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Using species ranges and macroeconomic data to fill the gap in costs of biological invasions

Nature ecology & evolution 2025年 2025 May 26页

作者： Ismael Soto Pierre Courtois Arman Pili Enrico Tordoni Eléna Manfrini Elena Angulo Céline Bellard Elizabeta Briski Miloš Buřič Ross N Cuthbert Antonín Kouba Melina Kourantidou Rafael L Macêdo Boris Leroy Phillip J Haubrock Franck Courchamp Brian Leung Faculty of Fisheries and Protection of Waters South Bohemian Research Center of Aquaculture and Biodiversity of Hydrocenoses University of South Bohemia in České Budějovice Vodňany Czech Republic. isma-sa@***. CEE-M University of Montpellier CNRS INRAE Instit Agro Montpellier France. School of Biological Sciences Faculty of Science Monash University Clayton Victoria Australia. Institute for Biochemistry and Biology University of Potsdam Potsdam Germany. Department of Botany Institute of Ecology and Earth Science University of Tartu Tartu Estonia. Université Paris-Saclay CNRS AgroParisTech Ecologie Société Evolution Gif sur Yvette France. Unité Biologie des Organismes et Ecosystèmes Aquatiques (BOREA UMR 8067) Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle Sorbonne Université Université de Caen Normandie CNRS IRD Université des Antilles Paris France. Estación Biológica de Doñana CSIC Seville Spain. GEOMAR Helmholtz-Zentrum für Ozeanforschung Kiel Kiel Germany. Faculty of Fisheries and Protection of Waters South Bohemian Research Center of Aquaculture and Biodiversity of Hydrocenoses University of South Bohemia in České Budějovice Vodňany Czech Republic. Institute for Global Food Security School of Biological Sciences Queen's University Belfast Belfast UK. AMURE University of Western Brittany Plouzané France. Department of Sociology Environmental and Business Economics University of Southern Denmark Esbjerg Denmark. Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Falmouth MA USA. Marine Policy Center Woods Hole MA USA. Graduate Program in Conservation and Ecotourism Federal University of Rio de Janeiro State Rio de Janeiro Brazil. Leibniz Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries (IGB) Berlin Germany. Institute of Biology Freie Universität Berlin Berlin Germany. Department of River Ecology and Conservation Senckenberg Research Institute and Natural History Museum Frankfurt Gelnhausen Germany. CAMB Center for Applied Mathematics and Bioinformatics Gulf

Biological invasions threaten global biodiversity, human well-being and economies. Many regional and taxonomic syntheses of monetary costs have been produced recently but with important knowledge gaps owing to uneven geographic and taxonomic research intensity. Here we combine species distribution models, macroeconomic data and the InvaCost database to produce the highest resolution spatio-temporal cost estimates currently available to bridge these gaps. From a subset of 162 invasive species with 'highly reliable' documented costs at the national level, our interpolation focuses on countries that have not reported any costs despite the known presence of invasive species. This analysis demonstrates a substantial underestimation, with global costs potentially estimated to be 1,646% higher for these species than previously recorded. This discrepancy was uneven geographically and taxonomically, respectively peaking in Europe and for plants. Our results showed that damage costs were primarily driven by gross domestic product, human population size, agricultural area and environmental suitability, whereas management expenditure correlated with gross domestic product and agriculture areas. We also found a lag time for damage costs of 46 years, but management spending was not delayed. The methodological predictive approach of this study provides a more complete view of the economic dimensions of biological invasions and narrows the global disparity in invasion cost reporting.

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The SRG/eROSITA All-Sky Survey: Dark Energy Survey Year 3 Weak Gravitational Lensing by eRASS1 selected Galaxy Clusters

