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arXiv 2024年

作者： Willett, Francis R. Li, Jingyuan Le, Trung Fan, Chaofei Chen, Mingfei Shlizerman, Eli Chen, Yue Zheng, Xin Okubo, Tatsuo S. Benster, Tyler Lee, Hyun Dong Kounga, Maxwell Buchanan, E. Kelly Zoltowski, David Linderman, Scott W. Henderson, Jaimie M. Department of Neurosurgery Stanford University United States Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering University of Washington United States Department of Computer Science Stanford University United States Department of Applied Mathematics University of Washington United States China Neurosciences Phd Program Stanford University United States Wu Tsai Neurosciences Institute Department of Statistics Stanford University United States

Speech brain-computer interfaces aim to decipher what a person is trying to say from neural activity alone, restoring communication to people with paralysis who have lost the ability to speak intelligibly. The Brain-to-Text Benchmark’24 and associated competition was created to foster the advancement of decoding algorithms that convert neural activity to text. Here, we summarize the lessons learned from the competition ending on June 1, 2024 (the top 4 entrants also presented their experiences in a recorded webinar). The largest improvements in accuracy were achieved using an ensembling approach, where the output of multiple independent decoders was merged using a fine-tuned large language model (an approach used by all 3 top entrants). Performance gains were also found by improving how the baseline recurrent neural network (RNN) model was trained, including by optimizing learning rate scheduling and by using a diphone training objective. Improving upon the model architecture itself proved more difficult, however, with attempts to use deep state space models or transformers not yet appearing to offer a benefit over the RNN baseline. The benchmark will remain open indefinitely to support further work towards increasing the accuracy of brain-to-text algorithms. © 2024, CC BY.

关键词： Recurrent neural networks

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Comparison of the Effectiveness of Machine Learning Techniques for the Number of Road Traffic Injuries

Comparison of the Effectiveness of Machine Learning Techniqu...

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International ECTI Northern Section Conference on Electrical, Electronics, Computer and Telecommunications Engineering (ECTI-NCON)

作者： Wirawan Puttamat Wikanda Phaphan Anuchit Jitpattanakul Chainarong Pianpailoon Sakorn Mekruksavanich Department of Mathematics Faculty of Education Chaiyaphum Rajabhat University Chaiyaphum Thailand Department of Applied Statistics Faculty of Applied Science King Mongkut’s University of Technology North Bangkok Bangkok Thailand Research Group in Statistical Learning and Inference Department of Mathematics Faculty of Applied Science King Mongkut’s University of Technology North Bangkok Bangkok Thailand Intelligent and Nonlinear Dynamic Innovations Research Center Curriculum and Teaching Program (Mathematics) Faculty of Education Sakon Nakhon Rajabhat University Sakon Nakhon Thailand Department of Computer Engineering School of Information and Communication University of Phayao Phayao Thailand

This article aims to compare forecasting techniques with machine learning techniques for predicting the number of people injured in road accidents using data from the Injury Information Collaboration Center, Department of Disease Control, Ministry of Public Health Outpatient Files (OPD) spanning the years 2018 to 2022. The four machine-learning techniques examined in this study include Decision Tree Regression, Random Forest Regression, Support Vector Regression, and Multiple Linear Regression. The data analysis was performed using the R programming language. The results revealed that the Decision Tree Regression technique yielded the most accurate predictions for the number of road traffic injuries, as evidenced by its lowest values of MAE, MSE, and RMSE.

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Four-Parameter Beta Mixed Models with Survey and Sentinel 2a Satellite Data for Predicting Paddy Productivity

SSRN

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SSRN 2024年

作者： Kusumaningrum, Dian Wijayanto, Hari Kurnia, Anang Notodiputro, Khairil Anwar Ardiansyah, Muhlis Parvez, Islam M.D. Business Mathematics Program Study School of Applied STEM Universitas Prasetiya Mulya BSD Campus BSD City Kav. Edutown I.1 Tangerang15339 Indonesia Department of Statistics IPB University Jl. Meranti Wing 22 Level 4 Dramaga Bogor16680 Indonesia BPS-Statistics of Kotawaringin Timur Jl Ahmad Yani no 5 Sampit 74322 Central Kalimantan Indonesia Department of Biomechanical Systems Faculty of Agriculture Ehime University 3-5-7 Tarumi Matsuyama790-8566 Japan

