We introduce ASAP2, an improved variant of the batch-means algorithm ASAP for steady-state simulation output analysis. ASAP2 operates as follows: the batch size is progressively increased until the batch means pass th...
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We introduce ASAP2, an improved variant of the batch-means algorithm ASAP for steady-state simulation output analysis. ASAP2 operates as follows: the batch size is progressively increased until the batch means pass the Shapiro-Wilk test for multivariate normality; and then ASAP2 delivers a correlation-adjusted confidence interval. The latter adjustment is based on an inverted Cornish-Fisher expansion for the classical batch means t-ratio, where the terms of the expansion are estimated via a first-order autoregressive time series model of the batch means. ASAP2 is a sequential procedure designed to deliver a confidence interval that satisfies a prespecified absolute or relative precision requirement. When used in this way, ASAP2 compares favorably to ASAP and the well-known procedures ABATCH and LBATCH with respect to close conformance to the precision requirement as well as coverage probability and mean and variance of the half-length of the final confidence interval.
作者:
Baker, CKrull, RSnyder, GLincoln, WMalone, TBClifford C. Baker
CIE CHFEP is a senior staff scientist at Carlow International Incorporated. He has applied most of his 24 years of experience in the application of human engineering technology to maritime systems. Mr. Baker has directed much of Carlow's efforts to reduce ship workload and to improve human performance and maritime safety through application of human factors methods and data. He is a Certified Industrial Ergonomist (CIE) as well as a Certified Human Factors Engineering Professional (CHFEP). Both certifications were granted by Oxford Research where Mr. Baker also serves as an Advisory Board member. Russell D. Krull
P.E. is a senior engineer with A&T/Proteus Engineering with more than 18 years of experi-ence in marine engineering naval architecture and program management including 16 years of active duty in the U.S. Coast Guard. Recent experience includes advanced ship design studies engineering software development technical support for the USMC Advanced Amphibious Assault Vehicle propulsion systems analyses ship structural engineering and cargo handling systems engineering. Mr. Krull has an M.S.E. in naval architecture and marine engineering and an M.S.E. in industrial and operations engineering from University of Michigan and a B.S. in ocean engineering from the U.S. Coast Guard Academy. Capt. Glenn L. Snyder
USCG. Regrettably since this paper was originally written Capt. Snyder has passed away. At the time of his death he was an operations specialist assigned to the Coast Guard's Deepwater Capabilities Replacement Project as Chief of Human Systems Integration. He served as commanding officer of the patrol boat Cape George (WPB-95306) the icebreaking tug Biscayne Bay (WTGB-104) and the cutter Legare (WMEC-911). A 1975 graduate of the U.S. Coast Guard Academy Capt. Snyder held an M.A. in national security and strategic studies from the U.S. Naval War College and an M.A. in international relations from Salve Regina College. In addition he was a 1998 fellow of the Foreign Service
The U.S. Coast Guard is in the concept exploration phase of its Integrated Deepwater System (IDS) acquisition project. This project will define the next generation of surface, air and command, control, communications,...
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The U.S. Coast Guard is in the concept exploration phase of its Integrated Deepwater System (IDS) acquisition project. This project will define the next generation of surface, air and command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (C4ISR) assets used to perform the Coast Guard's missions in the IDS environment (>50 NM off the U. S. coastline). As part of early technology investigations, the needs exist to: (1) analyze the workload requirements of the IDS, (2) identify alternative means to perform ship's work, and (3) optimize ship manning consistent with ship workload, performance criteria, and the available tools and equipment aboard. To reduce shipboard work requires an understanding of the mission and support requirements placed on the vessel and crew, how these requirements are currently met, and how requirements might otherwise be met to reduce workload and crew size. This study examined currently implemented workload and manpower reducing approaches of commercial maritime fleets, U.S. and foreign navies, and foreign coastguards. These approaches were analyzed according to evaluation criteria approved by the IDS acquisition project team. From this, strategies for shipboard work reduction that may be considered for adoption by the IDS were identified and analyzed according to performance and costs factors. Ten workload-reducing strategies were identified: damage control, bridge, multiple crewing, engineering, risk acceptance, modularity, deck, enabling technologies, ship/personnel readiness, and operability and maintainability.
We present a technique for analyzing a simulation metamodel that has been constructed using a variance-stabilizing transformation. To compute a valid confidence interval for the expected value of the original simulati...
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We present a technique for analyzing a simulation metamodel that has been constructed using a variance-stabilizing transformation. To compute a valid confidence interval for the expected value of the original simulation response at a selected factor-level combination (design point), we first compute the corresponding confidence interval for the transformed response at that factor-level combination and then untransform the endpoints of the resulting confidence interval. Taking the midpoint of the untransformed confidence interval as our point estimator of the expected simulation response at the selected factor-level combination and approximating the variance of this point estimator via the delta method, we formulate an approximate two-sample student t-test for validating our metamodel-based estimator versus the results of making independent runs of the simulation at the selected factor-level combination. We illustrate this technique in a case study involving the design of a manufacturing cell, and we compare our results with those of a more conventional approach to analyzing transformed-based simulation metamodels. A Monte Carlo performance evaluation shows that significantly better confidence-interval coverage is maintained with the proposed procedure over a wide range of values for the residual variance of the transformed metamodel.