arXiv

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arXiv 2024年

作者： Grandis, S. Ghirardini, V. Bocquet, S. Garrel, C. Mohr, J.J. Liu, A. Kluge, M. Kimmig, L. Reiprich, T.H. Alarcon, A. Amon, A. Artis, E. Bahar, Y.E. Balzer, F. Bechtol, K. Becker, M.R. Bernstein, G. Bulbul, E. Campos, A. Carnero Rosell, A. Carrasco Kind, M. Cawthon, R. Chang, C. Chen, R. Chiu, I. Choi, A. Clerc, N. Comparat, J. Cordero, J. Davis, C. Derose, J. Diehl, H.T. Dodelson, S. Doux, C. Drlica-Wagner, A. Eckert, K. Elvin-Poole, J. Everett, S. Ferte, A. Gatti, M. Giannini, G. Giles, P. Gruen, D. Gruendl, R.A. Harrison, I. Hartley, W.G. Herner, K. Huff, E.M. Kleinebreil, F. Kuropatkin, N. Leget, P.F. Maccrann, N. McCullough, J. Merloni, A. Myles, J. Nandra, K. Navarro-Alsina, A. Okabe, N. Pacaud, F. Pandey, S. Prat, J. Predehl, P. Ramos, M. Raveri, M. Rollins, R.P. Roodman, A. Ross, A.J. Rykoff, E.S. Sanchez, C. Sanders, J. Schrabback, T. Secco, L.F. Seppi, R. Sevilla-Noarbe, I. Sheldon, E. Shin, T. Troxel, M. Tutusaus, I. Varga, T.N. Wu, H. Yanny, B. Yin, B. Zhang, X. Zhang, Y. Alves, O. Bhargava, S. Brooks, D. Burke, D.L. Carretero, J. Costanzi, M. da Costa, L.N. Pereira, M.E.S. De Vicente, J. Desai, S. Doel, P. Ferrero, I. Flaugher, B. Friedel, D. Frieman, J. García-Bellido, J. Gutierrez, G. Hinton, S.R. Hollowood, D.L. Honscheid, K. James, D.J. Jeffrey, N. Lahav, O. Lee, S. Marshall, J.L. Menanteau, F. Ogando, R.L.C. Pieres, A. Plazas Malagón, A.A. Romer, A.K. Sanchez, E. Schubnell, M. Smith, M. Suchyta, E. Swanson, M.E.C. Tarle, G. Weaverdyck, N. Weller, J. Universität Innsbruck Institut für Astro- und Teilchenphysik Technikerstr. 25/8 Innsbruck6020 Austria Max Planck Institute for Extraterrestrial Physics Giessenbachstrasse 1 Garching85748 Germany Faculty of Physics Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München Scheinerstr. 1 Munich81679 Germany Universität Bonn Auf dem Hügel 71 Bonn53121 Germany Kavli Institute for Cosmology University of Cambridge Mading- ley Road CambridgeCB3 0HA United Kingdom Institute of Astronomy University of Cambridge Madingley Road CambridgeCB3 0HA United Kingdom Physics Department University of Wisconsin-Madison MadisonWI53706 United States Argonne National Laboratory 9700 South Cass Avenue LemontIL60439 United States Department of Physics and Astronomy University of Pennsylvania PhiladelphiaPA19104 United States Department of Physics Carnegie Mellon University PittsburghPA15312 United States Instituto de Astrofisica de Canarias Tenerife La LagunaE-38205 Spain Laboratório Interinstitucional de e-Astronomia - LIneA Rua Gal. José Cristino 77 RJ Rio de Janeiro20921-400 Brazil Universidad de La Laguna Dpto. Astrofísica Tenerife La LagunaE-38206 Spain Center for Astrophysical Surveys National Center for Supercom- puting Applications 1205 West Clark St. UrbanaIL61801 United States Department of Astronomy University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 1002 W. Green Street UrbanaIL61801 United States Physics Department William Jewell College LibertyMO64068 United States Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics University of Chicago ChicagoIL60637 United States Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics University of Chicago ChicagoIL60637 United States Department of Physics Duke University DurhamNC27708 United States Department of Physics National Cheng Kung University Tainan70101 Taiwan NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 8800 Greenbelt Rd Green- belt MD20771 United States IRAP Université de Toulouse CNRS UPS CNES Toulouse France Jodrell Bank Center f

Context. Number counts of galaxy clusters across redshift are a powerful cosmological probe, if a precise and accurate reconstruction of the underlying mass distribution is performed - a challenge called mass calibration. With the advent of wide and deep photometric surveys, weak gravitational lensing by clusters has become the method of choice to perform this measurement. Aims. We measure and validate the weak gravitational lensing (WL) signature in the shape of galaxies observed in the first 3 years of the Dark Energy Survey (DES Y3) caused by galaxy clusters and groups selected in the first all-sky survey performed by SRG (Spectrum Roentgen Gamma)/eROSITA (eRASS1). These data are then used to determine the scaling between X-ray photon count rate of the clusters and their halo mass and redshift. Methods. We empirically determine the degree of cluster member contamination in our background source sample. The individual cluster shear profiles are then analysed with a Bayesian population model that self-consistently accounts for the lens sample selection and contamination, and includes marginalization over a host of instrumental and astrophysical systematics. To quantify the accuracy of the mass extraction of that model, we perform mass measurements on mock cluster catalogs with realistic synthetic shear profiles. This allows us to establish that hydro-dynamical modelling uncertainties at low lens redshifts (z © 2024, CC BY.

关键词： Calibration

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Modeling binary time series using gaussian processes with application to predicting sleep states

arXiv

引用

arXiv 2017年

作者： Gao, Xu Shahbaba, Babak Ombao, Hernando Department of Statistics University of California IrvineCA United States Department of Cognitive Sciences University of California IrvineCA United States Program on Applied Mathematics and Computational Science King Abdullah University of Science and Technology

Motivated by the problem of predicting sleep states, we develop a mixed effects model for binary time series with a stochastic component represented by a Gaussian process. The fixed component captures the effects of covariates on the binary-valued response. The Gaussian process captures the residual variations in the binary response that are not explained by covariates and past realizations. We develop a frequentist modeling framework that provides efficient inference and more accurate predictions. Results demonstrate the advantages of improved prediction rates over existing approaches such as logistic regression, generalized additive mixed model, models for ordinal data, gradient boosting, decision tree and random forest. Using our proposed model, we show that previous sleep state and heart rates are significant predictors for future sleep states. Simulation studies also show that our proposed method is promising and robust. To handle computational complexity, we utilize Laplace approximation, golden section search and successive parabolic interpolation. With this paper, we also submit an R-package (HIBITS) that implements the proposed procedure. Copyright © 2017, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Gaussian noise (electronic)

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Search for continuous gravitational waves from 20 accreting millisecond x-ray pulsars in O3 LIGO data

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Physical Review D 2022年第2期105卷 022002-022002页

