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38th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, NeurIPS 2024

作者： Altabaa, Awni Yang, Zhuoran Department of Statistics & Data Science Yale University United States

In sequential decision-making problems, the information structure describes the causal dependencies between system variables, encompassing the dynamics of the environment and the agents' actions. Classical models of reinforcement learning (e.g., MDPs, POMDPs) assume a restricted and highly regular information structure, while more general models like predictive state representations do not explicitly model the information structure. By contrast, real-world sequential decision-making problems typically involve a complex and time-varying interdependence of system variables, requiring a rich and flexible representation of information structure. In this paper, we formalize a novel reinforcement learning model which explicitly represents the information structure. We then use this model to carry out an information-structural analysis of the statistical complexity of general sequential decision-making problems, obtaining a characterization via a graph-theoretic quantity of the DAG representation of the information structure. We prove an upper bound on the sample complexity of learning a general sequential decision-making problem in terms of its information structure by exhibiting an algorithm achieving the upper bound. This recovers known tractability results and gives a novel perspective on reinforcement learning in general sequential decision-making problems, providing a systematic way of identifying new tractable classes of problems. © 2024 Neural information processing systems foundation. All rights reserved.

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Residual-Based Statistical Process Control Charts in the Presence of Multicollinearity: an EWMA Framework with (R–K) Estimator 5th

Residual-Based Statistical Process Control Charts in the Pre...

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5th Doctoral Symposium on Computational Intelligence, DoSCI 2024

作者： Nancy, M. Joshi, Hemlata Department of Statistics and Data Science Christ University Bangalore India

ISBN: (纸本)9789819767250

Reliability monitoring of financial health requires strong control mechanisms, and the residual chart is an invaluable instrument to perform it. One of the key problems statisticians face while modeling is the problem of multicollinearity which arises when there is a strong correlation between independent variables leading to imprecise coefficient estimates and poor outcomes. To solve this problem and to make sure that the control chart works even with correlated data, we integrated a Weighted Moving Average Exponential smoothing chart within the modeling technique. The theoretical approach assures long-term variability and consistency of the residual control chart. These control charts are used to understand the process and the performances in various sectors. The charts can be used as analytical instruments to help recognize patterns, variations, or anomalies in economic indicators specifically in budget deficit data and facilitate rapid identification of any changes or inconsistencies in the fiscal deficit by policymakers. Further advances in statistical process control are rendered feasible by this study, which deepens the understanding and awareness of the potential uses and implications of the Weighted Moving Average Exponential smoothing chart for fiscal deficit data in the Economic realm. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2024.

关键词： Budget control

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Automated Machine Learning Algorithm Using Recurrent Neural Network to Perform Long-Term Time Series Forecasting

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computers, Materials & Continua 2024年第3期78卷 3529-3549页

作者： Ying Su Morgan C.Wang Shuai Liu Department of Statistics and Data Science University of Central FloridaOrlandoFL32816-2370USA School of Mathematics and Statistics Beijing Technology and Business UniversityBeijing100048China

Long-term time series forecasting stands as a crucial research domain within the realm of automated machine learning(AutoML).At present,forecasting,whether rooted in machine learning or statistical learning,typically relies on expert input and necessitates substantial manual *** manual effort spans model development,feature engineering,hyper-parameter tuning,and the intricate construction of time series *** complexity of these tasks renders complete automation unfeasible,as they inherently demand human intervention at multiple *** surmount these challenges,this article proposes leveraging Long Short-Term Memory,which is the variant of Recurrent Neural Networks,harnessing memory cells and gating mechanisms to facilitate long-term time series ***,forecasting accuracy by particular neural network and traditional models can degrade significantly,when addressing long-term time-series ***,our research demonstrates that this innovative approach outperforms the traditional Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average(ARIMA)method in forecasting long-term univariate time *** is a high-quality and competitive model in time series prediction,and yet it requires significant preprocessing *** multiple accuracy metrics,we have evaluated both ARIMA and proposed method on the simulated time-series data and real data in both short and long ***,our findings indicate its superiority over alternative network architectures,including Fully Connected Neural Networks,Convolutional Neural Networks,and Nonpooling Convolutional Neural *** AutoML approach enables non-professional to attain highly accurate and effective time series forecasting,and can be widely applied to various domains,particularly in business and finance.

