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Decomposition-based hybrid methods employing statistical, machine learning, and deep learning models for crude oil price forecasting

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Neural Computing and Applications 2025年 1-46页

作者： Purohit, Sourav Kumar Panigrahi, Sibarama Department of Computer Science and Engineering Sambalpur University Institute of Information Technology Burla India Department of Computer Science and Engineering National Institute of Technology Rourkela Odisha Rourkela769008 India

Crude oil prices (COP) profoundly influence global economic stability, with fluctuations reverberating across various sectors. Accurate forecasting of COP is indispensable for governments, policymakers, and stakeholders to make well-informed decisions and effectively mitigate risks. The decomposition-based hybrid models have been showing promising COP forecasting accuracy than other time series forecasting methods. Despite this fact, no systematic study has been conducted to evaluate the true potential of different decomposition-based hybrid methods employing different forecasting models to forecast the COP. Therefore, a hybrid modeling framework is developed by combining efficient decomposition techniques, namely empirical mode decomposition (EMD), ensemble EMD (EEMD), complete EEMD with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN), and variational mode decomposition (VMD) with seven statistical models, fourteen machine learning (ML) models, and six deep learning (DL) models. Further, a systematic study is conducted on the resulting decomposition-based hybrid models to find the best hybrid model for COP forecasting. Three distinct train-test data splits are employed to ensure a reliable evaluation of the models using four performance metrics. Extensive statistical analysis is conducted to identify the optimal combination of the decomposition technique and forecasting model for precise COP prediction. The results demonstrate that the proposed decomposition-based hybrid model employing VMD and Huber Regression is statistically the best method among all alternatives to forecast monthly COP. The proposed hybrid method VMD-Huber Regression improves the root mean square error (RMSE) by 21% than CEEMDAN-ARIMA, 58.31% than EEMD-Theta, 13.18% than EMD-Random Walk, and 49.44% than VMD-TBATS hybrid methods in 60–40 Train-Test split ratio. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag London Ltd., part of Springer Nature 2025.

关键词： Mean square error

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M-Bi-GRU-CNN: a hybrid deep learning model with optimized feature selection for enhanced crop yield prediction

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Multimedia Tools and Applications 2025年 1-25页

作者： J, Madhuri M, Indiramma N, Nagarathna Department of Computer Science and Engineering Bangalore Institute of Technology Karnataka Bengaluru560004 India Department of Computer Science and Engineering BMS College of Engineering Karnataka Bengaluru560019 India

Weather variability significantly impacts crop yield, posing challenges for large-scale agricultural operations. This study introduces a deep learning-based approach to enhance crop yield prediction accuracy. A Multi-Head Attention-based Bi-Directional Gated Recurrent Unit (M-Bi-GRU) integrated with a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) is proposed. The publicly available Crop Recommendation dataset is pre-processed using data cleaning and Min–Max normalization to eliminate inconsistencies. Then, the Adaptive Reptile Search Optimization (ARSO) algorithm is used to identify the most relevant features for the prediction task. The M-Bi-GRU-CNN model uses these selected features to predict crop yields. The implementation is carried out in Python, and the performance is measured using a variety of metrics. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms existing methods, achieving a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.45, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.07, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.28. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2025.

关键词： Convolutional neural networks

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Machine and deep learning techniques for the prediction of diabetics: a review

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Multimedia Tools and Applications 2025年第18期84卷 19425-19549页

作者： Modak, Sandip Kumar Singh Jha, Vijay Kumar Department of Computer Science & Engineering Sarala Birla University Jharkhand Ranchi India Department of Computer Science & Engineering Birla Institute of Technology Mesra Ranchi India

