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arXiv 2020年

作者： Petropoulos, Fotios Apiletti, Daniele Assimakopoulos, Vassilios Babai, Mohamed Zied Barrow, Devon K. Taieb, Souhaib Ben Bergmeir, Christoph Bessa, Ricardo J. Bijak, Jakub Boylan, John E. Browell, Jethro Carnevale, Claudio Castle, Jennifer L. Cirillo, Pasquale Clements, Michael P. Cordeiro, Clara Oliveira, Fernando Luiz Cyrino de Baets, Shari Dokumentov, Alexander Ellison, Joanne Fiszeder, Piotr Franses, Philip Hans Frazier, David T. Gilliland, Michael Gönül, M. Sinan Goodwin, Paul Grossi, Luigi Grushka-Cockayne, Yael Guidolin, Mariangela Guidolin, Massimo Gunter, Ulrich Guo, Xiaojia Guseo, Renato Harvey, Nigel Hendry, David F. Hollyman, Ross Januschowski, Tim Jeon, Jooyoung Jose, Victor Richmond R. Kang, Yanfei Koehler, Anne B. Kolassa, Stephan Kourentzes, Nikolaos Leva, Sonia Li, Feng Litsiou, Konstantia Makridakis, Spyros Martin, Gael M. Martinez, Andrew B. Meeran, Sheik Modis, Theodore Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos Önkal, Dilek Paccagnini, Alessia Panagiotelis, Anastasios Panapakidis, Ioannis Pavía, Jose M. Pedio, Manuela Pedregal, Diego J. Pinson, Pierre Ramos, Patrícia Rapach, David E. Reade, J. James Rostami-Tabar, Bahman Rubaszek, Michal Sermpinis, Georgios Shang, Han Lin Spiliotis, Evangelos Syntetos, Aris A. Talagala, Priyanga Dilini Talagala, Thiyanga S. Tashman, Len Thomakos, Dimitrios Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Todini, Ezio Arenas, Juan Ramón Trapero Wang, Xiaoqian Winkler, Robert L. Yusupova, Alisa Ziel, Florian School of Management University of Bath United Kingdom Politecnico di Torino Turin Italy Forecasting and Strategy Unit School of Electrical and Computer Engineering National Technical University of Athens Greece Kedge Business School France Department of Management Birmingham Business School University of Birmingham United Kingdom Belgium Faculty of Information Technology Monash University Melbourne Australia INESC TEC – Institute for Systems and Computer Engineering Technology and Science Porto Portugal Department of Social Statistics and Demography University of Southampton United Kingdom Centre for Marketing Analytics and Forecasting Lancaster University Management School Lancaster University United Kingdom School of Mathematics and Statistics University of Glasgow United Kingdom Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering University of Brescia Italy Magdalen College University of Oxford United Kingdom ZHAW School of Management and Law Zurich University of Applied Sciences Switzerland ICMA Centre Henley Business School University of Reading United Kingdom Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia Universidade do Algarve Portugal CEAUL Faculdade de Ciências Universidade de Lisboa Portugal Brazil Department of Business Informatics and Operations Management Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Universiteit Gent Belgium Let’s Forecast Australia Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management Nicolaus Copernicus University in Torun Poland Econometric Institute Erasmus School of Economics Rotterdam Netherlands Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics Monash University Melbourne Australia SAS United States Newcastle Business School Northumbria University Newcastle upon Tyne United Kingdom Department of Statistical Sciences University of Padua Italy Darden School of Business University of Virginia United States Finance Department Bocconi University Baffi-CAREFIN Centre Milan Italy Department of Tourism and Service Management MODUL Un

Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and organisations seeking to minimise risks and maximise utilities. The large number of forecasting applications calls for a diverse set of forecasting methods to tackle real-life challenges. This article provides a non-systematic review of the theory and the practice of forecasting. We provide an overview of a wide range of theoretical, state-of-the-art models, methods, principles, and approaches to prepare, produce, organise, and evaluate forecasts. We then demonstrate how such theoretical concepts are applied in a variety of real-life contexts. We do not claim that this review is an exhaustive list of methods and applications. However, we wish that our encyclopedic presentation will offer a point of reference for the rich work that has been undertaken over the last decades, with some key insights for the future of forecasting theory and practice. Given its encyclopedic nature, the intended mode of reading is non-linear. We offer cross-references to allow the readers to navigate through the various topics. We complement the theoretical concepts and applications covered by large lists of free or open-source software implementations and publicly-available databases. © 2020, CC BY.

关键词： Forecasting

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Author Correction: Proton acceleration in thermonuclear nova explosions revealed by gamma rays

