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Improved LSTM hyperparameters alongside sentiment walk-forward validation for time series prediction

Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity 2025年第1期11卷

作者： Wahyuddin, Eko Putra Caraka, Rezzy Eko Kurniawan, Robert Caesarendra, Wahyu Gio, Prana Ugiana Pardamean, Bens Department of Statistical Computing Politeknik Statistika STIS Jakarta 13330 Indonesia Statistics Indonesia (BPS) Jl. Dr Sutomo 6-8 Jakarta Indonesia School of Economics and Business Telkom University Bandung 40257 Indonesia Research Center for Data and Information Sciences Research Organization for Electronics and Informatics National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN) Bandung 40135 Indonesia Faculty of Integrated Technologies Universiti Brunei Darussalam Gadong BE1410 Brunei Darussalam Department of Mathematics Universitas Sumatera Utara Medan 20155 Indonesia Bioinformatics and Data Science Research Centre Bina Nusantara University DKI Jakarta 11480 Indonesia Computer Science Department BINUS Graduate Program Master of Computer Science Program Bina Nusantara University DKI Jakarta 11480 Indonesia

This study aims to address the common issue of biased estimation errors in time series modeling by analyzing the error in locating ideal hyperparameters and defining appropriate validation methods. Specifically, it focuses on predicting the stock price of Bank Rakyat Indonesia using a combination of historical stock prices, technical indicators, exchange rates, and news sentiment data, while determining the optimal variables for deep learning models. Employing a deep learning-based Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) model, the study optimizes hyperparameters alongside walk-forward validation for time series prediction. It explores different combinations of variables and adapts the sliding window approach to the context of the data. The results highlight the importance of optimizing hyperparameters and utilizing walk-forward validation for accurate time series prediction. The model incorporating historical stock prices and sentiment scores outperforms others, achieving an RMSE of 96.61 and MAE of 86.97. Incorporating sentiment scores reduces RMSE by 39.55 % compared to models using only historical stock prices, while adding technical indicators does not yield improvement. This study contributes to the field by addressing the issue of biased estimation errors in time series modeling, offering insights into the optimization of hyperparameters and validation methods for accurate predictions. It also underscores the significance of incorporating sentiment analysis alongside historical stock prices for improved forecasting accuracy. © 2024 The Authors

关键词： LSTM Sentiment analysis Stock price prediction Time series modeling Validation methods

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Translation dysregulation in cancer as a source for targetable antigens

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Cancer Cell 2025年第5期43卷 823-840.e18,20页

作者： Weller, Chen Bartok, Osnat McGinnis, Christopher S. Palashati, Heyilimu Chang, Tian-Gen Malko, Dmitry Shmueli, Merav D. Nagao, Asuteka Hayoun, Deborah Murayama, Ayaka Sakaguchi, Yuriko Poulis, Panagiotis Khatib, Aseel Erlanger Avigdor, Bracha Gordon, Sagi Cohen Shvefel, Sapir Zemanek, Marie J. Nielsen, Morten M. Boura-Halfon, Sigalit Sagie, Shira Gumpert, Nofar Yang, Weiwen Alexeev, Dmitry Kyriakidou, Pelgia Yao, Winnie Zerbib, Mirie Greenberg, Polina Benedek, Gil Litchfield, Kevin Petrovich-Kopitman, Ekaterina Nagler, Adi Oren, Roni Ben-Dor, Shifra Levin, Yishai Pilpel, Yitzhak Rodnina, Marina Cox, Jürgen Merbl, Yifat Satpathy, Ansuman T. Carmi, Yaron Erhard, Florian Suzuki, Tsutomu Buskirk, Allen R. Olweus, Johanna Ruppin, Eytan Schlosser, Andreas Samuels, Yardena Department of Molecular Cell Biology Weizmann Institute of Science Rehovot 7610001 Israel Department of Pathology Stanford University Stanford 94305 CA United States Parker Institute for Cancer Immunotherapy San Francisco 94129 CA United States Department of Cancer Immunology Institute for Cancer Research Oslo University Hospital Oslo 0379 Norway Precision Immunotherapy Alliance University of Oslo Oslo Norway Cancer Data Science Laboratory Center for Cancer Research National Cancer Institute National Institutes of Health Bethesda 20892 MD United States Department of Systems Immunology Weizmann Institute of Science Rehovot 7610001 Israel Department of Chemistry and Biotechnology of Engineering The University of Tokyo Tokyo 113-8656 Japan Department of Physical Biochemistry Max Planck Institute for Multidisciplinary Sciences Göttingen 37077 Germany Department of Pathology Sackler School of Medicine Tel Aviv University Tel Aviv 69978 Israel Department of Immunology and Regenerative Biology Weizmann Institute of Science Rehovot 7610001 Israel Computational Systems Biochemistry Research Group Max-Planck Institute of Biochemistry Martinsried 82152 Germany Department of Veterinary Resources Weizmann Institute of Science Rehovot 7610001 Israel Tissue Typing and Immunogenetics Unit Hadassah Hebrew University Hospital Jerusalem 9112102 Israel CRUK Lung Cancer Centre of Excellence University College London Cancer Institute London WC1E 6DD United Kingdom Tumour Immunogenomics and Immunosurveillance Laboratory University College London Cancer Institute London WC1E 6DD United Kingdom Department of Life Science Core Facilities Weizmann Institute of Science Rehovot 7610001 Israel Bioinformatics Unit Department of Life Sciences Core Facilities Weizmann Institute of Science Rehovot 7610001 Israel de Botton Institute for Protein Profiling the Nancy and Stephen Grand Israel National Center for Personalized Medicine Weizmann Institute of Science Rehovot

