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10th International Conference on Information Technology and Quantitative management, ITQM 2023

作者： Yu, Anqi Peng, Shuyang Li, Yizhi Guo, Kun School of Economics and Management University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China Research Center on Fictitious Economy and Data Science Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China Dornslife School of Arts and Science University of Southern California Los AngelesCA90007 United States Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China

As global climate change intensifies, carbon emissions trading has become an important tool for countries to address climate change. China, as the world's largest carbon emitter, has been conducting carbon trading pilots since 2011, and officially launched a national carbon market in 2017. The construction of China's carbon market is crucial for China and global efforts to address climate change. Market efficiency is a key indicator of its success. This article aims to measure and analyze the effectiveness of China's carbon market, and to explore policy measures to enhance its effectiveness. It selected data from effective trading days and conducted an exploratory study on the effectiveness of China's pilot carbon markets. To analyze the effectiveness of the carbon market, we combined the efficient market hypothesis theory with the fractal market hypothesis theory, adopted the variance ratio test method, and the rescaled range analysis method to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the Chinese carbon market, while also accounting for the reasons behind their computational inconsistency. As our research shows that China's pilot carbon market has not reached the weak efficiency level, we have provided some suggestions based on the current operational status of China's carbon market. © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (https://***/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0) Peer-review under responsibility of the scientific committee of the Tenth International Conference on Information Technology and Quantitative management.

关键词： Carbon

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A dynamic key node learning algorithm in evolving financial network: case study during the period of coronavirus

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Procedia Computer Science 2022年 214卷 1587-1594页

作者： Doudou Lu Wei Deng Yongyin Xu Yong Shi College of Big Data Statistics Guizhou University of Finance and Economics Guizhou 550025 China Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China

Finding an influential set of nodes in the interconnected network, whose activities would maximally influence the development of overall network, is a fundamental topic in finance, biology, social science, epidemic control and other scenarios with respect to network science. In recent years, some works are proposed to find key nodes via network connectivity measures, these studies assume a static environment, and besides, key nodes are calculated through pairwise connectivity, the number of connected components and other measures from the perspective of graph theory. However, these studies leave out of consideration on the dynamic evolving environment and causal relationships in the network. In this paper, we introduce a key node learning algorithm in an evolving financial network. The intuition of the algorithm is to model the causality of financial entities over the time, and the metrics for cascading networks are proposed to grade the entities in the network. In the experiment, the worldwide financial activities before and during the period of coronavirus are analyzed. The proposed metrics can effectively capture the influential entities and quantitatively describe these influences on the whole financial system.

关键词： COVID-19 stock market indices high-impact entities

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A Comprehensive Survey of Loss Functions in Machine Learning

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Annals of data Science 2022年第2期9卷 187-212页

作者： Wang, Qi Ma, Yue Zhao, Kun Tian, Yingjie School of Mathematical Sciences University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100049 China Research Center on Fictitious Economy and Data Science Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China School of Logistics Beijing Wuzi University Beijing101149 China School of Economics and Management University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China

As one of the important research topics in machine learning, loss function plays an important role in the construction of machine learning algorithms and the improvement of their performance, which has been concerned and explored by many researchers. But it still has a big gap to summarize, analyze and compare the classical loss functions. Therefore, this paper summarizes and analyzes 31 classical loss functions in machine learning. Specifically, we describe the loss functions from the aspects of traditional machine learning and deep learning respectively. The former is divided into classification problem, regression problem and unsupervised learning according to the task type. The latter is subdivided according to the application scenario, and here we mainly select object detection and face recognition to introduces their loss functions. In each task or application, in addition to analyzing each loss function from formula, meaning, image and algorithm, the loss functions under the same task or application are also summarized and compared to deepen the understanding and provide help for the selection and improvement of loss function. © 2020, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.

关键词： Surveys

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Do Media Reports Matter to House Price Expectations?Evidence from Beijing

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Journal of Systems Science and Information 2022年第4期10卷 388-409页

作者： Jing HE Diandian MA Xiuting LI Jichang DONG Postdoctoral Research Center of Agricultural Bank of China Beijing 100005China School of Statistics Renmin University of ChinaBeijing 100872China School of Economics and Management University of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100190China Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100190China

House price expectations(HPE)is a key factor affecting housing market *** Beijing as an example,this study innovatively proposes an internet data-based measurement of HPE and text analysis-based quantification of media reports from media attention and media *** model is performed to empirically test the impact of media reports on the level and accuracy of *** empirical results show no significant relationship between media attention and the level of HPE,but a significant relationship to the accuracy of *** higher the media attention(i.e.,the more intensive the media reports),the smaller the deviation between HPE and actual housing *** attitude of media reports is significantly related to the level and accuracy of *** is easier to guide the formation of HPE through media reports with clear opinions,indicating that media could promote the sustainable development of the real estate market.

关键词： media reports real estate market housing prices public expectations

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Less is More: Token Context-aware Learning for Object Tracking

arXiv

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arXiv 2025年

作者： Xu, Chenlong Zhong, Bineng Liang, Qihua Zheng, Yaozong Li, Guorong Song, Shuxiang Key Laboratory of Education Blockchain and Intelligent Technology Ministry of Education Guangxi Normal University Guilin541004 China Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management University of Chinese Academy of Sciences China

