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Interaction graph learning of line cascading failure in power networks and its statistical properties

Energy Informatics 2023年第1期6卷 17页

作者： Ghasemi, Abdorasoul de Meer, Hermann Kantz, Holger Faculty of Computer Engineering K. N. Toosi University of Technology Tehran Iran Faculty of Computer Science and Mathematics Passau University Passau Germany Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems Dresden Germany

We consider line failure cascading in power networks where an initial random failure of a few lines leads to consecutive other line overloads and failures before the system settles in a steady state. Such cascades are rooted in non-obvious, long-range, and higher-order couplings among the lines’ flows induced by physical constraints on the network. Failure interaction graph encodes which and to what extent other lines in a networked system are affected after each line failure and can help to predict the final state after an initial disturbance. We perform data analytics on the final lines’ steady states of cascade trajectories to infer a specific line’s state given the states of others. We use a generative model to reconstruct possible steady states, and a predictive model aims to predict the probability of each line’s failures after the initial failure as a regression problem. The generative model uses regularized pseudolikelihood estimator to infer interaction weights by solving the inverse Ising problem and deploys Glauber dynamics to generate steady states. The discriminative model uses boosted trees to efficiently learn over training and predict over test data the state of each line as a target finding an appropriate subset of other lines’ states as explanatory variables. We analyze the degree distribution of the corresponding interaction graphs to study the number of other components affected by each line failure (out-degree) or the number of lines that affect the state of a given line (in-degree). Both models show that the in-degree follows a power-law distribution. Finally, we discuss the possible application of the interaction graph for early link removal to mitigate the failure-cascading consequences. © 2023, The Author(s).

关键词： Forecasting

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A Unified Information Diffusion Prediction Model Based on Multi-task Learning 9th

A Unified Information Diffusion Prediction Model Based on M...

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19th International Conference on Advanced Data Mining and Applications, ADMA 2023

作者： Shang, Yingdan Zhou, Bin Zeng, Xiang Chen, Kai College of Computer Science and Technology National University of Defense Technology Changsha China Key Lab of Software Engineering for Complex Systems School of Computer National University of Defense Technology Changsha China

ISBN: (纸本)9783031466731

The prediction of online information diffusion trends on social networks is crucial for understanding people’s interests and concerns, and has many real-world applications in fields such as business, politics and social security. Existing research on information diffusion prediction has predominantly focused on either macro level prediction of the future popularity of online information or micro level user activation prediction. However, information diffusion prediction on micro or macro level only may lead to one-sided prediction results, and there is a lack of research on implementing micro and macro level diffusion prediction tasks at the same time. Since micro and macro level diffusion prediction tasks are related to each other, we propose a unified information diffusion model which can jointly predicting the micro level user activation probability and macro level information popularity based on multi-task learning framework. We utilize graph neural network to learn user representation from both the information cascades and social network structure. Comparing with micro and macro level baseline methods separately, the prediction results of our proposed model outperform all baseline methods and proves the effectiveness of the proposed method. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023.

关键词： Forecasting

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Data-Driven Discovery of Nonlinear Dynamical systems from Noisy and Sparse Observations

Data-Driven Discovery of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems from No...

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2024 International Conference on New Trends in Computational Intelligence, NTCI 2024

作者： Zhu, Wei Pei, Chao Liang, Yulan Chen, Zhang Li, Jingsui School of Science Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications Chongqing China Key Laboratory of Intelligent Analysis and Decision on Complex Systems Chongqing China College of Computer Science and Technology Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications Chongqing China

ISBN: (纸本)9798331517021

Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) is a data-driven algorithm for interpretability mod-eling. SINDy has a strong ability to learn dynamical systems from time series data. Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) can extract equations from data, but its performance will degrade when data has noise or sparse. In order to deal with this case, the idea of Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) is introduced, which is used to optimally select models. The SINDy with MCMC (MCMC-SINDy) can comprehensively discover model structures by employing random samples in data space. Simulation results show that MCMC-SINDy is more robust than SINDy with 1 % -15 % levels of noise or sparse 0.5. These results are promising for the discovery of governing equations for complex systems in neuroscience, power grids, epidemiology, finance or ecology, where governing equations have remained elusive. mportantly, compared to existing machine learning methods, the accuracy of modeling using MCMC SINDy is higher. © 2024 IEEE.

