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A mathematical model for resource allocation in population programs

Demography 1972年第3期9卷 465-483页

作者： Lawrence, Charles E. Mundigo, Axel I. ReVelle, Charles S. Center for Environmental Quality Management Cornell University Troy 12181 New York United States Systems Engineering Division Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Troy 12181 New York United States The International Population Program Cornell University Ithaca 14850 New York United States Department of Geography and Environmental Engineering The Johns Hopkins University Baltimore 21218 Maryland United States

The reduction of population growth rates through family planning programs is being attempted in many of the developing nations of the world. This activity lends itself aptly to mathematical modeling. Building from the well-known difference equation model of population growth, a model is constructed which integrates population dynamics, program activities, and resource consumption. The model may be used predictively to assess the outcome of various program activities. Alternatively, it may be used to determine the pattern of activities which yields the greatest reduction in births under the projected resource constraints. A further use of the model is the identification of the parameters to which predictions are most sensitive;such information provides valuable insights to those gathering the input data. The model is here applied to a family planning program currently in progress. An evaluation of the feasibility of that program's goals is provided, as well as information on limiting resources, data sensitivity, and the most important ages for contraceptive acceptance. © 1972 Population Association of America.

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engineering OPERATIONAL SEQUENCING SYSTEM

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NAVAL ENGINEERS JOURNAL 1970年第6期82卷 65-&页

作者： CALOGERO, R MCMANUS, D Robert Calogero graduated from the University of Maryland with a Bachelor of Science in Electrical Engineering in February 1965. He entered the Magnetic Defense Section of Propulsion Power and Auxiliary Systems Division of the Naval Ship Engineering Center where he had previously served as a summer student engineering aid. In December 1968 he transferred to the Maintenance Management Branch of NAVSHIPS where he assumed responsibility as Manager of the Operational Sequencing System. Calogero is presently in the Engineering Administration Program offered at the George Washington University and is a member of the Association of Senior Engineers of the Naval Ships Systems Command. Donald McManus graduated from the Maine Maritime Academy in 1954 and received his Bachelor of Marine Science Degree Commission in the U. S. Naval Reserve and a USCG Marine Engineer's license. After graduation he sailed as a licensed engineer aboard steam and diesel powered tankers and “dry cargo” vessels engaged in worldwide commercial trade. Upon release from active duty in 1958 he was employed for the next eight and one-half years at the Sun Shipbuilding and Drydock Co. Chester Pa. in various engineering capacities. McManus came to the Naval Ship Engineering Center in December 1966 and is presently employed as a Marine Engineer in the Control Section of Machinery Arrangement and Controls Branch. He is a member of the Association of Senior Engineers of the Naval Ship Systems Command.

The many varied types of engineering plants extent in today's modern Navy requires an ever creasing range and depth of operational knowledge by engineering personnel at all levels of shipboard operations. The engineering Operational Sequencing System (EOSS) provides each of these levels with the required information to enable the engineering plant to respond to any demands placed upon it which are within its design capability. The engineering Operational Sequencing System is a set of systematic and detailed written procedures utilizing charts, instructions and diagrams which provide the information required for the operation of a shipboard propulsion plant. The purpose of this paper will be to define and discuss the EOSS; to describe the system background, current status and future implementation plans.

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DOCTRINE OF CONSTRUCTIVE CHANGE ORDERS

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NAVAL ENGINEERS JOURNAL 1971年第5期83卷 76-&页

作者： PARKER, DJ The authorwas formerly employed by the Anti-Air Warfare Project Management office in the Naval Ship Systems Command. From his employment in 1969 he was involved vrith the DDG and DLG conversions. His last assignment was as Assistant Test Program Director for the DLGN-38 Class shipbuilding program. Parker holds a B. S. degree in Electrical Engineering from the University of Florida and is currently enrolled at George Washington University where he is working toward his Masters in Engineering Administration. He is also a member of ASE and IEEE.

