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Proceedings of the 41st International Conference on Machine Learning

作者： Theodore Papamarkou Maria Skoularidou Konstantina Palla Laurence Aitchison Julyan Arbel David Dunson Maurizio Filippone Vincent Fortuin Philipp Hennig José Miguel Hernández-Lobato Aliaksandr Hubin Alexander Immer Theofanis Karaletsos Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan Agustinus Kristiadi Yingzhen Li Stephan Mandt Christopher Nemeth Michael A. Osborne Tim G. J. Rudner David Rügamer Yee Whye Teh Max Welling Andrew Gordon Wilson Ruqi Zhang Department of Mathematics The University of Manchester Manchester UK Eric and Wendy Schmidt Center Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard Cambridge Spotify London UK Computational Neuroscience Unit University of Bristol Bristol UK Centre Inria de l'Université Grenoble Alpes Grenoble France Department of Statistical Science Duke University Statistics Program KAUST Saudi Arabia Helmholtz AI Munich Germany and Department of Computer Science Technical University of Munich Munich Germany and Munich Center for Machine Learning Munich Germany Tübingen AI Center University of Tübingen Tübingen Germany Department of Engineering University of Cambridge Cambridge UK Department of Mathematics University of Oslo Oslo Norway and Bioinformatics and Applied Statistics Norwegian University of Life Sciences Ås Norway Department of Computer Science ETH Zurich Switzerland Chan Zuckerberg Initiative California Center for Advanced Intelligence Project RIKEN Tokyo Japan Vector Institute Toronto Canada Department of Computing Imperial College London London UK Department of Computer Science UC Irvine Irvine Department of Mathematics and Statistics Lancaster University Lancaster UK Department of Engineering Science University of Oxford Oxford UK Center for Data Science New York University New York Munich Center for Machine Learning Munich Germany and Department of Statistics LMU Munich Munich Germany DeepMind London UK and Department of Statistics University of Oxford Oxford UK Informatics Institute University of Amsterdam Amsterdam Netherlands Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences and Center for Data Science Computer Science Department New York University New York Department of Computer Science Purdue University West Lafayette

In the current landscape of deep learning research, there is a predominant emphasis on achieving high predictive accuracy in supervised tasks involving large image and language datasets. However, a broader perspective reveals a multitude of overlooked metrics, tasks, and data types, such as uncertainty, active and continual learning, and scientific data, that demand attention. Bayesian deep learning (BDL) constitutes a promising avenue, offering advantages across these diverse settings. This paper posits that BDL can elevate the capabilities of deep learning. It revisits the strengths of BDL, acknowledges existing challenges, and highlights some exciting research avenues aimed at addressing these obstacles. Looking ahead, the discussion focuses on possible ways to combine large-scale foundation models with BDL to unlock their full potential.

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Time-periodic steady-state solution of fluid-structure interaction and cardiac flow problems through multigrid-reduction-in-time

arXiv

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arXiv 2021年

作者： Hessenthaler, Andreas Falgout, Robert D. Schroder, Jacob B. de Vecchi, Adelaide Nordsletten, David Röhrle, Oliver Institute for Modelling and Simulation of Biomechanical Systems University of Stuttgart Pfaffenwaldring 5a Stuttgart70569 Germany Stuttgart Center for Simulation Technology University of Stuttgart Pfaffenwaldring 5a Stuttgart70569 Germany Center for Applied Scientific Computing Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory LivermoreCA94551 United States Department of Mathematics and Statistics University of New Mexico AlbuquerqueNM87131 United States School of Biomedical Engineering and Imaging Sciences King’s College London 4th FL Rayne Institute St. Thomas Hospital LondonSE1 7EH United Kingdom Department of Biomedical Engineering and Cardiac Surgery University of Michigan NCRC B20 2800 Plymouth Rd Ann Arbor48109 United States

In this paper, a time-periodic MGRIT algorithm is proposed as a means to reduce the time-to-solution of numerical algorithms by exploiting the time periodicity inherent to many applications in science and engineering. The time-periodic MGRIT algorithm is applied to a variety of linear and nonlinear single- and multiphysics problems that are periodic-in-time. It is demonstrated that the proposed parallel-in-time algorithm can obtain the same time-periodic steady-state solution as sequential time-stepping. It is shown that the required number of MGRIT iterations can be estimated a priori and that the new MGRIT variant can significantly and consistently reduce the time-to-solution compared to sequential time-stepping, irrespective of the number of dimensions, linear or nonlinear PDE models, single-physics or coupled problems and the employed computing resources. The numerical experiments demonstrate that the time-periodic MGRIT algorithm enables a greater level of parallelism yielding faster turnaround, and thus, facilitating more complex and more realistic problems to be solved. Copyright © 2021, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Fluid structure interaction

