Mather Donna M McDonald-McGinn Katie L McMahon Allan F McRae Sarah E Medland Clara A Moreau Kieran C Murphy Declan Murphy Robin M Murray Frauke Nees Michael J Owen Marie-Laure Paillère Martinot Diimitri Papadopoulos Orfanos Tomas Paus Luise Poustka Tiago Reis Marques David R Roalf Perminder S Sachdev Freda Scheffler J Eric Schmitt Gunter Schumann Vidar M Steen Dan J Stein Lachlan T Strike Alexander Teumer Anbupalam Thalamuthu Sophia I Thomopoulos Diana Tordesillas-Gutiérrez Julian N Trollor Anne Uhlmann Ariana Vajdi Dennis van 't Ent Therese van Amelsvoort Marianne B M van den Bree Dennis van der Meer Javier Vázquez-Bourgon Julio E Villalón-Reina Uwe Völker Henry Völzke Jacob A S Vorstman Lars T Westlye Nigel Williams Katharina Wittfeld Margaret J Wright Paul M Thompson Ole A Andreassen David E J Linden School for Mental Health and Neuroscience Department of Psychiatry and Neuropsychology Faculty of Health Medicine and Life Sciences Maastricht University Maastricht The Netherlands Neuroscience and Mental Health Innovation Institute Cardiff University Cardiff United Kingdom Center for Magnetic Resonance Research Department of Radiology University of Minnesota Minneapolis MN USA. Electronic address: silvaai@um.edu. Centre for Precision Psychiatry Institute of Clinical Medicine University of Oslo Oslo Norway Department of Medical Genetics Oslo University Hospital Oslo Norway KG Jebsen Centre for Neurodevelopmental Disorders University of Oslo Oslo Norway. Division of Psychological Medicine and Clinical Neurosciences Cardiff University Cardiff United Kingdom Centre for Neuropsychiatric Genetics and Genomics School of Medicine Cardiff University Cardiff United Kingdom. Department of Psychiatry Amsterdam UMC University of Amsterdam Amsterdam the Netherlands. Norwegian Centre for Mental Disorders Research (NORMENT) Institute of Clinical Medicine University of Oslo Oslo Norway Centre for Psychiatry Research Department of Clinical Neuroscience Karolinska Institutet & Stockholm Health Care Services Stockholm Region Stockholm Sweden Department of Psychiatric Research Diakonhjemmet Hospital Oslo Norway. University of Melbourne Academic Unit for Psychiatry of Old Age Kew Victoria Australia. Mathematics and Statistics Curtin University Perth WA Australia. Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale INSERM U1299 "Trajectoires développementales et psychiatrie" Université Paris-Saclay Ecole Normale supérieure Paris-Saclay CNRS Centre Borelli Gif-sur-Yvette France Psychiatry Department EPS Barthélémy Durand Etampes Île-de-France France. Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy Central Institute of Mental Health Medical Faculty Mannheim University of Heidelberg Mannheim Germany. Clinical Genetics Research Program Centre for

BACKGROUND:Copy number variants (CNVs) increase risk for neurodevelopmental conditions. The neurobiological mechanisms linking these high-risk genetic variants to clinical phenotypes are largely unknown. An important question is whether brain abnormalities in individuals carrying CNVs are associated with their degree of penetrance. METHODS:We investigated if increased CNV-penetrance for schizophrenia and other developmental disorders was associated with variations in cortical and subcortical morphology. We pooled T1-weighted brain magnetic resonance imaging and genetic data from 22 cohorts from the ENIGMA-CNV consortium. In the main analyses, we included 9,268 individuals (aged 7 to 90 years, 54% females), from which we identified 398 carriers of 36 neurodevelopmental CNVs at 20 distinct loci. A secondary analysis was performed including additional neuroimaging data from the ENIGMA-22q consortium, including 274 carriers of the 22q11.2 deletion and 291 non-carriers. CNV-penetrance was estimated through penetrance scores that were previously generated from large cohorts of patients and controls. These scores represent the probability risk to develop either schizophrenia or other developmental disorders (including developmental delay, autism spectrum disorder and congenital malformations). RESULTS:For both schizophrenia and developmental disorders, increased penetrance scores were associated with lower surface area in the cerebral cortex and lower intracranial volume. For both conditions, associations between CNV-penetrance scores and cortical surface area were strongest in regions of the occipital lobes, specifically in the cuneus and lingual gyrus. CONCLUSIONS:Our findings link global and regional cortical morphometric features with CNV-penetrance, providing new insights into neurobiological mechanisms of genetic risk for schizophrenia and other developmental disorders.