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Integrating Global Climate Change Mitigation Goals with Other Sustainability Objectives: A Synthesis

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Environment and Resources 1000年第1期40卷 363-394页

作者： Christoph von Stechow David McCollum Keywan Riahi Jan C. Minx Elmar Kriegler Detlef P. van Vuuren Jessica Jewell Carmenza Robledo-Abad Edgar Hertwich Massimo Tavoni Sevastianos Mirasgedis Oliver Lah Joyashree Roy Yacob Mulugetta Navroz K. Dubash Johannes Bollen Diana Ürge-Vorsatz Ottmar Edenhofer 3Department of Economics of Climate Change Technical University Berlin 10623 Berlin Germany 2Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change 10829 Berlin Germany 1Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research 14412 Potsdam Germany email: stechow@*** 4Energy Program International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis A-2361 Laxenburg Austria 5Institute of Thermal Engineering Graz University of Technology A-8010 Graz Austria 6Hertie School of Governance 10117 Berlin Germany 8Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Environmental Sciences Utrecht University 3584 CS Utrecht the Netherlands 7Department of Climate Air and Energy PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency 3720 AH Bilthoven the Netherlands 9Department of Environmental Systems Science USYS TdLab ETH Zürich 8092 Zürich Switzerland 10Industrial Ecology Programme Department of Energy and Process Engineering Norwegian University of Science and Technology NO-7491 Trondheim Norway 12Department of Management and Economics Politecnico di Milano 20156 Milan Italy 11Climate Change and Sustainable Development Programme Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and Centro Euromediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici 20123 Milan Italy 13Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development National Observatory of Athens GR-15236 Penteli Greece 14Wuppertal Institute for Climate Environment and Energy 10178 Berlin Germany 15Department of Economics and Global Change Program Jadavpur University Kolkata 700032 India 16Department of Science Technology Engineering and Public Policy University College London London W1T 6EY United Kingdom 17Centre for Policy Research New Delhi 110021 India 18CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis 2585 JR The Hague the Netherlands 19Center for Climate Change and Sustainable Energy Policy Central European University 1051 Budapest Hungary

Achieving a truly sustainable energy transition requires progress across multiple dimensions beyond climate change mitigation goals. This article reviews and synthesizes results from disparate strands of literature on the coeffects of mitigation to inform climate policy choices at different governance levels. The literature documents many potential cobenefits of mitigation for nonclimate objectives, such as human health and energy security, but little is known about their overall welfare implications. Integrated model studies highlight that climate policies as part of well-designed policy packages reduce the overall cost of achieving multiple sustainability objectives. The incommensurability and uncertainties around the quantification of coeffects become, however, increasingly pervasive the more the perspective shifts from sectoral and local to economy wide and global, the more objectives are analyzed, and the more the results are expressed in economic rather than nonmonetary terms. Different strings of evidence highlight the role and importance of energy demand reductions for realizing synergies across multiple sustainability objectives.

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The Jimmie Hamilton Award

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Naval Engineers Journal 1971年第3期83卷 36-38页