Ensuring food security, fostering agricultural sustainability, and driving economic development. However, existing prediction models often overlook the unique characteristics of paddy productivity distribution, which varies between areas, skewed, and bounded within a certain minimum and maximum range, following a four-parameter beta distribution. Consequently, these models yield less accurate and potentially misleading predictions. Additionally, most approaches fail to capture the complex interrelationships among variables that often occur when we incorporate satellite data alongside survey data that has been recognized as a key approach for improving prediction accuracy and optimizing farming practices. To address these shortcomings, this study introduces a four-parameter beta Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) augmented within a four-parameter beta Generalized Mixed Effect Tree (GMET). The four-parameter beta GMET, an extension of the four-parameter beta GLMM model integrated with a regression tree, offers enhanced flexibility in modeling complex relationships. Application of this methodology to an empirical study in Central Kalimantan reveals notable improvements over previous methods, as evidenced by substantially lower AIC and RRMSE values. Notably, the analysis identifies lagged values of band 4, band 8, and NDVI from Sentinel-2A satellite data as significant predictors of paddy productivity, overriding the importance of farmer survey variables. This underscores the potential of satellite data to be utilized in paddy productivity predictions, offering a more efficient and cost-effective alternative to farmer survey-based methods. By enhancing satellite technology, future efforts in paddy productivity prediction can achieve higher efficiency and accuracy, contributing to informed decision-making in agricultural management. © 2024, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Forecasting

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A novel strong duality-based reformulation for trilevel infrastructure models in energy systems development

arXiv

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arXiv 2023年

作者： Herrala, Olli Gabriel, Steven A. Oliveira, Fabricio Ekholm, Tommi Aalto University Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis Espoo Finland University of Maryland Department of Mechanical Engineering/Applied Mathematics Statistics & Scientific Computing Program College ParkMD United States Norwegian University of Science and Technology Department of Industrial Economics and Technology Management Trondheim Norway Finnish Meteorological Institute Helsinki Finland

We explore the class of trilevel equilibrium problems with a focus on energy-environmental applications and present a novel single-level reformulation for such problems, based on strong duality. To the best of our knowledge, only one alternative single-level reformulation for trilevel problems exists. This reformulation uses a representation of the bottom-level solution set, whereas we propose a reformulation based on strong duality. Our novel reformulation is compared to this existing formulation, discussing both model sizes and computational performance. In particular, we apply this trilevel framework to a power market model, exploring the possibilities of an international policymaker in reducing emissions of the system. Using the proposed methods, we are able to obtain globally optimal solutions for a five-node case study representing the Nordic countries and assess the impact of a carbon tax on the electricity production portfolio. Copyright © 2023, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Energy resources

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Energy stability of the Charney-DeVore quasi-geostrophic equation for atmospheric blocking

arXiv

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arXiv 2021年

作者： Chen, Zhi-Min Xiong, Xiangming School of Mathematics and Statistics Shenzhen University Shenzhen518060 China The Program in Applied and Computational Mathematics Princeton University PrincetonNJ08544 United States

Charney and DeVore [J. Atmos. Sci. 36 (1979), 1205-1216] found multiple equilibrium states as a consequence of bottom topography in their pioneering work on the quasi-geostrophic barotropic flow over topography in a β-plane channel. In the present paper, we prove that the basic flow is asymptotically stable in a parameter region, including the flat topography situation, which excludes the existence of multiple equilibrium states therein. Moreover, we show that an additional condition on the average zonal force or the average zonal velocity is indispensable to the well-posedness of the Charney–DeVore quasi-geostrophic equation. Coexistence of at least three equilibrium states is confirmed by a pseudo-arclength continuation method for different topographic amplitudes. The stabilities of the equilibrium states are examined by high-resolution direct numerical simulations. © 2021, CC BY-NC-ND.

关键词： Astrophysics

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Position: Bayesian Deep Learning is Needed in the Age of Large-Scale AI 41

Position: Bayesian Deep Learning is Needed in the Age of Lar...

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41st International Conference on Machine Learning, ICML 2024

