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Escalating variability of daily sea temperature decreases phytoplankton spring blooms

Continental Shelf Research 2025年 290卷

作者： Sun, Zixuan Du, Yan Xiang, Dongdong Chongben Honors College Ocean University of China Qingdao 266100 China Key Laboratory of Advanced Theory and Application in Statistics and Data Science School of Statistics East China Normal University Shanghai 200062 China

Increases in sea surface temperature (SST) and its variability (SSTV) in the context of climate change have a great impact on marine phytoplankton productivity, but their combined effects on phytoplankton biomass, especially at a daily scale, have been poorly assessed. Here, we used an extended autoregressive (EAR) model to assess the different roles of SST and SSTV on phytoplankton spring blooms (PSB) in the Yellow Sea, based on 25 years (1998–2022) of daily-scale high-resolution chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) data from satellites. The annual patterns of PSB indices (start, peak, and duration) clearly exhibited years which were weak (low peak: Chl-a <0.80 mg/m³;short duration: <15 days) and strong (high peak: Chl-a >1.0 mg/m³;long duration: >60 days). The EAR model detected the significant effects of SST and SSTV on PSB indices, with SSTV being the more important determinant. SST is highly related to the timing of PSB start and end, with the average SST of 9.5 ± 0.7 °C at the start and 13.2 ± 1.95 °C at the end. The amplitude of SSTV was negatively correlated with the daily increase in Chl-a, highlighting the role of SSTV in modulating the magnitude of PSB. At low SST, the deepening of the mixed layer prolonged the time for phytoplankton to equilibrate nutrient and light requirements, whereas at low SSTV, the rate of environmental change within the mixed layer was reduced, allowing phytoplankton to adapt to the environment more quickly. Since the accumulation of phytoplankton biomass depends largely on daily acclimated growth, our results suggest that increasing daily temperature anomalies and warming in future are detrimental to phytoplankton biomass accumulation, and may reduce the magnitude of PSB in mid-to high-latitude seas. © 2025 Elsevier Ltd

关键词： Chlorophyll-a Extended autoregressive model Phytoplankton acclimated growth Phytoplankton biomass Yellow sea

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Constrained Multi-objective Optimization Based on Dynamic Priority and Cooperative Offspring Generation

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IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation 2025年

作者： He, Zhihui Wang, Feng Li, Bingdong Zhou, Aimin Wuhan University School of Computer Science Hubei 430072 China East China Normal University Shanghai Frontiers Science Center of Molecule Intelligent Syntheses Shanghai Institute of AI for Education School of Computer Science and Technology Shanghai200062 China Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Advanced Theory and Application in Statistics and Data Science China

As the number and complexity of constraints in constrained multi-objective optimization problems (CMOPs) increase, the performance of existing constrained multi-objective evolutionary algorithms (CmoeAs) declines significantly. A novel idea is to sequentially address each constraint based on priority, effectively reducing the complexity of CMOPs. However, in these algorithms, the constraint-handling priority is determined statically in the initial stage. This may lead to inappropriate determination of constraint-handling priority since accurately estimating the constraint landscape in the initial stage is quite challenging. Moreover, these algorithms tackle constraints separately, neglecting the potential for inter-constraint cooperation and thus compromising their efficiency in constraint handling. Thus, we propose a constrained multi-objective evolutionary algorithm based on dynamic priority and cooperative offspring generation called DPCmoeA. Firstly, the constraint-handling priority is determined dynamically by the estimated inconsistency degree (EID) between the Pareto fronts of the candidate constraints and the current population. Secondly, computational resources are automatically allocated to each constraint according to EID based constraint relationship analysis. Finally, a new offspring generation strategy based on constraint cooperation is designed to enhance the quality of new solutions. Experimental results on six CMOP test suites demonstrate that DPCmoeA outperforms six state-of-the-art algorithms. © 1997-2012 IEEE.