作者： NACHTSHEIM, JOHN J. BALLOU, L. DENNIS John J. Nachtsheim:is currently the Deputy Assistant Administrator for Research & Development for the Maritime Administration. His duties are the planning coordinating organizing evaluating and directing of the R&D activities of MarAd. His past experiences include: Naval Architect for the Naval Ship Engineering Center 1959 Deputy Chief Design Engineer for the Puget Sound Naval Shipyard 1958 to 1959 and Naval Architect the former Bureau of Ships 1948 to 1958. His education is comprised of a B.S. degree from the Webb Institute of Naval Architecture an L.L.B. degree from the George Washington University Law School completion of the Advanced Management Program at Harvard University and current study of Transportation at the American University. He is a Registered Professional Engineer in the District of Columbia and a Member of the Bar in the District of Columbia and the State of Maryland. In addition to ASNE his other professional memberships include the Society of Naval Architects and Marine Engineers the Society of Aeronautical Weight Engineers and the Association of Senior Engineers of the Naval Ships Systems Command (Honorary). USN Commander L. Dennis Ballou: USN is the Head of the Engineering Service Office Naval Ship Engineering Center. He is involved in computer hardware and software services to support engineering design automatic data processing systems design work study and quality assurance. Prior to NavSec duty Commander Ballou served in various billets afloat and ashore: tours on the USS Skagit and Tang supervision of the USS Skipjack's first overhul construction of the USS Nathanael Greene and helping to establish the Polaris overhaul program. He is a graduate of the U.S. Naval Academy Officers' Submarine School and the Webb Institute of Naval Architecture. He holds BS and MS degrees in marine engineering and naval architecture respectively. He has also completed many graduate

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THE EFFECT OF ELECTRONICS ON THE DESIGN OF DEEP SUBMERSIBLES

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Naval Engineers Journal 1969年第3期81.0卷 123-132页

作者： NICHOLSON, WILLIAM M. CESTONE, JOSEPH A. Captain W. M. Nicholson USN is presently Director of Deep Submergence Systems Project having graduated first in the class of 1941 from the U.S. Naval Academy and received a Master of Science in Naval Architecture and Marine Engineering. Prior duty has included Design Assistant at the Bureau of Ships Planning and Estimating Assistant at the Mare Island Naval Shipyard Engineering Department on the USS OREGON CITY Damage Control Assistant on the USS PHILIPPINE SEA Ship Superintendent and Docking Office after which he was Design Superintendent at the Boston Naval Shipyard Engineering Instructor at the Naval Postgraduate School Management Engineer and Comptroller at the Puget Sound Naval Shipyard Professor of Naval Construction at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He has been awarded the American Defense Service Medal the American Campaign Medal World War II Victory Medal Navy Occupation Service Medal European Clasp the National Defense Service Medal. Member of the American Society of Naval Engineers American Society of Naval Architects and Marine Engineers the Instituteo Panamerico de Engenieria Naval Tau Beta Pi and Sigma Xi. Mr. Joseph A. Cestone has been associated with the Deep Submergence Systems Project since its inception and received an appointment as Head of the Sensors-Navigation Ship Control Branch in 1966. In this capacity he is responsible for design specifications and procurement of sensor devices navigation systems and control equipment for the undersea submersibles and habitats pertaining to the Deep Submergence Program.

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VITALIZING A GOVERNMENT engineering ORGANIZATION

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NAVAL ENGINEERS JOURNAL 1971年第4期83卷 61-&页

作者： LAMARTIN, FH CAPTAIN (Ret) The authors formerly held the position of Deputy Commander for Acquisition Engineering Naval Electronic Systems Command. His career has encompassed command of gunboats during and after WW II electronics instructor at the Naval Academy Nuclear Propulsion Program shipyard representative for both the USS Long Beach and Bainbridge production engineering data processing and labor relations at Charleston Naval Shipyard Manager of AN/SQS-26 Sonar Project and Director Navships Sonar Office. Captain Lamartin is a 1944 Naval Academy graduate. He earned degrees of B.S. (Electrical Engineering) and M.S. (Nuclear Engineering) from M.I.T. and attended the Advanced Management Program at Harvard. He is a member of ASNE.

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A systems LOOK AT WEAPONS TRAINING

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Naval Engineers Journal 1964年第6期76卷 969-972页

作者： SHEPHERD, FRANCIS W. THE AUTHOR:was a Sergeant in the Army Air Force in World War II. Since that time he has been employed at the Naval Proving Ground Dahlgren in the Bureau of Ordnance in both the Research and Materials Divisions and in several industrial organizations on Navy contracts. He has been a systems designer of Navy trainers at the Minneapolis-Honeywell West Covina California plant and he is now with the Honeywell Military and Space Sciences Department in Washington D. C. Besides his BME (College of the City of New York) and MSME (University of Minnesota) he obtained the Master of Engineering Administration Degree from George Washington University under the Navy Senior Management Development Program.