作者： Papamarkou, Theodore Skoularidou, Maria Palla, Konstantina Aitchison, Laurence Arbel, Julyan Dunson, David Filippone, Maurizio Fortuin, Vincent Hennig, Philipp Hernández-Lobato, José Miguel Hubin, Aliaksandr Immer, Alexander Karaletsos, Theofanis Khan, Mohammad Emtiyaz Kristiadi, Agustinus Li, Yingzhen Mandt, Stephan Nemeth, Christopher Osborne, Michael A. Rudner, Tim G.J. Rügamer, David Teh, Yee Whye Welling, Max Wilson, Andrew Gordon Zhang, Ruqi Department of Mathematics The University of Manchester Manchester United Kingdom Eric and Wendy Schmidt Center Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard Cambridge United States Spotify London United Kingdom Computational Neuroscience Unit University of Bristol Bristol United Kingdom Centre Inria de l'Université Grenoble Alpes Grenoble France Department of Statistical Science Duke University United States Statistics Program KAUST Saudi Arabia Helmholtz AI Munich Germany Department of Computer Science Technical University of Munich Munich Germany Munich Center for Machine Learning Munich Germany Tübingen AI Center University of Tübingen Tübingen Germany Department of Engineering University of Cambridge Cambridge United Kingdom Department of Mathematics University of Oslo Oslo Norway Bioinformatics and Applied Statistics Norwegian University of Life Sciences Ås Norway Department of Computer Science ETH Zurich Switzerland Chan Zuckerberg Initiative CA United States Center for Advanced Intelligence Project RIKEN Tokyo Japan Vector Institute Toronto Canada Department of Computing Imperial College London London United Kingdom Department of Computer Science UC Irvine Irvine United States Department of Mathematics and Statistics Lancaster University Lancaster United Kingdom Department of Engineering Science University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Center for Data Science New York University New York United States Department of Statistics LMU Munich Munich Germany DeepMind London United Kingdom Department of Statistics University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Informatics Institute University of Amsterdam Amsterdam Netherlands Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences Center for Data Science Computer Science Department New York University New York United States Department of Computer Science Purdue University West Lafayette United States

In the current landscape of deep learning research, there is a predominant emphasis on achieving high predictive accuracy in supervised tasks involving large image and language datasets. However, a broader perspective reveals a multitude of overlooked metrics, tasks, and data types, such as uncertainty, active and continual learning, and scientific data, that demand attention. Bayesian deep learning (BDL) constitutes a promising avenue, offering advantages across these diverse settings. This paper posits that BDL can elevate the capabilities of deep learning. It revisits the strengths of BDL, acknowledges existing challenges, and highlights some exciting research avenues aimed at addressing these obstacles. Looking ahead, the discussion focuses on possible ways to combine large-scale foundation models with BDL to unlock their full potential. Copyright 2024 by the author(s)

关键词： Contrastive Learning

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Bayesian Parameter Inference for Partially Observed Diffusions using Multilevel Stochastic Runge-Kutta Methods

arXiv

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arXiv 2023年

作者： Moral, Pierre Del Hu, Shulan Jasra, Ajay Ruzayqat, Hamza Wang, Xinyu Institut de Mathematiques de Bordeaux FR Bordeaux33405 France School of Mathematics and Statistics Wenlan School of Business China Applied Mathematics and Computational Science Program Computer Electrical and Mathematical Sciences and Engineering Division King Abdullah University of Science and Technology Thuwal23955-6900 Saudi Arabia Zhongnan University of Economics and Law CN China

We consider the problem of Bayesian estimation of static parameters associated to a partially and discretely observed diffusion process. We assume that the exact transition dynamics of the diffusion process are unavailable, even up-to an unbiased estimator and that one must time-discretize the diffusion process. In such scenarios it has been shown how one can introduce the multilevel Monte Carlo method to reduce the cost to compute posterior expected values of the parameters for a pre-specified mean square error (MSE);see [12]. These afore-mentioned methods rely on upon the Euler-Maruyama discretization scheme which is well-known in numerical analysis to have slow convergence properties. We adapt stochastic Runge-Kutta (SRK) methods for Bayesian parameter estimation of static parameters for diffusions. This can be implemented in high-dimensions of the diffusion and seemingly under-appreciated in the uncertainty quantification and statistics fields. For a class of diffusions and SRK methods, we consider the estimation of the posterior expectation of the parameters. We prove that to achieve a MSE of O(ϵ2), for ϵ > 0 given, the associated work is O(ϵ−2). Whilst the latter is achievable for the Milstein scheme, this method is often not applicable for diffusions in dimension larger than two. We also illustrate our methodology in several numerical examples. Copyright © 2023, The Authors. All rights reserved.

关键词： Diffusion

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Optimal Deep Canonically Correlated Autoencoder-Enabled Prediction Model for Customer Churn Prediction

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Computers, Materials & Continua 2022年第11期73卷 3757-3769页

作者： Olfat M.Mirza GJose Moses R.Rajender E.Laxmi Lydia Seifedine Kadry Cheadchai Me-Ead Orawit Thinnukool Department of Computer Science College of Computers and Information SystemsUmm Al-Qura UniversityMakkahSaudi Arabia Department of Computer Science Engineering Malla Reddy Engineering College500100India Department of Computer Science Engineering Lendi Institute of Engineering&TechnologyDenkada535005India Department of Computer Science and Engineering Vignan’s Institute of Information TechnologyVisakhapatnam530049India Department of Applied Data Science Noroff University CollegeNorway Program in Statistics and Information Management Faculty of ScienceMaejo UniversityChiang Mai50290Thailand Department of Modern Management and Information Technology College of Arts Media and TechnologyChiang Mai UniversityChiang Mai50200Thailand