关键词： Markov chains

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AMCheX: Accurate Analysis of Missing-Check Bugs for Linux Kernel

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Journal of Computer science & technology 2021年第6期36卷 1325-1341页

作者： Ying-Jie Wang Liang-Ze Yin Wei Dong Key Laboratory of Software Engineering for Complex Systems College of Computer Science National University of Defense TechnologyChangsha 410073China

The Linux kernel adopts a large number of security checks to prevent security-sensitive operations from being executed under unsafe *** a security-sensitive operation is unchecked,a missing-check issue *** check is a class of severe bugs in software programs especially in operating system kernels,which may cause a variety of security issues,such as out-of-bound accesses,permission bypasses,and privilege *** to the lack of security specifications,how to automatically identify security-sensitive operations and their required security checks in the Linux kernel becomes a challenge for missing-check *** this paper,we present an accurate missing-check analysis method for Linux kernel,which can automatically infer possible security-sensitive ***,we first automatically identify all possible security check functions of *** according to their callsites,a two-direction analysis method is leveraged to identify possible security-sensitive operations.A missing-check bug is reported when the security-sensitive operation is not protected by its corresponding security *** have implemented our method as a tool,named AMCheX,on top of the LLVM(Low Level Virtual Machine)framework and evaluated it on the Linux *** reported 12 new missing-check bugs which can cause security *** of them have been confirmed by Linux maintainers.

关键词： security check function security-sensitive operation program analysis missing-check

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Anomalous velocity distributions in slow quantum-tunneling chemical reactions

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Physical Review Research 2025年第1期7卷 L012081-L012081页

作者： Christian Beck Constantino Tsallis Centre for Complex Systems Queen Mary University of London School of Mathematical Sciences Mile End Road London E1 4NS United Kingdom International Excellence Fellow at Karlsruhe Institute of Technology D-76131 Karlsruhe Germany Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Físicas and National Institute of Science and Technology of Complex Systems Rua Xavier Sigaud 150 Rio de Janeiro 22290-180 Brazil Santa Fe Institute 1399 Hyde Park Road Santa Fe New Mexico 87501 USA Complexity Science Hub Vienna Metternichgasse 8 Vienna 1030 Austria

Recent work [R. Wild et al. Nature 615, 425 (2023)] has provided an experimental break-through in the realization of a quantum-tunneling reaction involving a proton transfer. The reaction D−+H2→H−+HD has an extremely slow reaction rate as it can happen only via quantum tunneling, thus requiring an extremely large density of the reactants in the ion trap. At these high densities strong deviations from Maxwell-Boltzmann statistics are observed. Here we develop a consistent generalized statistical mechanics theory for the above nonequilibrium situation involving quantum effects at high densities. The trapped ions are treated in a superstatistical way and a q-Maxwellian velocity distribution with a universal dependence of the entropic index q on the density n of the buffer gas is derived. We show that the velocity distribution of the ions is non-Maxwellian, more precisely q-Gaussian, i.e., p(v)∝v2[1+(q−1)β̃v2]1/(1−q), with entropic index q>1 depending on the density n of H2 molecules, in excellent agreement with the experimental observations of Wild et al. Our theory also makes predictions on the statistics of temperature fluctuations in the ion trap which can be tested in future experiments. Through the superstatistical approach, we obtain an analytical expression for q(n) which is consistent with the available experimental data, and which yields limn→0q(n)=1, i.e., recovering the Maxwell-Boltzmann distribution in the ideal gas limit, as well as limn→∞q(n)=7/5.

