版权所有:内蒙古大学图书馆 技术提供:维普资讯• 智图
内蒙古自治区呼和浩特市赛罕区大学西街235号 邮编: 010021
T=题名(书名、题名),A=作者(责任者),K=主题词,P=出版物名称,PU=出版社名称,O=机构(作者单位、学位授予单位、专利申请人),L=中图分类号,C=学科分类号,U=全部字段,Y=年(出版发行年、学位年度、标准发布年)
AND代表“并且”;OR代表“或者”;NOT代表“不包含”;(注意必须大写,运算符两边需空一格)
范例一:(K=图书馆学 OR K=情报学) AND A=范并思 AND Y=1982-2016
范例二:P=计算机应用与软件 AND (U=C++ OR U=Basic) NOT K=Visual AND Y=2011-2016
Energy system models (ESMs) inform the transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy. Optimal system design is influenced by the shape and magnitude of electricity demand. Demands will change as decarbonisation efforts across sectors aim at electrification. However, many ESMs oversimplify the complexity of demand changes driven by individual adoption decisions. Agent-based models (ABMs) allow for incorporating behavioural theories capturing this complexity, but rely on assumptions about factors like energy prices and emissions affecting adoption behaviour. This work introduces a novel framework, CanAdopt, that integrates an ABM with an ESM, alleviating assumption requirements in both models. The capabilities of the novel framework are demonstrated for scenario analysis of policy impacts in the energy and residential heating sectors. The ABM models heating technology adoption and residential electricity demands for the ESM, which optimises capacity expansion and yields electricity prices and embedded emissions for the ABM. Both models cover 2020–2050 and are executed sequentially eight times. Applied to Ontario, Canada, the most progressive scenario achieves net-zero by 2035 and 2040 in the residential sector and power sector, respectively. The total transition costs are 327 billion CAD in the residential sector and 395 billion CAD in the power sector. Cumulative heating related emissions increase by 43% through a five-year delay in achieving net-zero, underscoring the urgency of the transition. The governmental carbon abatement costs in the residential sector range from 72 to 110 CAD/(t CO2), well below the federal carbon tax of 170 CAD/(t CO2). The coupling of both models showed, that increased residential heat pump adoption may reduce total transition cost by 8 to 10 billion CAD in the power system, but the increases in demand may be challenging to meet if additionally electric furnaces are widely adopted.
电话和邮箱必须正确填写,我们会与您联系确认。
版权所有:内蒙古大学图书馆 技术提供:维普资讯• 智图
内蒙古自治区呼和浩特市赛罕区大学西街235号 邮编: 010021
暂无评论