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Artificial intelligence for modelling infectious disease epidemics

Nature 2025年第8051期638卷 623-635页

作者： Kraemer, Moritz U. G. Tsui, Joseph L.-H. Chang, Serina Y. Lytras, Spyros Khurana, Mark P. Vanderslott, Samantha Bajaj, Sumali Scheidwasser, Neil Curran-Sebastian, Jacob Liam Semenova, Elizaveta Zhang, Mengyan Unwin, H. Juliette T. Watson, Oliver J. Mills, Cathal Dasgupta, Abhishek Ferretti, Luca Scarpino, Samuel V. Koua, Etien Morgan, Oliver Tegally, Houriiyah Paquet, Ulrich Moutsianas, Loukas Fraser, Christophe Ferguson, Neil M. Topol, Eric J. Duchêne, David A. Stadler, Tanja Kingori, Patricia Parker, Michael J. Dominici, Francesca Shadbolt, Nigel Suchard, Marc A. Ratmann, Oliver Flaxman, Seth Holmes, Edward C. Gomez-Rodriguez, Manuel Schölkopf, Bernhard Donnelly, Christl A. Pybus, Oliver G. Cauchemez, Simon Bhatt, Samir Pandemic Sciences Institute University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Department of Biology University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science University of California Berkeley Berkeley CA United States UCSF UC Berkeley Joint Program in Computational Precision Health Berkeley CA United States Division of Systems Virology Department of Microbiology and Immunology The Institute of Medical Science The University of Tokyo Tokyo Japan Section of Epidemiology Department of Public Health University of Copenhagen Copenhagen Denmark Oxford Vaccine Group University of Oxford and NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre Oxford United Kingdom Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics Imperial College London London United Kingdom Department of Computer Science University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom School of Mathematics University of Bristol Bristol United Kingdom MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis School of Public Health Imperial College London London United Kingdom Department of Statistics University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Doctoral Training Centre University of Oxford Oxford United Kingdom Institute for Experiential AI Northeastern University MA Boston Thailand Santa Fe Institute Santa Fe NM United States World Health Organization Regional Office for Africa Brazzaville Congo WHO Hub for Pandemic and Epidemic Intelligence Health Emergencies Programme World Health Organization Berlin Germany Centre for Epidemic Response and Innovation (CERI) School for Data Science and Computational Thinking Stellenbosch University Stellenbosch South Africa African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS) South Africa Muizenberg Cape Town South Africa Genomics England London United Kingdom Scripps Research La Jolla CA United States Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering ETH Zürich Basel Switzerland Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics Lausanne Switzerland The Ethox Centre Nuffield

Infectious disease threats to individual and public health are numerous, varied and frequently unexpected. Artificial intelligence (AI) and related technologies, which are already supporting human decision making in economics, medicine and social science, have the potential to transform the scope and power of infectious disease epidemiology. Here we consider the application to infectious disease modelling of AI systems that combine machine learning, computational statistics, information retrieval and data science. We first outline how recent advances in AI can accelerate breakthroughs in answering key epidemiological questions and we discuss specific AI methods that can be applied to routinely collected infectious disease surveillance data. Second, we elaborate on the social context of AI for infectious disease epidemiology, including issues such as explainability, safety, accountability and ethics. Finally, we summarize some limitations of AI applications in this field and provide recommendations for how infectious disease epidemiology can harness most effectively current and future developments in AI. © Springer Nature Limited 2025.

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Optimal Deep Canonically Correlated Autoencoder-Enabled Prediction Model for Customer Churn Prediction

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computers, Materials & Continua 2022年第11期73卷 3757-3769页

作者： Olfat M.Mirza GJose Moses R.Rajender E.Laxmi Lydia Seifedine Kadry Cheadchai Me-Ead Orawit Thinnukool Department of Computer Science College of Computers and Information SystemsUmm Al-Qura UniversityMakkahSaudi Arabia Department of Computer Science Engineering Malla Reddy Engineering College500100India Department of Computer Science Engineering Lendi Institute of Engineering&TechnologyDenkada535005India Department of Computer Science and Engineering Vignan’s Institute of Information TechnologyVisakhapatnam530049India Department of Applied Data Science Noroff University CollegeNorway Program in Statistics and Information Management Faculty of ScienceMaejo UniversityChiang Mai50290Thailand Department of Modern Management and Information Technology College of Arts Media and TechnologyChiang Mai UniversityChiang Mai50200Thailand