Diabetes has become one of the significant reasons for public sickness and death in worldwide. By 2019, diabetes had affected more than 463 million people worldwide. According to the International Diabetes Federation report, this figure is expected to rise to more than 700 million in 2040, so early screening and diagnosis of diabetes patients have great significance in detecting and treating diabetes on time. Diabetes is a multi factorial metabolic disease, its diagnostic criteria are difficult to cover all the ethology, damage degree, pathogenesis and other factors, so there is a situation for uncertainty and imprecision under various aspects of the medical diagnosis process. With the development of Data mining, researchers find that machine learning and deep learning, playing an important role in diabetes prediction research. This paper is an in-depth study on the application of machine learning and deep learning techniques in the prediction of diabetics. In addition, this paper also discusses the different methodology used in machine and deep learning for prediction of diabetics since last two decades and examines the methods used, to explore their successes and failure. This review would help researchers and practitioners understand the current state-of-the-art methods and identify gaps in the literature. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2024.

关键词： Data mining

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A Privacy-Preserving Data Aggregation Protocol for Internet of Vehicles with Federated Learning

IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Vehicles

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IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Vehicles 2024年 1-11页

作者： Xu, Zisang Zhang, Ruirui Liang, Wei Li, Kuan-Ching Gu, Ke Li, Xiong Huang, Jialun Computer and Communication Engineer Institute Changsha University of Science and Technology Changsha China School of Computer Science and Engineering Hunan University of Science and Technology Xiangtan China Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering Providence University Taichung Taiwan Institute for Cyber Security School of Computer Science and Engineering University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Chengdu China

Federated learning (FL) is widely used in various fields because it can guarantee the privacy of the original data source. However, in data-sensitive fields such as Internet of Vehicles (IoV), insecure communication channels, semi-trusted RoadSide Unit (RSU), and collusion between vehicles and the RSU may lead to leakage of model parameters. Moreover, when aggregating data, since different vehicles usually have different computing resources, vehicles with relatively insufficient computing resources will affect the data aggregation efficiency. Therefore, in order to solve the privacy leakage problem and improve the data aggregation efficiency, this paper proposes a privacy-preserving data aggregation protocol for IoV with FL. Firstly, the protocol is designed based on methods such as shamir secret sharing scheme, pallier homomorphic encryption scheme and blinding factor protection, which can guarantee the privacy of model parameters. Secondly, the protocol improves the data aggregation efficiency by setting dynamic training time windows. Thirdly, the protocol reduces the frequent participations of Trusted Authority (TA) by optimizing the fault-tolerance mechanism. Finally, the security analysis proves that the proposed protocol is secure, and the performance analysis results also show that the proposed protocol has high computation and communication efficiency. IEEE

关键词： Vehicles

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NeurDB: an AI-powered autonomous data system

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science China(Information sciences) 2024年第10期67卷 129-150页

作者： Beng Chin OOI Shaofeng CAI Gang CHEN Yanyan SHEN Kian-Lee TAN Yuncheng WU Xiaokui XIAO Naili XING Cong YUE Lingze ZENG Meihui ZHANG Zhanhao ZHAO School of Computing National University of Singapore College of Computer Science and Technology Zhejiang University Department of Computer Science and Engineering Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Information Renmin University of China School of Computer Science and Technology Beijing Institute of Technology

In the wake of rapid advancements in artificial intelligence(AI), we stand on the brink of a transformative leap in data systems. The imminent fusion of AI and DB(AI×DB) promises a new generation of data systems, which will relieve the burden on end-users across all industry sectors by featuring AI-enhanced functionalities, such as personalized and automated in-database AI-powered analytics, and selfdriving capabilities for improved system performance. In this paper, we explore the evolution of data systems with a focus on deepening the fusion of AI and DB. We present NeurDB, an AI-powered autonomous data system designed to fully embrace AI design in each major system component and provide in-database AI-powered analytics. We outline the conceptual and architectural overview of NeurDB, discuss its design choices and key components, and report its current development and future plan.