关键词： Optimization algorithms

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ON STOCHASTIC CONTROL PROBLEMS WITH HIGHER-ORDER MOMENTS

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SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 2025年第3期63卷 1560-1589页

作者： Wang, Yike Liu, Jingzhen Bensoussan, Alain Cedric Yiu, Ka-Fai Wei, Jiaqin School of Finance Chongqing Technology and Business University Chongqing China China Institute for Actuarial Science Central University of Finance and Economics Beijing China SNaveen Jindal School of Management University of Texas at Dallas DallasTX75080 United States Department of Applied Mathematics Hong Kong Polytechnic University Hong Kong Key Laboratory of Advanced Theory and Application in Statistics and Data Science-MOE School of Statistics East China Normal University Shanghai China

In this paper, we focus on a class of time-inconsistent stochastic control problems, where the objective function includes the mean and several higher-order central moments of the terminal value of state. To tackle the time-inconsistency, we seek both the closed-loop and the open-loop Nash equilibrium controls as time-consistent solutions. We establish a partial differential equation (PDE) system for deriving a closed-loop Nash equilibrium control, which does not include the equilibrium value function and is different from the extended Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equations as in Bj\" ork, Khapko, and Murgoci [Finance Stoch., 21 (2017), pp. 331-360]. We show that our PDE system is equivalent to the extended HJB equations that seem difficult to solve for our higher-order moment problems. In deriving an open-loop Nash equilibrium control, due to the nonseparable higher-order moments in the objective function, we make some moment estimates in addition to the standard perturbation argument for developing a maximum principle. Then, the problem is reduced to solving a flow of forward-backward stochastic differential equations. In particular, we investigate linear controlled dynamics and some objective functions affine in the mean. The closed-loop and the open-loop Nash equilibrium controls are identical, which are independent of the state value, the random path, and the preference on the odd-order central moments. By sending the highest order of central moments to infinity, we obtain the time-consistent solutions to some control problems whose objective functions include some penalty functions for deviation. © 2025 Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics.

关键词： Stochastic control systems

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Single-cell omics: experimental workflow, data analyses and applications

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science China(Life sciences) 2025年第1期68卷 5-102页

作者： Fengying Sun Haoyan Li Dongqing Sun Shaliu Fu Lei Gu Xin Shao Qinqin Wang Xin Dong Bin Duan Feiyang Xing Jun Wu Minmin Xiao Fangqing Zhao Jing-Dong J.Han Qi Liu Xiaohui Fan Chen Li Chenfei Wang Tieliu Shi Department of Clinical Laboratory the Affiliated Wuhu Hospital of East China Normal University(The Second People’s Hospital of Wuhu City)Wuhu 241000China Pharmaceutical Informatics Institute College of Pharmaceutical SciencesZhejiang UniversityHangzhou 310058China Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration(Tongji University) Ministry of EducationOrthopaedic DepartmentTongji HospitalBioinformatics DepartmentSchool of Life Sciences and TechnologyTongji UniversityShanghai 200082China Frontier Science Center for Stem Cells School of Life Sciences and TechnologyTongji UniversityShanghai 200092China Translational Medical Center for Stem Cell Therapy and Institute for Regenerative Medicine Shanghai East HospitalBioinformatics DepartmentSchool of Life Sciences and TechnologyTongji UniversityShanghai 200082China Research Institute of Intelligent Computing Zhejiang LabHangzhou 311121China Shanghai Research Institute for Intelligent Autonomous Systems Shanghai 201210China Center for Single-cell Omics School of Public HealthShanghai Jiao Tong University School of MedicineShanghai 200025China National Key Laboratory of Chinese Medicine Modernization Innovation Center of Yangtze River DeltaZhejiang UniversityJiaxing 314103China Center for Bioinformatics and Computational Biology Shanghai Key Laboratory of Regulatory Biologythe Institute of Biomedical Sciences and School of Life SciencesEast China Normal UniversityShanghai 200241China Beijing Institutes of Life Science Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100101China Peking-Tsinghua Center for Life Sciences Academy for Advanced Interdisciplinary StudiesCenter for Quantitative Biology(CQB)Peking UniversityBeijing 100871China Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Precision Diagnosis and Therapy for Major Gynecological Diseases Women’s HospitalZhejiang University School of MedicineHangzhou 310006China Key Laboratory of Advanced Theory and Application in Statistics and Data Science-MOE School of StatisticsEast China Normal U

Cells are the fundamental units of biological systems and exhibit unique development trajectories and molecular *** exploration of how the genomes orchestrate the formation and maintenance of each cell,and control the cellular phenotypes of various organismsis,is both captivating and *** the inception of the first single-cell RNA technology,technologies related to single-cell sequencing have experienced rapid advancements in recent *** technologies have expanded horizontally to include single-cell genome,epigenome,proteome,and metabolome,while vertically,they have progressed to integrate multiple omics data and incorporate additional information such as spatial scRNA-seq and CRISPR ***-cell omics represent a groundbreaking advancement in the biomedical field,offering profound insights into the understanding of complex diseases,including ***,we comprehensively summarize recent advances in single-cell omics technologies,with a specific focus on the methodology *** overview aims to guide researchers in selecting appropriate methods for single-cell sequencing and related data analysis.