Presently,customer retention is essential for reducing customer churn in telecommunication *** churn prediction(CCP)is important to predict the possibility of customer retention in the quality of *** risks of customer churn also get essential,the rise of machine learning(ML)models can be employed to investigate the characteristics of customer ***,deep learning(DL)models help in prediction of the customer behavior based characteristic *** the DL models necessitate hyperparameter modelling and effort,the process is difficult for research communities and business *** this view,this study designs an optimal deep canonically correlated autoencoder based prediction(ODCCAEP)model for competitive customer dependent application *** addition,the O-DCCAEP method purposes for determining the churning nature of the *** O-DCCAEP technique encompasses preprocessing,classification,and hyperparameter ***,the DCCAE model is employed to classify the churners or ***,the hyperparameter optimization of the DCCAE technique occurs utilizing the deer hunting optimization algorithm(DHOA).The experimental evaluation of the O-DCCAEP technique is carried out against an own dataset and the outcomes highlighted the betterment of the presented O-DCCAEP approach on existing approaches.

关键词： Churn prediction customer retention deep learning machine learning archimedes optimization algorithm

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A FLOW ARTIST FOR HIGH-DIMENSIONAL CELLULAR DATA

arXiv

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arXiv 2023年

作者： MacDonald, Kincaid Bhaskar, Dhananjay Thampakkul, Guy Nguyen, Nhi Zhang, Joia Perlmutter, Michael Adelstein, Ian Krishnaswamy, Smita Department of Mathematics Yale University United States Department of Genetics Yale School of Medicine United States Department of Computer Science Yale University United States Department of Mathematics Pomona College United States Applied Mathematics Program Yale University United States Department of Statistics University of Washington United States Department of Mathematics Boise State University United States Computational Biology and Bioinformatics Program Yale University United States

We consider the problem of embedding point cloud data sampled from an underlying manifold with an associated flow or velocity. Such data arises in many contexts where static snapshots of dynamic entities are measured, including in high-throughput biology such as single-cell transcriptomics. Existing embedding techniques either do not utilize velocity information or embed the coordinates and velocities independently, i.e., they either impose velocities on top of an existing point embedding or embed points within a prescribed vector field. Here we present FlowArtist, a neural network that embeds points while jointly learning a vector field around the points. The combination allows FlowArtist to better separate and visualize velocity-informed structures. Our results, on toy datasets and single-cell RNA velocity data, illustrate the value of utilizing coordinate and velocity information in tandem for embedding and visualizing high-dimensional data. © 2023, CC BY.

关键词： RNA

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Statistical Power Analysis for Designing Bulk, Single-Cell, and Spatial Transcriptomics Experiments: Review, Tutorial, and Perspectives

arXiv

引用

arXiv 2023年

作者： Jeon, Hyeongseon Xie, Juan Jeon, Yeseul Jung, Kyeong Joo Gupta, Arkobrato Chang, Won Chung, Dongjun Department of Biomedical Informatics The Ohio State University ColumbusOH United States Pelotonia Institute for Immuno-Oncology The James Comprehensive Cancer Center The Ohio State University ColumbusOH43210 United States The Interdisciplinary PhD program in Biostatistics The Ohio State University ColumbusOH United States Department of Statistics and Data Science Yonsei University Seoul Korea Republic of Department of Applied Statistics Yonsei University Seoul Korea Republic of Department of Computer Science and Engineering The Ohio State University ColumbusOH United States Division of Statistics and Data Science University of Cincinnati CincinnatiOH United States

Gene expression profiling technologies have been used in various applications such as cancer biology. The development of gene expression profiling has expanded the scope of target discovery in transcriptomic studies, and each technology produces data with distinct characteristics. In order to guarantee biologically meaningful findings using transcriptomic experiments, it is important to consider various experimental factors in a systematic way through statistical power analysis. In this paper, we review and discuss the power analysis for three types of gene expression profiling technologies from a practical standpoint, including bulk RNA-seq, single-cell RNA-seq, and high-throughput spatial transcriptomics. Specifically, we describe the existing power analysis tools for each research objective for each of the bulk RNA-seq and scRNA-seq experiments, along with recommendations. On the other hand, since there are no power analysis tools for high-throughput spatial transcriptomics at this point, we instead investigate the factors that can influence power analysis. © 2023, CC BY-NC-ND.

关键词： RNA

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