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STATISTICAL ISSUES AND PROBLEMS IN GROUND-WATER DETECTION MONITORING AT HAZARDOUS-WASTE FACILITIES

GROUND WATER MONITORING AND REMEDIATION 1988年第4期8卷 135-150页

作者： MCNICHOLS, RJ DAVIS, CB Roger J. McNichols is a professor of industrial engineering at the University of Toledo (Department of Industrial Engineering University of Toledo Toledo OH 43606). After receiving his Ph.D in industrial engineering from The Ohio State University he joined the faculty of Texas A and M University where he directed the Maintainability Engineering Graduate Program at Red River Army Depot. At UT he has served as associate dean of engineering and as chairman of the Systems engineering doctoral program. His research and consulting interests include reliability quality control manufacturing mathematical modeling and applied statistics. Charles B. Davis is an associate professor of mathematics at the University of Toledo (Department of Mathematics University of Toledo Toledo OH 43606). After receiving his M.S. in mathematics and statistics and his Ph.D. in statistics from the University of New Mexico he joined the Mathematics Department at UT where he established the graduate program in statistics. His research and consulting interests include statistical modeling statistical computation simultaneous inference and data analysis.

Ground water monitoring presents interesting statistical challenges, including controlling the risk of entering compliance monitoring, incorporating all modes of inherent variability into the statistical model on which tests are based, and taming the detection limit problem, all while maintaining demonstrable sensitivity to real contamination. Some of these challenges exceed textbook statistics considerably, even when considered alone, and good solutions are scarce. When these challenges are combined, the task of developing good statistical procedures or good regulations can be formidable. This article presents a number of realities of ground water monitoring that should be considered when developing statistical procedures. Recommendations made for addressing these realities include the following: (1) the false positive rate should be controlled on a facility-wide basis, rather than per well or per parameter as required in the proposed regulation (40 CFR §264); (2) multiple comparisons with control procedures are preferable to analysis of variance (ANOVA) for controlling the overall false positive rate; (3) retests can be made an explicit part of the statistical procedure in order to increase power and decrease sensitivity to distribution shape assumptions; (4) commonly used simple methods of handling below detection limit data with parametric tests, including Cohen's procedure as implemented in the U.S. EPA's Technical Enforcement Guidance Document (TEGD), should probably be avoided; (5) the statistical properties of practical quantitation limits for non-naturally occurring compounds should be studied carefully; and (6) so long as the facility-wide false positive rate is controlled, better sensitivity to real contamination is obtained by monitoring fewer well-chosen parameters at a smaller number of well-chosen locations. An evaluation of the proposed revised §264 regulation with respect to these realities reveals that it seems to be a definite improvement over the

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SHIPBOARD STOWAGE OF FLAMMABLE AND COMBUSTIBLE LIQUIDS

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NAVAL ENGINEERS JOURNAL 1986年第3期98卷 199-208页

作者： DROPIK, MV graduated from the University of Detroit in 1969 with a bachelor of science degree in mechanical engineering. He began his Navy career that year with the Naval Ship Systems Command PMS-382 Ship Acquisition Manager for Mine Patrol and Yardcraft. In 1971 he transferred to the General Arrangements and Habitability Design Branch of the Naval Ship Engineering Center. From 1971–1972 he attended graduate school at the University of California at Berkeley through the Navy's long-term training program and received his master's degree in industrial engineering. He currently heads the Auxiliary/Amphibious/Minecraft/Special Projects Branch of NAVSEA's Arrangements Design Division. His duties in this capacity include those of program manager of the U.S. Navy's flammable liquids program a position which he has held for the last eight years. His experience encompasses the general arrangements habitability storeroom and office design of aviation auxiliary amphibious mine warfare and high performance ships and craft.

The uncontrolled proliferation of flammables and combustibles aboard ship, in addition to posing an obvious fire and explosive hazard, has seriously degraded the survivability and increased the vulnerability characteristics of U.S. Navy surface ships. This problem for the most part has been superficially attributed to a widespread shortage of flammable and combustible stowage capacity. As a result, current solutions have been limited to increasing stowage capacity through additional storerooms and development of more efficient stowage aids. Unfortunately, these solutions simply address the symptoms, are of a corrective nature, and do not eliminate the fundamental causes of the problem. The paper conducts a more systematic and comprehensive investigation into identifying and resolving the flammable liquids problem by considering it from a ship life cycle perspective. In this way, the problem is shown to be the resultant accumulation of a number of causes which occur during a ship's design, construction, and operational phases, and which collectively manifest themselves as a major shortage of flammable and combustible liquid stowage space aboard current fleet ships. Actions are then formulated to eliminate or counteract these fundamental causes, and validated by application to a hypothetical case study.