关键词： Velocity distribution

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Interference-assisted energy harvesting short packet communications with hardware impairments

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International Journal of Intelligent Networks 2024年第1期5卷 231-240页

作者： Chen, Dechuan Li, Jin Hu, Jianwei Zhang, Xingang Zhang, Shuai Wang, Dong College of Physics and Electronic Engineering Nanyang Normal University Nanyang473061 China Ministry of Education Nanjing210003 China National Key Laboratory for Complex Systems Simulation Beijing100101 China College of Computer Science and Technology Nanyang Normal University Nanyang473061 China

Radio frequency energy harvesting offers a promising solution to provide low power Internet of Things (IoT) devices with convenient and perpetual energy supply. In this work, we investigate the reliable performance of an energy-constrained transmitter communicating with a receiver over Nakagami-m channel, where the effects of transceiver hardware impairments and finite blocklength coding are jointly considered. Specifically, the communication link between the transmitter and receiver operates within the coverage of an existing wireless system, with radio frequency signal from the existing system serving as an energy signal for the transmitter while acting as an interference signal for the receiver. By utilizing the finite-blocklength information theory, we first derive average block error rate (BLER) and asymptotic average BLER in closed-form expressions, which enable us to quantify the extent of reliability loss. Then, we analyze effective throughput of the system, and determine the optimal blocklength that maximizes the effective throughput. Computer simulations are employed to validate the accuracy of our analytical findings, demonstrating the presence of an outage threshold solely due to hardware impairments. Furthermore, if transmission rate exceeds the outage threshold defined by the level of hardware impairments, reliable communication within the system under consideration cannot be achieved, regardless of the transmit signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). © 2024 The Authors

关键词： Energy harvesting

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Balancing electron transfer and intermediate adsorption ability of metallic Ni-Fe-RE-P bifunctional catalysts via 4f-2p-3d electron interaction for enhanced water splitting

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Journal of Energy Chemistry 2024年第7期94卷 458-465页

作者： Hong-Rui Zhao Cheng-Zong Yuan Chenliang Zhou Wenkai Zhao Lunliang Zhang Cong-Hui Li Lei Xin Fuling Wu Shufeng Ye Xiaomeng Zhang Yunfa Chen School of Rare Earths University of Science and Technology of ChinaHefei 230026AnhuiChina Jiangxi Province Research Institute of Rare Earths Ganjiang Innovation AcademyChinese Academy of SciencesGanzhou 341119JiangxiChina State Key Laboratory of Multiphase Complex Systems Institute of Process EngineeringChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100190China

Balancing electron transfer and intermediate adsorption ability of bifunctional catalysts via tailoring electronic structures is crucial for green hydrogen production,while it still remains challenging due to lacking efficient ***,one efficient and universal strategy is developed to greatly regulate electronic structures of the metallic Ni-Fe-P catalysts via in-situ introducing the rare earth(RE)atoms(Ni-Fe-RE-P,RE=La,Ce,Pr,and Nd).Accordingly,the as-prepared optimal Ni-Fe-Ce-P/CC self-supported bifunctional electrodes exhibited superior electrocatalytic activity and excellent stability with the low overpotentials of 247 and 331 mV at 100 mA cm^(-2) for HER and OER,*** the assembled electrolyzer,the Ni-Fe-Ce-P/CC as bifunctional electrodes displayed low operation potential of 1.49 V to achieve a current density of 10 mA cm^(-2),and the catalytic performance can be maintained for 100 *** results combined with density functional theory(DFT)calculation reveal that Ce doping leads to electron decentralization and crystal structure distortion,which can tailor the band structures and d-band center of Ni-Fe-P,further increasing conductivity and optimizing intermediate adsorption *** work not only proposes a valuable strategy to regulate the electron transfer and intermediate adsorption of electrocatalysts via RE atoms doping,but also provides a deep under-standing of regulation mechanism of metallic electrocatalysts for enhanced water splitting.