关键词： AI$\times$DB in-database AI intelligent data system

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Improving agility in projects using machine learning algorithm

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Multimedia Tools and Applications 2024年第38期83卷 85987-86005页

作者： Varun, Janani Karthika, R.A. Department of Computer Science and Engineering Vels Institute of Science Technology and Advanced Studies Chennai India Department of Computer Science and Engineering Saveetha School of Engineering SIMATS Chennai India

All the software products developed will need testing to ensure the quality and accuracy of the product. It makes the life of testers much easier when they can optimize on the effort spent and predict defects for the upcoming modules in the Agile era. The functionality being discussed in this paper is to predict the defects using Random Forest Algorithm. Predictive analytics draws on information from the past to create forecasts about the outcomes of future events. Product team always have the difficulty in delivering the product as per schedule. As we are in the agile era, the requirement keeps changing and team is unsure on upcoming releases. Prediction helps the team to focus on the complex and error prone modules in upcoming releases. The Predictive analytics model designed, can predict defects with an accuracy rate of 88% with the help of historical data. By predicting, testers can focus on the module where there are a greater number of defects predicted by the model and left shift the delivery. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2024.

关键词： Predictive analytics

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A Study on the Explainability of Thyroid Cancer Prediction:SHAP Values and Association-Rule Based Feature Integration Framework

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computers, Materials & Continua 2024年第5期79卷 3111-3138页

作者： Sujithra Sankar S.Sathyalakshmi Department of Computer Applications Hindustan Institute of Technology and ScienceChennaiTamil NaduIndia Department of Computer Engineering Hindustan Institute of Technology and ScienceChennaiTamil NaduIndia

In the era of advanced machine learning techniques,the development of accurate predictive models for complex medical conditions,such as thyroid cancer,has shown remarkable *** predictivemodels for thyroid cancer enhance early detection,improve resource allocation,and reduce ***,the widespread adoption of these models in clinical practice demands predictive performance along with interpretability and *** paper proposes a novel association-rule based feature-integratedmachine learning model which shows better classification and prediction accuracy than present *** study also focuses on the application of SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)values as a powerful tool for explaining thyroid cancer prediction *** the proposed method,the association-rule based feature integration framework identifies frequently occurring attribute combinations in the *** original dataset is used in trainingmachine learning models,and further used in generating SHAP values *** the next phase,the dataset is integrated with the dominant feature sets identified through association-rule based *** new integrated dataset is used in re-training the machine learning *** new SHAP values generated from these models help in validating the contributions of feature sets in predicting *** conventional machine learning models lack interpretability,which can hinder their integration into clinical decision-making *** this study,the SHAP values are introduced along with association-rule based feature integration as a comprehensive framework for understanding the contributions of feature sets inmodelling the *** study discusses the importance of reliable predictive models for early diagnosis of thyroid cancer,and a validation framework of *** proposed model shows an accuracy of 93.48%.Performance metrics such as precision,recall,F1-score,and the area un

关键词： Explainable AI machine learning clinical decision support systems thyroid cancer association-rule based framework SHAP values classification and prediction

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A Review on Smart Healthcare employing Quantum Internet of Things

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IEEE engineering Management Review 2024年 1-9页

作者： Sutradhar, Kartick Venkatesh, Ranjitha Venkatesh, Priyanka Department of Computer Science and Engineering Indian Institute of Information Technology Sri City India Department of Computer Science and Engineering GITAM School of Technology Bengaluru India Department of Computer Science and Engineering Presidency University Bengaluru India

The Quantum Internet of Things (QIoT) in the healthcare industry holds the promise of transforming patient care, diagnostics, and medical research. Quantum-enhanced sensors, communication, and computation offer unprecedented capabilities that can revolutionize how healthcare services are delivered and experienced. This paper explores the potential of QIoT in the context of smart healthcare, where interconnected quantum-enabled devices and systems create an ecosystem that enhances data security, enables real-time monitoring, and advances medical knowledge. We delve into the applications of quantum sensors in precise health monitoring, the role of quantum communication in secure telemedicine, and the computational power of quantum computing in drug discovery and personalized medicine. We discuss challenges such as technical feasibility, scalability, and regulatory considerations, along with the emerging trends and opportunities in this transformative field. By examining the intersection of quantum technologies and smart healthcare, this paper aims to shed light on the novel approaches and breakthroughs that could redefine the future of healthcare delivery and patient outcomes. IEEE

