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Two-Stage OD Flow Prediction for Emergency in Urban Rail Transit

IEEE Transactions on Intelligent transportation Systems 2024年第1期25卷 920-928页

作者： Zhu, Guangyu Ding, Jiacun Wei, Yun Yi, Yang Xu, Sendren Sheng-Dong Wu, Edmond Q. Beijing Jiaotong University Key Lab. of Transport Industry of Big Data Application Technologies for Comprehensive Transport The Beijing Research Center of Urban Traffic Information Sensing and Service Technologies Beijing100044 China Beijing Mass Transit Railway Operation Corporation Ltd. Beijing100014 China Yangzhou University College of Information Engineering Yangzhou225127 China National Taiwan University of Science and Technology Automation and Control Center The Graduate Institute of Automation and Control Taipei106335 Taiwan Shanghai Jiao Tong University Key Laboratory of System Control and Information Processing Ministry of Education of China The Shanghai Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Control and Management Department of Automation Shanghai200240 China

Urban rail transit (URT) is vulnerable to natural disasters and social emergencies including fire, storm and epidemic (such as COVID-19), and real-time origin-destination (OD) flow prediction provides URT operators with important information to ensure the safety of URT system. However, hindered by the high dimensionality of OD flow and the lack of supportive information reflecting the real-time passenger flow changes, study in this area is at the beginning stage. A novel model consisting of two stages is proposed for OD flow prediction. The first stage predicts the inflows of all stations by Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) in real time, where the dimension is reduced compared with predicting OD flows directly. In the second stage, the notion of separation rate, namely, the proportion of inbound passengers bounding for another station, is estimated. Finally, The OD flow is predicted by multiplying the inflow and separation rate. Experiments based on Hangzhou Metro dataset show the proposed model outperforms the contrast model in weighted mean average error (WMAE) and weighted mean square error (WMSE). Results also suggest that the proposed prediction model performs better on weekdays than on weekends, and with greater accuracy on larger OD flows. © 2000-2011 IEEE.

关键词： Forecasting

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Training of Spiking Neural Network joint Curriculum Learning Strategy

arXiv

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arXiv 2023年

作者： Tang, Lingling Chu, Jielei Gong, Zhiguo Li, Tianrui The School of Computing and Artificial Intelligence Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu611756 China National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu611756 China The State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City Department of Computer and Information Science University of Macau China

Starting with small and simple concepts, and gradually introducing complex and difficult concepts is the natural process of human learning. Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) aim to mimic the way humans process information, but current SNNs models treat all samples equally, which does not align with the principles of human learning and overlooks the biological plausibility of SNNs. To address this, we propose a CL-SNN model that introduces Curriculum Learning(CL) into SNNs, making SNNs learn more like humans and providing higher biological interpretability. CL is a training strategy that advocates presenting easier data to models before gradually introducing more challenging data, mimicking the human learning process. We use a confidence-aware loss to measure and process the samples with different difficulty levels. By learning the confidence of different samples, the model reduces the contribution of difficult samples to parameter optimization automatically. We conducted experiments on static image datasets MNIST, Fashion-MNIST, CIFAR10, and neuromorphic datasets N-MNIST, CIFAR10-DVS, DVS-Gesture. The results are promising. To our best knowledge, this is the first proposal to enhance the biologically plausibility of SNNs by introducing CL. Copyright © 2023, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Curricula

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Modeling Temporal Dependencies within the Target for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting

arXiv

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arXiv 2024年

作者： Xiong, Qi Tang, Kai Ma, Minbo Zhang, Ji Xu, Jie Li, Tianrui School of Computing and Artificial Intelligence Engineering Research Center of Sustainable Urban Intelligent Transportation Ministry of Education National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology Manufacturing Industry Chains Collaboration and Information Support Technology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu611756 China School of Computing The University of Leeds LeedsLS2 9JT United Kingdom