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Control of ship fouling in U.S. Navy

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Naval Engineers Journal 1967年第N 1期v 79卷 p77-85页

作者： Birnbaum, L.S. Bukzin, E.A. Saroyan, J.R. Leon S. Birnbaum holds a B.S. degree in Chemistry from City College of New York. He has completed graduate work in Chemistry at the University of Maryland and Temple University and in Technology and Management at American University. He has been with the Navy Department Washington since 1949 and is currently Head of the Coatings and Chemistry Branch of the Materials Development and Application Office of the Naval Ship Engineering Center. Responsibilities of this Branch include such items as coatings corrosion control techniques insulation chemical cleaning water treatment toxicology and detection and decontamination of biological and chemical warfare agents. Prior to this Mr. Birnbaum was employed in the Industrial Test Laboratory Philadelphia Naval Shipyard from 1938 to 1949. Work during this period included supervision of a section which inspected paints and allied materials and petroleum products to determine their suitability for Naval use and direction of research in fire retardant treatments. He is a member of the American Chemical Society Washington Paint Technical Group. National Association of Corrosion Engineers and the American Society of Naval Engineers. Mr. Bukzin is a research and development program manager in the Naval Ship Systems Command of the Department of the Navy in the fields of non-metallic materials fuels lubricants cold weather operations and several other areas. He is a graduate chemical engineer from New York University with additional training in naval architecture and management which culminated in his participation in the Senior Development Program at Cornell University during the summer of 1960. He has been employed by the Command and its predecessor for the past 2b years and has been in his present position of R&D planning and programming for the past six years. Prior to that his major technical responsibilities were in the field of elastomers and their applications. He received several awards and published a number of papers during those years. Mr. Bukzin is a me

Report on paints used on surface ships and submarines for protection against corrosion and prevention of fouling, and on work connected with development and evaluation of such coatings;experiences with "hot plastic", "cold plastic" and vinyl paints;hazards in use of vinyl paints and safety precautions;test techniques;new toxics (which are only kind so far satisfactory antifouling formulations) under test.

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COMPUTERS - A BLESSING OR A CURSE

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NAVAL ENGINEERS JOURNAL 1970年第3期82卷 48-&页

作者： CHRISTOP.CA THE AUTHOR is Vice President of Technology and Manufacturing for Sperry Rand Corporation's Univac Federal Systems Division St. Paul Minnesota. He holds a B. S. degree in Management Engineering from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute. Mr. Christopher joined Univac in St. Paul in 1956 later moving to Division headquarters in suburban Philadelphia as Director of Operational Services and Planning. He became Director of Procurement and Administrative Services. Before returning to the Federal Systems Division in his present capacity he was general manager of the Univac Division operations in Utica-Ilion New York. In his present position Mr. Christopher is responsible for engineering and programming factory operations (manufacturing) procurement advanced development program management and the Federal Systems Division's Salt Lake City Utah operations. In 1969 he was cited as Greater Utica's “Industrial Man of the Year.” Mr. Christopher is a member of the Society for the Advancement of Management and the Electronics Industries Association.

The benefits of data system computers to the Navy to date are developed to highlight the blessings. Both achievements and future requirements are discussed. The problems attendant on achievement of potential advantages of data system computers, and the penalties of failure to liquidate these liabilities constitute the discussion of the curse of computerizations. Since both the potentials and liabilities of computers go forward hand-in-hand, the argument is made that computers can be a blessing to the degree that the liabilities are liquidated. Some practical suggestions as to liquidating the critical liabilities are offered from the point of view of industry to assist in attaining the potential of computers and data systems in support of the Navy's missions, roles, and objectives.

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