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Bayesian Network Based Imprecise Probability Estimation Method for Wind power Ramp Events

Journal of Modern power systems and Clean Energy 2021年第6期9卷 1510-1519页

作者： Yuanchun Zhao Wenli Zhu Ming Yang Mengxia Wang Key Laboratory of Power System Intelligent Dispatch and Control Shandong University State Grid Jinan Power Company

Although wind power ramp events(WPREs)are relatively scarce,they can inevitably deteriorate the stability of power system operation and bring risks to the trading of electricity *** this paper,an imprecise conditional probability estimation method for WPREs is proposed based on the Bayesian network(BN)*** method uses the maximum weight spanning tree(MWST)and greedy search(GS)to build a BN that has the highest fitting degree with the observed ***,an extended imprecise Dirichlet model(IDM)is developed to estimate the parameters of the BN,which quantificationally reflect the ambiguous dependencies among the random ramp event and various meteorological *** BN is then applied to predict the interval probability of each possible ramp state under the given meteorological conditions,which is expected to cover the target probability at a specified confidence *** proposed method can quantify the uncertainty of the probabilistic ramp event ***,by using the extracted dependencies and Bayesian rules,the method can simplify the conditional probability estimation and perform reliable prediction even with scarce *** results on a real wind farm with three-year operation data illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

关键词： Bayesian network(BN) conditional probability imprecise Dirichlet model(IDM) imprecise probability wind power ramp events

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control of Virtual Synchronous Generator for Frequency Regulation Using a Coordinated Self-adaptive Method

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CSEE Journal of power and Energy systems 2024年第1期10卷 175-184页

作者： Hongwei Fang Zhiwei Yu School of Electrical and Information Engineering and Key Laboratory of Tianjin Electric Power System Simulation and Control Tianjin UniversityTianjin 300072China

power inverter adopting virtual synchronous generator(VSG)control can provide inertia support for distributed generation ***,it cannot take into account the dynamic regulation characteristics of ***,when the system encounters a sudden change in load or disturbance,the dynamic process of frequency regulation will be greatly *** view of this issue,an improved VSG control strategy based on a coordinated self-adaptive(CSA)method is *** time domain analysis method is used to study the influences of virtual inertia and damping parameter perturbation on the system steady and dynamic ***,in order to make the control strategy suitable for large load changes and suppress frequency variations beyond the limit,the secondary frequency modulation is introduced into the control *** the coordinated adaptive control of virtual inertia,virtual damping and frequency modulation,the dynamic performance of vSG frequency regulation can be obviously *** and experiment results have verified the effectiveness of the proposed CSA control strategy.

关键词： Coordinated self-adaptive method frequency regulation time domain analysis virtual synchronous generator

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Estimation of the electromechanical characteristics of power systems based on a revised stochastic subspace method and the stabilization diagram

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Science China(Technological Sciences) 2012年第6期55卷 1677-1687页

作者： NI JingMin SHEN Chen LIU Feng State Key Laboratory of Control and Simulation of Power Systems and Generation Equipments Beijing 100084China

Estimating low-frequency oscillation modes and the corresponding mode shapes based on ambient data from WAMS measurements has a promising prospect in power system analysis and *** on the stochastic subspace method,this paper proposes a revised stochastic subspace method by introducing reference channels,which can estimate the modes and the mode shapes simultaneously with great computational ***,the accuracy of the estimated results is not *** discriminate the real modes from the spurious ones,the stabilization diagram is introduced.A novel algorithm is designed to deal with the stabilization diagram which can detect the real modes *** conducted on the IEEE-118 system indicate that the proposed method has good performance in terms of both computational efficiency and accuracy,and has the potential of being used on-line.