关键词： single-cell sequencing genome epigenome proteomics metabolomics multimodal spatial transcriptomics CRISPR screening

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Equilibrium Reinsurance Strategy and Mean Residual Life Function

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Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica 2024年第3期40卷 758-777页

作者： Dan-ping LI Lv CHEN Lin-yi QIAN Wei WANG School of Statistics Key Laboratory of Advanced Theory and Application in Statistics and Data Science-MOEEast China Normal UniversityShanghai 200062China Academy of Statistics and Interdisciplinary Sciences Key Laboratory of Advanced Theory and Application in Statistics and Data Science-MOEEast China Normal UniversityShanghai 200062China School of Mathematics and Statistics Ningbo UniversityNingbo 315211China

In this paper,we analyze the relationship between the equilibrium reinsurance strategy and the tail of the distribution of the *** Mean Residual Life(MRL)has a close relationship with the tail of the distribution,we consider two classes of risk distributions,Decreasing Mean Residual Life(DMRL)and Increasing Mean Residual Life(IMRL)distributions,which can be used to classify light-tailed and heavy-tailed distributions,*** assume that the underlying risk process is modelled by the classical CramérLundberg model *** the mean-variance criterion,by solving the extended Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation,we derive the equilibrium reinsurance strategy for the insurer and the reinsurer under DMRL and IMRL,***,we analyze how to choose the reinsurance premium to make the insurer and the reinsurer agree with the same reinsurance *** find that under the case of DMRL,if the distribution and the risk aversions satisfy certain conditions,the insurer and the reinsurer can adopt a reinsurance premium to agree on a reinsurance strategy,and under the case of IMRL,the insurer and the reinsurer can only agree with each other that the insurer do not purchase the reinsurance.

关键词： mean residual life excess-of-loss reinsurance insurer reinsurer stochastic control

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Functional Multiple-Outcome Model in application to Multivariate Growth Curves of Infant data

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Journal of Systems science & Complexity 2021年第4期34卷 1555-1577页

作者： YAN Xingyu ZHOU Yingchun PU Xiaolong ZHAO Peng School of Mathematics and Statistics Jiangsu Normal UniversityXuzhou 221116China Key Laboratory of Advanced Theory and Application in Statistics and Data Science-MOE School of StatisticsEast China Normal UniversityShanghai 200062China

Motivated by a medical study that attempts to analyze the relationship between growth curves and other variables and to measure the association among multiple growth curves,the authors develop a functional multiple-outcome model to decompose the total variation of multiple functional outcomes into variation explained by independent variables with time-varying coefficient functions,by latent factors and by *** latent factors are the hidden common factors that influence the multiple outcomes and are found through the combined functional principal component analysis *** the coefficients of the latent factors one may further explore the association of the multiple *** method is applied to the multivariate growth data of infants in a real medical study in Shanghai and produces interpretable *** rates for the proposed estimates of the varying coefficient and covariance functions of the model are derived under mild conditions.

关键词： Convergence rate functional data functional principal components growth curve multiple outcomes

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Integrated Square Error of Hazard Rate Estimation for Survival data with Missing Censoring Indicators

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Journal of Systems science & Complexity 2021年第2期34卷 735-758页

作者： ZOU Yuye FAN Guoliang ZHANG Riquan School of Economics and Management Shanghai Maritime UniversityShanghai 201306China Key Laboratory of Advanced Theory and Application in Statistics and Data Science-MOE School of StatisticsEast China Normal UniversityShanghai 200062China

The problem of hazard rate estimation under right-censored assumption has been investigated *** square error(ISE)of estimation is one of the most widely accepted measurements of the global performance for nonparametric kernel *** there are no results available for ISE of hazard rate estimation under right-censored model with censoring indicators missing at random(MAR)so *** paper constructs an imputation estimator of the hazard rate function and establish asymptotic normality of the ISE for the kernel hazard rate estimator with censoring indicators *** the same time,an asymptotic representation of the mean integrated square error(MISE)is also *** finite sample behavior of the estimator is investigated via one simple simulation.

