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Improved LSTM hyperparameters alongside sentiment walk-forward validation for time series prediction

Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity 2025年第1期11卷

作者： Wahyuddin, Eko Putra Caraka, Rezzy Eko Kurniawan, Robert Caesarendra, Wahyu Gio, Prana Ugiana Pardamean, Bens Department of Statistical Computing Politeknik Statistika STIS Jakarta 13330 Indonesia Statistics Indonesia (BPS) Jl. Dr Sutomo 6-8 Jakarta Indonesia School of Economics and Business Telkom University Bandung 40257 Indonesia Research Center for Data and Information Sciences Research Organization for Electronics and Informatics National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN) Bandung 40135 Indonesia Faculty of Integrated Technologies Universiti Brunei Darussalam Gadong BE1410 Brunei Darussalam Department of Mathematics Universitas Sumatera Utara Medan 20155 Indonesia Bioinformatics and Data Science Research Centre Bina Nusantara University DKI Jakarta 11480 Indonesia Computer Science Department BINUS Graduate Program Master of Computer Science Program Bina Nusantara University DKI Jakarta 11480 Indonesia

This study aims to address the common issue of biased estimation errors in time series modeling by analyzing the error in locating ideal hyperparameters and defining appropriate validation methods. Specifically, it focuses on predicting the stock price of Bank Rakyat Indonesia using a combination of historical stock prices, technical indicators, exchange rates, and news sentiment data, while determining the optimal variables for deep learning models. Employing a deep learning-based Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) model, the study optimizes hyperparameters alongside walk-forward validation for time series prediction. It explores different combinations of variables and adapts the sliding window approach to the context of the data. The results highlight the importance of optimizing hyperparameters and utilizing walk-forward validation for accurate time series prediction. The model incorporating historical stock prices and sentiment scores outperforms others, achieving an RMSE of 96.61 and MAE of 86.97. Incorporating sentiment scores reduces RMSE by 39.55 % compared to models using only historical stock prices, while adding technical indicators does not yield improvement. This study contributes to the field by addressing the issue of biased estimation errors in time series modeling, offering insights into the optimization of hyperparameters and validation methods for accurate predictions. It also underscores the significance of incorporating sentiment analysis alongside historical stock prices for improved forecasting accuracy. © 2024 The Authors

关键词： LSTM Sentiment analysis Stock price prediction Time series modeling Validation methods

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Crack Catcher AI — Enabling Smart Fracture Mechanics Approach for Damage Control in Thin Silicon Wafers for 3D Semiconductor Integrated Devices/Packages

Crack Catcher AI — Enabling Smart Fracture Mechanics Approa...

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Annual International Symposium on Reliability Physics

作者： Gabriel Preston Greer Gonzolez Andrea S. Karnyoto Fitya S. Mozar Matthew M. Henry Mahmud Isnan Kuncahyo S. Nugroho Henry Candra Muhamad Doris Dianing N. N. Putri Tyas K Sari Bens Pardamean Endang Djuana Derrric Speaks Arief S. Budiman Oregon Renewable Energy Center (OREC) Oregon Institute of Technology (Oregon Tech) Klamath Falls OR USA Dept. of Manufacturing & Mechanical Eng. & Tech. (MMET) Oregon Institute of Technology Klamath Falls OR USA Bioinformatics & Data Science Research Center (BDSRC) Bina Nusantara University Jakarta Indonesia Computer Sci. Dept. BINUS Grad. Program - Master of Computer Sci. Bina Nusantara University Jakarta Indonesia Computer Science Department School of Computer Science Bina Nusantara University Jakarta Indonesia Center for Artificial Intelligence and Advanced Technology (CAPTIVATE) Universitas TRISAKTI Jakarta Indonesia Department of Electrical Engineering Faculty of Industrial Technology Universitas TRISAKTI Jakarta Indonesia Industrial Eng. Dept. BINUS Grad. Program – Master of Industrial Eng. Bina Nusantara University Jakarta Indonesia