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Nature Astronomy 2022年 760页

作者： V. A. Acciari J. Becerra González E. Colombo R. J. García López J. Herrera A. López-Oramas C. Maggio V. Moreno M. Nievas Rosillo J. Otero-Santos G. Vanzo M. Vazquez Acosta S. Ansoldi B. De Lotto A. Donini F. Longo D. Miceli M. Palatiello M. Persic L. A. Antonelli C. Bigongiari S. Covino V. D’Elia F. Dazzi A. Lamastra F. Leone S. Lombardi L. Maraschi L. Nava S. Paiano C. Righi F. G. Saturni A. Stamerra F. Tavecchio A. Tutone A. Biland S. Fukami M. Artero O. Blanch S. M. Colak M. Delfino J. Delgado E. Do Souto Espiñeira L. Fariña Alonso L. Jouvin D. Kerszberg M. Martínez A. Moralejo E. Moretti C. Nigro C. Priyadarshi J. Rico K. Asano D. Hadasch M. Hütten T. Inada Y. Iwamura Y. Kobayashi D. Mazin K. Noda Y. Ohtani T. Saito S. Sakurai J. Sitarek M. Strzys M. Takahashi R. Takeishi M. Teshima I. Vovk D. Baack H. Bökenkamp D. Elsaesser A. Fattorini L. Linhoff S. Mender W. Rhode K. Schmidt A. Babić Ž. Bošnjak S. Cikota A. Baquero J. A. Barrio J. L. Contreras M. V. Fonseca J. Hoang M. López-Moya A. Mas Aguilar T. Miener D. Morcuende P. Peñil U. Barres de Almeida B. Machado de Oliveira Fraga I. Batković M. Bernardos G. Busetto A. De Angelis M. Doro R. López-Coto M. Mallamaci M. Mariotti E. Prandini A. Spolon W. Bednarek P. Gliwny K. Ishio D. Sobczynska L. Bellizzi S. Menchiari J. M. Miranda R. Paoletti S. Truzzi S. Ventura C. Wunderlich E. Bernardini W. Bhattacharyya M. Garczarczyk K. Satalecka A. Arbet Engels A. Berti J. Besenrieder G. Ceribella Y. Chai G. D’Amico C. Fruck J. G. Green D. Green A. Hahn L. Heckmann R. Mirzoyan D. Paneque M. Pihet T. Schweizer D. Strom J. van Scherpenberg M. Will G. Bonnoli R. Carosi P. Da Vela P. G. Prada Moroni A. Rugliancich M. Cerruti E. Molina J. M. Paredes M. Ribó A. Chilingarian J. Cortina C. Delgado Mendez T. Hassan I. Jiménez Martínez A. Del Popolo D. Depaoli F. Di Pierro C. F. Vigorito L. Di Venere N. Giglietto F. Giordano S. Loporchio D. Dominis Prester M. Manganaro S. Mićanović L. Pavletić T. Terzić D. Dorner K. Mannheim B. Schleicher V. Fallah Ramazani J. Jormanainen E. Lindfors Instituto de Astrofísica de Canarias and Dpto. de Astrofísica Universidad de La Laguna La Laguna Tenerife Spain Departament de Física and CERES-IEEC Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona Bellaterra Spain Università di Udine and INFN Trieste Udine Italy International Center for Relativistic Astrophysics (ICRA) Rome Italy Dipartimento di Fisica Università di Trieste Trieste Italy Laboratoire d’Annecy de Physique des Particules (LAPP) CNRS-IN2P3 Annecy Cedex France INAF Trieste and Dept. of Physics and Astronomy University of Bologna Bologna Italy National Institute for Astrophysics (INAF) Rome Italy ETH Zürich Zürich Switzerland Institut de Física d’Altes Energies (IFAE) The Barcelona Institute of Science and Technology (BIST) Bellaterra Barcelona Spain Port d’Informació Científica (PIC) Bellaterra Barcelona Spain Japanese MAGIC Group: Institute for Cosmic Ray Research (ICRR) The University of Tokyo Kashiwa Chiba Japan Max-Planck-Institut für Physik München Germany Technische Universität Dortmund Dortmund Germany Croatian MAGIC Group: University of Zagreb Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computing (FER) Zagreb Croatia IPARCOS Institute and EMFTEL Department Universidad Complutense de Madrid Madrid Spain Department of Astronomy University of California Berkeley Berkeley CA USA Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Físicas (CBPF) Rio de Janeiro RJ Brazil Università di Padova and INFN Padova Italy University of Lodz Faculty of Physics and Applied Informatics Department of Astrophysics Lodz Poland Università di Siena and INFN Pisa Siena Italy Deutsches Elektronen-Synchrotron (DESY) Zeuthen Germany Department for Physics and Technology University of Bergen Bergen Norway Instituto de Astrofísica de Andalucía-CSIC Glorieta de la Astronomía s/n Granada Spain Università di Pisa and INFN Pisa Pisa Italy University of Innsbruck Innsbruck Austria Universitat de Barcelona ICCUB IEEC-UB Barcelona Spain Armenian MAGIC Group: A. Alikhanyan National Science Labo

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Galactic transient sources with the Cherenkov Telescope Array Observatory