关键词： Asymptotic normality integrated square error missing at random right-censored model

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A Two-Step Test for the Two-Sample Problem of Processes of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Type

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Journal of Systems science & Complexity 2020年第6期33卷 2067-2079页

作者： WANG Yinfeng TANG Yanlin ZHANG Xinsheng School of Statistics and Mathematics Shanghai Lirin University of Acounting and FinanceShanghaiChina Key Laboratory of Advanced Theory and Application in Statistics and Data Science-MOE School of StatisticsEast China Normal UniversityShanghaiChina Department of Statistics Fudan UniversityShanghaiChina

The authors propose a two-step test for the two-sample problem of processes of OrnsteinUhlenbeck type. In the first step, the authors test the equality of correlation structures, based on the least square estimators of the correlation parameters, and the test statistic follows the standard normal distribution. If the null hypothesis is not rejected in the first step, the authors consider a second step to test the equality of marginal distributions, based on the weighted deviation of the empirical characteristic functions;the test statistic has a complicated asymptotic distribution, so that sequential bootstrap method is applied to reach a temporary decision. Simulation studies and real data analysis suggest that the proposed approach performs well in finite samples.

关键词： Empirical characteristic functions hypothesis testing process of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type sequential Bootstrap

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Semiparametric Likelihood-based Inference for Censored data with Auxiliary Information from External Massive data Sources

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Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica 2020年第3期36卷 642-656页

作者： Yue-xin FANG Yong ZHOU School of Statistics and Management Shanghai University of Finance and EconomicsShanghai200433China Key Laboratory of Advanced Theory and Application in Statistics and Data Science MOEand Academy of Statistics and Interdisciplinary SciencesEast China Normal UniversityShanghai 200062China

Published auxiliary information can be helpful in conducting statistical inference in a new *** this paper,we synthesize the auxiliary information with semiparametric likelihood-based inference for censoring data with the total sample size is *** express the auxiliary information as constraints on the regression coefficients and the covariate distribution,then use empirical likelihood method for general estimating equations to improve the efficiency of the interested parameters in the specified *** consistency and asymptotic normality of the resulting regression parameter estimators *** numerical simulation and application with different supposed conditions show that the proposed method yields a substantial gain in efficiency of the interested parameters.

关键词： Auxiliary information Massive data Censored data Empirical likelihood Estimation equations

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Simultaneous optimal control of directional missed discovery rates in data stream diagnosis

A I I E Transactions

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A I I E Transactions 2025年第4期57卷

作者： Yan He Yicheng Kang Dongdong Xiang Peihua Qiu a Key Laboratory of Advanced Theory and Application in Statistics and Data Science-MOE School of Statistics East China Normal University Shanghai China b Department of Information Systems & Analytics Miami University OxfordOH USA c Department of Biostatistics The University of Florida Gainsville FL USA

High-dimensional data streams are ubiquitous in modern manufacturing, due to their ability to provide valuable information about the industrial system’s performance on a real-time basis. If a shift occurs in a production process, fault diagnosis based on the data streams is of critical importance for identifying the root cause. Existing methods have largely focused on controlling the total missed discovery rate without distinguishing missed signals for positive versus negative components of the shift vector. In practice, however, losses incurred from the two directional shifts can differ substantially, so it is desirable to constrain the proportions of missed signals for positive and negative components at two distinctive levels. In this article, we propose a fault classification procedure that controls the two proportions separately. By formulating the problem as Lagrangian multiplier optimization, we show that the proposed procedure is optimal in the sense that it minimizes the expected number of false discoveries. We also suggest an iterative adjustment algorithm that converges to the optimal Lagrangian parameters. The asymptotic optimality for the data-driven version of our procedure is also established. Theoretical justification and numerical comparison with state-of-the-art methods show that the proposed procedure works well in applications.

关键词： Fault classification high-dimensional data large-scale testing Markov models post-signal diagnostics quality control

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