Recently, several studies have shown that utilizing contextual information to perceive target states is crucial for object tracking. They typically capture context by incorporating multiple video frames. However, these naive frame-context methods fail to consider the importance of each patch within a reference frame, making them susceptible to noise and redundant tokens, which deteriorates tracking performance. To address this challenge, we propose a new token context-aware tracking pipeline named LMTrack, designed to automatically learn high-quality reference tokens for efficient visual tracking. Embracing the principle of Less is More, the core idea of LMTrack is to analyze the importance distribution of all reference tokens, where important tokens are collected, continually attended to, and updated. Specifically, a novel Token Context Memory module is designed to dynamically collect high-quality spatio-temporal information of a target in an autoregressive manner, eliminating redundant background tokens from the reference frames. Furthermore, an effective Unidirectional Token Attention mechanism is designed to establish dependencies between reference tokens and search frame, enabling robust cross-frame association and target localization. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superiority of our tracker, achieving state-of-the-art results on tracking benchmarks such as GOT-10K, TrackingNet, and LaSOT. Code and models are available at https://***/XuChenLong/LMTrack. Copyright © 2025, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Object detection

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Stock index prediction using global market indices: A Granger causality-based graph representation learning method 10

Stock index prediction using global market indices: A Grange...

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10th International Conference on Information Technology and Quantitative management, ITQM 2023

作者： Wang, Yunong Wu, Jie Shi, Yong School of Economics and Management University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China Research Center on Fictitious Economy and Data Science Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100049 China

Global stock markets are increasingly connected and may experience strongly correlated stock price fluctuations due to external shocks, cooperation, and competition. In this paper, we propose a Granger causality-based graph representation learning method to improve the accuracy of stock index prediction. In the first stage, a Granger causality test is performed using the historical data of the target stock market and other global stock markets to select the neighboring stock markets with Granger causality and get the relational weight of each neighboring stock market. Then, the temporal weight of trading days is obtained based on the constructed VAR model coefficients. Subsequently, the daily graph embedding of the target stock index is learned by graph convolution operation for the prediction of the next day's closing price. The method developed in this paper experimented on four well-known Chinese stock indices, and it outperformed the benchmark model used in this paper. © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (https://***/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0) Peer-review under responsibility of the scientific committee of the Tenth International Conference on Information Technology and Quantitative management.

关键词： Financial markets

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Research on Liquidity Measurement and Influencing Factors of China Carbon Emission Allocation Trading Market

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Procedia Computer Science 2023年 221卷 1448-1457页

作者： Yong Shi Shuyang Peng Anqi Yu Kun Guo School of Economics and Management University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China Research Center on Fictitious Economy & Data Science Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China

Considering multi-dimensional concepts of liquidity, we introduces two classical liquidity measures to quantify the liquidity of China carbon emission allowance(CCEA) trading markets, and analyze their trading activities. Then monthly unbalanced panel was constructed based on daily trading data to further study on the influencing factors of CCEA market. We find that: 1) No matter what method we take, the Hubei pilot is the most liquid in the context of overall running periods, and the national carbon market and Guangdong pilot are also well performed compared to the other markets. 2)The foundation of national generalized market could bring about noticeable changes on the liquidity of carbon market, and Guangdong market which is one of the 8 carbon market pilots become more developed and liquid, while no significant variation in the rest of 7 pilots. 3) The emission control enterprises of each pilot have no inborn incentive to trade proactively, therefore transactions are concentrated on the performance cycle. 4)Regression results show that the price at the end of each month, trading volumes aggregated in each month, trading frequency of each month are all positively correlated with the liquidity, and return volatility of each month, carbon market fragmentation are negatively related to the liquidity. Finally we put forward some suggestion and policy recommendation rested on the above qualitative and quantitative analysis.

关键词： CEA,Carbon market,Liquidity,Measurement,Influencing factors

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Literature Review and Practice Comparison of Technology Foresight

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Procedia Computer Science 2022年 199卷 837-844页

作者： Zhao Minghui Ye Hanrui Peng Yao Zhang Lingling School of Economics and Management University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China

With continuous breakthrough of key technologies, common technologies, emerging technologies, cross technologies, and subversive technologies, which have brought profound changes to politics, economy, society, culture, and environment. Under above-mentioned background, further exert the guiding role of technology foresight in technology planning formulation, further study the supporting role of technology foresight in emerging technology management, which is important for academic research, enterprise practice and government decision-making. This article can be divided into two parts, the literature review part mainly includes published articles, keyword network, citation network, which describes the historical context, current status, future trends, limitations and improvement directions of related research in detail. The practice comparison part mainly includes targets and experts, methods and processes, technologies and fields, which is also a feasible perspective for results evaluating.

关键词： Technology Foresight Literature Review Practice Comparison

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Literature Review and Practice Comparison of Technology Foresight 8

Literature Review and Practice Comparison of Technology Fore...

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8th International Conference on Information Technology and Quantitative management, ITQM 2020 and 2021

作者： Minghui, Zhao Hanrui, Ye Yao, Peng Lingling, Zhang School of Economics and Management University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100190 China

关键词： Decision making

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Movie Recommendation Algorithm Based on Sentiment Analysis and LDA

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Procedia Computer Science 2022年 199卷 871-878页

作者： Yilin Zhang Lingling Zhang School of Economics and Management University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China

Traditional recommendation algorithms have problems such as data sparseness and not paying attention to the diversity of recommendation results. In this paper, we use LDA to extract topics of comments about movies, and identify the emotional tendencies related to topics. As a result, we enrich user interest model and product feature model based on emotional tendencies to improve content-based recommendation algorithms. Most of prior work on applying sentiment classification to recommendation systems only consider the use of sentiment dictionaries to judge polarity, and adopt pattern matching methods to identify features. This paper uses BERT to train sentiment classification models and uses LDA to extract topics. The algorithm is run on the movie review database crawled from Douban, and the experimental result showed that the diversity of recommendation lists had been significantly improved.

关键词： Sentiment Analysis Topic Extraction Content-based Recommendation Movie Reviews

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