Aberrant peptides presented by major histocompatibility complex (MHC) molecules are targets for tumor eradication, as these peptides can be recognized as foreign by T cells. Protein synthesis in malignant cells is dysregulated, which may result in the generation and presentation of aberrant peptides that can be exploited for T cell-based therapies. To investigate the role of translational dysregulation in immunological tumor control, we disrupt translation fidelity by deleting tRNA wybutosine (yW)-synthesizing protein 2 (TYW2) in tumor cells and characterize the downstream impact on translation fidelity and immunogenicity using immunopeptidomics, genomics, and functional assays. These analyses reveal that TYW2 knockout (KO) cells generate immunogenic out-of-frame peptides. Furthermore, Tyw2 loss increases tumor immunogenicity and leads to anti-programmed cell death 1 (PD-1) checkpoint blockade sensitivity in vivo. Importantly, reduced TYW2 expression is associated with increased response to checkpoint blockade in patients. Together, we demonstrate that defects in translation fidelity drive tumor immunogenicity and may be leveraged for cancer immunotherapy. © 2025 The Author(s)

关键词： cancer immunopeptidome immune checkpoint blockade neoantigens non-canonical peptides translation fidelity

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Artificial intelligence for modelling infectious disease epidemics

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Nature 2025年第8051期638卷 623-635页

作者： Kraemer, Moritz U. G. Tsui, Joseph L.-H. Chang, Serina Y. Lytras, Spyros Khurana, Mark P. Vanderslott, Samantha Bajaj, Sumali Scheidwasser, Neil Curran-Sebastian, Jacob Liam Semenova, Elizaveta Zhang, Mengyan Unwin, H. Juliette T. Watson, Oliver J. Mills, Cathal Dasgupta, Abhishek Ferretti, Luca Scarpino, Samuel V. Koua, Etien Morgan, Oliver Tegally, Houriiyah Paquet, Ulrich Moutsianas, Loukas Fraser, Christophe Ferguson, Neil M. Topol, Eric J. Duchêne, David A. Stadler, Tanja Kingori, Patricia Parker, Michael J. Dominici, Francesca Shadbolt, Nigel Suchard, Marc A. Ratmann, Oliver Flaxman, Seth Holmes, Edward C. Gomez-Rodriguez, Manuel Schölkopf, Bernhard Donnelly, Christl A. Pybus, Oliver G. Cauchemez, Simon Bhatt, Samir Pandemic Sciences Institute University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Department of Biology University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science University of California Berkeley Berkeley CA United States UCSF UC Berkeley Joint Program in Computational Precision Health Berkeley CA United States Division of Systems Virology Department of Microbiology and Immunology The Institute of Medical Science The University of Tokyo Tokyo Japan Section of Epidemiology Department of Public Health University of Copenhagen Copenhagen Denmark Oxford Vaccine Group University of Oxford and NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre Oxford United Kingdom Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics Imperial College London London United Kingdom Department of Computer Science University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom School of Mathematics University of Bristol Bristol United Kingdom MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis School of Public Health Imperial College London London United Kingdom Department of Statistics University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Doctoral Training Centre University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Institute for Experiential AI Northeastern University MA Boston Thailand Santa Fe Institute Santa Fe NM United States World Health Organization Regional Office for Africa Brazzaville Congo WHO Hub for Pandemic and Epidemic Intelligence Health Emergencies Programme World Health Organization Berlin Germany Centre for Epidemic Response and Innovation (CERI) School for Data Science and Computational Thinking Stellenbosch University Stellenbosch South Africa African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS) South Africa Muizenberg Cape Town South Africa Genomics England London United Kingdom Scripps Research La Jolla CA United States Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering ETH Zürich Basel Switzerland Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics Lausanne Switzerland The Ethox Centre Nuffield