Presently,customer retention is essential for reducing customer churn in telecommunication *** churn prediction(CCP)is important to predict the possibility of customer retention in the quality of *** risks of customer churn also get essential,the rise of machine learning(ML)models can be employed to investigate the characteristics of customer ***,deep learning(DL)models help in prediction of the customer behavior based characteristic *** the DL models necessitate hyperparameter modelling and effort,the process is difficult for research communities and business *** this view,this study designs an optimal deep canonically correlated autoencoder based prediction(ODCCAEP)model for competitive customer dependent application *** addition,the O-DCCAEP method purposes for determining the churning nature of the *** O-DCCAEP technique encompasses preprocessing,classification,and hyperparameter ***,the DCCAE model is employed to classify the churners or ***,the hyperparameter optimization of the DCCAE technique occurs utilizing the deer hunting optimization algorithm(DHOA).The experimental evaluation of the O-DCCAEP technique is carried out against an own dataset and the outcomes highlighted the betterment of the presented O-DCCAEP approach on existing approaches.

关键词： Churn prediction customer retention deep learning machine learning archimedes optimization algorithm

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Hardware reuse in modern application-specific processors and accelerators

Hardware reuse in modern application-specific processors and...

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2011 14th Euromicro Conference on Digital System Design: Architectures, Methods and Tools, DSD 2011

作者： Nery, Alexandre S. Jozwiak, Lech Lindwer, Menno Cocco, Mauro Nedjah, Nadia França, Felipe M.G. LAM - Computer Architecture and Microelectronics Laboratory Systems Engineering and Computer Science Program COPPE Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro Brazil Department of Electronics Engineering and Telecommunications Faculty of Engineering Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro Brazil Department of Electrical Engineering - Electronic Systems Eindhoven University of Technology Netherlands Silicon Hive - Intel UMG Netherlands

ISBN: (纸本)9780769544946

Effective exploitation of the application-specific parallel patterns and computation operations through their direct implementation in hardware is the base for construction of high-quality application-specific (re-) configurable application specific instruction set processors (ASIPs) and hardware accelerators for modern highly-demanding applications. Although it receives a lot of attention from the researchers and practitioners, a very important problem of hardware reuse in ASIP and accelerator synthesis is clearly underestimated and does not get enough attention in the published research. This paper is an effect of an industry and academic collaborative research. It analyses the problem of hardware sharing, shows its high practical relevance, as well as a big influence of hardware sharing on the major circuit and system parameters, and its importance for the multi-objective optimization and tradeoff exploitation. It also demonstrates that the state-of-the-art synthesis tools do not sufficiently address this problem and gives several guidelines related to enhancement of the hardware reuse. © 2011 IEEE.

关键词： Multiobjective optimization

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Diabetes Classification Using Support Vector Machine: Binary Classification Model 4

Diabetes Classification Using Support Vector Machine: Binary...

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4th International Conference on Information and Communications Technology, ICOIACT 2021

作者： Rabiha, Suciana Ghadati Wibowo, Antoni Lukas Heryadi, Yaya Computer Science Department BINUS Graduate Program-Doctor of Computer Science. Information Systems Department BINUS Online Learning Bina Nusantara University Jakarta11480 Indonesia Computer Science Department BINUS Graduate Program-Doctor of Computer Science Bina Nusantara University 11480 Indonesia Faculty of Engineering Universitas Katolik Indonesia Atma Jaya Indonesia Computer Science Department BINUS Graduate Program - Doctor of Computer Science Bina Nusantara University 11480 Indonesia

ISBN: (纸本)9781665433945

One of the health problems that require special attention is diabetes, besides the growth of this disease infection is increasing in various circles ranging from children, adults, men, women and the elderly. So to detect diabetes at an early stage, machine learning algorithms are the right choice to help detect indications of diabetes. This paper presents experimental results related to the exploration of the use of a Super Vector Machine (SVM) for data classification of Diabetes. The model used in this experiment is the Binary Classification Model. Based on the test results, the highest accuracy is obtained by using a total of 700 lines of data, which is 75,7143%. The Best estimated feasible point in Box Constraint is 272.29 with a KernelScale area of 72.627. © 2021 IEEE

关键词： Face recognition

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Intelligent Constellation Generation based on Autoencoder Communication System 2

Intelligent Constellation Generation based on Autoencoder Co...