关键词： Automated machine learning autoregressive integrated moving average neural networks time series analysis

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Drone Detection and Tracking using Deep Convolutional Neural Networks from Real-time CCTV Footage

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IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing 2024年第4期13卷 313-321页

作者： Allmamun, Md Akter, Fahima Talukdar, Muhammad Borhan Uddin Chakraborty, Sovon Uddin, Jia Department of Computer Science and Engineering European University of Bangladesh Dhaka Bangladesh Department of Computer Science and Engineering Daffodil International University Dhaka Bangladesh Department of Computer Science and Engineering University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh Dhaka Bangladesh AI and Big Data Department Woosong University Daejeon Korea Republic of

Drones are flying objects that may be controlled remotely or programmed to do a wide range of tasks, including aerial photography, videography, surveys, crop and animal monitoring, search and rescue missions, package delivery, and military operations. Unrestrained use, however, can pose a significant threat to safety, privacy, and security through eavesdropping, flying close to prohibited locations, interfering with public events, and delivering illicit items. Hence, real-time drone detection and tracking are indispensable and appropriate measures. This study developed real-time drone detection and tracking using the most efficient deep-learning approaches. The models were fine-tuned first to suit the required purpose and yield the desired outcome. The performance of the developed system was better than that of earlier endeavors in terms of accuracy and loss. Of the seven fined-tuned models, the Xception model constantly rendered the maximum accuracy with negligible loss. The model outperformed other state-of-the-art architectures, exhibiting an accuracy and loss of 99.18% and 3.83, respectively. Copyrights © 2024 The Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers.

关键词： Aerial photography

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Toward Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with Statistical Modeling: Recursive Bivariate Binary Probit

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IAENG International Journal of Applied Mathematics 2024年第8期54卷 1515-1521页

作者： Ratnasari, Vita Utama, Syirrul Hadi Dani, Andrea Tri Rian Faculty of Science and Data Analytics Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember Surabaya Indonesia the Department of Statistics Faculty of Science and Data Analytics Sepuluh Nopember Institute of Technology Surabaya Indonesia Statistics Study Program Department of Mathematics Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Mulawarman University Samarinda Indonesia

Poverty is still a global problem that must be immediately eradicated by Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 1, namely ending poverty anywhere and in any form. In 2021, West Papua province will have the 2nd most significant percentage of poor people after Papua province, with 21.84% of the poor population. Poor households in West Papua province are dominated by families, with the Head of Household (KRT) working in the agricultural sector at 65.10 %. In this research, joint modelling was carried out between the level of household welfare and the employment sector of the head of the household in the West Papua province. It is suspected that these two variables have endogeneity problems, where one of the response variables becomes a predictor variable in the other equation, so a recursive bivariate binary probit regression model is used. Recursive bivariate binary probit regression parameter estimation uses Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), but the results are not closed form, so it is continued using the Newton-Raphson iteration method. The results of hypothesis testing show that partially, variables that significantly influence the level of household welfare include the variable marital status, KRT formal/informal workers, health complaints, asset ownership status, migration status, number of household members, classification of area of residence (Village/City), age of head of household, and employment sector of head of household. Meanwhile, variables that significantly influence the choice of working in the agricultural sector include the director of household education, classification of area of residence (rural/city), and the age of the head of household. © (2024), (International Association of Engineers). All rights reserved.

关键词： Maximum likelihood estimation

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The Ecological Role of Probiotics in in vitro Culture for the Improvement of Health in the Poultry Industry

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International Journal Bioautomation 2023年第4期27卷 215-226页

作者： Nsenge, Olivier Ndaywel Mangata, Bopatriciat Boluma Eyul’anki, Dieudonné Musibono Makaly, Emmanuel Biey Department of Environmental Science University of Kinshasa Kinshasa Congo Department of Mathematics Statistics and Computer Science University of Kinshasa Kinshasa Congo