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task across diverse domains. Despite significant advancements in LTSF research, we identify a performance bottleneck in existing LTSF methods caused by the inadequate modeling of Temporal Dependencies within the Target (TDT). To address this issue, we propose a novel and generic temporal modeling framework, Temporal Dependency Alignment (TDAlign), that equips existing LTSF methods with TDT learning capabilities. TDAlign introduces two key innovations: 1) a loss function that aligns the change values between adjacent time steps in the predictions with those in the target, ensuring consistency with variation patterns, and 2) an adaptive loss balancing strategy that seamlessly integrates the new loss function with existing LTSF methods without introducing additional learnable parameters. As a plug-and-play framework, TDAlign enhances existing methods with minimal computational overhead, featuring only linear time complexity and constant space complexity relative to the prediction length. Extensive experiments on six strong LTSF baselines across seven real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness and flexibility of TDAlign. On average, TDAlign reduces baseline prediction errors by 1.47% to 9.19% and change value errors by 4.57% to 15.78%, highlighting its substantial performance improvements. Copyright © 2024, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Time series analysis

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A Spatial and Temporal Combination Model for Traffic Flow: A Case Study of Beijing Expressway

A Spatial and Temporal Combination Model for Traffic Flow: A...

引用

IEEE International Conference on Intelligent transportation engineering (ICITE)

作者： Wan Liu Yuanli Gu Ying Ding Wenqi Lu Xiaoping Rui Lu Tao Key Laboratory of Transport Industry of Big Data Application Technologies for Comprehensive Transport Beijing Jiaotong University Beijing China Auto Talents Committee of China Talents Society Shanghai China School of Transportation Southeast University Nanjing China School of Earth Sciences and Engineering Hohai University Nanjing China

ISBN: (数字)9781728194097

ISBN: (纸本)9781728194103

Short-term traffic flow prediction is playing an important role in the intelligent transportation system. However, exploring high-precision and efficient prediction methods is still a challenge. To capture the spatiotemporal characteristics of traffic flow and accurately perceive the traffic state, a spatial and temporal combination (STC) model was proposed. The radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) was used to capture the spatial characteristics of traffic flow, while the clockwork recurrent neural network (CWRNN) was utilized to predict the temporal characteristics. The prediction accuracy of the model can be further improved by the result fusion based on the spatiotemporal feature prediction model. To verify the accuracy and robustness of the algorithm, the Beijing 3rd Ring Road speed data are used to compare with other models. The results show that the accuracy of the STC algorithm is better than benchmark prediction models at different service levels.

关键词： Predictive models data models Adaptation models Roads Analytical models Recurrent neural networks Training

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Integrated Public Transport Timetable Coordination and Vehicle Scheduling with Even Headways

SSRN

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SSRN 2022年

作者： Liu, Tao Ji, Wen Gkiotsalitis, Konstantinos Cats, Oded National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology School of Transportation and Logistics Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu611756 China Institute of System Science and Engineering School of Transportation and Logistics Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu611756 China Department of Civil Engineering Faculty of Engineering Technology University of Twente Horst Complex Z222 P.O. Box 217 Enschede 7500 AE Netherlands Department of Transport & Planning Delft University of Technology Netherlands

Timetabling and vehicle scheduling are two important activities in public transport (PT) operations planning. Traditionally, the timetabling problem is solved first before proceeding to the vehicle scheduling problem. The integration of these two problems can help further reduce the total operation cost and improve the level of service, especially when timetables of different bus lines are well-coordinated at transfer stations. This work addresses the integrated PT timetable coordination and vehicle scheduling problem while ensuring that each PT line is dispatched with an even headway. We first separately formulate two integer linear programming models for the timetable coordination and vehicle scheduling problems. Next, the two models are combined into a bi-objective integer linear programming model for the integrated timetable coordination and vehicle scheduling problem. For small size PT networks, the model can be solved by using an ɛ -constraint method, together with off-the-shelf optimization solvers. For large-size problems, two constraint reduction procedures are developed to reduce the number of redundant constraints so as to reduce the computation complexity and improve the solution process. Finally, the models and solution method are applied to a numerical example and a real-world bus rapid transit (BRT) network in Chengdu, China. Computation results show that the solution generated by the sequential optimization approach is usually dominated by the Pareto-optimal solutions generated by the integrated optimization approach. Our findings suggest that it is not a wise decision to use the solution generated by the sequential optimization approach or the solution with the minimum fleet size generated by the integrated optimization approach. For practical implementation, it is recommended to choose the solution that has a fleet size of one more vehicle than the minimum fleet size. © 2022, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Integer programming