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2nd IEEE International Conference on computer Vision and Machine Intelligence, CVMI 2023

作者： Matsumoto, Kaisei Toma, Takao Oshiro, Shiho Wada, Tomohisa Computer Science and Intelligent Systems Program University of the Ryukyus Okinawa Japan Magna Design Net Inc Okinawa Japan Information Technology Center University of the Ryukyus Okinawa Japan Area of Computer Science and Intelligent Systems University of the Ryukyus Dept. of Engineering Okinawa Japan

ISBN: (纸本)9798350305142

This paper discusses intelligent constellation generation based on autoencoder communication system. In previous studies, the amplitude was set to fluctuate between r=0.0 and 1.0. However, when checking the generated constellation, distortion was confirmed instead of the conventional symbol arrangement. Therefore, in this paper, it compares the case where the amplitude is constant, the case where the average amplitude within a Minibatch is 1, and the case where the average amplitude is 1 for Interval time. The communication standard used in this research is IEEE 802.11a, assuming wireless Local Area Network (LAN) specifications. The IEEE 802.11a standard has an Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) length of 64, a subcarrier number of 52, and Quadrature Phase Shift Keying (QPSK) and 16 Quadrature Amplitude Modulation (QAM), modulation methods. A guard interval of 800 ns is added and the symbol length is 4000 ns. First, a simulation was performed under the condition that the amplitude was kept constant. QPSK with 4 symbols, constant amplitude model is rounded more than previous research result. 16QAM with 16 symbols is arranged regularly like lined up on a line. Second, the simulation was performed under the condition that the average amplitude within the minibatch was set to 1. QPSK with 4 symbols, appears to rotate clockwise. 16QAM with 16 symbols has a more uniform symbol placement than previous research result. Third, a simulation was performed under the condition that the average amplitude within Interval time was set to 1. QPSK with 4 symbols, is the closest to square among QPSK output results so far. The direction is slightly tilted, but if it can be rotated a little more, it may be possible to reproduce the same symbol arrangement as before. 16QAM with 16 symbols, the symbol arrangement is biased as a whole. However, it can be seen that are arranged in line on the line, perhaps due to regularity. As future work, in addition to the conditions set this time, it will exa

关键词： Quadrature phase shift keying

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Scalability in Autoencoder-based OFDM Communication System 2

Scalability in Autoencoder-based OFDM Communication System

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2nd IEEE International Conference on computer Vision and Machine Intelligence, CVMI 2023

作者： Tsugawa, Seizan Toma, Takao Oshiro, Shiho Wada, Tomohisa University of the Ryukyus Computer Science and Intelligent Systems Program Okinawa Japan Magna Design Net Inc Okinawa Japan University of the Ryukyus Information Technology Center Okinawa Japan University of the Ryukyus Area of Computer Science and Intelligent Systems Dept. of Engineering Okinawa Japan

ISBN: (纸本)9798350305142

This paper proposed Scalability in Autoencoder-based Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing(OFDM) communication system. In the previous research, only the comparison between IEEE802.11a and Autoencoder by the conventional OFDM communication system was performed, and it was proved that the communication system created by Autoencoder exceeded the performance of the conventional system. Therefore, in this paper, it uses IEEE802.11n and compare whether it can be improved by expanding the bandwidth and using ***802.11n standard has an FFT length of 128, a subcarrier number of 114 (108 for data), and modulation schemes of Quadrature Phase Shift Keying(QPSK), 16 Quadrature Amplitude Modulation (16QAM). The GI length is 800ns and the symbol length is 4000ns. In the simulation, a computer simulation was performed using a conventional OFDM communication system and a communication system generated by Autoencoder. Assuming that the simulation environment had an Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) of 0 to 30 and an amplitude r of 0.0 to 1.0, the Symbol Error Rate (SER) status for each SNR was output. As a result of computer simulation, QPSK converged at SNR 27 at IEEE 802.11a, but was able to reduce SER overwhelmingly to SNR 12 at IEEE 802.11n. Also, in 16QAM the convergence at r=0.0 is the same as for SNR22 , but in IEEE 802.11a it does not converge after r=0.6, but in IEEE 802.11n it does not converge only at r=0.9 and r=1.0. As a future task, it will use IEEE802.11ac, which enables communication speeds several times faster than IEEE802.11n, examine whether it is possible to further improve accuracy. And it will continue our research to correspond MIMO communication. © 2023 IEEE.