作者： R. Abbott T. D. Abbott F. Acernese K. Ackley C. Adams N. Adhikari R. X. Adhikari V. B. Adya C. Affeldt D. Agarwal M. Agathos K. Agatsuma N. Aggarwal O. D. Aguiar L. Aiello A. Ain T. Akutsu S. Albanesi A. Allocca P. A. Altin A. Amato C. Anand S. Anand A. Ananyeva S. B. Anderson W. G. Anderson M. Ando T. Andrade N. Andres T. Andrić S. V. Angelova S. Ansoldi J. M. Antelis S. Antier S. Appert Koji Arai Koya Arai Y. Arai S. Araki A. Araya M. C. Araya J. S. Areeda M. Arène N. Aritomi N. Arnaud S. M. Aronson K. G. Arun H. Asada Y. Asali G. Ashton Y. Aso M. Assiduo S. M. Aston P. Astone F. Aubin C. Austin S. Babak F. Badaracco M. K. M. Bader C. Badger S. Bae Y. Bae A. M. Baer S. Bagnasco Y. Bai L. Baiotti J. Baird R. Bajpai M. Ball G. Ballardin S. W. Ballmer A. Balsamo G. Baltus S. Banagiri D. Bankar J. C. Barayoga C. Barbieri B. C. Barish D. Barker P. Barneo F. Barone B. Barr L. Barsotti M. Barsuglia D. Barta J. Bartlett M. A. Barton I. Bartos R. Bassiri A. Basti M. Bawaj J. C. Bayley A. C. Baylor M. Bazzan B. Bécsy V. M. Bedakihale M. Bejger I. Belahcene V. Benedetto D. Beniwal T. F. Bennett J. D. Bentley M. BenYaala F. Bergamin B. K. Berger S. Bernuzzi D. Bersanetti A. Bertolini J. Betzwieser D. Beveridge R. Bhandare U. Bhardwaj D. Bhattacharjee S. Bhaumik I. A. Bilenko G. Billingsley S. Bini R. Birney O. Birnholtz S. Biscans M. Bischi S. Biscoveanu A. Bisht B. Biswas M. Bitossi M.-A. Bizouard J. K. Blackburn C. D. Blair D. G. Blair R. M. Blair F. Bobba N. Bode M. Boer G. Bogaert M. Boldrini L. D. Bonavena F. Bondu E. Bonilla R. Bonnand P. Booker B. A. Boom R. Bork V. Boschi N. Bose S. Bose V. Bossilkov V. Boudart Y. Bouffanais A. Bozzi C. Bradaschia P. R. Brady A. Bramley A. Branch M. Branchesi J. E. Brau M. Breschi T. Briant J. H. Briggs A. Brillet M. Brinkmann P. Brockill A. F. Brooks J. Brooks D. D. Brown S. Brunett G. Bruno R. Bruntz J. Bryant T. Bulik H. J. Bulten A. Buonanno R. Buscicchio D. Buskulic C. Buy R. L. Byer L. Cadonati G. Cagnoli C. Cahillane J. Calderón Bustillo J. D. Callaghan T. A. Callister E. Ca LIGO Laboratory California Institute of Technology Pasadena California 91125 USA Louisiana State University Baton Rouge Louisiana 70803 USA Dipartimento di Farmacia Università di Salerno I-84084 Fisciano Salerno Italy INFN Sezione di Napoli Complesso Universitario di Monte S. Angelo I-80126 Napoli Italy OzGrav School of Physics & Astronomy Monash University Clayton 3800 Victoria Australia LIGO Livingston Observatory Livingston Louisiana 70754 USA University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Milwaukee Wisconsin 53201 USA OzGrav Australian National University Canberra Australian Capital Territory 0200 Australia Max Planck Institute for Gravitational Physics (Albert Einstein Institute) D-30167 Hannover Germany Leibniz Universität Hannover D-30167 Hannover Germany Inter-University Centre for Astronomy and Astrophysics Pune 411007 India University of Cambridge Cambridge CB2 1TN United Kingdom Theoretisch-Physikalisches Institut Friedrich-Schiller-Universität Jena D-07743 Jena Germany University of Birmingham Birmingham B15 2TT United Kingdom Center for Interdisciplinary Exploration & Research in Astrophysics (CIERA) Northwestern University Evanston Illinois 60208 USA Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais 12227-010 São José dos Campos São Paulo Brazil Gravity Exploration Institute Cardiff University Cardiff CF24 3AA United Kingdom INFN Sezione di Pisa I-56127 Pisa Italy Gravitational Wave Science Project National Astronomical Observatory of Japan (NAOJ) Mitaka City Tokyo 181-8588 Japan Advanced Technology Center National Astronomical Observatory of Japan (NAOJ) Mitaka City Tokyo 181-8588 Japan INFN Sezione di Torino I-10125 Torino Italy Università di Napoli “Federico II” Complesso Universitario di Monte S. Angelo I-80126 Napoli Italy Université de Lyon Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 CNRS Institut Lumière Matière F-69622 Villeurbanne France Department of Physics The University of Tokyo Bunkyo-ku Tokyo 113-0033 Japan Research Center for the Early Un

Results are presented of searches for continuous gravitational waves from 20 accreting millisecond x-ray pulsars with accurately measured spin frequencies and orbital parameters, using data from the third observing run of the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors. The search algorithm uses a hidden Markov model, where the transition probabilities allow the frequency to wander according to an unbiased random walk, while the J-statistic maximum-likelihood matched filter tracks the binary orbital phase. Three narrow subbands are searched for each target, centered on harmonics of the measured spin frequency. The search yields 16 candidates, consistent with a false alarm probability of 30% per subband and target searched. These candidates, along with one candidate from an additional target-of-opportunity search done for SAX J1808.4−3658, which was in outburst during one month of the observing run, cannot be confidently associated with a known noise source. Additional follow-up does not provide convincing evidence that any are a true astrophysical signal. When all candidates are assumed nonastrophysical, upper limits are set on the maximum wave strain detectable at 95% confidence, h095%. The strictest constraint is h095%=4.7×10−26 from IGR J17062−6143. Constraints on the detectable wave strain from each target lead to constraints on neutron star ellipticity and r-mode amplitude, the strictest of which are ε95%=3.1×10−7 and α95%=1.8×10−5 respectively. This analysis is the most comprehensive and sensitive search of continuous gravitational waves from accreting millisecond x-ray pulsars to date.