关键词： autism neuroimaging psychiatric disorders schizophrenia structural imaging

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Author Correction: Community-wide hackathons to identify central themes in single-cell multi-omics

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Genome biology 2021年第1期22卷 246页

作者： Kim-Anh Lê Cao Al J Abadi Emily F Davis-Marcisak Lauren Hsu Arshi Arora Alexis Coullomb Atul Deshpande Yuzhou Feng Pratheepa Jeganathan Melanie Loth Chen Meng Wancen Mu Vera Pancaldi Kris Sankaran Dario Righelli Amrit Singh Joshua S Sodicoff Genevieve L Stein-O'Brien Ayshwarya Subramanian Joshua D Welch Yue You Ricard Argelaguet Vincent J Carey Ruben Dries Casey S Greene Susan Holmes Michael I Love Matthew E Ritchie Guo-Cheng Yuan Aedin C Culhane Elana Fertig Melbourne Integrative Genomics School of Mathematics and Statistics University of Melbourne Melbourne Australia. kimanh.lecao@nimelb.edu.au. Melbourne Integrative Genomics School of Mathematics and Statistics University of Melbourne Melbourne Australia. McKusick-Nathans Institute of the Department of Genetic Medicine Johns Hopkins School of Medicine Baltimore MD USA. Data Science Dana-Farber Cancer Institute Boston MA USA. Biostatistics Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health Boston MA USA. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center New York NY USA. Centre de Recherches en Cancérologie de Toulouse (INSERM) Université Paul Sabatier III Toulouse France. Cancer Convergence Institute and Division of Quantitative Sciences Department of Oncology Sidney Kimmel Comprehensive Cancer Center Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine Baltimore MD USA. Department of Mathematics and Statistics McMaster University Hamilton Canada. Bavarian Center for Biomolecular Mass Spectrometry (BayBioMS) School of Life Sciences Technical University of Munich Munich Germany. Department of Biostatistics UNC Chapel Hill NC USA. Barcelona Supercomputing Center Barcelona Spain. Department of Statistics University of Wisconsin Madison WI USA. Department of Statistical Sciences University of Padova Padova PD Italy. Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine University of British Columbia Vancouver BC Canada. PROOF Centre of Excellence Vancouver BC Canada. Department of Computational Medicine and Bioinformatics University of Michigan Ann Arbor MI USA. Department of Biomedical Engineering University of Michigan Ann Arbor MI USA. Department of Neuroscience Johns Hopkins University Baltimore MD USA. Kavli Neuroscience Discovery Institute Johns Hopkins University Baltimore MD USA. Klarman Cell Observatory Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard Cambridge MA USA. Department of Computer Science and Engineering University of Michiga

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How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts∗

arXiv

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arXiv 2017年

作者： Lafond, François Bailey, Aimee Gotway Bakker, Jan David Rebois, Dylan Zadourian, Rubina McSharry, Patrick Farmer, J. Doyne Institute for New Economic Thinking Oxford Martin School Smith School for Enterprise and the Environment University of Oxford London Institute for Mathematical Sciences U.S. Department of Energy Department of Economics University of Oxford Mathematical Institute University of Oxford Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems Germany Carnegie Mellon University Africa Rwanda African Center of Excellence in Data Science University of Rwanda Oxford Man Institute of Quantitative Finance University of Oxford Computer Science Department University of Oxford Santa Fe Institute United States

Experience curves are widely used to predict the cost benefits of increasing the deployment of a technology. But how good are such forecasts? Can one predict their accuracy a priori? In this paper we answer these questions by developing a method to make distributional forecasts for experience curves. We test our method using a dataset with proxies for cost and experience for 51 products and technologies and show that it works reasonably well. The framework that we develop helps clarify why the experience curve method often gives similar results to simply assuming that costs decrease exponentially. To illustrate our method we make a distributional forecast for prices of solar photovoltaic modules. Copyright © 2017, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Forecasting

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A second update on mapping the human genetic architecture of COVID-19

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Nature 2023年第7977期621卷 E7-E26页