关键词： NAVAL VESSELS

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SHIP ENERGY-CONSERVATION ASSIST TEAM (SECAT)

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NAVAL ENGINEERS JOURNAL 1984年第2期96卷 47-58页

作者： DANGEL, R BRICE, AE The Authors A. Edward Brice was born and educated in Scotland where he graduated from the James Watt Memorial College and Paisley Technical College. His earliest marine engineering experience was obtained at Scotts's Shipbuilding and Engineering Company Limited from 1952 to 1959 where he was involved in the production and design of steam and diesel machinery plants for both Naval and commercial ships. During a five year stay in Canada Mr. Brice gained diversified experience in industries other than marine such as petrochemical plants and steel mills. He moved to the U.S. in 1964 where he was the design supervisor in charge of marine engineering at NASSCO covering new construction for American President Lines AFS type ships for the U.S. Navy Project Mohole Car Ferries for the State of Washington and 17 LST's for the U.S. Navy. During the contract definition phase of the DD-963 Mr. Brice authored several portions of the technical proposal while employed by Litton industries. He was also responsible for the system and detail design including the technical management of sub-contracts for the steam propulsion plant for the LHA 1 Class ships. Mr. Brice has been active in the Washington area for the last ten years performing marine engineering projects for the U.S. Navy. His principal interest since 1974 has been in shipboard energy conservation. He assisted in the development of the NavySTMSYS program and later in the operational verification aboard FF-1074. Mr. Brice has conducted four SECA T visits aboard ships with 1200 PSI steam plants and has recently completed an at-sea visit aboard on AOR with a 600 PSI steam plant. Richard Dangel was bom in New York City. He received his Bachelor's degree from the Sloan School of Industrial Management of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1955. He has also completed graduate work for a Masters in Engineering Administration at George Washington University. Since graduation he has spent 11 years in private industry with companies in the DOD engineering research

The Ship Energy Conservation Assist Team (SECAT) program was initiated in Fiscal Year (FY) 82 by the Naval Sea systems Command (NAVSEA) to demonstrate and introduce individual Ship Commands to known energy conserving techniques without adding equipment complexity or additional maintenance burden. The principal objective is to provide each ship with an energy consumption, coupled with recommended energy conservation strategies. The technique involves both in-port and underway monitoring and introduction of energy efficient machinery plant alignments, fuel consumption curve generation, and most efficient speed curves. The program has completed visits on six combatants and enjoys the support of both the Commander, Naval Surface Forces, U.S. Atlantic Fleet (COMNAVSURFLANT) and the Commander-in-Chief, U.S. Atlantic Fleet (CINCLANT). Plans are to perform SECAT on additional DDG 2 and FF 1052/1078 Class ships and initiate SECAT on additional ship types in FY 83.

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The initial transient problem—estimating transient and steady state performance 83

The initial transient problem—estimating transient and stea...

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Proceedings of the 15th conference on Winter simulation - Volume 1

作者： S. J. Deutsch J. E. Richards C. Fernandez-Torres School of Industrial and Systems Engineering Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta GA Graduate Program in Operations Research N.C. State University Raleigh NC

In this paper, Deutsch, Richards and Fernandez-Torres (1983) fit relaxed time series (RARMA) models to transient and steady state data from a simulated M/M/1 queue and a nonstationary queueing network. Both systems are initially empty and idle. The statistical identification procedure (Richards 1983) for the RARMA model class is illustrated. Improved estimates of the steady state mean of the M/M/1, and of the polynominal in time of the network's nonstationary “steady state” performance, are obtained by including the identified transient model in the RARMA regression.