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Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 2025年第1期540卷 205–238页

作者： Abe, K Abe, S Abhir, J Abhishek, A Acero, F Acharyya, A Adam, R Aguasca-Cabot, A Agudo, I Aguirre-Santaella, A Alfaro, J Alfaro, R Alvarez-Crespo, N Alves Batista, R Amans, J-P Amato, E Ambrosi, G Ambrosino, F Angüner, E O Antonelli, L A Aramo, C Arcaro, C Arnesen, T T H Asano, K Ascasibar, Y Aschersleben, J Ashkar, H Augusto Stuani, L Baack, D Backes, M Balazs, C Balbo, M Baquero Larriva, A Barbosa Martins, V Barres de Almeida, U Barrio, J A Barrios-Jiménez, L Batković, I Batzofin, R Baxter, J Becerra González, J Becker Tjus, J Belmont, R Benbow, W Bernete, J Bernlöhr, K Berti, A Bertucci, B Beshley, V Bhattacharjee, P Bhattacharyya, S Bigongiari, C Bissaldi, E Blanch, O Blazek, J Bocchino, F Boisson, C Bolmont, J Bonnoli, G Bonollo, A Bordas, P Bosnjak, Z Bottacini, E Böttcher, M Bradascio, F Bronzini, E Brown, A M Brunelli, G Bulgarelli, A Burelli, I Burger-Scheidlin, C Burmistrov, L Burton, M Buscemi, M Cailleux, J Campoy-Ordaz, A Cantlay, B K Capasso, G Caproni, A Capuzzo-Dolcetta, R Caraveo, P Caroff, S Carosi, A Carosi, R Carquin, E Carrasco, M-S Cascone, E Cassol, F Castaldini, L Castrejon, N Castro-Tirado, A J Cerasole, D Ceribella, G Cerruti, M Chadwick, P M Chaty, S Chen, A W Chernyakova, M Chiavassa, A Chudoba, J Chytka, L Cicciari, G M Cifuentes, A Coimbra Araujo, C H Colapietro, M Conforti, V Contreras, J L Cortina, J Costa, A Costantini, H Cotter, G Cristofari, P Cuevas, O Curtis-Ginsberg, Z D’Aì, A D’Amico, G D’Ammando, F Dai, S Dazzi, F de Bony de Lavergne, M De Caprio, V De Cesare, G De Frondat Laadim, F de Gouveia Dal Pino, E M De Lotto, B De Lucia, M de Martino, D de Menezes, R de Naurois, M de Ona Wilhelmi, E de Souza, V del Peral, L del Valle, M V Delgado, C Dell’aiera, M Della Valle, M della Volpe, D Depaoli, D Devin, J Di Girolamo, T Di Piano, A Di Pierro, F Di Tria, R Di Venere, L Diebold, S Dignam, C Dima, R Dinesh, A Djuvsland, J Dominik, R M Dominis Prester, D Donini, A Dorner, D Dörner, J Doro, M Dubos, C Ducci, L Dwarkadas, V V Ebr, J Eckner, C Egberts, K Einecke, S Elsässer, D Emery Department of Physics Tokai University 4-1-1 Kita-Kaname Hiratsuka Kanagawa 259-1292 Japan Institute for Cosmic Ray Research University of Tokyo 5-1-5 Kashiwa-no-ha Kashiwa Chiba 277-8582 Japan ETH Zürich Institute for Particle Physics and Astrophysics Otto-Stern-Weg 5 CH-8093 Zürich Switzerland INFN and Università degli Studi di Siena Dipartimento di Scienze Fisiche della Terra e dell’Ambiente (DSFTA) Sezione di Fisica Via Roma 56 I-53100 Siena Italy Université Paris-Saclay Université Paris Cité CEA CNRS AIM F-91191 Gif-sur-Yvette Cedex France FSLAC IRL 2009 CNRS/IAC E-38205 La Laguna Tenerife Spain University of Alabama Tuscaloosa Department of Physics and Astronomy Gallalee Hall Box 870324 Tuscaloosa AL 35487-0324 USA Université Côte d’Azur Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur CNRS Laboratoire Lagrange UF 06304 Nice France Laboratoire Leprince-Ringuet CNRS/IN2P3 École Polytechnique Institut Polytechnique de Paris F-91120 Palaiseau France Departament de Física Quàntica i Astrofísica Institut de Ciències del Cosmos Universitat de Barcelona IEEC-UB Martí i Franquès 1 E-08028 Barcelona Spain Instituto de Astrofísica de Andalucía-CSIC Glorieta de la Astronomía s/n E-18008 Granada Spain Institute for Computational Cosmology and Department of Physics Durham University South Road Durham DH1 3LE UK Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile Av. Libertador Bernardo O’Higgins 340 8331150 Santiago Chile Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Delegación Coyoacán 04510 Ciudad de México Mexico IPARCOS-UCM Instituto de Física de Partículas y del Cosmos and EMFTEL Department Universidad Complutense de Madrid E-28040 Madrid Spain Instituto de Física Teórica UAM/CSIC and Departamento de Física Teórica Universidad Autónoma de Madrid c/ Nicolás Cabrera 13-15 Campus de Cantoblanco UAM E-28049 Madrid Spain LUTH GEPI and LERMA Observatoire de Paris Université PSL Université Paris Cité CNRS 5 place Jules Janssen F-92190 Meudon France INAF – Osservatorio