The general objective of this work was to isolate from yoghourts cultured strains of lactobacilli with potential for use as probiotics in poultry farming. Three yoghourts were cultured to see the presence of lactobacilli in the Rogosa agar base culture medium. It was found that only one yoghourt (number 1) showed the growth of lactobacilli. This yoghourt was immediately selected for further cultivation. Afterwards, the Lactobacillus strains were isolated and fortified under CO2 and then inoculated into a solution of peptone water, which constituted inoculums to be administered to an experimental group of poultry. Another group served as controls. Pathogenic strains of Escherichia coli were also administered to both groups (experimental and control, each comprising five hens). The results showed significant weight gain from the experimental group (positive effect on immunity) and freedom from disease after an incubation period (inhibitory effect of the lactobacillus strains on the Escherichia coli strains), whereas the control group showed less weight gain than the experimental group and development of colibacillosis after an incubation period. The positive effects of the Lactobacillus strains observed on the poultry of the experimental group proved the ecological role of these microorganisms in improving the health of the poultry by inhibiting the effects of pathogenic Escherichia coli strains. This suggests reassuring prospects for the reduction of antibiotic use in both human and animal care. © 2023 by the authors. Licensee Institute of Biophysics and Biomedical Engineering, Bulgarian Academy of sciences. This article is an open-access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://***/licenses/by/4.0/). All Rights Reserved.

关键词： Probiotics

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Conformal Alignment: Knowing When to Trust Foundation Models with Guarantees 38

Conformal Alignment: Knowing When to Trust Foundation Models...

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38th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, NeurIPS 2024

作者： Gui, Yu Jin, Ying Ren, Zhimei Department of Statistics University of Chicago United States Data Science Initiative Harvard University United States Department of Statistics and Data Science University of Pennsylvania United States

Before deploying outputs from foundation models in high-stakes tasks, it is imperative to ensure that they align with human values. For instance, in radiology report generation, reports generated by a vision-language model must align with human evaluations before their use in medical decision-making. This paper presents Conformal Alignment,2 a general framework for identifying units whose outputs meet a user-specified alignment criterion. It is guaranteed that on average, a prescribed fraction of selected units indeed meet the alignment criterion, regardless of the foundation model or the data distribution. Given any pre-trained model and new units with model-generated outputs, Conformal Alignment leverages a set of reference data with ground-truth alignment status to train an alignment predictor. It then selects new units whose predicted alignment scores surpass a data-dependent threshold, certifying their corresponding outputs as trustworthy. Through applications to question answering and radiology report generation, we demonstrate that our method is able to accurately identify units with trustworthy outputs via lightweight training over a moderate amount of reference data. En route, we investigate the informativeness of various features in alignment prediction and combine them with standard models to construct the alignment predictor. © 2024 Neural information processing systems foundation. All rights reserved.

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A Novel Eccentric Intrusion Detection Model Based on Recurrent Neural Networks with Leveraging LSTM

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computers, Materials & Continua 2024年第3期78卷 3089-3127页

作者： Navaneetha Krishnan Muthunambu Senthil Prabakaran Balasubramanian Prabhu Kavin Kishore Senthil Siruvangur Kavitha Chinnadurai Jehad Ali Department of Computer Applications Karpagam College of EngineeringCoimbatore641032India Department of Computer Science and Engineering Karpagam College of EngineeringCoimbatore641032India Department of Data Science and Business Systems College of Engineering and TechnologySRM Institute of Science and TechnologyKattankulathur603203India Department of Computer Science and Engineering Sathyabama Institute of Science and TechnologyJeppiaar NagarRajiv Gandhi SalaiChennai600119India Department of AI Convergence Network Ajou UniversitySuwon16499Korea

The extensive utilization of the Internet in everyday life can be attributed to the substantial accessibility of online services and the growing significance of the data transmitted via the ***,this development has expanded the potential targets that hackers might *** adequate safeguards,data transmitted on the internet is significantly more susceptible to unauthorized access,theft,or *** identification of unauthorised access attempts is a critical component of cybersecurity as it aids in the detection and prevention of malicious *** research paper introduces a novel intrusion detection framework that utilizes Recurrent Neural Networks(RNN)integrated with Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)*** proposed model can identify various types of cyberattacks,including conventional and distinctive *** networks,a specific kind of feedforward neural networks,possess an intrinsic memory *** Neural Networks(RNNs)incorporating Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)mechanisms have demonstrated greater capabilities in retaining and utilizing data dependencies over extended *** such as data types,training duration,accuracy,number of false positives,and number of false negatives are among the parameters employed to assess the effectiveness of these models in identifying both common and unusual *** are utilised in conjunction with LSTM to support human analysts in identifying possible intrusion events,hence enhancing their decision-making capabilities.A potential solution to address the limitations of Shallow learning is the introduction of the Eccentric Intrusion Detection *** model utilises Recurrent Neural Networks,specifically exploiting LSTM *** proposed model achieves detection accuracy(99.5%),generalisation(99%),and false-positive rate(0.72%),the parameters findings reveal that it is superior to state-of-the-art techniques.