关键词： Gravitational waves Binary stars Neutron stars & pulsars

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A broadband thermal emission spectrum of the ultra-hot Jupiter WASP-18b

arXiv

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arXiv 2023年

作者： Coulombe, Louis-Philippe Benneke, Björn Challener, Ryan Piette, Anjali A.A. Wiser, Lindsey S. Mansfield, Megan MacDonald, Ryan J. Beltz, Hayley Feinstein, Adina D. Radica, Michael Savel, Arjun B. Dos Santos, Leonardo A. Bean, Jacob L. Parmentier, Vivien Wong, Ian Rauscher, Emily Komacek, Thaddeus D. Kempton, Eliza M.-R. Tan, Xianyu Hammond, Mark Lewis, Neil T. Line, Michael R. Lee, Elspeth K.H. Shivkumar, Hinna Crossfield, Ian J.M. Nixon, Matthew C. Rackham, Benjamin V. Wakeford, Hannah R. Welbanks, Luis Zhang, Xi Batalha, Natalie M. Berta-Thompson, Zachory K. Changeat, Quentin Désert, Jean-Michel Espinoza, Néstor Goyal, Jayesh M. Harrington, Joseph Knutson, Heather A. Kreidberg, Laura López-Morales, Mercedes Shporer, Avi Sing, David K. Stevenson, Kevin B. Aggarwal, Keshav Ahrer, Eva-Maria Alam, Munazza K. Bell, Taylor J. Blecic, Jasmina Caceres, Claudio Carter, Aarynn L. Casewell, Sarah L. Crouzet, Nicolas Cubillos, Patricio E. Decin, Leen Fortney, Jonathan J. Gibson, Neale P. Heng, Kevin Henning, Thomas Iro, Nicolas Kendrew, Sarah Lagage, Pierre-Olivier Leconte, Jérémy Lendl, Monika Lothringer, Joshua D. Mancini, Luigi Mikal-Evans, Thomas Molaverdikhani, Karan Nikolov, Nikolay K. Ohno, Kazumasa Palle, Enric Piaulet, Caroline Redfield, Seth Roy, Pierre-Alexis Tsai, Shang-Min Venot, Olivia Wheatley, Peter J. Department of Physics Trottier Institute for Research on Exoplanets Université de Montréal MontréalQC Canada Department of Astronomy University of Michigan Ann ArborMI United States Earth and Planets Laboratory Carnegie Institution for Science WashingtonDC United States School of Earth and Space Exploration Arizona State University TempeAZ United States Steward Observatory University of Arizona TucsonAZ United States NHFP Sagan Fellow United States Department of Astronomy Carl Sagan Institute Cornell University NY United States Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics University of Chicago ChicagoIL United States NSF Graduate Research Fellow United States Department of Astronomy University of Maryland College ParkMD United States Center for Computational Astrophysics Flatiron Institute New YorkNY United States Space Telescope Science Institute BaltimoreMD United States Université Côte d’Azur Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur CNRS Laboratoire Lagrange France NASA Goddard Space Flight Center GreenbeltMD United States NASA Postdoctoral Program Fellow United States Tsung-Dao Lee Institute Shanghai Jiao Tong University Shanghai China School of Physics and Astronomy Shanghai Jiao Tong University Shanghai China Atmospheric Oceanic and Planetary Physics Department of Physics University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Department of Mathematics and Statistics Faculty of Environment Science and Economy University of Exeter Exeter United Kingdom Center for Space and Habitability University of Bern Bern Switzerland Anton Pannekoek Institute for Astronomy University of Amsterdam Amsterdam Netherlands Department of Physics & Astronomy University of Kansas LawrenceKS United States Department of Earth Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences Massachusetts Institute of Technology CambridgeMA United States Kavli Institute for Astrophysics and Space Research Massachusetts Institute of Technology CambridgeMA United States 51 Pegasi b Fellow France School of

Close-in giant exoplanets with temperatures greater than 2,000 K ("ultra-hot Jupiters") have been the subject of extensive efforts to determine their atmospheric properties using thermal emission measurements from the Hubble and Spitzer Space Telescopes1;2;3. However, previous studies have yielded inconsistent results because the small sizes of the spectral features and the limited information content of the data resulted in high sensitivity to the varying assumptions made in the treatment of instrument systematics and the atmospheric retrieval analysis3;4;5;6;7;8;9;10;11;12. Here we present a dayside thermal emission spectrum of the ultrahot Jupiter WASP-18b obtained with the NIRISS13 instrument on JWST. The data span 0.85 to 2.85 µm in wavelength at an average resolving power of 400 and exhibit minimal systematics. The spectrum shows three water emission features (at >6σ confidence) and evidence for optical opacity, possibly due to H−, TiO, and VO (combined significance of 3.8σ). Models that fit the data require a thermal inversion, molecular dissociation as predicted by chemical equilibrium, a solar heavy element abundance ("metallicity", M/H = 1.03+1.11−0.51 × solar), and a carbon-to-oxygen (C/O) ratio less than unity. The data also yield a dayside brightness temperature map, which shows a peak in temperature near the sub-stellar point that decreases steeply and symmetrically with longitude toward the terminators. © 2023, CC BY.