A wide variety of Galactic sources show transient emission at soft and hard X-ray energies: low- and high-mass X-ray binaries containing compact objects, isolated neutron stars exhibiting extreme variability as magnetars as well as pulsar-wind nebulae. Although most of them can show emission up to MeV and/or GeV energies, many have not yet been detected in the TeV domain by Imaging Atmospheric Cherenkov Telescopes. In this paper, we explore the feasibility of detecting new Galactic transients with the Cherenkov Telescope Array Observatory (CTAO) and the prospects for studying them with Target of Opportunity observations. We show that CTAO will likely detect new sources in the TeV regime, such as the massive microquasars in the Cygnus region, low-mass X-ray binaries with low-viewing angle, flaring emission from the Crab pulsar-wind nebula or other novae explosions, among others. Since some of these sources could also exhibit emission at larger time-scales, we additionally test their detectability at longer exposures. We finally discuss the multiwavelength synergies with other instruments and large astronomical facilities.

关键词： binaries: general stars: magnetars novae cataclysmic variables pulsars: general gamma-rays: general

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Proton acceleration in thermonuclear nova explosions revealed by gamma rays (Apr, 10.1038/s41550-022-01640-z, 2022)

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NATURE ASTRONOMY 2022年第6期6卷 760-760页

作者： Acciari, V. A. Ansoldi, S. Antonelli, L. A. Engels, A. Arbet Artero, M. Asano, K. Baack, D. Babic, A. Baquero, A. de Almeida, U. Barres Barrio, J. A. Batkovic, I. Gonzalez, J. Becerra Bednarek, W. Bellizzi, L. Bernardini, E. Bernardos, M. Berti, A. Besenrieder, J. Bhattacharyya, W. Bigongiari, C. Biland, A. Blanch, O. Bokenkamp, H. Bonnoli, G. Bosnjak, Z. Busetto, G. Carosi, R. Ceribella, G. Cerruti, M. Chai, Y. Chilingarian, A. Cikota, S. Colak, S. M. Colombo, E. Contreras, J. L. Cortina, J. Covino, S. D'Amico, G. D'Elia, V. Da Vela, P. Dazzi, F. De Angelis, A. De Lotto, B. Del Popolo, A. Delfino, M. Delgado, J. Mendez, C. Delgado Depaoli, D. Di Pierro, F. Di Venere, L. Espineira, E. Do Souto Prester, D. Dominis Donini, A. Dorner, D. Doro, M. Elsaesser, D. Ramazani, V. Fallah Alonso, L. Farina Fattorini, A. Fonseca, M. V. Font, L. Fruck, C. Fukami, S. Fukazawa, Y. Lopez, R. J. Garcia Garczarczyk, M. Gasparyan, S. Gaug, M. Giglietto, N. Giordano, F. Gliwny, P. Godinovic, N. Green, J. G. Green, D. Hadasch, D. Hahn, A. Hassan, T. Heckmann, L. Herrera, J. Hoang, J. Hrupec, D. Hutten, M. Inada, T. Ishio, K. Iwamura, Y. Martinez, I. Jimenez Jormanainen, J. Jouvin, L. Kerszberg, D. Kobayashi, Y. Kubo, H. Kushida, J. Lamastra, A. Lelas, D. Leone, F. Lindfors, E. Linhoff, L. Lombardi, S. Longo, F. Lopez-Coto, R. Lopez-Moya, M. Lopez-Oramas, A. Loporchio, S. de Oliveira Fraga, B. Machado Maggio, C. Majumdar, P. Makariev, M. Mallamaci, M. Maneva, G. Manganaro, M. Mannheim, K. Maraschi, L. Mariotti, M. Martinez, M. Aguilar, A. Mas Mazin, D. Menchiari, S. Mender, S. Micanovic, S. Miceli, D. Miener, T. Miranda, J. M. Mirzoyan, R. Molina, E. Moralejo, A. Morcuende, D. Moreno, V. Moretti, E. Nakamori, T. Nava, L. Neustroev, V. Rosillo, M. Nievas Nigro, C. Nilsson, K. Nishijima, K. Noda, K. Nozaki, S. Ohtani, Y. Oka, T. Otero-Santos, J. Paiano, S. Palatiello, M. Paneque, D. Paoletti, R. Paredes, J. M. Pavletic, L. Penil, P. Persic, M. Pihet, M. Moroni, P. G. Prada Prandini, E. Priyadarshi, C. Puljak, I. Rhode, W. Ribo, M. Rico, Universidad de La Laguna Instituto de Astrofísica de Canarias and Departamento de Astrofísica La Laguna Spain (GRID:grid.10041.34) (ISNI:***) Università di Udine and INFN Trieste Udine Italy (GRID:grid.5390.f) (ISNI:0000 0001 2113 062X) International Center for Relativistic Astrophysics (ICRA) Rome Italy (GRID:grid.5390.f) National Institute for Astrophysics (INAF) Rome Italy (GRID:grid.4293.c) (ISNI:0000 0004 1792 8585) Max-Planck-Institut für Physik Munich Germany (GRID:grid.435824.c) (ISNI:0000 0001 2375 0603) The Barcelona Institute of Science and Technology (BIST) Institut de Física d’Altes Energies (IFAE) Barcelona Spain (GRID:grid.473715.3) (ISNI:0000 0004 6475 7299) Japanese MAGIC Group: Institute for Cosmic Ray Research (ICRR) The University of Tokyo Kashiwa Japan (GRID:grid.26999.3d) (ISNI:0000 0001 2151 536X) Technische Universität Dortmund Dortmund Germany (GRID:grid.5675.1) (ISNI:0000 0001 0416 9637) Croatian MAGIC Group: University of Zagreb Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computing (FER) Zagreb Croatia (GRID:grid.4808.4) (ISNI:0000 0001 0657 4636) Universidad Complutense de Madrid IPARCOS Institute and EMFTEL Department Madrid Spain (GRID:grid.4795.f) (ISNI:0000 0001 2157 7667) Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Físicas (CBPF) Rio de Janeiro Brazil (GRID:grid.418228.5) (ISNI:0000 0004 0643 8134) Università di Padova and INFN Padua Italy (GRID:grid.5608.b) (ISNI:0000 0004 1757 3470) University of Lodz Department of Astrophysics Faculty of Physics and Applied Informatics Lodz Poland (GRID:grid.10789.37) (ISNI:0000 0000 9730 2769) Università di Siena and INFN Pisa Siena Italy (GRID:grid.9024.f) (ISNI:0000 0004 1757 4641) Deutsches Elektronen-Synchrotron (DESY) Zeuthen Germany (GRID:grid.7683.a) (ISNI:0000 0004 0492 0453) ETH Zürich Zurich Switzerland (GRID:grid.5801.c) (ISNI:0000 0001 2156 2780) Instituto de Astrofísica de Andalucía-CSIC Granada Spain (GRID:grid.450285.e) (ISNI:0000 0004 1793 7043) Università di Pisa and INFN Pisa Pisa Italy (GRID:grid.5395.

Classical novae are cataclysmic binary star systems in which the matter of a companion star is accreted on a white dwarf1,2. Accumulation of hydrogen in a layer eventually causes a thermonuclear explosion on the surface of the white dwarf3, brightening the white dwarf to ~105 solar luminosities and triggering ejection of the accumulated matter. Novae provide the extreme conditions required to accelerate particles, electrons or protons, to high energies. Here we present the detection of gamma rays by the MAGIC telescopes from the 2021 outburst of RS Ophiuchi, a recurrent nova with a red giant companion, which allowed us to accurately characterize the emission from a nova in the 60 GeV to 250 GeV energy range. The theoretical interpretation of the combined Fermi LAT and MAGIC data suggests that protons are accelerated to hundreds of gigaelectronvolts in the nova shock. Such protons should create bubbles of enhanced cosmic ray density, of the order of 10 pc, from the recurrent *** of the 2021 outburst of the nova RS Oph in very-high-energy gamma rays by the MAGIC telescopes is reported. Investigation of the gamma-ray emission provides evidence for acceleration of protons within the nova shock, which then propagate outwards to create bubbles of enhanced cosmic ray density.

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INTRODUCTION

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Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2024年第8期105卷 S1-S11页

作者： Boyer, T. Blunden, J. Dunn, R.J.H. NOAA/NESDIS National Centers for Environmental Information Silver Spring Maryland NOAA/NESDIS National Centers for Environmental Information Asheville North Carolina Met Office Hadley Centre Exeter United Kingdom European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reading United Kingdom University of Maryland College Park Maryland Scripps Institution of Oceanography University of California San Diego La Jolla California NOAA/NWS National Centers for Environmental Prediction Climate Prediction Center College Park Maryland Brandenburg University of Technology (BTU) Cottbus-Senftenberg Germany Servicio Meteorológico Nacional Buenos Aires Argentina NOAA/OAR Physical Sciences Laboratory Boulder Colorado European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Bonn Germany Center for Geophysical Research and School of Physics University of Costa Rica San José Costa Rica Department of Meteorology and National Centre for Earth Observation University of Reading Reading United Kingdom Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais CEMADEN São Paulo Brazil Université Grenoble Alpes Institut des Géosciences de l’Environnement IRD CNRS Grenoble INP Grenoble France Hampton University Hampton Virginia Seychelles Meteorological Authority Mahe Seychelles Section for Glaciers Ice and Snow Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate Oslo Norway National Research Institute for Agriculture Food and Environment (INRAE) CARRTEL Université Savoie Mont Blanc Thonon les Bains France Graduate School of Agriculture Osaka Metropolitan University Sakai Japan Science Faculty Universidad Nacional de Colombia Bogotá Colombia University of Bremen Bremen Germany NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory Boulder Colorado Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú Lima Perú Centro de Investigaciones sobre Desertificación – Spanish National Research Council (CSIC-UV-GVA) Valencia Spain Hydro-Climate Extremes Lab (H-CEL) Ghent University Ghent Belgium Department o