Infectious disease threats to individual and public health are numerous, varied and frequently unexpected. Artificial intelligence (AI) and related technologies, which are already supporting human decision making in economics, medicine and social science, have the potential to transform the scope and power of infectious disease epidemiology. Here we consider the application to infectious disease modelling of AI systems that combine machine learning, computational statistics, information retrieval and data science. We first outline how recent advances in AI can accelerate breakthroughs in answering key epidemiological questions and we discuss specific AI methods that can be applied to routinely collected infectious disease surveillance data. Second, we elaborate on the social context of AI for infectious disease epidemiology, including issues such as explainability, safety, accountability and ethics. Finally, we summarize some limitations of AI applications in this field and provide recommendations for how infectious disease epidemiology can harness most effectively current and future developments in AI. © Springer Nature Limited 2025.

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Molecular docking and molecular dynamics simulation studies of inhibitor candidates against Anopheles gambiae 3-hydroxykynurenine transaminase and implications on vector control

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Heliyon 2025年第1期11卷 e41633页

作者： Adedeji, Eunice O. Ogunlana, Olubanke O. Oduselu, Gbolahan O. Koenig, Rainer Adebiyi, Ezekiel Soremekun, Opeyemi S. Fatumo, Segun Covenant University Bioinformatics Research (CUBRe) Covenant University Ogun State Ota Nigeria Department of Biochemistry Covenant University Ogun State Ota Nigeria Department of Biology University of York York United Kingdom Covenant Applied Informatics and Communication Africa Centre of Excellence Covenant University Ota Nigeria Institute for Infectious Diseases and Infection Control (IIMK RG Systems Biology) Jena University Hospital Am Klinikum 1 Jena 07747 Germany African Center of Excellence in Bioinformatics & Data Intensive Science Makerere University Kampala 10218 Uganda Division of Applied Bioinformatics German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ) G200 Im Neuenheimer Feld 280 Heidelberg 69120 Germany The African Computational Genomics (TACG) Research Group MRC/UVRI and LSHTM Entebbe Uganda Precision Healthcare University Research Institute Queen Mary University of London United Kingdom Department of Non-Communicable Disease Epidemiology London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine United Kingdom