关键词： Molecular oxygen

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First Sagittarius A* Event Horizon Telescope Results. VI: Testing the Black Hole Metricc

arXiv

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arXiv 2023年

作者： Akiyama, Kazunori Alberdi, Antxon Alef, Walter Algaba, Juan Carlos Anantua, Richard Asada, Keiichi Azulay, Rebecca Bach, Uwe Baczko, Anne-Kathrin Ball, David Baloković, Mislav Barrett, John Bauböck, Michi Benson, Bradford A. Bintley, Dan Blackburn, Lindy Blundell, Raymond Bouman, Katherine L. Bower, Geoffrey C. Boyce, Hope Bremer, Michael Brinkerink, Christiaan D. Brissenden, Roger Britzen, Silke Broderick, Avery E. Broguiere, Dominique Bronzwaer, Thomas Bustamante, Sandra Byun, Do-Young Carlstrom, John E. Ceccobello, Chiara Chael, Andrew Chan, Chi-Kwan Chatterjee, Koushik Chatterjee, Shami Chen, Ming-Tang Chen, Yongjun Cheng, Xiaopeng Cho, Ilje Christian, Pierre Conroy, Nicholas S. Conway, John E. Cordes, James M. Crawford, Thomas M. Crew, Geoffrey B. Cruz-Osorio, Alejandro Cui, Yuzhu Davelaar, Jordy De Laurentis, Mariafelicia Deane, Roger Dempsey, Jessica Desvignes, Gregory Dexter, Jason Dhruv, Vedant Doeleman, Sheperd S. Dougal, Sean Dzib, Sergio A. Eatough, Ralph P. Emami, Razieh Falcke, Heino Farah, Joseph Fish, Vincent L. Fomalont, Ed Ford, H. Alyson Fraga-Encinas, Raquel Freeman, William T. Friberg, Per Fromm, Christian M. Fuentes, Antonio Galison, Peter Gammie, Charles F. García, Roberto Gentaz, Olivier Georgiev, Boris Goddi, Ciriaco Gold, Roman Gómez-Ruiz, Arturo I. Gómez, José L. Gu, Minfeng Gurwell, Mark Hada, Kazuhiro Haggard, Daryl Haworth, Kari Hecht, Michael H. Hesper, Ronald Heumann, Dirk Ho, Luis C. Ho, Paul Honma, Mareki Huang, Chih-Wei L. Huang, Lei Hughes, David H. Ikeda, Shiro Impellizzeri, C.M. Violette Inoue, Makoto Issaoun, Sara James, David J. Jannuzi, Buell T. Janssen, Michael Jeter, Britton Jiang, Wu Jiménez-Rosales, Alejandra Johnson, Michael D. Jorstad, Svetlana Joshi, Abhishek V. Jung, Taehyun Karami, Mansour Karuppusamy, Ramesh Kawashima, Tomohisa Keating, Garrett K. Kettenis, Mark Kim, Dong-Jin Kim, Jae-Young Kim, Jongsoo Kim, Junhan Kino, Motoki Koay, Jun Yi Kocherlakota, Prashant Kofuji, Yutaro Koch, Patrick M. Koyama, Shoko Kramer, Carsten Kramer, Michael Krichbaum, Thomas P. Ku Massachusetts Institute of Technology Haystack Observatory 99 Millstone Road WestfordMA01886 United States National Astronomical Observatory of Japan 2-21-1 Osawa Mitaka Tokyo181-8588 Japan Black Hole Initiative at Harvard University 20 Garden Street CambridgeMA02138 United States Instituto de Astrofísica de Andalucía-CSIC Glorieta de la Astronomía s/n GranadaE-18008 Spain Max-Planck-Institut für Radioastronomie Auf dem Hügel 69 BonnD-53121 Germany Department of Physics Faculty of Science Universiti Malaya Kuala Lumpur50603 Malaysia Center for Astrophysics Harvard & Smithsonian 60 Garden Street CambridgeMA02138 United States Department of Physics & Astronomy The University of Texas at San Antonio One UTSA Circle San AntonioTX78249 United States Institute of Astronomy and Astrophysics Academia Sinica 11F of Astronomy-Mathematics Building AS/NTU No. 1 Sec. 4 Roosevelt Rd Taipei10617 Taiwan Departament d’Astronomia i Astrofísica Universitat de València C. Dr. Moliner 50 Burjassot ValènciaE-46100 Spain Observatori Astronòmic Universitat de València C. Catedrático José Beltrán 2 València PaternaE-46980 Spain Steward Observatory Department of Astronomy University of Arizona 933 N. Cherry Ave. TucsonAZ85721 United States Yale Center for Astronomy & Astrophysics Yale University 52 Hillhouse Avenue New HavenCT06511 United States Department of Physics University of Illinois 1110 West Green Street UrbanaIL61801 United States Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory MS209 P.O. Box 500 BataviaIL60510 United States Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics University of Chicago 5640 South Ellis Avenue ChicagoIL60637 United States East Asian Observatory 660 N. A’ohoku Place HiloHI96720 United States 660 N. A’ohoku Place HiloHI96720 United States California Institute of Technology 1200 East California Boulevard PasadenaCA91125 United States Institute of Astronomy and Astrophysics Academia Sinica 645 N. A’ohoku Place HiloHI

Astrophysical black holes are expected to be described by the Kerr metric. This is the only stationary, vacuum, axisymmetric metric, without electromagnetic charge, that satisfies Einstein’s equations and does not have pathologies outside of the event horizon. We present new constraints on potential deviations from the Kerr prediction based on 2017 EHT observations of Sagittarius A∗ (Sgr A∗). We calibrate the relationship between the geometrically defined black hole shadow and the observed size of the ring-like images using a library that includes both Kerr and non-Kerr simulations. We use the exquisite prior constraints on the mass-to-distance ratio for Sgr A∗ to show that the observed image size is within ∼ 10% of the Kerr predictions. We use these bounds to constrain metrics that are parametrically different from Kerr as well as the charges of several known spacetimes. To consider alternatives to the presence of an event horizon we explore the possibility that Sgr A∗ is a compact object with a surface that either absorbs and thermally re-emits incident radiation or partially reflects it. Using the observed image size and the broadband spectrum of Sgr A∗, we conclude that a thermal surface can be ruled out and a fully reflective one is unlikely. We compare our results to the broader landscape of gravitational tests. Together with the bounds found for stellar mass black holes and the M87 black hole, our observations provide further support that the external spacetimes of all black holes are described by the Kerr metric, independent of their mass. © 2023, CC BY.