关键词： Cybersecurity intrusion detection machine learning leveraging long short-term memory(LLSTM) CICIDS2019 dataset innovative cyberattacks

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REAL-TIME GLUCOSE MONITORING SYSTEM AND DIETARY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR DIABETES MELLITUS USING FOG COMPUTING

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Telecommunications and Radio Engineering (English translation of Elektrosvyaz and Radiotekhnika) 2025年第5期84卷 55-67页

作者： Sathish, N. Elangovan, D. Nagalakshmi, R. Suresh, G. Chitra, Devi D. Department of Computer Science and Engineering Vel Tech Rangarajan Dr. Sagunthala R&D Institute of Science and Technology Chennai India Department of Information Technology Saveetha Engineering College Chennai India Department of Computer Science and Engineering SRM Institute of Science and Technology Ramapuram Chennai India Department of Artificial Intelligence and Data Science Kings Engineering College Sriperumbudur India Department of Computer Science And Engineering S.A. Engineering College Chennai India

This systematic review gave special attention to diabetes and the advancements in food and nutrition needed to prevent or manage diabetes in all its forms. There are two main forms of diabetes mellitus: Type 1 (T1D) and Type 2 (T2D). The loss of beta cells brought on by an autoimmune reaction causes the pancreas to be unable to produce enough insulin, which leads to Type 1 diabetes. A deficiency of insulin could arise as the illness worsens. The most frequent cause is a combination of excessive body weight and inadequate exercise. Currently, 90–95% of patients have Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Age-specific normal blood sugar ranges exist and knowing them is crucial for determining a target blood sugar level that is both healthy and appropriate. The main takeaway is that diet regimens ought to be tailored to the patient’s requirements and should account for their capacity for change. Carbohydrates are the nutrients that have the biggest impact on the rise in blood glucose. In this paper, we have proposed a novel method for glucose monitoring and diet recommendations for diabetic patients using fog computing. A paradigm known as fog computing makes use of the benefits that come from using both cloud and edge devices to support modern computing systems by offering high-quality services, cutting latency, facilitating mobility, supporting multi-tenancy, and many other features. © 2025 by Begell House, Inc.

关键词： Fog computing

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PAC PREDICTION SETS UNDER LABEL SHIFT 12

PAC PREDICTION SETS UNDER LABEL SHIFT

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12th International Conference on Learning Representations, ICLR 2024

作者： Si, Wenwen Park, Sangdon Lee, Insup Dobriban, Edgar Bastani, Osbert Department of Computer & Information Science University of Pennsylvania United States Graduate School of AI and Computer Science & Engineering POSTECH Korea Republic of Department of Statistics and Data Science University of Pennsylvania United States

Prediction sets capture uncertainty by predicting sets of labels rather than individual labels, enabling downstream decisions to conservatively account for all plausible outcomes. Conformal inference algorithms construct prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true label with high probability. These guarantees fail to hold in the face of distribution shift, which is precisely when reliable uncertainty quantification can be most useful. We propose a novel algorithm for constructing prediction sets with PAC guarantees in the label shift setting, where the probabilities of labels can differ between the source and target distributions. Our algorithm relies on constructing confidence intervals for importance weights by propagating uncertainty through a Gaussian elimination algorithm. We evaluate our approach on four datasets: the CIFAR-10 and ChestX-Ray image datasets, the tabular CDC Heart dataset, and the AGNews text dataset. Our algorithm satisfies the PAC guarantee while producing smaller prediction set sizes compared to several baselines. © 2024 12th International Conference on Learning Representations, ICLR 2024. All rights reserved.

关键词： Forecasting

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