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Urban flows prediction from spatial-temporal data using machine learning: A survey

arXiv

引用

arXiv 2019年

作者： Xie, Peng Li, Tianrui Liu, Jia Du, Shengdong Yang, Xin Zhang, Junbo School of Information Science and Technology Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu611756 China Institute of Artificial Intelligence Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu611756 China National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu611756 China Urban Computing Business Unit JD Finance China

Urban spatial-temporal flows prediction is of great importance to traffic management, land use, public safety, etc. Urban flows are affected by several complex and dynamic factors, such as patterns of human activities, weather, events and holidays. datasets evaluated the flows come from various sources in different domains, e.g. mobile phone data, taxi trajectories data, metro/bus swiping data, bike-sharing data and so on. To summarize these methodologies of urban flows prediction, in this paper, we first introduce four main factors affecting urban flows. Second, in order to further analysis urban flows, a preparation process of multi-sources spatial-temporal data related with urban flows is partitioned into three groups. Third, we choose the spatial-temporal dynamic data as a case study for the urban flows prediction task. Fourth, we analyze and compare some well-known and state-of-the-art flows prediction methods in detail, classifying them into five categories: statistics-based, traditional machine learning-based, deep learning-based, reinforcement learning-based and transfer learning-based methods. Finally, we give open challenges of urban flows prediction and an outlook in the future of this field. This paper will facilitate researchers find suitable methods and open datasets for addressing urban spatial-temporal flows forecast problems. Copyright © 2019, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： data fusion

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Real-Time Detection of Vehicle Speed Based on Video Image

Real-Time Detection of Vehicle Speed Based on Video Image

引用

International Conference on Measuring technology and Mechatronics Automation, ICMTMA

作者： Genyuan Cheng Yubin Guo Xiaochun Cheng Dongliang Wang Jiandong Zhao Tangshan Municipal Transportation Bureau Hebei Province Tangshan China School of Traffic and Transportation Beijing Jiaotong University Beijing China Beijing National Day School Beijing China Tangshan NolMiddle school Hebei Province Tangshan China Key Laboratory of Transport Industry of Big Data Application Technologies for Comprehensive Transport Beijing Jiaotong University Beijing China

ISBN: (数字)9781728170817

ISBN: (纸本)9781728170824

With the continuous development and improvement of Intelligent transportation System, more and more attention has been paid to the real-time and accurate speed information detection. Video vehicle speed detection based on machine vision has attracted the attention of the researchers due to its practical convenience and other advantages. In this paper, we propose a target tracking method based on video image feature matching vehicle to simplify the algorithm complexity and obtain high accuracy. The background subtraction method based on KNN algorithm is used to identify vehicle targets and obtain good initial vehicle characteristics. Experimental results show that the method has high real-time and the relative error of vehicle speed detection can be controlled at about 5%.

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Game Theoretic application to Intersection Management: A Literature Review

arXiv

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arXiv 2023年

作者： Qin, Ziye Ji, Ang Sun, Zhanbo Wu, Guoyuan Hao, Peng Liao, Xishun The School of Transportation and Logistics Southwest Jiaotong University Sichuan Chengdu611756 China The National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology Southwest Jiaotong University Sichuan Chengdu611756 China The College of Engineering Center for Environmental Research and Technology University of California at Riverside RiversideCA92507 United States The University of California at Los Angeles Los AngelesCA90095 United States