关键词： Internet of things

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Composite spectral spatial pixel CNN for land-use hyperspectral image classification with hybrid activation function

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Multimedia Tools and Applications 2025年第12期84卷 10527-10550页

作者： Banerjee, Anasua Swain, Satyajit Rout, Minakhi Bandyopadhyay, Mainak School of Computer Engineering Kalinga Institute of Industrial Technology-Deemed-to-be-University Bhubaneswar India Department of Computer Science and Engineering National Institute of Technology Silchar India

Deep learning methods have played a prominent role in the development of computer visualization in recent years. Hyperspectral imaging (HSI) is a popular analytical technique based on spectroscopy and visible imaging which examines the pattern of light in a target and recognizes objects based on varying spectral properties. However, in remote sensing, detecting surface material via HSI analysis is a critical and difficult task. The performance of spectral-spatial data exploitation is well established to outperform typical spectral pixel-wise techniques. Because of its great feature extraction ability, convolutional neural networks (CNN) have emerged as a potent deep learning approach. CNN translates the input features of an image into an equivalent CNN feature map, in addition to naturally combining spectral and spatial information. However, spectral-spatial properties when combined with pixel-wise extraction can learn more minute details of objects present on the earth’s terrain. In this paper, a noble Composite Spectral Spatial Pixel CNN model for the classification of hyperspectral data is presented which is an amalgamation of 3D-2D-1D CNN. While the 3D and 2D CNN exploit the spectral-spatial features effectively, 1D CNN works on pixel-wise feature extraction. Further, to optimize the classification performance of the proposed model, a new hybrid activation function Flatten-T Swish is also used which is the combination of ReLU and Swish function. The proposed model is compared with other state-of-the-art models based on three popular HSI datasets, and it is found that the proposed model performs better among others in terms of classification and computation time, giving 98.87% accuracy for Indian Pines, 99.92% accuracy for Pavia University, and 99.99% accuracy for Salinas Valley dataset. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2024.

关键词： Extraction

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Multi-label, Classification-based Prediction of Breast Cancer Metastasis Directions

IAENG International Journal of Computer Science

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IAENG International Journal of computer science 2025年第1期52卷 1-10页

作者： Wang, Tingting Fan, Qi Tan, Liang Zhang, Beier School of Computer and Software Engineering Anhui Institute of Information Technology China School of Computer Science and Technology Huaibei Normal University China School of Computer and Software Engineering Anhui Institute of Information Technology China School of Computer Science and Technology Huaibei Normal University China

Predicting the metastatic direction of primary breast cancer (BC), thus assisting physicians in precise treatment, strict follow-up, and effectively improving the prognosis. The clinical data of 293,946 patients with primary BC diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Multiple interpolations and Multi-label Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique methods were used for data analysis, and machine learning model was established for multi-label classification. Finally, Surgical information, lymph node status, distant metastasis, tumor size, chemotherapy, histological type, and radiotherapy had significant influence as inputs. Compared with the k-nearest neighbor model, average accuracies of the decision tree and random forest (RF) models increased from 88.84% to 93.59% and 94.14%, respectively. Their average precision, recall rate, F1 score, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and weighted-F1 increased from 87.24% to 95.85% and 94.74%, 87.73% to 90.40% and 91.76%, 87.07% to 92.16% and 93.45%, 97.11% to 99.53% and 99.95%, 82.13% to 89.44% and 90.48%, respectively. In conclusion, the RF model, which showed the best performance, can be used in multi-label prediction of BC metastasis directions, and can assist physicians in diagnosing and treating patients with primary BC. © (2025), (International Association of Engineers). All rights reserved.

关键词： Lung cancer

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