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Position: Bayesian Deep Learning is Needed in the Age of Large-Scale AI

arXiv

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arXiv 2024年

作者： Papamarkou, Theodore Skoularidou, Maria Palla, Konstantina Aitchison, Laurence Arbel, Julyan Dunson, David Filippone, Maurizio Fortuin, Vincent Hennig, Philipp Hernández-Lobato, José Miguel Hubin, Aliaksandr Immer, Alexander Karaletsos, Theofanis Khan, Mohammad Emtiyaz Kristiadi, Agustinus Li, Yingzhen Mandt, Stephan Nemeth, Christopher Osborne, Michael A. Rudner, Tim G.J. Rügamer, David Teh, Yee Whye Welling, Max Wilson, Andrew Gordon Zhang, Ruqi Department of Mathematics The University of Manchester Manchester United Kingdom Eric and Wendy Schmidt Center Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard Cambridge United States Spotify London United Kingdom Computational Neuroscience Unit University of Bristol Bristol United Kingdom Centre Inria de l'Université Grenoble Alpes Grenoble France Department of Statistical Science Duke University United States Statistics Program KAUST Saudi Arabia Helmholtz AI Munich Germany Department of Computer Science Technical University of Munich Munich Germany Munich Center for Machine Learning Munich Germany Tübingen AI Center University of Tübingen Tübingen Germany Department of Engineering University of Cambridge Cambridge United Kingdom Department of Mathematics University of Oslo Oslo Norway Bioinformatics and Applied Statistics Norwegian University of Life Sciences Ås Norway Department of Computer Science ETH Zurich Switzerland Chan Zuckerberg Initiative CA United States Center for Advanced Intelligence Project RIKEN Tokyo Japan Vector Institute Toronto Canada Department of Computing Imperial College London London United Kingdom Department of Computer Science UC Irvine Irvine United States Department of Mathematics and Statistics Lancaster University Lancaster United Kingdom Department of Engineering Science University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Center for Data Science New York University New York United States Department of Statistics LMU Munich Munich Germany DeepMind London United Kingdom Department of Statistics University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Informatics Institute University of Amsterdam Amsterdam Netherlands Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences Center for Data Science Computer Science Department New York University New York United States Department of Computer Science Purdue University West Lafayette United States

关键词： Large datasets

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Redefining pandemic preparedness:Multidisciplinary insights from the CERP modelling workshop in infectious diseases,workshop report

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Infectious Disease Modelling 2024年第2期9卷 501-518页

作者： Marta C.Nunes Edward Thommes Holger Fröhlich Antoine Flahault Julien Arino Marc Baguelin Matthew Biggerstaff Gaston Bizel-Bizellot Rebecca Borchering Giacomo Cacciapaglia Simon Cauchemez Alex Barbier-Chebbah Carsten Claussen Christine Choirat Monica Cojocaru Catherine Commaille-Chapus Chitin Hon Jude Kong Nicolas Lambert Katharina B.Lauer Thorsten Lehr Cédric Mahe Vincent Marechal Adel Mebarki Seyed Moghadas Rene Niehus Lulla Opatowski Francesco Parino Gery Pruvost Andreas Schuppert Rodolphe Thiébaut Andrea Thomas-Bachli Cecile Viboud Jianhong Wu Pascal Crépey Laurent Coudeville Center of Excellence in Respiratory Pathogens(CERP) Hospices Civils de Lyon(HCL)and Centre International de Recherche en Infectiologie(CIRI)Équipe SantéPubliqueÉpidémiologie etÉcologieÉvolutive des Maladies Infectieuses(PHE3ID)Inserm U1111CNRS UMR5308ENS de LyonUniversitéClaude Bernard Lyon 1LyonFrance South African Medical Research Council Vaccines&Infectious Diseases Analytics Research UnitFaculty of Health SciencesUniversity of the WitwatersrandJohannesburgSouth Africa New Products and Innovation(NPI) Sanofi Vaccines(Global)TorontoOntarioCanada Department of Mathematics and Statistics University of GuelphGuelphOntarioCanada Fraunhofer Institute for Algorithms and Scientific Computing(SCAI) Department of BioinformaticsSchloss BirlinghovenSankt AugustinGermany University of Bonn Bonn-Aachen International Center for IT(b-it)BonnGermany Institute of Global Health Faculty of MedicineUniversity of GenevaGenevaSwitzerland and Swiss School of Public HealthZürichSwitzerland Department of Mathematics University of ManitobaWinnipegManitobaCanada MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis School of Public HealthImperial College LondonLondonUK Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Department of Infectious Disease EpidemiologyLondon School of Hygiene&Tropical MedicineLondonUK National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases(NCIRD) US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention(CDC)AtlantaGAUSA Departement of Computational Biology Departement of Global HealthInstitut PasteurParisFrance Institut de Physique des Deux Infinis de Lyon(IP2I) UMR5822IN2P3/CNRSUniversitéClaude Bernard Lyon 1VilleurbanneFrance Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit Institut PasteurUniversitéParis CitéUMR2000 CNRSParisFrance Decision and Bayesian Computation Institut PasteurUniversitéParis CitéCNRS UMR 3571France Fraunhofer-Institute for Translational Medicine and Pharmacology HamburgGermany Institute of Global Health Faculty of MedicineUniversity of