The U.S. Navy recently conducted an analysis of alternatives (AOA) to set the stage for determining the characteristics and acquisition strategy for its next generation aircraft carrier. The platform design selected i...
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The U.S. Navy recently conducted an analysis of alternatives (AOA) to set the stage for determining the characteristics and acquisition strategy for its next generation aircraft carrier. The platform design selected is expected to be in service throughout the 21st century. The parameters under consideration for change in the new carrier design lie in the areas of propulsion and electric power generation, aviation, survivability, service life, and total ownership cost (TOC) reduction. The issue of affordability is paramount This paper focuses on the need for the program management office and its supporting cost analysis staff to understand the life cycle cost (LCC) of the existing and proposed future aircraft carriers and to then translate these LCC's into meaningful information for cost-conscious decision making. The challenge is to relate the LCC in terms the key decision-makers and the engineering team can use to satisfy their respective roles. Thus, it is necessary to translate the results of the given ship design alternative LCC's into the paradigms of the respective stakeholders: Fleet User (operators of aircraft carriers) Ship Designers (translators of the fleet operator requirements) program Sponsors (providers of the funding resources) program Management Office, Ship builder and Supporting Industry (executors of the acquisition and construction of the ship) Navy and OSD decision-makers (overseers of program execution) The paper describes the aircraft carrier LCC breakdown structure that has resulted, in part, from a recent navy/shipbuilder integrated product team effort to capture total ownership costs. The structure has been used in the AOA as a tool to identify cost drivers and to add the time element to the cast equation in order to perform return on investment and program affordability analysis. The expanded ship work breakdown structure (ESWBS) has emerged as the central backbone of the cost work breakdown for AOA work. The ESWBS structure is a natural
This paper describes the results of the working group investigating the issues of empirical studies for evolving systems. The groups found that there were many issues that were central to successful evolution and this...
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This paper describes the results of the working group investigating the issues of empirical studies for evolving systems. The groups found that there were many issues that were central to successful evolution and this concluded that this is a very important area within software engineering. Finally nine main areas were selected for consideration. For each of these areas the central issues were identified as well as success factors. In some cases success stories were also described and the critical factors accounting for the success analyzed. In some cases it was later found that a number of areas were so tightly coupled that it was important to discuss them together.
作者:
Nyer, EKMayfield, PHughes, JEvan K. Nyer is a vice president with ARCADIS Geraghty & Miller Inc.
where he is responsible for maintaining and expanding the company's technical expertise in geology/hydrogeology engineering modeling risk assessment and bioremediation. He has been active in the development of new treatment technologies for many years. His areas of research interest include biological treatment suspended solids separation chemical oxidation in situ treatment air treatment systems and the application of new technologies to ground water cleanup. He has been responsible for the strategies technical design and installation of more than 200 ground water and soil remediation systems at contaminated sites throughout the United States. Paulette Mayfield is the project manager for engineering services in ARCADIS Geraghty & Miller Inc. 's Austin
Texas office. As such she manages engineering projects conducted by the office and also provides engineering and regulatory support for projects conducted by ARCADIS Geraghty & Miller nationwide. She is also a member of ARCADIS Geraghty & Miller's compliance audit team and has participated in or managed numerous projects associated with RCRA program compliance solid and hazardous waste management regulatory analysis and compliance planning and facility closure/demolition/ property redevelopment. She has participated in the design operation management and evaluation of numerous bioremediation projects including hazardous waste land treatment units petroleumcontaminated soil remediation projects and ground water natural attenuation and enhanced natural attenuation projects. Mayfield also conducted two years of laboratory research involving the in situ biodegradation of petroleum products. She received her graduate degree in environmental engineering from Texas Tech University and has co-authored several publications addressing in situ bioremediation techniques. Joseph D. Hughes is a hydrogeologist in ARCADIS Geraghty & Miller's Tampa
Florida office. His areas of research int
The historical analytical data collected at Murdock demonstrate that: Constitutent concentrations in ground water in the area of highest known contaminant concentrations and along the flow path downgradient of that ar...
The historical analytical data collected at Murdock demonstrate that: Constitutent concentrations in ground water in the area of highest known contaminant concentrations and along the flow path downgradient of that area decreased over the 3.5-year period when we began monitoring at the site and when we conducted the biogeochemical study. The ground water plume has stabilized and will not move further south. Chlorinated hydrocarbon parent products (TCE and 1,1,1-TCA) are degrading to their daughter products (1,1-DCA, 1,1-DCE, and cis-1,2-DCE) and thence to VC. The estimated total mass of chlorinated hydrocarbons dissolved in ground water was reduced from 1032 to 346 pounds between 1993 and the end of 1996 (approximately 66%). However, the scoring from the AFCEE protocol showed that there was only 'limited' evidence of biological dechlorination occurring at the site.