关键词： electromechanical oscillation ambient data stochastic subspace method reference channels stabilization diagram

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Effects of manganese dioxide additives on the electrical characteristics of Al-doped ZnO varistors

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Science China(Technological Sciences) 2011年第8期54卷 2204-2208页

作者： LONG WangCheng HU Jun HE JinLiang LIU Jun ZENG Rong State Key Laboratory of Control and Simulation of Power System and Generation Equipment Department of Electrical Engineering Tsinghua University Beijing 100084 China

The effects of manganese dioxide (MnO 2 ) additives on the electrical characteristics of the Al-doped ZnO varistors are investigated. The leakage current densities of the samples decrease first and then increase again with the increase of the amount of MnO 2 additives. Correspondingly, the nonlinear coefficients of the samples keep on increasing and then decrease. In addition, the donor densities increase monotonously with the amount of the doped MnO 2 increasing. The effects of MnO 2 additives on the electrical characteristics of the samples are different from the conclusion of previous literatures. The reasons of the distinct effects are supposed to be related with the donor and interface state densities of the samples.

关键词： ZnO varistots manganese dioxide electrical characteristics low residual voltage ratio simulation

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Optimal design and techno-economic analysis of a desert off-grid photovoltaic-to-hydrogen system integrated with pipeline networks

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Energy Conversion and Management 2025年 336卷

作者： Xu, Jiaxin Lin, Jin Li, Jiarong Lin, Ruixiao Pan, Guangsheng Department of Electrical Engineering Tsinghua University Beijing China State Key Laboratory of Power System Operation and Control Tsinghua University Beijing China Tsinghua-Sichuan Energy Internet Research Institute Chengdu China Harvard John A Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences Harvard University Cambridge United States School of Electrical Engineering Southeast University Nanjing China

Addressing the challenge of harnessing remote solar resources for sustainable hydrogen production, this study presents a scalable off-grid photovoltaic-to-hydrogen (OgPVtH) system. We propose a bottom-up design methodology for the OgPVtH system, capturing the interconnections between land, water, and energy at micro and macro levels. At the micro level, we propose and consider the dynamic water-power-hydrogen characteristics of electrolyzers in a precise capacity allocation optimization model. At the macro level, we consider pipeline dynamic operating pressure constraints and establish a robust method for generating water-hydrogen pipeline network topologies. We conduct a real case study in the Hobq Desert. It reveals a levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) of 2.59 $/kg for the proposed OgPVtH system, indicating a 3.0 % lower cost compared to coal-based hydrogen production with carbon capture and storage (CCS) and 25 %-50 % lower cost compared to bioenergy to hydrogen, which demonstrates the system's economic competitiveness. The precise modeling of water-power-hydrogen characteristics and topologies can reduce LCOH by 0.35 $/kg and 0.01 $/kg, respectively. Sensitivity analysis highlights the trade-offs between investment in transmission and storage due to operational volatility, with an optimal hydrogen flow rate volatility of 80 % minimizing the total LCOH. © 2025 Elsevier Ltd

关键词： Hydro energy

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Expectative Modeling of Wide-area Damping Networked control systems with Long Stochastic Time Delay

Expectative Modeling of Wide-area Damping Networked Control ...

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第25届中国控制与决策会议

作者： Zhang Xinran Lu Chao Han Yingduo State Key Laboratory of Control and Simulation of Power System and Generation Equipments Tsinghua University

ISBN: (纸本)9781467355339

In this paper, the impact of stochastic time delay on wide-area damping networked control systems is analyzed. A disintegrate method of time-delay upon sampling period is approved. Furthermore, the expectative model of networked control systems with long and stochastic time delay, whose variance extent is larger than one sampling period, is theoretically proved and calculated. Finally, the effectiveness of this expectative model is confirmed on the simulation of a power system with 8 generators and 36 nodes.

关键词： Networked control system, Wide Area Damping control, Long Stochastic Time Delay, Expectative Model.