In July 2023,the Center of Excellence in Respiratory Pathogens organized a two-day workshop on infectious diseases modelling and the lessons learnt from the Covid-19 *** report summarizes the rich discussions that occurred during the *** workshop participants discussed multisource data integration and highlighted the benefits of combining traditional surveillance with more novel data sources like mobility data,social media,and wastewater *** advancements were noted in the development of predictive models,with examples from various countries showcasing the use of machine learning and artificial intelligence in detecting and monitoring disease *** role of open collaboration between various stakeholders in modelling was stressed,advocating for the continuation of such partnerships beyond the pandemic.A major gap identified was the absence of a common international framework for data sharing,which is crucial for global pandemic ***,the workshop underscored the need for robust,adaptable modelling frameworks and the integration of different data sources and collaboration across sectors,as key elements in enhancing future pandemic response and preparedness.

关键词： Modelling Covid-19 Infectious diseases Pandemic preparedness Workshop

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Journal of Allergy and Clinical Immunology: Global 2024年第4期3卷 100326-100326页

作者： Herrmann, Susan Kulkarni, Rishabh Trevenen, Michelle Karuppasamy, Hana Willis, Catherine Berry, Renee Von Ungern-Sternberg, Britta Warrier, Niklesh Li, Ian Murray, Kevin Lucas, Michaela School of Medicine The University of Western Australia Perth Australia Department of Immunology Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital Perth Australia Centre for Applied Statistics School of Physics Mathematics and Computing The University of Western Australia Perth Australia Department of Immunology Fiona Stanley Hospital Perth Australia Department of Anaesthesia and Pain Medicine Perth Children's Hospital Perth Australia Division of Emergency Medicine Anaesthesia and Pain Medicine Medical School The University of Western Australia Perth Australia Institute for Paediatric Perioperative Excellence The University of Western Australia Perth Australia Perioperative Medicine Team Perioperative Care Program Telethon Kids Institute Perth Australia National Centre for Student Equity in Higher Education Curtin University Perth Australia School of Population Health The University of Western Australia Perth Australia

Background: The clinical consequences of an antibiotic allergy label are detrimental, impacting health care delivery and patient outcomes. We assessed hospital inpatients with intent to offer free antibiotic allergy labeling (AAL) assessment within a randomized controlled trial. Objective: We sought to determine the feasibility of establishing an adult antibiotic allergy delabeling service in a Western Australian tertiary public hospital. Methods: Inpatients (N = 1503) with AAL were identified through medical records and screened for eligibility to participate in a randomized controlled trial. Those recruited were randomized to undergo assessment by skin testing ± oral challenge, or direct oral challenge. A control group received usual care. Results: Of the 1503 inpatients with an AAL, 429 (28.5%) were eligible for AAL assessment. The primary excluding factor (1074 [71.5%]) was contraindicated medication use (387 [36.0%]), followed by cognitive impairment (298 [27.9%]). Thirty-nine patients were randomized, of which 20 received allergy testing and 19 usual care;all patients were followed up for 5 years. Older patients were less likely to be eligible (10-year increase: odds ratio, 0.82;95% CI, 0.77-0.88;P < .0001), whereas surgical patients were more likely to be eligible than medical patients (odds ratio, 2.49;95% CI, 1.97-3.16;P < .0001). Conclusions: Antibiotic allergy delabeling in the acute care context is not straightforward. Competing clinical concerns and patient acceptance are some barriers to an inpatient service. Nor is it apparent that inpatient versus outpatient testing is cost saving although select patient groups may benefit. Testing younger people and those with predicted high antibiotic usage will derive maximal individual and health system benefits. © 2024 The Authors

关键词： adult inpatients Antibiotic allergy delabeling drug allergy

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Changing life expectancy in European countries 1990–2021: a subanalysis of causes and risk factors from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

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The Lancet Public Health 2025年第3期10卷 e172-e188页