In 2023, La Niña conditions that generally prevailed in the eastern Pacific Ocean from mid-2020 into early 2023 gave way to a strong El Niño by October. Atmospheric concentrations of Earth’s major greenhouse gases—carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide—all increased to record-high levels. The annual global average carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere rose to 419.3±0.1 ppm, which is 50% greater than the pre-industrial level. The growth from 2022 to 2023 was 2.8 ppm, the fourth highest in the record since the 1960s. The combined short-term effects of El Niño and the long-term effects of increasing levels of heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere contributed to new records for many essential climate variables reported here. The annual global temperature across land and oceans was the highest in records dating as far back as 1850, with the last seven months (June–December) having each been record warm. Over land, the globally averaged temperature was also record high. Dozens of countries reported record or near-record warmth for the year, including China and continental Europe as a whole (warmest on record), India and Russia (second warmest), and Canada (third warmest). Intense and widespread heatwaves were reported around the world. In Vietnam, an all-time national maximum temperature record of 44.2°C was observed at Tuong Duong on 7 May, surpassing the previous record of 43.4°C at Huong Khe on 20 April 2019. In Brazil, the air temperature reached 44.8°C in Araçuaí in Minas Gerais on 20 November, potentially a new national record and 12.8°C above normal. The effect of rising temperatures was apparent in the cryosphere, where snow cover extent by June 2023 was the smallest in the 56-year record for North America and seventh smallest for the Northern Hemisphere overall. Heatwaves contributed to the greatest average mass balance loss for Alpine glaciers around the world since the start of the record in 1970. Due to rapid volume loss beginning in 2021, St. A

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Erratum to: Search for single top-quark production via flavour-changing neutral currents at 8 TeV with the ATLAS detector

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The European Physical Journal C 2022年第1期82卷 1-15页

作者： Aad, G. Abbott, B. Abdallah, J. Abdinov, O. Aben, R. Abolins, M. AbouZeid, O. S. Abramowicz, H. Abreu, H. Abreu, R. Abulaiti, Y. Acharya, B. S. Adamczyk, L. Adams, D. L. Adelman, J. Adomeit, S. Adye, T. Affolder, A. A. Agatonovic-Jovin, T. Agricola, J. Aguilar-Saavedra, J. A. Ahlen, S. P. Ahmadov, F. Aielli, G. Akerstedt, H. Åkesson, T. P. A. Akimov, A. V. Alberghi, G. L. Albert, J. Albrand, S. Alconada Verzini, M. J. Aleksa, M. Aleksandrov, I. N. Alexa, C. Alexander, G. Alexopoulos, T. Alhroob, M. Alimonti, G. Alio, L. Alison, J. Alkire, S. P. Allbrooke, B. M. M. Allport, P. P. Aloisio, A. Alonso, A. Alonso, F. Alpigiani, C. Altheimer, A. Alvarez Gonzalez, B. Álvarez Piqueras, D. Alviggi, M. G. Amadio, B. T. Amako, K. Amaral Coutinho, Y. Amelung, C. Amidei, D. Amor Dos Santos, S. P. Amorim, A. Amoroso, S. Amram, N. Amundsen, G. Anastopoulos, C. Ancu, L. S. Andari, N. Andeen, T. Anders, C. F. Anders, G. Anders, J. K. Anderson, K. J. Andreazza, A. Andrei, V. Angelidakis, S. Angelozzi, I. Anger, P. Angerami, A. Anghinolfi, F. Anisenkov, A. V. Anjos, N. Annovi, A. Antonelli, M. Antonov, A. Antos, J. Anulli, F. Aoki, M. Aperio Bella, L. Arabidze, G. Arai, Y. Araque, J. P. Arce, A. T. H. Arduh, F. A. Arguin, J-F. Argyropoulos, S. Arik, M. Armbruster, A. J. Arnaez, O. Arnal, V. Arnold, H. Arratia, M. Arslan, O. Artamonov, A. Artoni, G. Asai, S. Asbah, N. Ashkenazi, A. Åsman, B. Asquith, L. Assamagan, K. Astalos, R. Atkinson, M. Atlay, N. B. Augsten, K. Aurousseau, M. Avolio, G. Axen, B. Ayoub, M. K. Azuelos, G. Baak, M. A. Baas, A. E. Baca, M. J. Bacci, C. Bachacou, H. Bachas, K. Backes, M. Backhaus, M. Bagiacchi, P. Bagnaia, P. Bai, Y. Bain, T. Baines, J. T. Baker, O. K. Baldin, E. M. Balek, P. Balestri, T. Balli, F. Banas, E. Banerjee, Sw. Bannoura, A. A. E. Bansil, H. S. Barak, L. Barberio, E. L. Barberis, D. Barbero, M. Barillari, T. Barisonzi, M. Barklow, T. Barlow, N. Barnes, S. L. Barnett, B. M. Barnett, R. M. Barnovska, Z. Baroncelli, A. Barone, G. Barr, A. J. Barreiro, F. Barreiro Guimarães da Costa, J. Bartol CPPM Aix-Marseille Université and CNRS/IN2P3 Marseille France Homer L. Dodge Department of Physics and Astronomy University of Oklahoma Norman USA Institute of Physics Academia Sinica Taipei Taiwan Institute of Physics Azerbaijan Academy of Sciences Baku Azerbaijan Nikhef National Institute for Subatomic Physics and University of Amsterdam Amsterdam The Netherlands Department of Physics and Astronomy Michigan State University East Lansing USA Department of Physics University of Toronto Toronto Canada Raymond and Beverly Sackler School of Physics and Astronomy Tel Aviv University Tel Aviv Israel Department of Physics Technion: Israel Institute of Technology Haifa Israel Center for High Energy Physics University of Oregon Eugene USA Department of Physics Stockholm University Stockholm Sweden The Oskar Klein Centre Stockholm Sweden INFN Gruppo Collegato di Udine Sezione di Trieste Udine Italy ICTP Trieste Italy Department of Physics King’s College London London UK AGH University of Science and Technology Faculty of Physics and Applied Computer Science Kraków Poland Physics Department Brookhaven National Laboratory Upton USA Department of Physics Northern Illinois University De Kalb USA Fakultät für Physik Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München Munich Germany Particle Physics Department Rutherford Appleton Laboratory Didcot UK Oliver Lodge Laboratory University of Liverpool Liverpool UK Institute of Physics University of Belgrade Belgrade Serbia II Physikalisches Institut Georg-August-Universität Göttingen Germany Laboratório de Instrumentação e Física Experimental de Partículas-LIP Lisbon Portugal Departamento de Fisica Teorica y del Cosmos and CAFPE Universidad de Granada Granada Spain Department of Physics Boston University Boston USA Joint Institute for Nuclear Research JINR Dubna Dubna Russia INFN Sezione di Roma Tor Vergata Rome Italy Dipartimento di Fisica Università di Roma Tor Vergata Rome Italy Fysiska institutionen Lunds uni