ISBN: (数字)9798331504779

ISBN: (纸本)9798331504786

The importance of silicon cannot be undermined - in photovoltaics (PV) as well as in semiconductor industries. However, silicon is very brittle. Silicon cells/wafers crack easily during manufacturing assembly and/or during device operations. Crack Catcher AI uses novel smart fracture mechanics approach with Artificial Intelligence (AI) methodologies to predict and control crack/damage evolution in thin silicon cells/wafers. This is critical as semiconductor 3D integration technology calls for wafer-to-wafer bonding with utmost alignment accuracy and yield/reliability.

关键词： Semiconductor device measurement Three-dimensional displays Accuracy Semiconductor device reliability Silicon Artificial intelligence Bonding Stress Three-dimensional integrated circuits Stress measurement

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Enhanced Performance and data Privacy in Lung Nodule Classification via Federated Deep Learning Approach 24

Enhanced Performance and Data Privacy in Lung Nodule Classif...

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2024 7th International Conference on Healthcare Service Management, ICHSM 2024

作者： Nguyen, Duc-Khanh Li, Ai-Hsien Adam Lai, Yen-Jun Chiu, Yen-Ling Phan, Dinh-Van Chien, Ting-Ying Chan, Chien-Lung Department of Information Management Yuan Ze University Taoyuan Taiwan Department of Statistics and Informatics University of Economics The University of Danang Danang Viet Nam Division of Cardiology Far Eastern Memorial Hospital New Taipei Taiwan Graduate Program in Biomedical Informatics Yuan Ze University Taoyuan Taiwan Department of Radiology Far Eastern Memorial Hospital New Taipei Taiwan Graduate Institute of Medicine and Graduate Program in Biomedical Informatics Yuan Ze University Taoyuan Taiwan Department of Medical Research Far Eastern Memorial Hospital New Taipei Taiwan Department of Computer Science and Engineering Yuan Ze University Taoyuan Taiwan ZDT Group- YZU Joint Research and Development Center for Big Data Taoyuan Taiwan Yuan Ze University Taoyuan Taiwan

ISBN: (纸本)9798400710162

This study explores the feasibility of deep learning for classifying nodule neoplasms, analyzing their performance on two openly available datasets, LUNGx SPIE, and LIDC-IDRI. These datasets offer valuable diversity in image quantity, quality, and malignancy annotation methodologies, posing a real-world challenge for effective model development. To handle the disparities in these diverse datasets, we aim to develop a robust classification model trained using federated learning. This decentralized approach allows model training across datasets without sharing patient data, preserving privacy and overcoming data fragmentation. Our experiments demonstrate that federated learning enables the development of a robust and superior deep learning model compared to individual models trained on limited data. This combination of deep learning, and federated learning holds immense promise for nodule neoplasm classification and can significantly improve patient care and outcomes. © 2024 Copyright held by the owner/author(s).

关键词： Federated learning

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A Bayesian-based approach for extracting the pion charge radius from electron-electron scattering data

引用

Chinese Physics C 2021年第8期45卷 12-27页

作者： Alam A Hidayat Bens Pardamean Bioinformatics and Data Science Research Center Bina Nusantara UniversityJakarta 11480Indonesia Computer Science Department BINUS Graduate Program-Master of Computer ScienceBina Nusantara UniversityJakarta 11480Indonesia

In this study,we utilize a potentially versatile Bayesian parameter approach to compute the value of the pion charge radius and quantify its uncertainty from several experimental e^(+)e^(-) datasets for the pion vector form *** employ dispersion relations to model the pion vector form factor to extract the *** model selection is used to determine the order of polynomial appearing in the form factor formulation that can be supported by the data,adapting the computation of Bayes evidence and Bayesian effective complexity based on Occam's *** findings indicate that five out of six used datasets favor the nine-parameter model for radius extraction,and accordingly,we average the radii from the *** some inconsistencies with the most updated radius values,our approach may serve as a more intuitive method of addressing parameter estimations in dispersion theory.