Isoxazole and oxadiazole derivatives inhibiting 3-hydroxykynurenine transaminase (3HKT) are potential larvicidal candidates. This study aims to identify more suited potential inhibitors of Anopheles gambiae 3HKT (Ag3HKT) through molecular docking and molecular dynamics simulation. A total of 958 compounds were docked against Anopheles gambiae 3HKT (PDB ID: 2CH2) using Autodock vina and Autodock4. The top three identified hits were subjected to 300 ns molecular dynamics simulation using AMBER 18 and ADMET analysis using SWISSADME predictor and ADMETSAR. Replacement of alkyl attachment on C5 of isoxazole or oxadiazole derivative with a cycloalkyl group yielded compounds with lower binding energy than their straight chain counterparts. The top three compounds were brominated compounds, 2‐[3‐(4‐bromophenyl)‐1,2‐oxazol‐5‐yl]cyclopentane‐1‐carboxylic acid, 2-[3-(4-bromophenyl)-1,2,4-oxadiazol-5-yl]cyclopentane-1-carboxylic acid, 3-[3-(4-bromo-2-methylphenyl)-1,2,4-oxadiazol-5-yl]cyclopentane-1-carboxylic acid, and they had binding energies of −8.58, −8.25, and −8.18 kcal/mol in virtual screening against 2CH2 protein target, respectively. These compounds were predicted to be less toxic than temephos, a standard larvicide and more biodegradable than previously reported inhibitors. The three compounds exhibited a greater stabilizing effect on 2CH2 protein target than 4-[3-(4-bromophenyl)-1,2,4-oxadiazol-5-yl]butanoic acid, a previously reported inhibitor candidate with good larvicidal activity on Aedes aegypti. Further thermodynamic calculations revealed that the top three compounds possessed total binding energies (ΔG_bind) of −26.64 kcal/mol, −24.26 kcal/mol and −14.11 kcal/mol, respectively, as compared to −12.02 kcal/mol for 4-[3-(4-bromophenyl)-1,2,4-oxadiazol-5-yl]butanoic acid. These compounds could be better larvicides than previously reported isoxazole or oxadiazole derivatives and safer than temephos. © 2025 The Authors

关键词： 1,2,4-Oxadiazole 3HKT Isoxazoles Larvicide Mosquito Vector control

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Chronic disease patients have fewer social contacts:A pilot survey with implications for transmission dynamics

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Infectious Disease Modelling 2024年第3期9卷 926-930页

作者： J.Vanderlocht S.Møgelmose K.Van Kerckhove P.Beutels N.Hens Interuniversity Institute of Biostatistics and Statistical Bioinformatics Data Science InstituteHasselt UniversityHasseltBelgium Centre for Health Economic Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases University of AntwerpAntwerpBelgium

Non-communicable diseases(NCD)are the most important cause of death in the *** socio-economic costs associated with NCDs makes it imperative to prevent and control them in the 21st *** severe toll that the COVID-19 pandemic has taken worldwide is an unfortunate illustration of our limited insight into the infectious risk for the global ***-incidence between NCD and infection offers an underexplored opportunity to design preventive *** a pilot survey,we observed that the NCD population displays a substantial reduction in their social contacting behavior as compared to the general *** indicates that existing mathematical models based on contact surveys in the general population are not applicable to the NCD population and that the risk of acquiring an infection following a contact is probably *** demonstration of reduced social mixing in several chronic conditions,raises the question to what extent the social mixing is influenced by the burden of *** advocate the design of disease-specific contact surveys to address how the burden of disease associates with social contact behavior and the risk of *** SARS-CoV-2 pandemic offers an unprecedented opportunity to gain insight into the importance of infection in the NCD population and to find ways to improve healthcare procedures.

关键词： survey mixing insight

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Enhancing Interoperability of Digital Twin in the Maintenance phase of Lifecycle 6

Enhancing Interoperability of Digital Twin in the Maintenanc...

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6th International Conference on Information Technology, Information Systems and Electrical Engineering, ICITISEE 2022

作者： Ariansyah, Dedy Pardamean, Bens Bina Nusantara University Bioinformatics and Data Science Research Centre Jakarta11480 Indonesia Bina Nusantara University BINUS Graduate Program Computer Science Program Computer Science Department Jakarta11480 Indonesia

ISBN: (纸本)9798350399615

In today's digitalization era, asset management has evolved following the rapid adoption of information systems and digital technologies. In the maintenance phase of the asset, Digital Twin (DT) emerges as an effective approach to improve failure recognition and structural damage prediction through DT-driven Prognostic and Health Monitoring (PHM). As a result, DT allows asset manager to proactively plan maintenance strategy to improve the availability of the assets. However, to reduce asset downtime in a cost-effective and time efficient manner, DT for maintenance phase needs to be integrated with other software systems that manage the provision of maintenance service and spare part such as computerized maintenance management system (CMMS) or Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP). Nevertheless, many of the developed DT in PHM were not equipped with semantic data model and hence, lacks interoperability with other systems (e.g., other DT or non-DT system) and limits the effective use of the DT. To qualify as an effective DT, it needs a semantical-enabled interface to connect with data and models from various domain to enable DT-driven decision-making. This paper leverages a rule-based ontology reasoning model to enhance DT interoperability with other maintenance software systems. The results depicts that the developed model paves a way for an effective use of DT-driven system in asset maintenance management. © 2022 IEEE.