作者： Steel, Nicholas Bauer-Staeb, Clarissa Maria Mercedes Ford, John A. Abbafati, Cristiana Abdalla, Mohammed Altigani Abdelkader, Atef Abdi, Parsa Zuñiga, Roberto Ariel Abeldaño Abiodun, Olugbenga Olusola Abolhassani, Hassan Abu-Gharbieh, Eman Abukhadijah, Hana J. Abu-Zaid, Ahmed Addo, Isaac Yeboah Addolorato, Giovanni Adekanmbi, Victor Adetunji, Juliana Bunmi Adeyeoluwa, Temitayo Esther Agardh, Emilie E. Agyemang-Duah, Williams Ahmad, Danish Ahmed, Ayman Ahmed, Syed Anees Akinosoglou, Karolina Akkaif, Mohammed Ahmed Al Awaidy, Salah Al Hasan, Syed Mahfuz Al Zaabi, Omar Ali Mohammed Aldridge, Robert W. Algammal, Abdelazeem M. Al-Gheethi, Adel Ali Saeed Ali, Abid Ali, Mohammed Usman Ali, Syed Shujait Ali, Waad Alicandro, Gianfranco Alif, Sheikh Mohammad Al-Jumaily, Adel Allebeck, Peter Alrawashdeh, Ahmad Al-Rifai, Rami H. Alsabri, Mohammed A. Alshahrani, Najim Z. Aluh, Deborah Oyine Al-Wardat, Mohammad Al-Zyoud, Walid A. Amiri, Sohrab Anderlini, Deanna Andrei, Catalina Liliana Anil, Abhishek Anvari, Saeid Anyasodor, Anayochukwu Edward Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw Aquilano, Michele Arabloo, Jalal Arafat, Mosab Areda, Demelash Aremu, Abdulfatai Armani, Keivan Armocida, Benedetta Ärnlöv, Johan Asaduzzaman, Muhammad Astell-Burt, Thomas Aujayeb, Avinash Ausloos, Marcel Azadnajafabad, Sina Aziz, Shahkaar Azzam, Ahmed Y. Babu, Giridhara Rathnaiah Badache, Andreea Corina Badiye, Ashish D. Bahramian, Saeed Baig, Atif Amin Baker, Jennifer L. Bansal, Hansi Bärnighausen, Till Winfried Barone, Mark Thomaz Ugliara Barrow, Amadou Barteit, Sandra Bashir, Shahid Bashiru, Hameed Akande Basso, João Diogo Bastan, Mohammad-Mahdi Basu, Sanjay Batra, Kavita Bauckneht, Matteo Baune, Bernhard T. Beghi, Massimiliano Beiranvand, Maryam Béjot, Yannick Bell, Michelle L. Bello, Olorunjuwon Omolaja Belo, Luis Beloukas, Apostolos Beneke, Alice A. Bettencourt, Paulo J.G. Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth Bhala, Neeraj Bhaskar, Sonu Bisulli, Francesca Bjørge, Tone Bodunrin, Aadam Olalekan Carvajal, Alejandro Botero Bouaoud, Souad Brayne, Carol Brenner, H Department of Primary Care and Public Health University of East Anglia Norwich United Kingdom Office for Health Improvement and Disparities Department of Health and Social Care London United Kingdom Department of Legal and Economic Studies La Sapienza University Rome Italy Rome Italy Hull York Medical School University of Hull Hull United Kingdom Department of Mathematics and Sciences Ajman University Ajman United Arab Emirates Department of Medicine Memorial University St. John's NL Canada Postgraduate Department University of Sierra Sur Miahuatlan de Porfirio Diaz Mexico Yhteiskuntadatatieteen keskus (Centre for Social Data Science) Helsinki Finland Department of Internal Medicine Federal Medical Centre Abuja Nigeria Research Center for Immunodeficiencies Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Department of Medical Biochemistry and Biophysics Karolinska Institutet (Karolinska Institute) Stockholm Sweden Department of Clinical Sciences University of Sharjah Sharjah United Arab Emirates Department of Biopharmaceutics and Clinical Pharmacy University of Jordan Amman Jordan Medical Research Center Hamad Medical Corporation Doha Qatar Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Medicine Alfaisal University Riyadh Saudi Arabia College of Graduate Health Sciences University of Tennessee Memphis TN United States School of Medicine Sydney NSW Australia Centre for Social Research in Health University of New South Wales Sydney NSW Australia Internal Medicine and Alcohol Related Disease Unit Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS Rome Italy Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences Università Cattolica di Roma (Catholic University of Rome) Rome Italy Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology University of Texas Medical Branch Galveston TX United States Department of Biochemistry Osun State University Osogbo Nigeria Department of Pharmacology and Therapeutics University of Medical Sciences Ondo Ondo Nigeria Department of Veteri