作者： Masahiro Kanai Christine Stevens Benjamin M. Neale Mark Daly Andrea Ganna Amy Trankiem Mary K. Balaconis Samuli Ripatti Lindo Nkambul Mark J. Daly Sam Bryant Matthew Solomonson Shea J. Andrews Mattia Cordioli Juha Karjalainen Juha Mehtonen Matti Pirinen Andrea Corbetta Bradley Jermy Kati Donner Katja Kivinen Aarno Palotie Mari Kaunisto Kumar Veerapen Konrad J. Karczewski Alicia R. Martin Elizabeth G. Atkinson Kristin Tsuo Nikolas Baya Rahul Gupta Raymond K. Walters Duncan S. Palmer Gopal Sarma Nathan Cheng Wenhan Lu Claire Churchhouse Jacqueline I. Goldstein Daniel King Wei Zhou Cotton Seed Hilary Finucane F. Kyle Satterstrom Gita A. Pathak Akiko Iwasaki Karolina Chwialkowska Karolina Chwiałkowska Brooke N. Wolford Hajar Fauzan Ahmad Shea Andrews Kathrin Aprile von Hohenstaufen Puoti Palwende R. Boua Guillaume Butler-Laporte Celia M. T. Greenwood Bartha M. Knoppers Mark Lathrop Carmen L. Cadilla Francesca Colombo Nicole Dueker Chloe Kirk Atanu Kumar Dutta Yasser M. El-Sherbiny Jehan J. El-Jawhari Doaa Shahin Ahmed Elzeiny Tamer A. Mansour Madonna M. Eltoukhy Attia A. S. Mohamed Sahar Esmaeeli Annika Faucon Israel Fernández Cadenas Israel Fernandez-Cadenas Laia Llucià-Carol Natalia Cullell Elena Muiño Jara Cárcel-Márquez Margherita Francescatto Laurent Francioli Lindokuhle Nkambule Jatin Arora Soumya Raychaudhuri Caroline Cusick Lude Franke Macarena Fuentes Macarena Fuentes-Guajardo David Gómez Cabrero Emi N. Harry Philip Jansen József L. Szentpéteri Réka Várnai Elżbieta Kaja Athanasios Kousathanas Dorote Pasko Mark J. Caulfield Alex Stuckey Christopher A. Odhams Susan Walker Daniel Rhodes Richard H. Scott Loukas Moutsianas Afshan Siddiq Peter Goddard Sally Donovan Tala Zainy Fiona Maleady-Crowe Linda Todd Shahla Salehi Greg Elgar Georgia Chan Prabhu Arumugam Christine Patch Augusto Rendon Tom A. Fowler Jose E. Krieger Sanjay K. Patel Audrey Lemaçon Sophie Limou Pietro Lió Eirini Marouli Charles Hinds Minttu M. Marttila Carolina Medina-Gómez Isabelle Migeotte Soumyajit Mondal Andrés Moreno-Estrada Leire Moya Tomok Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard Cambridge MA USA Analytic and Translational Genetics Unit Massachusetts General Hospital Boston MA USA Program in Medical and Population Genetics Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard Cambridge MA USA Department of Biomedical Informatics Harvard Medical School Boston MA USA Program in Bioinformatics and Integrative Genomics Harvard Medical School Boston MA USA Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland (FIMM) University of Helsinki Helsinki Finland Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland University of Helsinki Helsinki Finland Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland (FIMM) HiLIFE University of Helsinki Helsinki Finland Public Health Faculty of Medicine University of Helsinki Helsinki Finland Analytic & Translational Genetics Unit Massachusetts General Hospital Boston MA USA Stanley Center for Psychiatric Research & Program in Medical and Population Genetics Cambridge UK Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland (FIMM) Univerisity of Helsinki Helsinki Finland University of California San Francisco San Francisco CA USA Department of Molecular and Human Genetics Baylor College of Medicine Houston TX USA Program in Biological and Biomedical Sciences Harvard Medical School Boston MA USA Department of Psychiatry School of Medicine Yale University New Haven CT USA Veteran Affairs Connecticut Healthcare System West Haven CT USA Yale University New Haven CT USA Centre for Bioinformatics and Data Analysis Medical University of Bialystok Bialystok Poland Department of Computational Medicine and Bioinformatics University of Michigan Ann Arbor MI USA Faculty of Industrial Sciences and Technology Universiti Malaysia Pahang Pahang Malaysia Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai New York NY USA Genolier Innovation Network and Hub Swiss Medical Network Genolier Healthcare Campus Genolier Switzerland Immediate Independent Multidisciplinary Med & Biotech Research Association Milan Italy Clinical Research Unit of Nanor

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Publisher Correction: Multiancestry genome-wide association study of 520,000 subjects identifies 32 loci associated with stroke and stroke subtypes

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Nature genetics 2019年第7期51卷 1192-1193页