关键词： CMMS Digital Twin ERP Maintenance Ontology

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AI-Based Video Analysis for Driver Fatigue Detection: A Literature Review on Underlying datasets, Labelling, and Alertness Level Classification 1

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International Conference on Innovative Technologies in Intelligent Systems and Industrial Applications, CITISIA 2022

作者： Ariansyah, Dedy Rahutomo, Reza Elwirehardja, Gregorius Natanael Asadi, Faisal Pardamean, Bens Bioinformatics and Data Science Research Centre Bina Nusantara University Jakarta11480 Indonesia Computer Science Department BINUS Graduate Program Master of Computer Science Program Bina Nusantara University Jakarta11480 Indonesia

ISBN: (数字)9783031290787

ISBN: (纸本)9783031290770

Reduced alertness because of fatigue or drowsiness accounts for a major cause of road accidents globally. To minimize the likelihood of alertness reduction-related crashes, a video-based detection emerges as a non-intrusive method and can offer high accuracy for the countermeasure development. Many Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques have been developed to aid in video analysis for fatigue detection. However, the issues in AI-based video analysis for fatigue countermeasure development are rarely discussed. This paper reviews current video-based countermeasure development in the literature and highlights some reliability issues of AI-based fatigue countermeasure development in terms of underlying dataset, labelling method, and alertness level classification. The result serves as insights and consideration to academics and industrialists in developing a high reliable AI-based video analysis for driver fatigue countermeasure. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023.

关键词： Classification (of information)

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Uncharted territory: the role of mitochondrial DNA variation in macrophage-mediated host susceptibility to tuberculosis

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Tuberculosis 2025年 153卷 102650-102650页

作者： Croock, Dayna Swart, Yolandi Sanko, Tomasz Janusz Mavumengwana, Vuyo Möller, Marlo Uren, Caitlin Petersen, Desiree C. South African Medical Research Council (SAMRC) Centre for Tuberculosis Research (CTR) Division of Molecular Biology and Human Genetics (MBHG) Department of Biomedical Sciences Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences Stellenbosch University Cape Town South Africa Centre for Epidemic Response and Innovation (CERI) School of Data Science and Computational Thinking Stellenbosch University Stellenbosch South Africa Centre for Bioinformatics and Computational Biology Stellenbosch University Cape Town South Africa Genomics for Health in Africa (GHA) Africa-Europe Cluster of Research Excellence (CoRE) South Africa National Institute for Theoretical and Computational Sciences (NITheCS) South Africa South Africa

Mitochondria form an integral, yet frequently underappreciated, part of the immune response to Mycobacterium tuberculosis (***), particularly within macrophages. Despite growing recognition for their role in infection and immunity, studies investigating how mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) variation influences host susceptibility to tuberculosis (TB) are limited. Notably, there are no studies in African-based populations, although Africans possess unparalleled human genetic diversity, including the earliest diverged mitochondrial haplogroups, and a high TB burden. This underrepresentation limits the discovery of novel ancestry-specific genetic loci associated with TB. In this review article, we describe the unique characteristics of mtDNA, highlight key mitochondrial functions relevant to macrophage responses during *** infection, and summarise published studies that investigate the role of host mtDNA variation in TB susceptibility. We further advocate for the inclusion of African populations in future studies to identify novel TB susceptibility genetic risk loci and expand the current knowledgebase on host TB susceptibility. © 2025 The Authors

关键词： Mitochondria Mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) variation Mycobacterium tuberculosis (M.tb) Tuberculosis (TB) susceptibility

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Saccharomyces cerevisiae I-3856 in irritable bowel syndrome with predominant constipation