Background: Decades of steady improvements in life expectancy in Europe slowed down from around 2011, well before the COVID-19 pandemic, for reasons which remain disputed. We aimed to assess how changes in risk factors and cause-specific death rates in different European countries related to changes in life expectancy in those countries before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: We used data and methods from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021 to compare changes in life expectancy at birth, causes of death, and population exposure to risk factors in 16 European Economic Area countries (Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, and Sweden) and the four UK nations (England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales) for three time periods: 1990–2011, 2011–19, and 2019–21. Changes in life expectancy and causes of death were estimated with an established life expectancy cause-specific decomposition method, and compared with summary exposure values of risk factors for the major causes of death influencing life expectancy. Findings: All countries showed mean annual improvements in life expectancy in both 1990–2011 (overall mean 0·23 years [95% uncertainty interval [UI] 0·23 to 0·24]) and 2011–19 (overall mean 0·15 years [0·13 to 0·16]). The rate of improvement was lower in 2011–19 than in 1990–2011 in all countries except for Norway, where the mean annual increase in life expectancy rose from 0·21 years (95% UI 0·20 to 0·22) in 1990–2011 to 0·23 years (0·21 to 0·26) in 2011–19 (difference of 0·03 years). In other countries, the difference in mean annual improvement between these periods ranged from –0·01 years in Iceland (0·19 years [95% UI 0·16 to 0·21] vs 0·18 years [0·09 to 0·26]), to –0·18 years in England (0·25 years [0·24 to 0·25] vs 0·07 years [0·06 to 0·08]). In 2019–21, there was an overall decrease in mean annual life expectancy a

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Forecasting: theory and practice

arXiv

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arXiv 2020年

作者： Petropoulos, Fotios Apiletti, Daniele Assimakopoulos, Vassilios Babai, Mohamed Zied Barrow, Devon K. Taieb, Souhaib Ben Bergmeir, Christoph Bessa, Ricardo J. Bijak, Jakub Boylan, John E. Browell, Jethro Carnevale, Claudio Castle, Jennifer L. Cirillo, Pasquale Clements, Michael P. Cordeiro, Clara Oliveira, Fernando Luiz Cyrino de Baets, Shari Dokumentov, Alexander Ellison, Joanne Fiszeder, Piotr Franses, Philip Hans Frazier, David T. Gilliland, Michael Gönül, M. Sinan Goodwin, Paul Grossi, Luigi Grushka-Cockayne, Yael Guidolin, Mariangela Guidolin, Massimo Gunter, Ulrich Guo, Xiaojia Guseo, Renato Harvey, Nigel Hendry, David F. Hollyman, Ross Januschowski, Tim Jeon, Jooyoung Jose, Victor Richmond R. Kang, Yanfei Koehler, Anne B. Kolassa, Stephan Kourentzes, Nikolaos Leva, Sonia Li, Feng Litsiou, Konstantia Makridakis, Spyros Martin, Gael M. Martinez, Andrew B. Meeran, Sheik Modis, Theodore Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos Önkal, Dilek Paccagnini, Alessia Panagiotelis, Anastasios Panapakidis, Ioannis Pavía, Jose M. Pedio, Manuela Pedregal, Diego J. Pinson, Pierre Ramos, Patrícia Rapach, David E. Reade, J. James Rostami-Tabar, Bahman Rubaszek, Michal Sermpinis, Georgios Shang, Han Lin Spiliotis, Evangelos Syntetos, Aris A. Talagala, Priyanga Dilini Talagala, Thiyanga S. Tashman, Len Thomakos, Dimitrios Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Todini, Ezio Arenas, Juan Ramón Trapero Wang, Xiaoqian Winkler, Robert L. Yusupova, Alisa Ziel, Florian School of Management University of Bath United Kingdom Politecnico di Torino Turin Italy Forecasting and Strategy Unit School of Electrical and Computer Engineering National Technical University of Athens Greece Kedge Business School France Department of Management Birmingham Business School University of Birmingham United Kingdom Belgium Faculty of Information Technology Monash University Melbourne Australia INESC TEC – Institute for Systems and Computer Engineering Technology and Science Porto Portugal Department of Social Statistics and Demography University of Southampton United Kingdom Centre for Marketing Analytics and Forecasting Lancaster University Management School Lancaster University United Kingdom School of Mathematics and Statistics University of Glasgow United Kingdom Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering University of Brescia Italy Magdalen College University of Oxford United Kingdom ZHAW School of Management and Law Zurich University of Applied Sciences Switzerland ICMA Centre Henley Business School University of Reading United Kingdom Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia Universidade do Algarve Portugal CEAUL Faculdade de Ciências Universidade de Lisboa Portugal Brazil Department of Business Informatics and Operations Management Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Universiteit Gent Belgium Let’s Forecast Australia Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management Nicolaus Copernicus University in Torun Poland Econometric Institute Erasmus School of Economics Rotterdam Netherlands Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics Monash University Melbourne Australia SAS United States Newcastle Business School Northumbria University Newcastle upon Tyne United Kingdom Department of Statistical Sciences University of Padua Italy Darden School of Business University of Virginia United States Finance Department Bocconi University Baffi-CAREFIN Centre Milan Italy Department of Tourism and Service Management MODUL Un

Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and organisations seeking to minimise risks and maximise utilities. The large number of forecasting applications calls for a diverse set of forecasting methods to tackle real-life challenges. This article provides a non-systematic review of the theory and the practice of forecasting. We provide an overview of a wide range of theoretical, state-of-the-art models, methods, principles, and approaches to prepare, produce, organise, and evaluate forecasts. We then demonstrate how such theoretical concepts are applied in a variety of real-life contexts. We do not claim that this review is an exhaustive list of methods and applications. However, we wish that our encyclopedic presentation will offer a point of reference for the rich work that has been undertaken over the last decades, with some key insights for the future of forecasting theory and practice. Given its encyclopedic nature, the intended mode of reading is non-linear. We offer cross-references to allow the readers to navigate through the various topics. We complement the theoretical concepts and applications covered by large lists of free or open-source software implementations and publicly-available databases. © 2020, CC BY.

关键词： Forecasting

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FUTURE-AI: International consensus guideline for trustworthy and deployable artificial intelligence in healthcare

arXiv

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arXiv 2023年

作者： Lekadir, Karim Feragen, Aasa Fofanah, Abdul Joseph Frangi, Alejandro F. Buyx, Alena Emelie, Anais Lara, Andrea Porras, Antonio R. Chan, An-Wen Navarro, Arcadi Glocker, Ben Botwe, Benard O. Khanal, Bishesh Beger, Brigit Wu, Carol C. Cintas, Celia Langlotz, Curtis P. Rueckert, Daniel Mzurikwao, Deogratias Fotiadis, Dimitrios I. Zhussupov, Doszhan Ferrante, Enzo Meijering, Erik Weicken, Eva González, Fabio A. Asselbergs, Folkert W. Prior, Fred Krestin, Gabriel P. Collins, Gary S. Tegenaw, Geletaw S. Kaissis, Georgios Misuraca, Gianluca Tsakou, Gianna Dwivedi, Girish Kondylakis, Haridimos Jayakody, Harsha Woodruf, Henry C. Mayer, Horst Joachim Aerts, Hugo JWL Walsh, Ian Chouvarda, Ioanna Buvat, Irène Tributsch, Isabell Rekik, Islem Duncan, James Kalpathy-Cramer, Jayashree Zahir, Jihad Park, Jinah Mongan, John Gichoya, Judy W. Schnabel, Julia A. Kushibar, Kaisar Riklund, Katrine Mori, Kensaku Marias, Kostas Amugongo, Lameck M. Fromont, Lauren A. Maier-Hein, Lena Alberich, Leonor Cerdá Rittner, Leticia Phiri, Lighton Marrakchi-Kacem, Linda Donoso-Bach, Lluís Martí-Bonmatí, Luis Cardoso, M. Jorge Bobowicz, Maciej Shabani, Mahsa Tsiknakis, Manolis Zuluaga, Maria A. Bielikova, Maria Fritzsche, Marie-Christine Camacho, Marina Linguraru, Marius George Wenzel, Markus De Bruijne, Marleen Tolsgaard, Martin G. Ghassemi, Marzyeh Ashrafuzzaman, Md Goisauf, Melanie Yaqub, Mohammad Abadía, Mónica Cano Mahmoud, Mukhtar M.E. Elattar, Mustafa Rieke, Nicola Papanikolaou, Nikolaos Lazrak, Noussair Díaz, Oliver Salvado, Olivier Pujol, Oriol Sall, Ousmane Guevara, Pamela Gordebeke, Peter Lambin, Philippe Brown, Pieta Abolmaesumi, Purang Dou, Qi Lu, Qinghua Osuala, Richard Nakasi, Rose Zhou, S. Kevin Napel, Sandy Colantonio, Sara Albarqouni, Shadi Joshi, Smriti Carter, Stacy Klein, Stefan Petersen, Steffen E. Aussó, Susanna Awate, Suyash Raviv, Tammy Riklin Cook, Tessa Mutsvangwa, Tinashe E.M. Rogers, Wendy A. Niessen, Wiro J. Puig-Bosch, Xènia Zeng, Yi Mohammed, Yunusa G. Aquino, Yves Saint James Salahuddin, Zohaib Starmans, Martijn P.A. Department de Matemàtiques i Informàtica Universitat de Barcelona Barcelona Spain Barcelona Spain DTU Compute Technical University of Denmark Kgs Lyngby Denmark Department of Mathematics and Computer Science Faculty of Science and Technology Milton Margai Technical University Freetown Sierra Leone Center for Computational Imaging & Simulation Technologies in Biomedicine Schools of Computing and Medicine University of Leeds Leeds United Kingdom Cardiovascular Science and Electronic Engineering Departments KU Leuven Leuven Belgium Institute of History and Ethics in Medicine Technical University of Munich Munich Germany Faculty of Engineering of Systems Informatics and Sciences of Computing Galileo University Guatemala City Guatemala Department of Biostatistics and Informatics Colorado School of Public Health University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus AuroraCO United States Department of Medicine Women’s College Research Institute University of Toronto Toronto Canada Universitat Pompeu Fabra BarcelonaBeta Brain Research Center Barcelona Spain Department of Computing Imperial College London London United Kingdom School of Biomedical & Allied Health Sciences University of Ghana Accra Ghana Department of Midwifery & Radiography School of Health & Psychological Sciences City University of London United Kingdom Kathmandu Nepal European Heart Network Brussels Belgium Department of Thoracic Imaging University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center Houston United States IBM Research Africa Nairobi Kenya Departments of Radiology Medicine and Biomedical Data Science Stanford University School of Medicine Stanford United States Institute for AI and Informatics in Medicine Klinikum rechts der Isar Technical University Munich Munich Germany Department of Computing Imperial College London London United Kingdom Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences Dar es Salaam Tanzania United Republic of Ioannina Greece Almaty AI Lab Almaty Kazakhstan