关键词： Bayesian complexity dispersion hadron pion

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Testing the Inference Accuracy of Accelerator-Friendly Approximate Phylogeny Tracking

Testing the Inference Accuracy of Accelerator-Friendly Appro...

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Computational Intelligence in Artificial Life and Cooperative Intelligent Systems (ALIFE-CIS), IEEE Symposium on

作者： Matthew Andres Moreno Anika Ranjan Emily Dolson Luis Zaman Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology University of Michigan Ann Arbor United States Center for the Study of Complex Systems University of Michigan Ann Arbor United States Michigan Institute for Data and AI in Society University of Michigan Ann Arbor United States Undergraduate Research Opportunities Program University of Michigan Ann Arbor United States Department of Computer Science and Engineering Michigan State University East Lansing United States Program in Ecology Evolution and Behavior Michigan State University East Lansing United States

ISBN: (数字)9798331508371

ISBN: (纸本)9798331508388

computer simulations are an important tool for studying the mechanics of biological evolution. In particular, agent-based approaches provide an opportunity to collect high-quality records of ancestry relationships. Such phylogenies can provide insight into evolutionary dynamics within these simulations. Previous work generally tracks lineages directly, yielding an exact phylogenetic record of evolutionary history. However, challenges exist in scaling direct ancestrytracking approaches to highly-distributed, many-processor evolution in silico. An alternative approach is to estimate phylogenetic history via noncoding annotations on digital genomes, akin to how bioinformaticians build phylogenies by assessing genetic similarities between organisms. Recent work has extended this “hereditary stratigraphy” approach to support powerful hardware accelerator platforms, such as the Cerebras Wafer-Scale Engine. Although these second-generation “surface”-based hereditary stratigraphy algorithms have demonstrated order-ofmagnitude speedups over first-generation “column”-based algorithms, it remains unknown how they impact the accuracy of reconstructed phylogenies. To address this question, we assessed reconstruction accuracy under alternative configurations across a matrix of evolutionary conditions varying in selection pressure, spatial structure, and ecological dynamics. Encouragingly, we find that the second-generation approaches provide higher reconstruction quality across most surveyed conditions.

关键词： Surface reconstruction Accuracy Annotations Heuristic algorithms Computational modeling Biological system modeling Stratigraphy Phylogeny History Bars

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Testing the Inference Accuracy of Accelerator-Friendly Approximate Phylogeny Tracking

Testing the Inference Accuracy of Accelerator-Friendly Appro...

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2025 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence in Artificial Life and Cooperative Intelligent Systems, ALIFE-CIS 2025

作者： Moreno, Matthew Andres Ranjan, Anika Dolson, Emily Zaman, Luis University of Michigan Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Ann Arbor United States Center for the Study of Complex Systems University of Michigan Ann Arbor United States Michigan Institute for Data and Ai in Society University of Michigan Ann Arbor United States Undergraduate Research Opportunities Program University of Michigan Ann Arbor United States Michigan State University Department of Computer Science and Engineering East Lansing United States Program in Ecology Evolution and Behavior Michigan State University East Lansing United States

ISBN: (纸本)9798331508371

computer simulations are an important tool for studying the mechanics of biological evolution. In particular, agent-based approaches provide an opportunity to collect high-quality records of ancestry relationships. Such phylogenies can provide insight into evolutionary dynamics within these simulations. Previous work generally tracks lineages directly, yielding an exact phylogenetic record of evolutionary history. However, challenges exist in scaling direct ancestrytracking approaches to highly-distributed, many-processor evolution in silico. An alternative approach is to estimate phylogenetic history via noncoding annotations on digital genomes, akin to how bioinformaticians build phylogenies by assessing genetic similarities between organisms. Recent work has extended this 'hereditary stratigraphy' approach to support powerful hardware accelerator platforms, such as the Cerebras Wafer-Scale Engine. Although these second-generation 'surface'-based hereditary stratigraphy algorithms have demonstrated order-ofmagnitude speedups over first-generation 'column'-based algorithms, it remains unknown how they impact the accuracy of reconstructed phylogenies. To address this question, we assessed reconstruction accuracy under alternative configurations across a matrix of evolutionary conditions varying in selection pressure, spatial structure, and ecological dynamics. Encouragingly, we find that the second-generation approaches provide higher reconstruction quality across most surveyed conditions. © 2025 IEEE.