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World Journal of Gastroenterology 2022年第22期28卷 2509-2522页

作者： Florian Mourey Amélie Decherf Jean-François Jeanne Mathieu Clément-Ziza Marie-Lise Grisoni François Machuron Sophie Legrain-Raspaud Arnaud Bourreille Pierre Desreumaux Research and Applications Department Gnosis by LesaffreLesaffre GroupMarcq-en-Baroeul 59700France Data Science and Bioinformatics Laboratory Research and Development DepartmentLesaffre InternationalLesaffre GroupMarcq-en-Baroeul 59700France Institut des Maladies de l'Appareil Digestif Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de NantesNantes 44093France Institute for Translational Research in Inflammation Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de LilleLille 59000France

BACKGROUND Probiotics are a promising solution for managing irritable bowel syndrome(IBS).Saccharomyces cerevisiae(***)I-3856 has already demonstrated beneficial effects in IBS subjects,particularly in IBS with predominant constipation(IBS-C).AIM To confirm the efficacy of *** I-3856 in the management of gastrointestinal symptoms in *** A randomized,double-blind,placebo-controlled clinical study was performed in a total of 456 *** a run-in period,subjects were randomly assigned to the group receiving *** I-3856(8×109 CFU daily)or the placebo for 8 wk,and they performed daily self-evaluations of gastrointestinal *** primary objective was to assess the effect of the probiotic on abdominal *** secondary objectives were the evaluation of other gastrointestinal symptoms,bowel movement frequency and consistency,and quality of life(QOL).RESULTS A significantly higher proportion of abdominal pain responders was reported in the Probiotic group(45.1%vs 33.9%,P=0.017).A nonsignificant difference in the area under the curve for abdominal pain over the second month of supplementation was observed in subjects receiving probiotic vs placebo[P=0.073,95%CI:-0.59(-1.23;0.05)].No statistically significant differences were reported in the evolution of bowel movement frequency and stool consistency between the *** 8 wk of supplementation,the overall QOL score was significantly higher in the Probiotic group than in the Placebo group[P=0.047,95%CI:3.86(0.52;7.20)].Furthermore,exploratory analyses showed statistically significant and clinically relevant improvements in QOL scores in abdominal pain responders vs *** The results of this clinical study confirmed the abdominal pain alleviation properties of *** I-3856 in *** pain relief was associated with improved *** identifier:NCT03150212.

关键词： Probiotic Yeast Saccharomyces cerevisiae Irritable bowel syndrome Abdominal pain Quality of life

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Toward Learning Factory for Industry 4.0: Virtual Reality (VR) for Learning Human–Robot Collaboration 1

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International Conference on Innovative Technologies in Intelligent Systems and Industrial Applications, CITISIA 2022

作者： Ariansyah, Dedy Colombo, Giorgio Pardamean, Bens Bioinformatics and Data Science Research Centre Bina Nusantara University Jakarta11480 Indonesia Department of Mechanical Engineering Politecnico di Milano Milan20156 Italy Computer Science Department BINUS Graduate Program Master of Computer Science Program Bina Nusantara University Jakarta11480 Indonesia

ISBN: (数字)9783031290787

ISBN: (纸本)9783031290770

Industry 4.0 will bring not only transformation to the manufacturing technologies but also to the profile of the workforce. Education system should be revised to prepare the future graduates embracing the knowledge of the ongoing revolution. Initiatives on the modification of curriculum and tools to deliver the concepts of Industry 4.0 must be taken. This paper examines limitations of current engineering tools and proposes a virtual reality (VR)-based learning platform to support the teaching and learning activity for Industry 4.0, focusing on the design of Human–robot Collaboration (HRC). The development process began with the identification of the general Intended Learning Outcomes (ILOs) which were extracted from the review of the HRC design issues, followed by the evaluation of the current teaching tool. From these results, the new requirements of the tools to achieve ILOs are redefined. The implementation of the system is demonstrated to show the feasibility of the proposed learning platform. This workflow can serve as initial development of another learning platform for the other innovative concepts that form the building blocks of Industry 4.0. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023.

关键词： Industry 4.0

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