Background: Despite major advances in artificial intelligence (AI) research for healthcare, the deployment and adoption of AI technologies remain limited in clinical practice. In recent years, concerns have been raised about the clinical, technical, ethical and legal risks associated with healthcare AI. To increase adoption in the real world, it is essential that AI technologies are trusted and accepted by patients, clinicians, health organisations and authorities. This paper describes the FUTURE-AI framework as the first international consensus guideline for trustworthy AI in healthcare. Methods: The FUTURE-AI consortium was founded in 2021 and now comprises 117 interdisciplinary experts from 50 countries representing all continents, including AI scientists, clinical researchers, biomedical ethicists, and social scientists. Over a two-year period, the consortium established guiding principles and best practices for trustworthy and deployable AI through an iterative process comprising an in-depth literature review, a modified Delphi survey, and online consensus meetings. Findings: The FUTURE-AI framework was established based on six guiding principles for trustworthy AI in healthcare, i.e. Fairness, Universality, Traceability, Usability, Robustness and Explainability. Through consensus, a set of 30 best practices were defined, addressing technical, clinical, socio-ethical and legal dimensions of trustworthy AI. The recommendations cover the entire lifecycle of healthcare AI, from design, development and validation to regulation, deployment, and monitoring. Interpretation: FUTURE-AI is a structured, risk-informed framework which provides guidance for constructing healthcare AI tools that will be trusted, deployed and adopted in real-world clinical practice. Researchers are encouraged to take the recommendations into account in proof-of-concept stages to facilitate future translation towards clinical practice of healthcare AI. Copyright © 2023, The Authors. All rights

关键词： Clinical research

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25th Annual Computational Neuroscience Meeting CNS-2016, Seogwipo City, South Korea, July 2-7, 2016 Abstracts

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BMC NEUROSCIENCE 2016年第1期17卷 1-112页

作者： [Anonymous] Computational Neurobiology Laboratory The Salk Institute for Biological Studies San Diego USA UNIC CNRS Gif sur Yvette France The European Institute for Theoretical Neuroscience (EITN) Paris France ATR Computational Neuroscience Laboratories Kyoto Japan Krembil Research Institute University Health Network Toronto Canada Department of Physiology University of Toronto Toronto Canada Department of Medicine (Neurology) University of Toronto Toronto Canada Department of Physics University of New Hampshire Durham USA Department of Neurophysiology Nencki Institute of Experimental Biology Warsaw Poland Department of Theory Wigner Research Centre for Physics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences Budapest Hungary Department of Mathematical Sciences KAIST Daejoen Republic of Korea Department of Mathematics University of Houston Houston USA Department of Biochemistry & Cell Biology and Institute of Biosciences and Bioengineering Rice University Houston USA Department of Biology and Biochemistry University of Houston Houston USA Grupo de Neurocomputación Biológica Dpto. de Ingeniería Informática Escuela Politécnica Superior Universidad Autónoma de Madrid Madrid Spain Department of Biological Sciences University of Southern California Los Angeles USA Center for Neuroscience Korea Institute of Science and Technology Seoul South Korea Department of Neurology Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx USA Center for Neuroscience KIST Seoul South Korea Department of Neuroscience University of Science and Technology Daejon South Korea Systems Neuroscience Group QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute Herston Australia Department of Psychology Yonsei University Seoul South Korea Department of Psychiatry Kyung Hee University Hospital at Gangdong Seoul South Korea Department of Psychiatry Veterans Administration Boston Healthcare System and Harvard Medical School Brockton USA Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering The University of Melbourne Parkvil