关键词： Biostratigraphy

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Conditional Generative Modeling for Amorphous Multi-Element Materials

arXiv

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arXiv 2025年

作者： Li, Honglin Liu, Chuhao Guo, Yongfeng Luo, Xiaoshan Chen, Yijie Liu, Guangsheng Li, Yu Wang, Ruoyu Wang, Zhenyu Wu, Jianzhuo Ma, Cheng Xie, Zhuohang Lv, Jian Ding, Yufei Zhang, Huabin Luo, Jian Zhong, Zhicheng Li, Mufan Wang, Yanchao Li, Wan-Lu Key Laboratory of Material Simulation Methods and Software Ministry of Education College of Physics Jilin University Changchun China Aiiso Yufeng Li Family Department of Chemical and Nano Engineering University of California La Jolla San DiegoCA United States Institute of Molecular Engineering Plus College of Chemistry Fuzhou University Fuzhou China College of Chemistry and Molecular Engineering Peking University Beijing China School of Physics Nankai University Tianjin China Institute of Modern Physics Fudan University Shanghai China Program in Materials Science and Engineering University of California La Jolla San DiegoCA United States School of Artificial Intelligence and Data Science University of Science and Technology of China Hefei230026 China Suzhou Institute for Advanced Research University of Science and Technology of China Suzhou215123 China International Center of Future Science Jilin University Changchun China Department of Computer Science and Engineering University of California La Jolla San DiegoCA United States Center for Renewable Energy and Storage Technologies Physical Science and Engineering Division King Abdullah University of Science and Technology Thuwal Saudi Arabia Suzhou Lab Suzhou215123 China

Amorphous multi-element materials offer unprecedented tunability in composition and properties, yet their rational design remains challenging due to the lack of predictive structure-property relationships and the vast configurational space. Traditional modeling struggles to capture the intricate short-range order that dictates their stability and functionality. We here introduce ApolloX, a pioneering predictive framework for amorphous multi-element materials, establishing a new paradigm by integrating physics-informed generative modeling with particle swarm optimization, using chemical short-range order as an explicit constraint. By systematically navigating the disordered energy landscape, ApolloX enables the targeted design of thermodynamically stable amorphous configurations. It accurately predicts atomic-scale arrangements, including composition-driven metal clustering and amorphization trends, which are well-validated by experiments, while also guiding synthesis by leveraging sluggish diffusion to control elemental distribution and disorder. The resulting structural evolution, governed by composition, directly impacts catalytic performance, leading to improved activity and stability with increasing amorphization. This predictive-experimental synergy transforms the discovery of amorphous materials, unlocking new frontiers in catalysis, energy storage, and functional disordered systems. Copyright © 2025, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Amorphization

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Automated Adversarial-Attack Removal with SafetyNet Using ADGIT 10

Automated Adversarial-Attack Removal with SafetyNet Using AD...