作者:
Nickens, ADPizzino, JFCrane, CHAnthony D. Nickens:is the research and development progrma a manager for the Navy's Environmental Protection Program at the Naval Sea Systems Command's Ship Research Development and Standards Group (Sea 03R).He is responsible for overseeing
directing and funding the design and development of shipboard systems and precedures to assure compliance with maritime environmental laws and regulations He holds an M.B.A. degree from the Florida Institute of Technology an M.S. degree in chemical engineering from the University of Florida and a B.S. degree i chemical engineering magna cum laude from the North Carolina State University. In addition he successufully completed the twenty-week Program Management Course at the Defense Systems management College in Fort Belvoir Virginia and the Executive Program at the University of Virginia Darden Graduate School of Business. He is also an engineering duty officer in the Navy reserves and a previous author and frequent contributor to Naval Engineers Journal. Josepe F. Pizzino:is a Naval Surface Warfare Center Carderock Division Employee working at the Naval Sea Systems Command's Ship Research
Development and Standards Group (Sea 03R). He is a research and development program manager for the Navy's Environment Protection Program responsible for overseeing directing and funding the design and development of shipboard systems and procedures to assure combliance with maritime environment laws and regulations. Prior to his present assignment he was project engineer for the development os shipboard and life-boat reverse osmosis desalination systems both of which are persently being unstalled aboard Navy ships. He holds a B.S. in chemical engineering from the University of Marland and an M.S. degree in chimical engineering from The Catholic Uhiversity of America. Chirstopher H. Crane:is a senior scientist at Geo-Centrs
Inc. where he has provided technical program and dcumentation support for Navy headquarters shipboard environmental programs since 1989. Previouss grover
Navy ships must be able to operate anywhere in the world and visit any port unencumbered by environmental restrictions. The Office of the Chief of Naval Operations (OCNO) has formulated a vision for the environmentall...
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Navy ships must be able to operate anywhere in the world and visit any port unencumbered by environmental restrictions. The Office of the Chief of Naval Operations (OCNO) has formulated a vision for the environmentally sound ship of the 21st century, which will ensure compliance with environmental requirements applicable to Navy ships, while maintaining fleet effectiveness and readiness. Navy ships generate a variety of solid and liquid wastes and atmospheric emissions. Ships have limited capabilities for holding wastes for offload to shore. Working closely with the OCNO, the Naval Sea systems Command (NavSea) is developing systems, equipment, and procedures to process and manage ship wastes in an environmentally responsible manner. Several pieces of shipboard equipment have been successfully developed to process solid and liquid waste, hazardous materials and ozone-depleting substances (ODSs). The technologies and practices being developed under this program will: ensure compliance with environmental laws and regulations, significantly reduce the logistic burdens and costs associated with shoreside offload and disposal of ship wastes, implement Navy environmental and occupational safety and health policies, enhance the quality of life aboard ship, and continue the Navy's leadership role in protecting the marine environment.
The objectives of Human engineering (HE) are generally viewed as increasing human performance, reducing human error, enhancing personnel and equipment safety, and reducing training and related personnel costs. There a...
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The objectives of Human engineering (HE) are generally viewed as increasing human performance, reducing human error, enhancing personnel and equipment safety, and reducing training and related personnel costs. There are other benefits that are thoroughly consistent with the direction of the Navy of the future, chief among these is reduction of required numbers of personnel to operate and maintain Navy ships. The Naval Research Advisory Committee (NRAC) report on Man-Machine Technology in the Navy estimated that one of the benefits from increased application of man-machine technology to Navy ship design is personnel reduction as well as improving system availability, effectiveness, and safety The objective of this paper is to discuss aspects of the human engineering design of ships and systems that affect manning requirements, and impact human-performance and safety The paper will also discuss how the application of human engineering leads to improved performance, and crew safety, and reduced workload, all of which influence manning levels. Finally, the paper presents a discussion of tools and case studies of good human engineering design practices which reduce manning.
This paper describes the implementation of transmission-line matrix (TLM) method algorithms on a massively parallel computer (DECmpp 12000), the technique of distributed computing in the UNIX environment, and the comb...
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This paper describes the implementation of transmission-line matrix (TLM) method algorithms on a massively parallel computer (DECmpp 12000), the technique of distributed computing in the UNIX environment, and the combination of TLM analysis with Prony's method as well as with autoregressive moving average (ARMA) digital signal processing for electromagnetic field modelling. By combining these advanced computation techniques, typical electromagnetic field modelling of microwave structures by TLM analysis can be accelerated by a few orders of magnitude.
Contents and implementation of a computer laboratory for undergraduate electromagnetics are described. The laboratory consists of four 3-hour sessions covering vector calculus, Maxwell's equations (integral and di...
Contents and implementation of a computer laboratory for undergraduate electromagnetics are described. The laboratory consists of four 3-hour sessions covering vector calculus, Maxwell's equations (integral and differential forms), wave propagation in materials, and wave behavior at planar interfaces. Each session contains theory (in the Help file), animations (where relevant) and a quiz. The program runs on IBM compatible 486-based PCs in a Windows environment and uses the Borland C ++ 4.0 compiler.
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