关键词： Orthogonal frequency division multiplexing

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Student engagement through mathematical applications in electrical power systems

Student engagement through mathematical applications in elec...

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113th Annual ASEE Conference and Exposition, 2006

作者： Osorno, Bruno California State University Northridge United States Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering California State University Northridge United States Electric Power Systems Graduate and Undergraduate Program

Historically, electrical engineering students have been very proficient in the application of mathematics. At California State University we have experienced, recently, a negative shift of mathematical interest and therefore a lack of progress in the understanding of basic concepts that require a strong mathematical background. This problem stems from the lack of mathematical skills and studying habits. One way to solve this problem is to engage our students into the application of mathematics with simple, yet, powerful problems. An assessment of such engagement occurs every week with a quiz that spans the material covered during the previous week and tests some of the mathematical and engineering skills. This paper attempts to show the results of such assessment and the outcome of a class in which such approach was tasted. During this semester we are testing this technique again in a different course. © American Society for engineering Education, 2006.

关键词： Students

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Combining function points software estimation model with ADISSA methodology for systems analysis and design 7

Combining function points software estimation model with ADI...

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7th Israeli Conference on computer systems and Software engineering, ICCSSE 1996

作者： Shoval, Peretz Feldman, Ofer Information Systems Program Dept.of Industrial Engineering and Management Israel Dept.of Mathematics and Computer Science Ben-Gurion University of Negev Beer-Sheva84105 Israel

ISBN: (纸本)0818675365

The study proposes a combination of the function points model for software estimation with the ADISSA methodology for systems analysis and design. This combined approach, which is supported by a software tool, enables one to estimate various software metrics, such as size, effort, and duration, in the early stages of systems development, by basing them on the products of a thorough system analysis and design process. © 1996 IEEE.

关键词： Project management

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IoE Knowledge Flow Model in Smart Cities

IoE Knowledge Flow Model in Smart Cities

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2022 IEEE International Conference on systems, Man, and Cybernetics, SMC 2022

作者： Paes, Vitor C. Pessoa, Clinton H. M. Farias Da Costa, Viviane C. Oliveira, Luiz F. S. De Souza, Jano M. Federal University of Rio de Janeiro Systems Engineering and Computer Science Program Rio de Janeiro Brazil Federal Institute of Rio de Janeiro Niterói Brazil

ISBN: (数字)9781665452588

ISBN: (纸本)9781665452588

With a growing demand for new technologies, concepts such as the Internet of Everything (IoE) - in which smart sensors (humans and machines) connect, communicate, and share information from the surrounding environment - are gaining notoriety. Thus, this study focuses on developing a knowledge flow model in the IoE scenario for Smart Cities, including how knowledge is disseminated in these intelligent environments in human-to-machine interactions. The study considers a knowledge-based taxonomy defined for IoE environments and supports the full realization of IoE applications through a knowledge management strategy. The proposed IoE Knowledge Flow Model contributes to identification of knowledge flows related to IoE architecture layers in smart city applications. © 2022 IEEE.

关键词： Internet of Everything

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Generalized evidence pre-propagated importance sampling for hybrid bayesian networks

Generalized evidence pre-propagated importance sampling for ...

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AAAI-07/IAAI-07 Proceedings: 22nd AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence and the 19th Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence Conference

作者： Yuan, Changhe Druzdzel, Marek J. Department of Computer Science and Engineering Mississippi State University Mississippi State MS 39762 Intelligent Systems Program School of Information Sciences University of Pittsburgh Pittsburgh PA 15260

ISBN: (纸本)1577353234

In this paper, we first provide a new theoretical understanding of the Evidence Pre-propagated Importance Sampling algorithm (EPIS-BN) (Yuan & Druzdzel 2003;2006b) and show that its importance function minimizes the KL-divergence between the function itself and the exact posterior probability distribution in Polytrees. We then generalize the method to deal with inference in general hybrid Bayesian networks consisting of deterministic equations and arbitrary probability distributions. Using a novel technique called soft arc reversal, the new algorithm can also handle evidential reasoning with observed deterministic variables. Copyright © 2007, Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (***). All rights reserved.

关键词： Bayesian networks

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