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10th International Conference on Smart Computing and Communication, ICSCC 2024

作者： Halim, Steven Anandi, Arvio Devin, Vyos Agung Santoso Gunawan, Alexander Eka Setiawan, Karli School of Computer Science Bina Nusantara University Data Science Program Computer Science Department Jakarta11480 Indonesia

ISBN: (纸本)9798350363104

In the realm of artificial intelligence (AI), a notable challenge has surfaced: adversarial attacks, these attacks involve altering input data to mislead AI models. Developing defensive measures against adversarial attacks is necessary for a more reliable AI system to protect its users from potential harm. In response to the risk of adversarial attacks, this study aims to mitigate the risk of such attacks, especially in image classification tasks, by proposing Adversarial Detection Guided Input Transformation (ADGIT) as an architecture designed to handle such attacks. In this study, the author will experiment with creating such architecture and measure the quality of the proposed technique. ADGIT works by utilizing SafetyNet as an adversarial detector to detect and cleanse adversarial attacks. The author concludes that the proposed technique could improve robustness against adversarial attacks increasing consistent prediction accuracy from 43% to 60% and reconstructing adversarial input images to be more similar to their unperturbed version, with reconstructed images' PSNR score on 0.007 perturbation increased from 43.1182 to 89.0999. The technique proposed could be used as a new defensive measure and improving robustness against adversarial attacks. Although ADGIT is capable of handling adversarial samples, ADGIT has a drawback in performance speed due to the extra preprocessing step. © 2024 IEEE.

关键词： Adversarial machine learning

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Cosmetics Recommendation System Based on Ingredients Using Cosine Similarity 7

Cosmetics Recommendation System Based on Ingredients Using C...

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7th International Conference on data science and Its Applications, ICoDSA 2024

作者： Alisha Firdaus, Sekar Dwi Nurmuthia, Laksmi Imtiyaz, Raina Agung Santoso Gunawan, Alexander Eka Setiawan, Karli School of Computer Science Bina Nusantara University Data Science Program Computer Science Department Jakarta11480 Indonesia

ISBN: (纸本)9798350365351

In the rapidly evolving beauty industry, consumers are often bombarded with an overwhelming array of skincare brands and products, making the quest for the perfect skincare regimen a daunting task. This saturation of the market not only confuses consumers but also poses the risk of resource wastage and potential skin damage due to incompatible ingredient combinations. To mitigate these challenges, our research presents an innovative recommendation system designed to streamline the product selection process. Utilizing the principle of cosine similarity, our methodology involves a detailed analysis of the ingredients contained in various skincare products. A quantitative foundation for evaluating ingredient lists of various skincare products is provided by cosine similarity, a mathematical metric that evaluates the similarity between two non-zero vectors by computing the cosine of the angle between them. Our algorithm generates customized product recommendations by thoroughly comprehending the intricate interactions among different constituents. This bespoke approach simplifies the decision-making process for consumers, enabling them to make well-informed choices that cater to their unique skin health needs. The effectiveness of our recommendation system is validated through comprehensive user feedback, demonstrating its potential to redefine the paradigm of personalized skincare recommendations within the beauty industry. Through providing customers with critical information and encouraging a culture of knowledgeable choice, we see a time when customized skincare products will not only increase customer satisfaction but also brand loyalty, which will be a big step toward the democratization of customized skincare. © 2024 IEEE.

关键词： Skin care products

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Bayesian Parameter Estimation for Partially Observed McKean-Vlasov Diffusions Using Multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo

arXiv

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arXiv 2025年

作者： Jasra, Ajay Wu, Amin School of Data Science The Chinese University of Hong Kong Shenzhen Shenzhen China Statistics Program Computer Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering Division King Abdullah University of Science and Technology Thuwal23955-6900 Saudi Arabia

In this article we consider Bayesian estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. This problem features several obstacles to its solution, which include that the posterior density is numerically intractable in continuous-time, even if the transition probabilities are available and even when one uses a time-discretization, the posterior still cannot be used by adopting well-known computational methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). In this paper we provide a solution to this problem by using new MCMC algorithms which can solve the aforementioned issues. This MCMC algorithm is extended to use multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. We prove convergence bounds on our parameter estimators and show that the MLMC-based MCMC algorithm reduces the computational cost to achieve a mean square error versus ordinary MCMC by an order of magnitude. We numerically illustrate our results on two models. Copyright © 2025, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Channel estimation

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