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Excitation Current and Vibration Characteristics of DC Biased Transformer

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CSEE Journal of power and Energy systems 2021年第3期7卷 604-613页

作者： Chao Pan Chengjian Wang Hao Su Key Laboratory of Modem Power System Simulation and Control&Renewable Energy Technology Ministry of Education(Northeast Electric Power University)Jilin 132012China

In practical engineering,DC disturbance will lead to excitation saturation and vibration intensification on transformer core,as well as affecting the normal operation of equipment and power *** to the problem,a new idea is proposed in this *** on the electromagnetic characteristics of DC biased transformer,excitation saturation and core vibration are studied by using excitation-vibration harmonic response analysis *** current is identified through electromagnetic coupling to characterize the excitation saturation ***,vibration harmonic response model is established to analyze core *** characteristics of DC biased Y/△transformer are *** variation of excitation current and core vibration at different DC levels are ***-vibration characteristics of three-phase group transformer and three-phase three-limb transformer are compared and *** experimental platform built,the correctness of simulation results is verified by experimental data,and the effectiveness of the proposed method can be proved.

关键词： DC disturbance excitation-vibration harmonic response Y/△transformer

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An approach to determining the local boundaries of voltage stability region with wind farms in power injection space

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Science China(Technological Sciences) 2010年第12期53卷 3232-3240页

作者： MU YunFei & JIA HongJie key laboratory of power system simulation and control of Ministry of Education, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China 1. Key Laboratory of Power System Simulation and Control of Ministry of Education Tianjin University Tianjin 300072 China

A new approach to determining the local boundaries of voltage stability region in power injection space (IVSR) for power system with wind farms is presented. It can be used for power system voltage stability analysis and on-line security assessment with considering the output uncertainty of the wind farms. Firstly, power flow tracing and double dispatching are used to determine the generators that are closely related to the wind farms, in order to balance the power fluctuations caused by the wind speed variation. Then, modal analysis is used to get the key generators to achieve an effective dimension reduction for IVSR. Finally, the forecasting output power (or wind speed) of wind farms is divided into several intervals. For each interval, the corresponding local IVSR boundaries can be calculated by the method based on small disturbance. Moreover, parallel process is used to accelerate the computing speed. The presented approach is validated by several power systems. It can be revealed that the approach can give the local IVSR boundaries at different wind speeds and has a good engineering application prospect.

关键词： voltage stability region power flow tracing modal analysis parallel process

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Frequency-Feedback Based Islanding Detection Algorithm for Micro-Grid

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Transactions of Tianjin University 2008年第2期14卷 85-91页

作者：李永丽李盛伟摆世彬牛冲宣 Key Laboratory of Power System Simulation and Control of Ministry of Education Tianjin UniversityTianjin 300072China

The unintentional islanding of micro-grid may cause negative impacts on distribution loads and distributed generations,so it must be detected within the acceptable *** this paper a new islanding detection algorithm is *** algorithm introduces the frequency feedback method by the reactive power compensation to derive the frequency continuous shift. Accordingly,the islanding can be detected by monitoring the frequency within 0.1 *** simulation results prove that this algorithm has extremely small non-detection zone,and meanwhile it presents an excellent islanding detection speed as well.

关键词： distributed generation micro-grid islanding detection reactive power compensation

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Active Dynamic Aggregation Model for Distributed Integrated Energy system as Virtual power Plant

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Journal of Modern power systems and Clean Energy 2020年第5期8卷 831-840页

作者： Haotian Zhao Bin Wang Xuanyuan Wang Zhaoguang Pan Hongbin Sun Zhen Liu Qinglai Guo State Key Laboratory of Control and Simulation of Power System and Generation Equipments Department of Electrical EngineeringTsinghua UniversityBeijingChina State Grid Jibei Electric Power Co. Ltd.BeijingChina

Distributed integrated multi-energy systems(DIMSs)can be regarded as virtual power plants to provide additional flexibility to the power *** paper proposes a robust active dynamic aggregation model for the DIMSs to describe the maximum feasible *** aggregation model includes the power constraints,energy constraints,and ramping constraints to aggregate different types of resources in the *** proposed generator-like and storage-like model does not depend on the ancillary service market and can be directly incorporated into the economic dispatch model of the power system.A novel algorithm based on the column-and-constraint generation algorithm and convex-concave procedure is proposed to solve the two-stage robust optimization problem,which is more efficient than the KKT-based ***,a case study of an actual DIMS is developed to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model.

关键词： Aggregation distributed integrated energy system(DIMS) robust optimization virtual power plant

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