The emergence of vehicle-to-everything (V2X) technology offers new insights into intersection management. This, however, has also presented new challenges, such as the need to understand and model the interactions of traffic participants, including their competition and cooperation behaviors. Game theory has been widely adopted to study rationally selfish or cooperative behaviors during interactions and has been applied to advanced intersection management. In this paper, we review the application of game theory to intersection management and sort out relevant studies under various levels of intelligence and connectivity. First, the problem of urban intersection management and its challenges are briefly introduced. The basic elements of game theory specifically for intersection applications are then summarized. Next, we present the game-theoretic models and solutions that have been applied to intersection management. Finally, the limitations and potential opportunities for subsequent studies within the game-theoretic application to intersection management are discussed. Copyright © 2023, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Game theory

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Encoding Global Semantic and Localized Geographic Spatial-Temporal Relations for Traffic Accident Risk Prediction

SSRN

引用

SSRN 2024年

作者： Alhaek, Fares Li, Tianrui Rajeh, Taha M. Javed, Muhammad Hafeez Liang, Weichao School of Computing and Artificial Intelligence Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu611756 China Engineering Research Center of Sustainable Urban Intelligent Transportation Ministry of Education Chengdu611756 China National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu611756 China Manufacturing Industry Chains Collaboration and Information Support Technology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu611756 China

The proliferation of vehicles and the intricate layout of road systems have contributed to a significant rise in traffic accidents, posing a pressing concern globally. Despite the advancements facilitated by deep learning, several challenges persist in the domain of traffic accident prediction. Firstly, the sparsity of accident data in certain city regions presents a significant obstacle, particularly when attempting fine-grained predictions at a local level. Secondly, the intricate spatial-temporal relations inherent in traffic accident data pose a challenge for existing prediction models. In response to these formidable challenges, this paper presents GLST-TARP, a novel model for predicting traffic accident risk in urban environments by leveraging both global semantic and localized geographic spatial-temporal relations. Specifically, we construct multi-graphs to encode global static and dynamic spatial relations, incorporating attention mechanisms to adaptively focus on relevant information and temporal relations. Additionally, we employ channel-wise convolutional neural network blocks to extract localized geographic features and enhance predictive accuracy. The proposed model is trained using a Huber loss function tailored for regression tasks, relieving the impact of zero values during optimization. Experimental results demonstrate that GLST-TARP outperforms state-of-the-art methods in predicting traffic accident risks, showcasing its potential for enhancing urban safety and transportation management. © 2024, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Graph neural networks

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A performance evaluation of correspondence grouping methods for 3D rigid data matching

arXiv

引用

arXiv 2019年

作者： Yang, Jiaqi Xian, Ke Wang, Peng Zhang, Yanning School of Computer Science Northwestern Polytechnical University National Engineering Laboratory for Integrated Aero-Space-Ground-Ocean Big Data Application Technology Xi'an710129 China National Key Laboratory of Science and Technology on Multi-spectral Information Processing School of Artificial Intelligence and Automation Huazhong University of Science and Technology Wuhan430074 China

Seeking consistent point-to-point correspondences between 3D rigid data (point clouds, meshes, or depth maps) is a fundamental problem in 3D computer vision. While a number of correspondence selection methods have been proposed in recent years, their advantages and shortcomings remain unclear regarding different applications and perturbations. To fill this gap, this paper gives a comprehensive evaluation of nine state-of-the-art 3D correspondence grouping methods. A good correspondence grouping algorithm is expected to retrieve as many as inliers from initial feature matches, giving a rise in both precision and recall as well as facilitating accurate transformation estimation. Toward this rule, we deploy experiments on three benchmarks with different application contexts including shape retrieval, 3D object recognition, and point cloud registration together with various perturbations such as noise, point density variation, clutter, occlusion, partial overlap, different scales of initial correspondences, and different combinations of keypoint detectors and descriptors. The rich variety of application scenarios and nuisances result in different spatial distributions and inlier ratios of initial feature correspondences, thus enabling a thorough evaluation. Based on the outcomes, we give a summary of the traits, merits, and demerits of evaluated approaches and indicate some potential future research directions. Copyright © 2019, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Benchmarking

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