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The Prediction of the Epidemic Trend of COVID-19 Using Neural Networks

IFAC-PapersOnLine 2020年第5期53卷 857-862页

作者： Jing Yang Zhen Shen Xisong Dong Xiuqin Shang Wei Li Gang Xiong J. Yang is with the State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China and also with College of Information Sciences & Technology Beijing University of Chemical Technology Beijing 100029 China. Z. Shen is with the State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China and also with the Intelligent Manufacturing Center Qingdao Academy of Intelligent Industries Qingdao Shandong 266113 China. X. Dong X. Shang and W. Li are with the State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China. G. Xiong is with Beijing Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Systems and Technology Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100190 China and also with the Guangdong Engineering Research Center of 3D Printing and Intelligent Manufacturing Cloud Computing Center Dongguan Guangdong 523808 China.

In this paper, a BP neural network and an LSTM network are applied respectively to the prediction of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China and South Korea. The methods do not require specific theories of modelling and the predicted values can be obtained as long as the conventional parameters are set. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of all the experiments are below 5% and the values of the determinable coefficient R are all larger than 0.9. The experiments show that the models can fit the actual values well and make relatively accurate predictions. As of March 29, 2020, the cumulative number of confirmed cases in Wuhan is expected to reach 50,068 using BP neural networks and 49,972 using LSTM network, respectively. As of April 13, 2020, the cumulative number of confirmed cases in South Korea is expected to reach 8,862 using BP neural networks and 8,716 using LSTM network, respectively. The models of neural networks are effective in predicting the trend of the COVID-19 epidemic, which is meaningful to prevent and control the epidemic.

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Graph Attention Model Embedded With Multi-Modal Knowledge For Depression Detection

Graph Attention Model Embedded With Multi-Modal Knowledge Fo...

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IEEE International Conference on Multimedia and Expo (ICME)

作者： Wenbo Zheng Lan Yan Chao Gou Fei-Yue Wang School of Software Engineering Xi’an Jiaotong University Xi’an China The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China School of Intelligent Systems Engineering Sun Yat-sen University

ISBN: (数字)9781728113319

ISBN: (纸本)9781728113326

With more than 300 million people depressed worldwide annually, depression is a global problem. The goal of depression detection is to improve diagnostic accuracy and availability, leading to faster intervention. The most important and challenging problem here is to design an effective and robust depression detection model. To this end, there are two challenges to overcome: 1) Multi-modal (audio, image, text, etc.) information must be jointly considered to make accurate inferences. 2) Existing deep learning-based work suffers from multi-modal data sufficiency problem. To address these issues, we propose a graph attention model embedded with multi-modal knowledge for depression detection. This approach learns not only reasonable embeddings for nodes in the knowledge graph, but also exploits medical knowledge to improve the performance of classification and prediction with the knowledge attention mechanism. Experimental results on the real-world datasets show that the proposed approach significantly improves the classification and prediction performance compared with other major state-of-the-art approaches, with guaranteed the robustness with each modality of multi-modal data. Overall, this paper shows how multi-modal knowledge attention mechanism and deep-learning-based networks can be combined to assist mental health patients and practitioners.

关键词： Biomedical imaging Robustness Data models Machine learning Task analysis Knowledge engineering

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Parallel Building Process Management System

Parallel Building Process Management System

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Chinese Automation Congress (CAC)

作者： Sheng Liu Xisong Dong Gang Xiong Zhen Shen Bin Hu Xiaoyu Chen State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex System Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Guangdong Engineering Research Center of 3D Printing and Intelligent Manufacturing Cloud Computing Center Chinese Academy of Sciences Dongguan China Beijing Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Systems and Technology Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Institution of Intelligent Manufacturing Qingdao Academy of Intelligent Industries Qingdao China School of Artificial Intelligence University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China

ISBN: (纸本)9781665426480

With the development of industrialized building and intelligence technology, it becomes necessary and possible to realize building process intelligence management. In recent years, digital twins and parallel management get more and more attentions in academic research and industrial applications. This paper addresses how parallel building system performs intelligence management on industrialized building process. Firstly, actual building model and artificial building model are created according to actual building system. Then business driving engine and simulation engine drive actual building model and artificial building model, respectively. Participants receive and send messages by software interfaces. Business driving engine changes the status of actual building model and sends the changes to simulation engine. Simulation engine updates the status of artificial building model and runs artificial building model with various parameters. Then it sends the parameter with the best effect to business driving engine. Business driving engine sends recommendations to participants according to the best parameter. Thus, building process intelligence management is achieved.

关键词： Automation Digital twin Buildings User interfaces Software Engines Business

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An IoT Edge Computing System Architecture and its Application

An IoT Edge Computing System Architecture and its Applicatio...