关键词： Black holes

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Euclid: Early Release Observations – A preview of the Euclid era through a galaxy cluster magnifying lens

arXiv

引用

arXiv 2024年

作者： Atek, Hakim Gavazzi, R. Weaver, J.R. Diego, J.M. Schrabback, T. Hatch, N.A. Aghanim, N. Dole, H. Hartley, W.G. Taamoli, S. Congedo, G. Jimenez-Teja, Y. Cuillandre, J.-C. Bañados, E. Belladitta, S. Bowler, R.A.A. Franco, M. Jauzac, M. Mahler, G. Richard, J. Rocci, P.-F. Serjeant, S. Toft, S. Abriola, D. Bergamini, P. Biviano, A. Dimauro, P. Ezziati, M. Golden-Marx, J.B. Grillo, C. Hughes, A.C.N. Kang, Y. Kneib, J.-P. Lombardi, M. Mamon, G.A. McPartland, C.J.R. Meneghetti, M. Miyatake, H. Montes, M. Mortlock, D.J. Oesch, P.A. Okabe, N. Rosati, P. Taylor, A.N. Tarsitano, F. Weller, J. Kluge, M. Laureijs, R. Paltani, S. Saifollahi, T. Schirmer, M. Stone, C. Mora, A. Altieri, B. Amara, A. Andreon, S. Auricchio, N. Baldi, M. Balestra, A. Bardelli, S. Basset, A. Bender, R. Bodendorf, C. Bonino, D. Branchini, E. Brescia, M. Brinchmann, J. Camera, S. Candini, G.P. Capobianco, V. Carbone, C. Cardone, V.F. Carretero, J. Casas, S. Castander, F.J. Castellano, M. Cavuoti, S. Cimatti, A. Conselice, C.J. Conversi, L. Copin, Y. Corcione, L. Courbin, F. Courtois, H.M. Da Silva, A. Degaudenzi, H. Di Giorgio, A.M. Dinis, J. Douspis, M. Dubath, F. Dupac, X. Dusini, S. Ealet, A. Farina, M. Farrens, S. Ferriol, S. Fotopoulou, S. Frailis, M. Franceschi, E. Galeotta, S. Gillard, W. Gillis, B. Giocoli, C. Gómez-Alvarez, P. Grazian, A. Grupp, F. Guzzo, L. Hailey, M. Haugan, S.V.H. Hoar, J. Hoekstra, H. Holliman, M.S. Holmes, W. Hook, I. Hormuth, F. Hornstrup, A. Hudelot, P. Jahnke, K. Jhabvala, M. Keihänen, E. Kermiche, S. Kiessling, A. Kitching, T. Kohley, R. Kubik, B. Kuijken, K. Kümmel, M. Kunz, M. Kurki-Suonio, H. Lahav, O. Le Mignant, D. Ligori, S. Lilje, P.B. Lindholm, V. Lloro, I. Maino, D. Maiorano, E. Mansutti, O. Marggraf, O. Markovic, K. Martinet, N. Marulli, F. Massey, R. Maurogordato, S. McCracken, H.J. Mei, S. Mellier, Y. Merlin, E. Meylan, G. Moresco, M. Moscardini, L. Nakajima, R. Nichol, R.C. Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris UMR 7095 CNRS Sorbonne Université 98 bis boulevard Arago Paris75014 France Aix-Marseille Université CNRS CNES LAM Marseille France Department of Astronomy University of Massachusetts AmherstMA01003 United States Instituto de Física de Cantabria Edificio Juan Jordá Avenida de los Castros Santander39005 Spain Universität Innsbruck Institut für Astro- und Teilchenphysik Technikerstr. 25/8 Innsbruck6020 Austria School of Physics and Astronomy University of Nottingham University Park NottinghamNG7 2RD United Kingdom Université Paris-Saclay CNRS Institut d’astrophysique spatiale Orsay91405 France Department of Astronomy University of Geneva ch. d’Ecogia 16 Versoix1290 Switzerland Physics and Astronomy Department University of California 900 University Ave. RiversideCA92521 United States Institute for Astronomy University of Edinburgh Royal Observatory Blackford Hill EdinburghEH9 3HJ United Kingdom Instituto de Astrofísica de Andalucía CSIC Glorieta de la Astronomía Granada18080 Spain Observatorio Nacional Rua General Jose Cristino 77-Bairro Imperial de Sao Cristovao Rio de Janeiro20921-400 Brazil Université Paris-Saclay Université Paris Cité CEA CNRS AIM Gif-sur-Yvette91191 France Max-Planck-Institut für Astronomie Königstuhl 17 Heidelberg69117 Germany INAF-Osservatorio di Astrofisica e Scienza dello Spazio di Bologna Via Piero Gobetti 93/3 Bologna40129 Italy Jodrell Bank Centre for Astrophysics Department of Physics and Astronomy University of Manchester Oxford Road ManchesterM13 9PL United Kingdom The University of Texas at Austin AustinTX78712 United States Department of Physics Centre for Extragalactic Astronomy Durham University South Road DH1 3LE United Kingdom Department of Physics Institute for Computational Cosmology Durham University South Road DH1 3LE United Kingdom Astrophysics Research Centre University of KwaZulu-Natal Westville Campus Durban4041 South Africa School of