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SEALIFT CAPABILITIES AND SEA SHED

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NAVAL ENGINEERS JOURNAL 1982年第2期94卷 61-67页

作者： ROCHE, JJ CORKREY, R BENEN, L Mr. John Roche:graduated from the State University of New York Maritime College with a bachelors degree in marine engineering and received an M.B.A. from the Wharton School. He worked as a Designer in the Engineering Technical Department of Newport News Shipbuilding and Drydock Co. and he sailed with a number of U.S. flag companies as an Engineering Officer. He joined the Maritime Administration in 1967 and is currently the Assistant for Program Development and Control in the Office of Research and Development. He is a member of ASNE and SNAME. Mr. Ron Corkrey:received B.B.A and M.B.A degrees from the Golden Gate University and was later a guest lecturer there and at other universities. From 1955 to 1969 he held various positions with the Matson Navigation Company ranging from Systems Analyst to Pier Superintendent. From 1969 to 1971 he was the Northern California District Manager for Signal Trucking Service Ltd. He joined the Maritime Administration in 1971 as a Transportation Specialist in the Western Region Office and he is now in Washington D. C. as Program Manager for Cargo Systems R&D. He is a member of the SNAME D31 (Cargo Handling) Panel. Mr. Larry Benen:received his B.S. degree from the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy and a M.S. degree from George Washington University. He is a graduate of the Industrial College of the Armed Forces (ICAF). He has been employed as a research program manager for the Naval Sea Systems Command since 1967 in the areas of Hydromotions and Logistics. He is presently the Program Manager for the Merchant Ship Naval Augmentation Program Exploratory Logistics Experimental Ships and Strategic Sealift Procurement Program.

Projecting our power to far corners of the earth depends on a strategic mobility triad composed of: airlift, prepositioned equipment, and sealift. Airlift can move personnel effectively and limited supplies quickly over great distances. Prepositioned equipment and supplies can extend the effectiveness of those personnel if the circumstances are right, and if we have chosen our positioning sites well. Sealift will provision the lion's share of any protracted engagement, and the ships of the Merchant Marine are a key element in our sealift resources. This paper describes various ways that the Merchant Fleet is being made more responsive to its possible role as a naval auxiliary, and it describes a new concept called SEA SHED which can quickly expand the versatility of Containerships. Containerships have revolutionized marine transportation and they now represent a large and growing portion of the Commercial Fleet. They are limited in the types of cargo they can carry, however, excluding much of the larger equipment required by military units. SEA SHED is a cargo module which fits into the cell guides of a Containership and effectively converts it to a 'tween deck, break-bulk ship which can carry almost all military equipment.

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SHIPBOARD MAIN BOILER AND FEED PUMP CONTROL-SYSTEM ONLINE ALIGNMENT VERIFICATION

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NAVAL ENGINEERS JOURNAL 1982年第6期94卷 39-46页

作者： BANHAM, JW ADAM, DJ James W. Banham:holds positions both as Director of the Machinery Automation Systems Department of the Naval Ship Systems Engineering Station and as Assistant Chairman of the Mechanical and Industrial Engineering Department of Drexel University's Evening College where he holds the rank of Adjunct Associate Professor. He is the author of a text on Numerical Methods Applications in Engineering. In addition to numerous technical papers he is also the author of the ISA film on Boiler Feedwater Control Systems. A registered professional engineer in the state of Pennsylvania Mr. Banham is co-author of a forthcoming handbook on preparing for the Professional Engineering Examination in mechanical engineering. Mr. Banham holds a bachelor of science degree in mechanical engineering from the Pennsylvania State University his graduate studies were taken at the University of Pennsylvania. He is currently a member of the American Society for Engineering Education and the Instrument Society of America. He served as a member of the ISA Education Committee from 1964 through 1973 and as a member of the ISA Power Plant Dynamics Committee since 1969. His service on the latter committee includes terms as Executive Secretary Vice-Chairman and Chairman. Among other honors Mr. Banham was the winner of the Naval Ship Engineering Center's first Technical Achievement Award (1963) Technical Publication Award (1974) and Equal Employment Opportunity Award (1978). He was also the recipient of Drexel University's Laura S. Campbell Award for Excellence in Teaching (1978). He has taught undergraduate courses in classical control theory numerical methods computer programming systems design and analysis and instrumentation. He also teaches systems theory and computer science in an EIT Review and heat transfer in a PE Review conducted by the Drexel University Department of Continuing Professional Education. Mr. David J. Adam:is a Project Engineer in the Naval Sea Systems Command (PMS301) Steam Propulsion Plant Improvement Program where he i