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Author Correction: Why rankings of biomedical image analysis competitions should be interpreted with care

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Nature communications 2019年第1期10卷 588页

作者： Lena Maier-Hein Matthias Eisenmann Annika Reinke Sinan Onogur Marko Stankovic Patrick Scholz Tal Arbel Hrvoje Bogunovic Andrew P Bradley Aaron Carass Carolin Feldmann Alejandro F Frangi Peter M Full Bram van Ginneken Allan Hanbury Katrin Honauer Michal Kozubek Bennett A Landman Keno März Oskar Maier Klaus Maier-Hein Bjoern H Menze Henning Müller Peter F Neher Wiro Niessen Nasir Rajpoot Gregory C Sharp Korsuk Sirinukunwattana Stefanie Speidel Christian Stock Danail Stoyanov Abdel Aziz Taha Fons van der Sommen Ching-Wei Wang Marc-André Weber Guoyan Zheng Pierre Jannin Annette Kopp-Schneider Division of Computer Assisted Medical Interventions (CAMI) German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ) 69120 Heidelberg Germany. l.maier-hein@dkfz.de. Division of Computer Assisted Medical Interventions (CAMI) German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ) 69120 Heidelberg Germany. Centre for Intelligent Machines McGill University Montreal QC H3A0G4 Canada. Christian Doppler Laboratory for Ophthalmic Image Analysis Department of Ophthalmology Medical University Vienna 1090 Vienna Austria. Science and Engineering Faculty Queensland University of Technology Brisbane QLD 4001 Australia. Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering Department of Computer Science Johns Hopkins University Baltimore MD 21218 USA. CISTIB - Center for Computational Imaging & Simulation Technologies in Biomedicine The University of Leeds Leeds Yorkshire LS2 9JT UK. Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine Medical Image Analysis Radboud University Center 6525 GA Nijmegen The Netherlands. Institute of Information Systems Engineering TU Wien 1040 Vienna Austria. Complexity Science Hub Vienna 1080 Vienna Austria. Heidelberg Collaboratory for Image Processing (HCI Heidelberg University 69120 Heidelberg Germany. Centre for Biomedical Image Analysis Masaryk University 60200 Brno Czech Republic. Electrical Engineering Vanderbilt University Nashville TN 37235-1679 USA. Institute of Medical Informatics Universität zu Lübeck 23562 Lübeck Germany. Division of Medical Image Computing (MIC) German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ) 69120 Heidelberg Germany. Institute for Advanced Studies Department of Informatics Technical University of Munich 80333 Munich Germany. Information System Institute HES-SO Sierre 3960 Switzerland. Departments of Radiology Nuclear Medicine and Medical Informatics Erasmus MC 3015 GD Rotterdam The Netherlands. Department of Computer Science University of Warwick Coventry CV4 7AL UK. Department of Radiation Oncology Massachusetts General Hospital Boston MA

In the original version of this Article the values in the rightmost column of Table 1 were inadvertently shifted relative to the other columns. This has now been corrected in the PDF and HTML versions of the Article.

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Author Correction: Open-access quantitative MRI data of the spinal cord and reproducibility across participants, sites and manufacturers

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Scientific data 2021年第1期8卷 242页

作者： Julien Cohen-Adad Eva Alonso-Ortiz Mihael Abramovic Carina Arneitz Nicole Atcheson Laura Barlow Robert L Barry Markus Barth Marco Battiston Christian Büchel Matthew Budde Virginie Callot Anna J E Combes Benjamin De Leener Maxime Descoteaux Paulo Loureiro de Sousa Marek Dostál Julien Doyon Adam Dvorak Falk Eippert Karla R Epperson Kevin S Epperson Patrick Freund Jürgen Finsterbusch Alexandru Foias Michela Fratini Issei Fukunaga Claudia A M Gandini Wheeler-Kingshott Giancarlo Germani Guillaume Gilbert Federico Giove Charley Gros Francesco Grussu Akifumi Hagiwara Pierre-Gilles Henry Tomáš Horák Masaaki Hori James Joers Kouhei Kamiya Haleh Karbasforoushan Miloš Keřkovský Ali Khatibi Joo-Won Kim Nawal Kinany Hagen H Kitzler Shannon Kolind Yazhuo Kong Petr Kudlička Paul Kuntke Nyoman D Kurniawan Slawomir Kusmia René Labounek Maria Marcella Laganà Cornelia Laule Christine S Law Christophe Lenglet Tobias Leutritz Yaou Liu Sara Llufriu Sean Mackey Eloy Martinez-Heras Loan Mattera Igor Nestrasil Kristin P O'Grady Nico Papinutto Daniel Papp Deborah Pareto Todd B Parrish Anna Pichiecchio Ferran Prados Àlex Rovira Marc J Ruitenberg Rebecca S Samson Giovanni Savini Maryam Seif Alan C Seifert Alex K Smith Seth A Smith Zachary A Smith Elisabeth Solana Y Suzuki George Tackley Alexandra Tinnermann Jan Valošek Dimitri Van De Ville Marios C Yiannakas Kenneth A Weber Ii Nikolaus Weiskopf Richard G Wise Patrik O Wyss Junqian Xu NeuroPoly Lab Institute of Biomedical Engineering Polytechnique Montreal Montreal QC Canada. jcohen@polymtl.ca. Functional Neuroimaging Unit CRIUGM Université de Montréal Montreal QC Canada. jcohen@polymtl.ca. Mila - Quebec AI Institute Montreal QC Canada. jcohen@polymtl.ca. NeuroPoly Lab Institute of Biomedical Engineering Polytechnique Montreal Montreal QC Canada. Department of Radiology Swiss Paraplegic Centre Nottwil Switzerland. Centre for Advanced Imaging The University of Queensland Brisbane Australia. Department of Radiology University of British Columbia Vancouver BC Canada. Athinoula A. Martinos Center for Biomedical Imaging Department of Radiology Massachusetts General Hospital Charlestown MA USA. Department of Radiology Harvard Medical School Boston MA USA. Harvard-Massachusetts Institute of Technology Health Sciences & Technology Cambridge MA USA. School of Information Technology and Electrical Engineering The University of Queensland Brisbane Australia. NMR Research Unit Queen Square MS Centre UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology Faculty of Brain Sciences University College London London UK. Department of Systems Neuroscience University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf Hamburg Germany. Department of Neurosurgery Medical College of Wisconsin Milwaukee WI USA. Aix-Marseille Univ CNRS CRMBM Marseille France. APHM Hopital Universitaire Timone CEMEREM Marseille France. Vanderbilt University Institute of Imaging Science Vanderbilt University Medical Center Nashville TN USA. Department of Computer and Software Engineering Polytechnique Montreal Montreal Canada. CHU Sainte-Justine Research Centre Montreal QC Canada. Centre de Recherche CHUS CIMS Sherbrooke Canada. Sherbrooke Connectivity Imaging Lab (SCIL) Computer Science department Université de Sherbrooke Sherbrooke Canada. Université de Strasbourg CNRS ICube Strasbourg France. UHB - University Hospital Brno and Masaryk University Department of Radiology and Nuclear