We present the first analysis of the Euclid Early Release Observations (ERO) program that targets fields around two lensing clusters, Abell 2390 and Abell 2764. We use VIS and NISP imaging to produce photometric catalogs for a total of ∼ 500 000 objects. The imaging data reach a 5 σ typical depth in the range 25.1–25.4 AB in the NISP bands, and 27.1–27.3 AB in the VIS band. Using the Lyman-break method in combination with photometric redshifts, we search for high-redshift galaxies. We identify 30 Lyman-break galaxy (LBG) candidates at z > 6 and 139 extremely red sources (ERSs), most likely at lower redshift. The deeper VIS imaging compared to NISP means we can routinely identify high-redshift Lyman breaks of the order of 3 magnitudes, which reduces contamination by brown dwarf stars and low-redshift galaxies. The difficulty of spatially resolving most of these sources in 0′′ . 3 pix−1 imaging makes the distinction between galaxies and quasars more challenging. Spectroscopic followup campaigns of such bright sources will help constrain both the bright end of the ultraviolet galaxy luminosity function and the quasar luminosity function at z > 6, and constrain the physical nature of these objects. Additionally, we have performed a combined strong lensing and weak lensing analysis of A2390, and demonstrate how Euclid will contribute to better constraining the virial mass of galaxy clusters. From these data, we also identify optical and near-infrared counterparts of known z > 0.6 clusters, which exhibit strong lensing features, establishing the ability of Euclid to characterize high-redshift clusters. Finally, we provide a glimpse of Euclid’s ability to map the intracluster light out to larger radii than current facilities, enabling a better understanding of the cluster assembly history and mapping of the dark matter distribution. This initial dataset illustrates the diverse spectrum of legacy science that will be enabled by the Euclid survey. © 2024, CC BY.

关键词： Galaxies

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Classical many-particle systems with unique disordered ground states

arXiv

引用

arXiv 2017年

作者： Zhang, G. Stillinger, F.H. Torquato, S. Department of Chemistry Princeton University PrincetonNJ08544 Department of Chemistry Department of Physics Princeton Institute for the Science and Technology of Materials Program in Applied and Computational Mathematics Princeton University PrincetonNJ08544

Classical ground states (global energy-minimizing configurations) of many-particle systems arefitypically unique crystalline structures, implying zero enumeration entropy of distinct patterns (aside from trivial symmetry operations). By contrast, the few previously known disordered classical ground states of many-particle systems are all high-entropy (highly degenerate) states. Here we show computationally that our recently-proposed \perfect-glass" many-particle model [Sci. Rep., 6, 36963 (2016)] possesses disordered classical ground states with a zero entropy: a highly counterintuitive situation. For all of the system sizes, parameters, and space dimensions that we have numerically investigated, the disordered ground states are unique such that they can always be superposed onto each other or their mirror image. At low energies, the density of states obtained from simulations matches those calculated from the harmonic approximation near a single ground state, further confirming ground-state uniqueness. Our discovery provides singular examples in which entropy and disorder are at odds with one another. The zero-entropy ground states provide a unique perspective on the celebrated Kauzmann-entropy crisis in which the extrapolated entropy of a supercooled liquid drops below that of the crystal. We expect that our disordered unique patterns to be of value infields beyond glass physics, including applications in cryptography as pseudo-random functions with tunable computational complexity. Copyright © 2017, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Ground state

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Fisher information matrix of binary time series

arXiv

引用

arXiv 2017年

作者： Gao, Xu Ombao, Hernando Gillen, Daniel Department of Statistics University of California IrvineCA United States Department of Cognitive Sciences University of California IrvineCA United States Program on Applied Mathematics and Computational Science King Abdullah University of Science and Technology Saudi Arabia

A common approach to analyzing categorical correlated time series data is to fit a gen- eralized linear model (GLM) with past data as covariate inputs. There remain challenges to conducting inference for short time series length. By treating the historical data as covariate inputs, standard errors of estimates of GLM parameters computed using the empirical Fisher information do not fully account the auto-correlation in the data. To overcome this serious limitation, we derive the exact conditional Fisher information matrix of a general logistic autoregressive model with endogenous covariates for any series length T . Moreover, we also develop an iterative computational formula that allows for relatively easy implementation of the proposed estimator. Our simulation studies show that confidence intervals derived using the exact Fisher information matrix tend to be narrower than those utilizing the empirical Fisher information matrix while maintaining type I error rates at or below nominal levels. Further, we establish that the exact Fisher information matrix approaches, as T tends to infinity, the asymptotic Fisher information matrix previously derived for binary time series data. The developed exact conditional Fisher information matrix is applied to time-series data on respiratory rate among a cohort of expectant mothers where it is found to pro- vide narrower confidence intervals for functionals of scientific interest and lead to greater statistical power when compared to the empirical Fisher information matrix. Copyright © 2017, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Time series

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A new method of reconstructing images of gamma-ray telescopes applied to the LST-1 of CTAO