关键词： RE atoms Electron transfer Adsorption energy Oxygen evolution Hydrogen evolution

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Exploring Image Generation for UAV Change Detection

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IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica 2022年第6期9卷 1061-1072页

作者： Xuan Li Haibin Duan Yonglin Tian Fei-Yue Wang Peng Cheng Laboratory Shenzhen 518000China IEEE State Key Laboratory of Virtual Reality Technology and Systems School of Automation Science and Electrical EngineeringBeihang UniversityBeijing 100083 Department of Automation University of Science and Technology of ChinaHefei 230027 State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of AutomationChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100190China Research Center for Computational Experiments and Parallel Systems Technology National University of Defense TechnologyChangsha 410073China

Change detection(CD)is becoming indispensable for unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs),especially in the domain of water landing,rescue and ***,even the most advanced models require large amounts of data for model training and ***,sufficient labeled images with different imaging conditions are *** by computer graphics,we present a cloning method to simulate inland-water scene and collect an auto-labeled simulated *** simulated dataset consists of six challenges to test the effects of dynamic background,weather,and noise on change detection ***,we propose an image translation framework that translates simulated images to synthetic *** framework uses shared parameters(encoder and generator)and 22×22 receptive fields(discriminator)to generate realistic synthetic images as model training *** experimental results indicate that:1)different imaging challenges affect the performance of change detection models;2)compared with simulated images,synthetic images can effectively improve the accuracy of supervised models.

关键词： Change detection computer graphics image translation simulated images synthetic images unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)

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Development and Optimization of Simulation Model of Decision Aid System Implementation 4

Development and Optimization of Simulation Model of Decision...

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4th International Conference on Intelligent Technologies, CONIT 2024

作者： Panfilova, Tatyana Gladkov, Alexey Tynchenko, Vadim Kukartseva, Oksana Kvesko, Mikhail Siberian State University of Science and Technology Department of Information Economic Systems Reshetnev Krasnoyarsk Russia Bauman Moscow State Technical University Artificial Intelligence Technology Scientific and Education Center Russia Siberian State University of Science and Technology Information-Control Systems Department Reshetnev Russia Siberian Federal University Department of Technological Machines and Equipment of Oil and Gas Complex Krasnoyarsk Russia Siberian State University of Science and Technology Department of Systems Analysis and Operations Research Reshetnev Krasnoyarsk Russia Siberian State University of Science and Technology Department of Information and Control Systems Reshetnev Krasnoyarsk Russia

ISBN: (纸本)9798350349900

The use of simulation modeling of production activities to improve the effectiveness of management decisions allows to evaluate the quality of the decision made on the model, as well as a means of training employees. The relevance of the research topic in the management of the project to create a decision support system (DAS) using simulation modeling is that in today's world more and more organizations face the need to make decisions based on the analysis of large amounts of data and information. For this purpose, it is necessary to use special tools and methods that will allow to process data quickly and accurately and make decisions based on the results obtained. © 2024 IEEE.

关键词： Digital elevation model

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Phase of Multivariable systems: A Revisit via H2T-Dissipativity 62

Phase of Multivariable Systems: A Revisit via H2T-Dissipativ...

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62nd IEEE Conference on Decision and Control, CDC 2023

作者： Wang, Dan Chen, Wei Johansson, Karl H. Kth Royal Institute of Technology Division of Decision and Control Systems Stockholm Sweden Peking University State Key Laboratory for Turbulence and Complex Systems Department of Mechanics and Engineering Science Beijing China

ISBN: (纸本)9798350301243

A new notion of phase of multi-input multi-output (MIMO) systems was recently defined and studied, leading to new understandings in various fronts including a formulation of small phase theorem, a performance criterion named H∞ phase sector, and a sectored real lemma, etc. In this paper, we define a new notion of H2T-dissipativity and show the connection between the phase of a multivariable linear time-invariant (LTI) system and the H2T-dissipativity. The H2T-dissipativity, roughly speaking, is dissipativity restricted to the time-domain H2 space which consists of L2 signals with only positive frequency components. In addition, by exploiting the newly defined H2T- dissipativity, we also study the phase of a feedback system and provide a physical interpretation of the sectored real lemma. © 2023 IEEE.

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