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IEEE International Conference on Networking, Sensing and control

作者： Shichao Chen Qijie Li Hua Zhang Fenghua Zhu Gang Xiong Ying Tang Macau University of Science and Technology The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Macau China Beijing University of Technology The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Beijing Aerospace Smart Manufacturing Technology Development Co. Ltd Beijing China The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China The Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Systems and Technology Institute of Automation and Cloud Computing Center Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Rowan University Glassboro NJ USA Institute of Smart Education Qingdao Academy of Intelligent Industries Qingdao China

ISBN: (数字)9781728168555

ISBN: (纸本)9781728168562

As the number of devices connected to the Internet of things (IoT) surges, the amount of data explodes. Therefore it not only increases the bandwidth load of data transmission but also aggravates the computing and storage load of a cloud platform. At the same time, the traditional computing paradigm centered on cloud computing cannot meet the real-time requirements in many application scenarios. The emergence of edge computing can solve the problems of realtime data processing and network bandwidth occupation in the current IoT scene. In this paper, according to the characteristics of IoT, such as fragmented data, heterogeneous network, and limited energy consumption, the architecture of an IoT edge computing system is constructed to suit better an IoT scene. In addition, the application of edge computing key technologies such as virtualization, edge intelligence, computing offload, collaborative scheduling and micro-services in resource-constrained IoT scenarios is analyzed in detail. Finally, the functions and application of energy consumption monitoring and optimization to a central air-conditioning system are analyzed and summarized, which is a typical application of edge computing in the context of the IoT.

关键词： Energy consumption Processor scheduling Computer architecture Internet of Things Optimization Monitoring Edge computing

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Semi-autonomous greenhouse environment control by combining expert knowledge and machine learning

Semi-autonomous greenhouse environment control by combining ...

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Chinese Automation Congress (CAC)

作者： Mengzhen Kang Yuchen Weng Haitong Pang Liangde Li Xing-Rong Fan Jing Hua Fangle Chang Xiujuan Wang Longhua Ma The State Key Laboratory of Management and Control for Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences School of Artificial Intelligence University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Ningbo Institute of Technology Zhejiang University Ningbo China The School of Computer Science and Information Engineering Chongqing Technology and Business University Chongqing China The State Key Laboratory of Management and Control for Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Qingdao AgriTech Co. Ltd Qingdao Qingdao China The State Key Laboratory of Management and Control for Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Systems and Technology Beijing China

ISBN: (数字)9781728176871

ISBN: (纸本)9781728176888

The concept of "autonomous greenhouse" hints the automatic setting of control target, and giving orders on facilities to reach these targets (set point). Information and communication technologies are widely used, but how to integrate common sense or knowledge in decision-making is still challenging. Semi-autonomous greenhouse control is to set rules with joint advantages of experienced grower and powerful machinery, with the support of knowledge graph and semantic analysis. The contribution of each side is dependent on the intelligence level of computers, the availability of data, etc. In this work, the hybrid system between human and machinery is shown with the temperature control in greenhouse. The target is set mainly by expert knowledge, while the temperature controlled by vent opening is decided by an algorithm. Result shows that the target is better reached compared to that of the experience-based approach. This example shows the feasibility of human-machine hybrid intelligence system for greenhouse environment control. Although this approach is tested for temperature control, it can be extended to control multiple factors simultaneously (temperature, light intensity, humidity, etc.) by driving multiple facilities (heating, lightening, venting, etc.).

关键词： Green products Temperature measurement Monitoring Temperature sensors Vents Agriculture Temperature distribution

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Urban Trip Generation Forecasting Based on Gradient Boosting Algorithm

Urban Trip Generation Forecasting Based on Gradient Boosting...

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Digital Twins and Parallel Intelligence (DTPI), IEEE International Conference on

作者： Zhishuai Li Gang Xiong Yu Zhang Meng Zheng Xisong Dong Yisheng Lv State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China School of Artificial Intelligence University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Beijing Engineering Research Center of Intelligent Systems and Technology Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Guangdong Engineering Research Center of 3D Printing and Intelligent Manufacturing Cloud Computing Center Chinese Academy of Sciences Dongguan China Beijing Municipal Institute of City Planning and Design Beijing China

The four-step transportation model plays an important role in urban planning. The quality of the first phase, i.e. trip generation, determines the performance of the global course. The majority of trip generation forecasting models highly rely on mathematical derivation and have many predictor variables during the prediction, which leads to low accuracy of results and requires laboriously hand-crafted design of input vectors. This paper is the first to introduce the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) algorithm for trip generation prediction, and harmonizes such a powerful machine learning method with traditional urban planning requirements to achieve better prediction performance. Unlike the commonly used linear regression method, GBDT can automatically perform feature selection and model the non-linear relationships between input and output variables. Experimental results on real-world residential travel census in Beijing prove that the GBDT model significantly outperforms the baseline and can forecast the trip generation more accurately.