作者： Rainer Malik Ganesh Chauhan Matthew Traylor Muralidharan Sargurupremraj Yukinori Okada Aniket Mishra Loes Rutten-Jacobs Anne-Katrin Giese Sander W van der Laan Solveig Gretarsdottir Christopher D Anderson Michael Chong Hieab H H Adams Tetsuro Ago Peter Almgren Philippe Amouyel Hakan Ay Traci M Bartz Oscar R Benavente Steve Bevan Giorgio B Boncoraglio Robert D Brown Adam S Butterworth Caty Carrera Cara L Carty Daniel I Chasman Wei-Min Chen John W Cole Adolfo Correa Ioana Cotlarciuc Carlos Cruchaga John Danesh Paul I W de Bakker Anita L DeStefano Marcel den Hoed Qing Duan Stefan T Engelter Guido J Falcone Rebecca F Gottesman Raji P Grewal Vilmundur Gudnason Stefan Gustafsson Jeffrey Haessler Tamara B Harris Ahamad Hassan Aki S Havulinna Susan R Heckbert Elizabeth G Holliday George Howard Fang-Chi Hsu Hyacinth I Hyacinth M Arfan Ikram Erik Ingelsson Marguerite R Irvin Xueqiu Jian Jordi Jiménez-Conde Julie A Johnson J Wouter Jukema Masahiro Kanai Keith L Keene Brett M Kissela Dawn O Kleindorfer Charles Kooperberg Michiaki Kubo Leslie A Lange Carl D Langefeld Claudia Langenberg Lenore J Launer Jin-Moo Lee Robin Lemmens Didier Leys Cathryn M Lewis Wei-Yu Lin Arne G Lindgren Erik Lorentzen Patrik K Magnusson Jane Maguire Ani Manichaikul Patrick F McArdle James F Meschia Braxton D Mitchell Thomas H Mosley Michael A Nalls Toshiharu Ninomiya Martin J O'Donnell Bruce M Psaty Sara L Pulit Kristiina Rannikmäe Alexander P Reiner Kathryn M Rexrode Kenneth Rice Stephen S Rich Paul M Ridker Natalia S Rost Peter M Rothwell Jerome I Rotter Tatjana Rundek Ralph L Sacco Saori Sakaue Michele M Sale Veikko Salomaa Bishwa R Sapkota Reinhold Schmidt Carsten O Schmidt Ulf Schminke Pankaj Sharma Agnieszka Slowik Cathie L M Sudlow Christian Tanislav Turgut Tatlisumak Kent D Taylor Vincent N S Thijs Gudmar Thorleifsson Unnur Thorsteinsdottir Steffen Tiedt Stella Trompet Christophe Tzourio Cornelia M van Duijn Matthew Walters Nicholas J Wareham Sylvia Wassertheil-Smoller James G Wilson Kerri L Wiggins Qiong Yang Salim Yusuf Joshua C Bis Tomi Institute for Stroke and Dementia Research (ISD) University Hospital LMU Munich Munich Germany. Centre for Brain Research Indian Institute of Science Bangalore India. INSERM U1219 Bordeaux Population Health Research Center University of Bordeaux Bordeaux France. Stroke Research Group Division of Clinical Neurosciences University of Cambridge Cambridge UK. Department of Neurology Institute for Neurodegenerative Disease Bordeaux University Hospital Bordeaux France. Laboratory for Statistical Analysis RIKEN Center for Integrative Medical Sciences Yokohama Japan. Department of Statistical Genetics Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine Osaka Japan. Laboratory of Statistical Immunology Immunology Frontier Research Center (WPI-IFReC) Osaka University Suita Japan. Department of Neurology Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) Harvard Medical School Boston MA USA. Laboratory of Experimental Cardiology Department of Cardiology Division of Heart and Lungs University Medical Center Utrecht University of Utrecht Utrecht the Netherlands. deCODE genetics/AMGEN Inc. Reykjavik Iceland. Center for Genomic Medicine MGH Boston MA USA. J. Philip Kistler Stroke Research Center Department of Neurology MGH Boston MA USA. Program in Medical and Population Genetics Broad Institute Cambridge MA USA. Population Health Research Institute McMaster University Hamilton Ontario Canada. Department of Epidemiology Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam the Netherlands. Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine Erasmus University Medical Center Rotterdam the Netherlands. Department of Medicine and Clinical Science Graduate School of Medical Sciences Kyushu University Fukuoka Japan. Department of Clinical Sciences Lund University Malmö Sweden. INSERM Institut Pasteur de Lille LabEx DISTALZ-UMR1167 Risk Factors and Molecular Determinants of Aging-Related Diseases Université Lille Lille France. Centre Hospitalier Université Lille Epidemiology and Public Health D

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.

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