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Erratum to: Measurement of differential cross sections and W+/W− cross-section ratios for W boson production in association with jets at = 8 TeV with the ATLAS detector

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Journal of High Energy Physics 2020年第10期2020卷 1-20页

作者： Aaboud, M. Aad, G. Abbott, B. Abdinov, O. Abeloos, B. Abidi, S. H. AbouZeid, O. S. Abraham, N. L. Abramowicz, H. Abreu, H. Abreu, R. Abulaiti, Y. Acharya, B. S. Adachi, S. Adamczyk, L. Adelman, J. Adersberger, M. Adye, T. Affolder, A. A. Afik, Y. Agheorghiesei, C. Aguilar-Saavedra, J. A. Ahlen, S. P. Ahmadov, F. Aielli, G. Akatsuka, S. Akerstedt, H. Åkesson, T. P. A. Akilli, E. Akimov, A. V. Alberghi, G. L. Albert, J. Albicocco, P. Alconada Verzini, M. J. Alderweireldt, S. C. Aleksa, M. Aleksandrov, I. N. Alexa, C. Alexander, G. Alexopoulos, T. Alhroob, M. Ali, B. Aliev, M. Alimonti, G. Alison, J. Alkire, S. P. Allbrooke, B. M. M. Allen, B. W. Allport, P. P. Aloisio, A. Alonso, A. Alonso, F. Alpigiani, C. Alshehri, A. A. Alstaty, M. I. Alvarez Gonzalez, B. Álvarez Piqueras, D. Alviggi, M. G. Amadio, B. T. Amaral Coutinho, Y. Amelung, C. Amidei, D. Amor Dos Santos, S. P. Amoroso, S. Anastopoulos, C. Ancu, L. S. Andari, N. Andeen, T. Anders, C. F. Anders, J. K. Anderson, K. J. Andreazza, A. Andrei, V. Angelidakis, S. Angelozzi, I. Angerami, A. Anisenkov, A. V. Anjos, N. Annovi, A. Antel, C. Antonelli, M. Antonov, A. Antrim, D. J. Anulli, F. Aoki, M. Aperio Bella, L. Arabidze, G. Arai, Y. Araque, J. P. Araujo Ferraz, V. Arce, A. T. H. Ardell, R. E. Arduh, F. A. Arguin, J-F. Argyropoulos, S. Arik, M. Armbruster, A. J. Armitage, L. J. Arnaez, O. Arnold, H. Arratia, M. Arslan, O. Artamonov, A. Artoni, G. Artz, S. Asai, S. Asbah, N. Ashkenazi, A. Asquith, L. Assamagan, K. Astalos, R. Atkinson, M. Atlay, N. B. Augsten, K. Avolio, G. Axen, B. Ayoub, M. K. Azuelos, G. Baas, A. E. Baca, M. J. Bachacou, H. Bachas, K. Backes, M. Bagnaia, P. Bahmani, M. Bahrasemani, H. Baines, J. T. Bajic, M. Baker, O. K. Bakker, P. J. Baldin, E. M. Balek, P. Balli, F. Balunas, W. K. Banas, E. Bandyopadhyay, A. Banerjee, Sw. Bannoura, A. A. E. Barak, L. Barberio, E. L. Barberis, D. Barbero, M. Barillari, T. Barisits, M-S Barkeloo, J. T. Barklow, T. Barlow, N. Barnes, S. L. Barnett, B. M. Barnett, R. M. Barnovska-Blenessy, Z. Baroncelli, A. Bar Faculté des Sciences Université Mohamed Premier and LPTPM Oujda Morocco CPPM Aix-Marseille Université and CNRS/IN2P3 Marseille France Homer L. Dodge Department of Physics and Astronomy University of Oklahoma Norman United States of America Institute of Physics Azerbaijan Academy of Sciences Baku Azerbaijan LAL Univ. Paris-Sud CNRS/IN2P3 Université Paris-Saclay Orsay France Department of Physics University of Toronto Toronto Canada Santa Cruz Institute for Particle Physics University of California Santa Cruz Santa Cruz United States of America Department of Physics and Astronomy University of Sussex Brighton United Kingdom Raymond and Beverly Sackler School of Physics and Astronomy Tel Aviv University Tel Aviv Israel Department of Physics Technion: Israel Institute of Technology Haifa Israel Center for High Energy Physics University of Oregon Eugene United States of America Department of Physics Stockholm University Stockholm Sweden The Oskar Klein Centre Stockholm Sweden INFN Gruppo Collegato di Udine Sezione di Trieste Udine Italy ICTP Trieste Italy Department of Physics King’s College London London United Kingdom International Center for Elementary Particle Physics and Department of Physics The University of Tokyo Tokyo Japan AGH University of Science and Technology Faculty of Physics and Applied Computer Science Krakow Poland Department of Physics Northern Illinois University DeKalb United States of America Fakultät für Physik Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München München Germany Particle Physics Department Rutherford Appleton Laboratory Didcot United Kingdom Department of Physics Alexandru Ioan Cuza University of Iasi Iasi Romania Laboratório de Instrumentação e Física Experimental de Partículas — LIP Lisboa Portugal Departamento de Fisica Teorica y del Cosmos Universidad de Granada Granada Portugal Department of Physics Boston University Boston United States of America Joint Institute for Nuclear Research JINR Dubna Dubna Russia IN

Two additions impacting tables 3 and 4 in ref. [1] are presented in the following. No significant impact is found for other results or figures in ref. [1].