A1 Functional advantages of cell-type heterogeneity in neural circuits Tatyana O. Sharpee A2 Mesoscopic modeling of propagating waves in visual cortex Alain Destexhe A3 Dynamics and biomarkers of mental disorders Mitsuo Kawato F1 Precise recruitment of spiking output at theta frequencies requires dendritic h-channels in multi-compartment models of oriens-lacunosum/moleculare hippocampal interneurons Vladislav Sekulić, Frances K. Skinner F2 Kernel methods in reconstruction of current sources from extracellular potentials for single cells and the whole brains Daniel K. Wójcik, Chaitanya Chintaluri, Dorottya Cserpán, Zoltán Somogyvári F3 The synchronized periods depend on intracellular transcriptional repression mechanisms in circadian clocks. Jae Kyoung Kim, Zachary P. Kilpatrick, Matthew R. Bennett, Kresimir Josić O1 Assessing irregularity and coordination of spiking-bursting rhythms in central pattern generators Irene Elices, David Arroyo, Rafael Levi, Francisco B. Rodriguez, Pablo Varona O2 Regulation of top-down processing by cortically-projecting parvalbumin positive neurons in basal forebrain Eunjin Hwang, Bowon Kim, Hio-Been Han, Tae Kim, James T. McKenna, Ritchie E. Brown, Robert W. McCarley, Jee Hyun Choi O3 Modeling auditory stream segregation, build-up and bistability James Rankin, Pamela Osborn Popp, John Rinzel O4 Strong competition between tonotopic neural ensembles explains pitch-related dynamics of auditory cortex evoked fields Alejandro Tabas, André Rupp, Emili Balaguer-Ballester O5 A simple model of retinal response to multi-electrode stimulation Matias I. Maturana, David B. Grayden, Shaun L. Cloherty, Tatiana Kameneva, Michael R. Ibbotson, Hamish Meffin O6 Noise correlations in V4 area correlate with behavioral performance in visual discrimination task Veronika Koren, Timm Lochmann, Valentin Dragoi, Klaus Obermayer O7 Input-location dependent gain modulation in cerebellar nucleus neurons Maria Psarrou, Maria Schilstra, Neil Davey, Benjamin Torben-Ni

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26th Annual Computational Neuroscience Meeting (CNS*2017): Part 3 Antwerp, Belgium. 15-20 July 2017 Abstracts

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BMC NEUROSCIENCE 2017年第SUPPL 1期18卷 95-176页

作者： [Anonymous] Department of Neuroscience Yale University New Haven CT 06520 USA Department Physiology & Pharmacology SUNY Downstate Brooklyn NY 11203 USA NYU School of Engineering 6 MetroTech Center Brooklyn NY 11201 USA Departament de Matemàtica Aplicada Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya Barcelona 08028 Spain Institut de Neurobiologie de la Méditerrannée (INMED) INSERM UMR901 Aix-Marseille Univ Marseille France Center of Neural Science New York University New York NY USA Aix-Marseille Univ INSERM INS Inst Neurosci Syst Marseille France Laboratoire de Physique Théorique et Modélisation CNRS UMR 8089 Université de Cergy-Pontoise 95300 Cergy-Pontoise Cedex France Department of Mathematics and Computer Science ENSAT Abdelmalek Essaadi’s University Tangier Morocco Laboratory of Natural Computation Department of Information and Electrical Engineering and Applied Mathematics University of Salerno 84084 Fisciano SA Italy Department of Medicine University of Salerno 84083 Lancusi SA Italy Dipartimento di Fisica Università degli Studi Aldo Moro Bari and INFN Sezione Di Bari Italy Data Analysis Department Ghent University Ghent Belgium Coma Science Group University of Liège Liège Belgium Cruces Hospital and Ikerbasque Research Center Bilbao Spain BIOtech Department of Industrial Engineering University of Trento and IRCS-PAT FBK 38010 Trento Italy Department of Data Analysis Ghent University Ghent 9000 Belgium The Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging University College London London WC1N 3BG UK Department of Electronic Engineering NED University of Engineering and Technology Karachi Pakistan Blue Brain Project École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne Lausanne Switzerland Departement of Mathematics Swansea University Swansea Wales UK Laboratory for Topology and Neuroscience at the Brain Mind Institute École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne Lausanne Switzerland Institute of Mathematics University of Aberdeen Aberdeen Scotland UK Department of Integrativ

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