One of the most serious problems encountered in Naval steam plants following World War II was the unreliable performance of boiler and main feedpump pneumatic control systems. In addition to control component and system design deficiencies, these control systems suffered from inadequate methods to measure and adjust system alignment. This paper describes the development of a set of procedures for on-line alignment verification (OLV) of pneumatic main boiler and feedpump control systems. The procedures are designed for use by N avy control system technicians and, in addition to on-line alignment verification, provide guidance for troubleshooting and for performing system alignment. Procedure static checks measure steady state steaming performance and OLV procedure dynamic checks measure the ability of the boiler and control systems to respond to load changes. The paper describes typical control system characteristics that influence OLV procedure content and the supporting analysis that was used to establish alignment criteria ranges that satisfy both steady state and transient performance requirements. Also described is the alignment criteria tolerance analysis along with the steps involved in a typical OLV check procedure development. Descriptions of the various OLV checks, troubleshooting procedures and alignment procedures are provided. Typical shipboard implementation requirements are described and experience to date with the procedures is provided along with a status report on OLV procedure implementations.

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MACHINERY ARRANGEMENT DESIGN - A PERSPECTIVE

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NAVAL ENGINEERS JOURNAL 1981年第3期93卷 133-141页

作者： RESNER, ME KLOMPARENS, SH LYNCH, JP Mr. Michael E. Resner:received an Engineering Degree from Texas A&M University in 1966 and has done graduate work in management at American University. He is Director Machinery Arrangements/Control Systems and Industrial Facilities Division (SEA 525) at the Naval Sea Systems Command. His previous positions have included Program Manager Solar Total Energy Program at the Department of Energy and Branch Chief Machinery Control Systems Branch at the Naval Ship Engineering Center. Mr. Stephen H. Klomparens:is a Naval Architect at Designers & Planners Inc. and is engaged in development of computer aids for ship design. He received his B.S.E. degree in Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering from the University of Michigan in 1973 and his M.S. degree in Computer Science from the Johns Hopkins University. Mr. Kolmparens began his professional career at Hydronautics Inc. in 1974 where he was involved in the use of marine laboratory facilities for test and development of conventional and advanced marine craft. Since 1977 he has been involved with naval and commercial ship design and with development of computer-aided ship design tools. Mr. John P. Lynch:is a Principal Marine Engineer with Hydronautics Inc. He was previously employed in the auxiliary machinery and computer-aided design divisions of the David W. Taylor Naval Ship R&D Center the machinery design division of the New York Naval Shipyard and the machinery arrangement code of the Bureau of Ships. His active naval service was as a ship superintendent in the production department of the Long Beach Naval Shipyard. Mr. Lynch received his B. S. degree in Marine Engineering from the New York State Maritime College and his M.S. degree in Mechanical Engineering from Columbia University. He is a licensed Professional Engineer in the State of New York and a member of ASNE.

The machinery arrangement design process has remained relatively unchanged over the years. Recently, external demands have been placed on both the product and the producers that call for changes to this process. This paper cites these external demands and traces the evolution of the process changes from the rule-of-thumb machinery box sizing routines up to the current automated procedures. The machinery arrangement design practice is presented, and existing analytic and graphics aids are discussed. The user requirements for improved design aids are presented, with implementation guidelines and hardware/software alternatives.

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U.S. SHIPBUILDING: THE SEVENTIES IN RETROSPECT —THE PROSPECTS FOR THE EIGHTIES

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Naval Engineers Journal 1980年第4期92卷 25-38页

作者： FISHER, JAMES R. COADY, PHILIP USN Capt. James Ronald Fisher USN is a graduate of the U.S. Naval Academy. Class of 1958. has his M.A. degree in Management and is an Engineering Duty Officer (ED). He has served in a Destroyer and four Attack and Fleet Ballistic Missile Submarines as Training Officer of the Nuclear Propulsion Unit. West Milton N. Y. and at the Charleston Naval Shipyard where he also was the Chairman of the ASNE Charleston Section. He was ordered to the National Defense University from duty in the Industrial Management Directorate Naval Sea Systems Command (NAVSEA). and has just recently been reassigned to the Submarine Platform Directorate at NA VSEA. Cdr. Philip Coady USN is a graduate of Tufts University from which he received his A.B. degree in 1963 and also the Naval Postgraduate School. Monterey. Calif. from which he received his M.S. degree in 1972. His sea experience has been predominently in Destroyers. most recently as Executive Officer of the USS Claude V. Ricketts (DDG-S) and has had two tours in the Office of the Chief of Naval Operations (OP-090) his latest being that of Special Assistant for Financial Management to the Director of Navy Program Planning (OP-090). Currently he is under orders to assume command of the USS Conolly (DD-979).