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Characterising acute and chronic care needs: insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

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Nature communications 2025年第1期16卷 4235-4235页

作者： Cecilia Anza-Ramirez J. Jaime Miranda Benedetta Armocida Jorge César Correia Harriette Gillian Christine Van Spall David Beran Amirali Aali Kalkidan Hassen Abate Semagn Mekonnen Abate Cristiana Abbafati Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari Zeinab Abbasi-Kangevari Zahra Aryan Sina Azadnajafabad Mohammadreza Azangou-Khyavy Seyyed-Hadi Ghamari Mohammad Keykhaei Javad Khanali Sara Momtazmanesh Fateme Montazeri Shayan Rahmani Mohammad-Mahdi Rashidi Nazila Rezaei Negar Rezaei Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam Hossein Hassanian-Moghaddam Ali-Asghar Kolahi Ali Nikoobar Hedayat Abbastabar Ahmed M. Abdel-Azeem Michael Abdelmasseh Juan Sanabria Sherief Abd-Elsalam Ahmed Abdelwahab Gholamreza Abdoli Mohammad Abdollahi Meriem Abdoun Deldar Morad Abdulah Abu Yousuf Md Abdullah Ame Mehadi Abdurehman Getachew Abebe Aidin Abedi Chirag P. Doshi Vida Abedi Hassan Abidi Richard Gyan Aboagye Hassan Abolhassani Nima Rezaei Lucas Guimarães Abreu Michael R. M. Abrigo Yonas Derso Abtew Hiwa Abubaker Ali Eman Abu-Gharbieh Hiba Jawdat Barqawi Rabih Halwani Maha Mohamed Saber-Ayad Iman M. Talaat Ahmed Abu-Zaid Manfred Mario Kokou Accrombessi Juan Manuel Acuna Denberu Eshetie Adane Tigist Demssew Adane Isaac Yeboah Addo Giovanni Addolorato Oluwafemi Atanda Adeagbo Victor Adekanmbi Miracle Ayomikun Adesina Isaac Iyinoluwa Olufadewa Olatunji O. Adetokunboh Daniel Adedayo Adeyinka Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah Adnani Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika Afolabi Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi Muhammad Sohail Afzal Saira Afzal Gina Agarwal Prerna Agarwal Pradyumna Agasthi Anurag Agrawal Marcela Agudelo-Botero Adolfo Martinez-Valle Bright Opoku Ahinkorah Aqeel Ahmad Sajjad Ahmad Sohail Ahmad Tauseef Ahmad Ali Ahmadi Siamak Sabour Keivan Ahmadi Sanjay Basu Sepideh Ahmadi Ali Ahmed Shaun Wen Huey Lee Ayman Ahmed Haroon Ahmed Jivan Qasim Ahmed Gahin Abdulraheem Tayib Yahya Yahya Luai A. Ahmed Iffat Elbarazi Syed Mahboob Shah Janardhana P. Aithala Marjan Ajami Budi Aji Hossein Akbarialiabad Yibeltal Akelew Meisam Akhlaghdoust Elham Jamshidi Addis Aklilu Azene Tesfaye Melat Woldemariam Maxwell Ak CRONICAS Center of Excellence in Chronic Diseases Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia Lima Peru School of Medicine Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia Lima Peru Sydney School of Public Health Faculty of Medicine and Health University of Sydney Sydney NSW Australia Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine London UK Division of Tropical and Humanitarian Medicine University of Geneva Geneva Switzerland Department of Cardiovascular Endocrine-metabolic Diseases and Aging Istituto Superiore di Sanità Rome Italy Division of Endocrinology Diabetology Nutrition and Therapeutic Patient Education Department of Medicine Geneva University Hospitals Geneva Switzerland Department of Medicine and Department of Health Research Evidence and Impact McMaster University Hamilton ON Canada Research Institute of St. Joe’s Hamilton ON Canada Population Health Research Institute Hamilton Canada Geneva University Hospitals Geneva Switzerland Faculty of Medicine Mashhad University of Medical Sciences Mashhad Iran Department of Nutrition and Dietetics Jimma University Jimma Ethiopia Anesthesiology Department Dilla University Addis Ababa Ethiopia Department of Juridical and Economic Studies La Sapienza University Rome Italy Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Social Determinants of Health Research Center Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Brigham and Women’s Hospital Harvard University Boston MA USA Students’ Scientific Research Center (SSRC) Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran School of Medicine Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran School of Medicine Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Institute Tehran University of Medical Sciences Tehran Iran Chapter of Addiction Medicine University of Sydney Sydney NSW Australia Advanced Diagnostic and Intervent

Chronic care manages long-term, progressive conditions, while acute care addresses short-term conditions. Chronic conditions increasingly strain health systems, which are often unprepared for these demands. This study examines the burden of conditions requiring acute versus chronic care, including sequelae. Conditions and sequelae from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019 were classified into acute or chronic care categories. Data were analysed by age, sex, and socio-demographic index, presenting total numbers and contributions to burden metrics such as Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), Years Lived with Disability (YLD), and Years of Life Lost (YLL). Approximately 68% of DALYs were attributed to chronic care, while 27% were due to acute care. Chronic care needs increased with age, representing 86% of YLDs and 71% of YLLs, and accounting for 93% of YLDs from sequelae. These findings highlight that chronic care needs far exceed acute care needs globally, necessitating health systems to adapt accordingly. © 2025. The Author(s).

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