关键词： Machine learning algorithms Urban planning Transportation Predictive models Prediction algorithms Feature extraction Boosting

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Development of Sheet Palletizing Manipulator Based on Multi-link Mechanism

Research Square

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Research Square 2020年

作者： Chen, Zhihua Wang, Shoukun Liu, Quan Wang, Junzheng Key Laboratory of Intelligent Control and Decision of Complex Systems School of Automation Beijing Institute of Technology Beijing100081 China Key Laboratory of Servo Motion System Drive and Control Ministry of Industry and Information Technology School of Automation Beijing Institute of Technology Beijing100081 China New Energy Laboratory College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering Beijing Information Science and Technology University Beijing100192 China

In view of the disadvantages of Traditional tandem joint type thin-plate palletizing robots using push-down adsorption sorting, such as moving path complexity, large occupied space, joint error stack and low end control precision, a novel multi-link mechanism thin-plate palletizing robot is developed. The kinematics analysis is carried out based on the analysis of the overall structure for the manipulator, a genetic algorithm based on the stroke speed ratio K, the transmission angle γ and the four-bar size is proposed to realize the optimal design of the four-link rocker arm mechanism. Secondly, a finite element based overall structure analysis method is proposed, which obtains the most affected part of the vibration process of a manipulator and performs load verification to prevent early warning and reference of faults caused by mechanical resonance. To solve the control problem of nonlinear strongly coupled dynamic systems, an iterative learning fuzzy adaptive control algorithm is proposed to achieve the smooth running of the manipulator and the high-precision tracking of the end centroid trajectory. The experimental results verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed multi-link controllable thin-plate palletizing manipulator's overall structural design and iterative learning control method, which is well applied in practical engineering. © 2020, CC BY.

关键词： Manipulators

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A grasping CNN with image segmentation for mobile manipulating robot

A grasping CNN with image segmentation for mobile manipulati...

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2019 IEEE International Conference on Robotics and Biomimetics, ROBIO 2019

作者： Yu, Yingying Cao, Zhiqiang Liang, Shuang Liu, Zhicheng Yu, Junzhi Chen, Xuechao Chinese Academy of Sciences State Key Laboratory of Management and Control for Complex Systems Institute of Automation Beijing100190 China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing100049 China Intelligent Robotics Institute BIT Beijing Advanced Innovation Center for Intelligent Robots and Systems Beijing100081 China

ISBN: (纸本)9781728163215

This paper presents a grasping convolutional neural network with image segmentation for mobile manipulating robot. The proposed method is cascaded by a feature pyramid network FPN and a grasping network DrGNet. The FPN network combined with point cloud clustering is used to obtain the mask of the target object. Then, the grayscale map and the depth map corresponding to the target object are combined and sent to the DrGNet network for providing multi-scale images. On this basis, depthwise separable convolution is used for encoding. The results of encoders are refined according to the light-weight RefineNet as well as sSE, which can achieve a better grasp detection. The proposed method is verified by the experiments on mobile manipulating robot. © 2019 IEEE.

关键词： Image segmentation

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Parallel Hospital: ACP-Based Hospital Smart Operating System

Parallel Hospital: ACP-Based Hospital Smart Operating System

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Digital Twins and Parallel Intelligence (DTPI), IEEE International Conference on

作者： Yongjun Wang Fei-Yue Wang Xiao Wang Zhongjun Guan Liwei Ouyang Jiangong Wang Lan Yan Wenbo Zheng Wenwen Zhang Beijing Tiantan Hospital Capital Medical University Beijing Beijing China The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Qingdao Academy of Intelligent Industries Qingdao China School of Artificial Intelligence University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China School of Software Engineering Xi'an Jiaotong University Xi'an China

This article aims to propose a parallel hospital based on parallel medicine. The parallel hospital takes the parallel idea of virtual and real interaction as its core concept and uses parallel idea's artificial scenarios, computational experiments, and parallel execution (ACP) theory as the guiding theory to construct a new generation of intelligent hospital management system with virtual and real interaction. We conducted a case study of the parallel hospital practice case of Tiantan Hospital-Tiantan Smart Brain, so as to confirm the feasibility and scientificity of the proposed parallel hospital.

关键词： Training Hospitals Operating systems Digital twin Conferences

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An Adaptive Federated control Strategy for Participant Selection in Multi-Client Collaboration

An Adaptive Federated Control Strategy for Participant Selec...

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Digital Twins and Parallel Intelligence (DTPI), IEEE International Conference on

作者： Yizhu Chen Xiaoming Du Xiao Wang Jun Jason Zhang Fei-Yue Wang State Key Laboratory of Management and Control for Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China School of Artificial Intelligence University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China School of Economics and Management University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Qingdao Academy of Intelligent Industries Qingdao China School of Electrical Engineering and Automation Wuhan University Wuhan China

The federated ecology provides a new paradigm for breaking the isolated data island problem and fully activating the potential of big data and artificial intelligence, especially in multi-client collaboration tasks. Participant selection strategy in multi-client collaboration is the main limitation for increasing the convergence speed and lowing the communication costs. However, in the face of the unbalanced and non-IID data distributions, the performance of federated optimization algorithms will also decrease. To solve the above problems, we propose an adaptive federated control strategy for participant selection in multi-client collaboration based on the Mann-Kendall test, named FedMK. By adaptively selecting weak participants for training rather than random selection, FedMK can speed up model convergence and reduce communication costs. Experiment results show that our method outperforms the baseline method in non-IID scenarios, and the number of communication rounds on CIFAR-10 and synthetic datasets reduced by more than 15% and 10 %,9 respectively.

关键词： Training Adaptation models Costs Biological system modeling Collaboration Optimization methods Ecology

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