This paper reviews the recent turbulent history of the U.S. Shipbuilding Industry, its present status, and its prospects for the decade ahead. The Authors suggest that current maritime policy and the trend of market f...

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COMPUTER AIDS FOR SHIP DESIGN, INTEGRATION AND CONTROL

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NAVAL ENGINEERS JOURNAL 1980年第2期92卷 73-87页

作者： CARLSON, CM JOHNSON, RA HELMING, FW Mr. Craig M. Carlson received his B.S. degree in Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering from the University of Michigan in 1970 and began his career with the Department of the Navy at the Naval Ship Engineering Center (NAVSEC). In 1972. he returned to the University of Michigan under the NAVSEC Long Term Training Program and received his M.S. degree in Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering. After returning to the Ship Arrangements Branch at NAVSEC. he was assigned as Task Leader for General Arrangements for the PGG PCG PHM. and MCM ship designs and was awarded Outstanding Performance Awards in 1974 and 1975. In addition he was Manager of the Arrangement Subsystem of the Navy's Computer-Aided Ship Design and Construction Program (CASDAC). In October 1979. he became Manager of the CASDAC Hull Design System. Currently. he also is enrolled in the M.S. of Computer Science Program at Johns Hopkins University. Mr. Carlson previously has presented technical papers at ASNE Day 1974 and 1978 as well as at the 1979 DOD Manufacturing Technology Advisory Group Conference. Besides ASNE. which he joined in 1972. he is a member of SNAME. ASE. and the U.S. Naval Institute. Mr. Robert A. Johnson is a Naval Architect in Surface Combatants Design (SEA 03D3). Ship Design Integration Directorate Naval Sea Systems Command. He received an Associate in Engineering degree in Drafting and Design Technology in 1959. his B.S. degree in Aerospace Engineering in 1965. and his M.S. degree in Engineering Mechanics in 1970. all from the Pennsylvania State University. In 1973. he was selected for the NA VSEC Hull Division s Long Term Training Program at the University of Michigan subsequently receiving his M.S.E. degree in Naval Architecture in 1974. Mr. Johnson began his career with the Ordnance Research Laboratory at Pennsylvania State University in 1959 where he worked. on the design of hydroelastic submarine models and conducted research in the area of flow induced structural vibrations. In 1967 he joined HRB-Singer at State Colle

This paper presents an integrated approach to Computer-Aided Ship Design for U.S. Navy preliminary and contract design. An integrated Hull Design System (HDS), currently under development by the Hull Group of the Naval Sea systems Command (NAVSEA 32). is the vehicle for the discussion. This paper is directed toward practicing ship design professionals and the managers of the ship design process. Primary emphasis of this paper, and of the development effort currently under way, is on aiding ship design professionals in their work. Focus is on integration and management control of the extremely complex set of processes which make up naval ship design. The terminology of the Ship Designer and Design Manager is used. The reader needs no familiarity with the technologies of computer science.

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Effective Shift Allocation in Multiproduct Lines: a Mixed Integer programming Approach

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Journal of the Operational Research Society 1977年第4期28卷 1013-1021页

作者： Stelios H. Zanakis Kenneth D. Lawrence Industrial Engineering & Systems Analysis Program W.V. College of Graduate Studies Institute U.S.A. Management Information Services Dept. Hoffmann-LaRoche Inc. Nutley U.S.A.

This paper examines the problem of effectively allocating production shifts to a set of production lines and assigning a product to each line under various resource restrictions. This is the kind of allocation problem encountered when the profit motive is (partially, temporarily or totally) removed from the decision-making process (e.g. aggressive marketing or military operations). The system effectiveness is measured by the percent satisfaction of demands (readiness ratios). Two mixed integer programming models are developed and illustrated by means of an example. The first maximizes the smallest readiness ratio for a product, while the second minimizes the total deviation from the goal of perfect satisfaction of all demands. Extensions of these models are also suggested.

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