arXiv

引用

arXiv 2024年

作者： Abe, K. Abe, S. Abhishek, A. Acero, F. Aguasca-Cabot, A. Agudo, I. Alispach, C. Alvarez Crespo, N. Ambrosino, D. Antonelli, L.A. Aramo, C. Arbet-Engels, A. Arcaro, C. Asano, K. Aubert, P. Baktash, A. Balbo, M. Bamba, A. Baquero Larriva, A. Barres de Almeida, U. Barrio, J.A. Barrios Jiménez, L. Batkovic, I. Baxter, J. Becerra González, J. Bernardini, E. Bernete Medrano, J. Berti, A. Bezshyiko, I. Bhattacharjee, P. Bigongiari, C. Bissaldi, E. Blanch, O. Bonnoli, G. Bordas, P. Borkowski, G. Brunelli, G. Bulgarelli, A. Burelli, I. Burmistrov, L. Buscemi, M. Cardillo, M. Caroff, S. Carosi, A. Carrasco, M.S. Cassol, F. Castrejón, N. Cauz, D. Cerasole, D. Ceribella, G. Chai, Y. Cheng, K. Chiavassa, A. Chikawa, M. Chon, G. Chytka, L. Cicciari, G.M. Cifuentes, A. Contreras, J.L. Cortina, J. Costantini, H. Da Vela, P. Dalchenko, M. Dazzi, F. De Angelis, A. de Bony de Lavergne, M. De Lotto, B. de Menezes, R. Del Burgo, R. Del Peral, L. Delgado, C. Delgado Mengual, J. della Volpe, D. Dellaiera, M. Di Piano, A. Di Pierro, F. Di Tria, R. Di Venere, L. Díaz, C. Dominik, R.M. Dominis Prester, D. Donini, A. Dorner, D. Doro, M. Eisenberger, L. Elsässer, D. Emery, G. Escudero, J. Fallah Ramazani, V. Ferrarotto, F. Fiasson, A. Foffano, L. Freixas Coromina, L. Fröse, S. Fukazawa, Y. Garcia López, R. Gasbarra, C. Gasparrini, D. Geyer, D. Giesbrecht Paiva, J. Giglietto, N. Giordano, F. Gliwny, P. Godinovic, N. Grau, R. Green, D. Green, J. Gunji, S. Günther, P. Hackfeld, J. Hadasch, D. Hahn, A. Hassan, T. Hayashi, K. Heckmann, L. Heller, M. Herrera Llorente, J. Hirotani, K. Hoffmann, D. Horns, D. Houles, J. Hrabovsky, M. Hrupec, D. Hui, D. Iarlori, M. Imazawa, R. Inada, T. Inome, Y. Inoue, S. Ioka, K. Iori, M. Iuliano, A. Jimenez Martinez, I. Jimenez Quiles, J. Jurysek, J. Kagaya, M. Kalashev, O. Karas, V. Katagiri, H. Kataoka, J. Kerszberg, D. Kobayashi, Y. Kohri, K. Kong, A. Kubo, H. Kushida, J. Lainez, M. Lamanna, G. Lamastra, A. Lemoigne, L. Linhoff, M. Department of Physics Tokai University 4-1-1 Kita-Kaname Kanagawa Hiratsuka259-1292 Japan Institute for Cosmic Ray Research University of Tokyo 5-1-5 Kashiwa-no-ha Chiba Kashiwa277-8582 Japan Sezione di Fisica Via Roma 56 Siena53100 Italy Université Paris-Saclay Université Paris Cité CEA CNRS AIM Gif-sur-YvetteF-91191 Cedex France FSLAC IRL 2009 CNRS/IAC Tenerife La Laguna Spain Departament de Física Quàntica i Astrofísica Institut de Ciències del Cosmos Universitat de Barcelona IEEC-UB Martí i Franquès 1 Barcelona08028 Spain Instituto de Astrofísica de Andalucía-CSIC Glorieta de la Astronomía s/n Granada18008 Spain Department of Astronomy University of Geneva Chemin d’Ecogia 16 VersoixCH-1290 Switzerland IPARCOS-UCM Instituto de Física de Partículas y del Cosmos EMFTEL Department Universidad Complutense de Madrid Plaza de Ciencias 1. Ciudad Universitaria Madrid28040 Spain INFN Sezione di Napoli Via Cintia ed. G Napoli80126 Italy INAF Osservatorio Astronomico di Roma Via di Frascati 33 Monteporzio Catone00040 Italy Max-Planck-Institut für Physik Föhringer Ring 6 München80805 Germany INFN Sezione di Padova Università degli Studi di Padova Via Marzolo 8 Padova35131 Italy Univ. Savoie Mont Blanc CNRS Laboratoire d’Annecy de Physique des Particules IN2P3 Annecy74000 France Universität Hamburg Institut für Experimentalphysik Luruper Chaussee 149 Hamburg22761 Germany Graduate School of Science University of Tokyo 7-3-1 Hongo Bunkyo-ku Tokyo113-0033 Japan Faculty of Science and Technology Universidad del Azuay Cuenca Ecuador Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Físicas Rua Xavier Sigaud 150 RJ Rio de Janeiro22290-180 Brazil Instituto de Astrofísica de Canarias Departamento de Astrofísica Universidad de La Laguna C. Vía Láctea s/n Santa Cruz de Tenerife La Laguna38205 Spain CIEMAT Avda. Complutense 40 Madrid28040 Spain University of Geneva Département de Physique Nucléaire et Corpusculaire 24 Quai Ernest Ansernet

Context. Imaging atmospheric Cherenkov telescopes (IACTs) are used to observe very high-energy photons from the ground. Gamma rays are indirectly detected through the Cherenkov light emitted by the air showers they induce. The new generation of experiments, in particular the Cherenkov Telescope Array Observatory (CTAO), sets ambitious goals for discoveries of new gamma-ray sources and precise measurements of the already discovered ones. To achieve these goals, both hardware and data analysis must employ cutting-edge techniques. This also applies to the LST-1, the first IACT built for the CTAO, which is currently taking data on the Canary island of La Palma. Aims. This paper introduces a new event reconstruction technique for IACT data, aiming to improve the image reconstruction quality and the discrimination between the signal and the background from misidentified hadrons and electrons. Methods. The technique models the development of the extensive air shower signal, recorded as a waveform per pixel, seen by CTAO telescopes’ cameras. Model parameters are subsequently passed to random forest regressors and classifiers to extract information on the primary particle. Results. The new reconstruction was applied to simulated data and to data from observations of the Crab Nebula performed by the LST-1. The event reconstruction method presented here shows promising performance improvements. The angular and energy resolution, and the sensitivity, are improved by 10 to 20% over most of the energy range. At low energy, improvements reach up to 22%, 47%, and 50%, respectively. A future extension of the method to stereoscopic analysis for telescope arrays will be the next important step. Copyright © 2024, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Stereo image processing

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