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Modeling the dynamic impacts of maritime network blockage on global supply chains

The Innovation 2024年第4期5卷 103-109,102页

作者： Shen Qu Yunlei She Qi Zhou Jasper Verschuur Lu-Tao Zhao Huan Liu Ming Xu Yi-Ming Wei Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research Beijing Institute of TechnologyBeijing 100081China School of Management Beijing Institute of TechnologyBeijing 100081China Beijing Key Lab of Energy Economics and Environmental Management Beijing 100081China Oxford Programme for Sustainable Infrastructure Systems(OPSIS) Environmental Change InstituteUniversity of OxfordOX12JD OxfordUK State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control School of EnvironmentTsinghua UniversityBeijing 100084China State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex Beijing 100084China School of Environment Tsinghua UniversityBeijing 100084China

Recent phenomena such as pandemics,geopolitical tensions,and climate change-induced extreme weather events have caused transportation network interruptions,revealing vulnerabilities in the global supply chain.A salient example is the March 2021 Suez Canal blockage,which delayed 432 vessels carrying cargo valued at$92.7 billion,triggering widespread supply chain *** ability to model the spatiotemporal ramifications of such incidents remains *** fill this gap,we develop an agent-based complex network model integrated with frequently updated maritime *** Suez Canal blockage is taken as a case *** results indicate that the effects of such blockages go beyond the directly affected countries and *** Suez Canal blockage led to global losses of about$136.9($127.5–$147.3)billion,with India suffering 75%of these *** losses show a nonlinear relationship with the duration of blockage and exhibit intricate trends post *** proposed model can be applied to diverse blockage scenarios,potentially acting as an earlyalert system for the ensuing supply chain ***,high-resolution daily data post blockage offer valuable insights that can help nations and industries enhance their resilience against similar future events.

关键词： chains valued extreme

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An IMU Error Correction Method Based on Multithreshold ZV Detection and SRCKF

An IMU Error Correction Method Based on Multithreshold ZV De...

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2023 International Conference on Cyber-Physical Social Intelligence, ICCSI 2023

作者： Luo, Jialiang Chen, Shichao Lv, Yisheng Sun, Wenqiao Yang, Fan Xu, Ruijie Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences School of Information Engineering China University of Geosciences Beijing The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex System State Key Laboratory of Multimodal Artificial Intelligence Systems China Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences The Center of National Railway Intelligent Transportation System Engineering and Technology China Academy of Railway Sciences Corporation Limited The State Key Laboratory of Multimodal Artificial Intelligence Systems Beijing China Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences The State Key Laboratory of Multimodal Artificial Intelligence Systems Beijing China Transportation and Economics Research Institute Center of National Railway Intelligent Transportation System Engineering and Technology China Academy of Railway Sciences Corporation Limited China State Key Laboratory of Multimodal Artificial Intelligence Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences College of Rail Transit Shan Dong JiaoTong University The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex System Jinan China The Hong Kong Polytechnic University Department of Aeronautical and Aviation Engineering Hong Kong Hong Kong

ISBN: (纸本)9798350312492

With the rapid development and widespread application of Inertial Measurement Units (IMUs), IMU-based human localization has become critically important in environments lacking Global Navigation Satellite systems (GNSS) signals. Methods such as UWB/WIFI and other anchor-based localization have been employed to enhance the positioning accuracy. However, these methods are susceptible to the environmental interference and increased costs. In contrast, SINS-based localization methods eliminate reliance on the external data. However, this method can suffer from drift errors due to cumulative integration errors. Inertial navigation error correction techniques like Zero Detection Update Technology (ZUPT) provide potential solutions to address drift errors. This paper proposes an error correction method based on the multithreshold zero-velocity detection and Square Root Cubature Kalman Filter (SRCKF) updates. Compared to the single fixed threshold detection, the multi-threshold zero-velocity detection reduces the likelihood of missed zero velocity detection and false alarms, providing accurate time intervals for error correction. Experimental results demonstrate that the SRCKF-based algorithm reduces position deviation to approximately 0.3146 meters, corresponding to an error ratio of1.14%. The proposed method enables cost-effective and accurate pedestrian localization, driving advancements in the field. © 2023 IEEE.

关键词： Cost effectiveness

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Social relation and physical lane aggregator:integrating social and physical features for multimodal motion prediction

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Journal of Intelligent and Connected Vehicles 2022年第3期5卷 302-308页

作者： Qiyuan Chen Zebing Wei Xiao Wang Lingxi Li Yisheng Lv The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of AutomationChinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina School of Artificial Intelligence University of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina Electrical and Computer Engineering Indiana University-Purdue University IndianapolisIndianapolisIndianaUSA Complex Systems Institute of AutomationChinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina and School of Artificial IntelligenceUniversity of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina

Purpose–The purpose of this paper aims to model interaction relationship of traffic agents for motion prediction,which is critical for autonomous *** is obvious that traffic agents’trajectories are influenced by physical lane rules and agents’social ***/methodology/approach–In this paper,the authors propose the social relation and physical lane aggregator for multimodal motion prediction,where the social relations of agents are mainly captured with graph convolutional networks and self-attention mechanism and then fused with the physical lane via the self-attention ***–The proposed methods are evaluated on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset,and the results show the effectiveness of the proposed two feature aggregation modules for trajectory ***/value–This paper proposes a new design method to extract traffic interactions,and the attention mechanism is used in each part of the model to extract and fuse different relational features,which is different from other methods and improves the accuracy of the LSTM-based trajectory prediction method.

关键词： Deep learning Machine learning Autonomous driving Trajectory prediction

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Completed Interaction Networks for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction

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IEEE Transactions on Multimedia 2025年

作者： Zhang, Zhong Zhou, Jianglin Liu, Shuang Xiao, Baihua Tianjin Normal University Tianjin Key Laboratory of Wireless Mobile Communications and Power Transmission Tianjin300387 China Chinese Academy of Sciences State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of Automation Beijing100190 China

The social and environmental interactions, as well as the pedestrian goal are crucial for pedestrian trajectory prediction. This is because they could learn both complex interactions in the scenes and the intentions of the pedestrians. However, most existing methods either learn the one-moment social interactions, or supervise the pedestrian trajectories using long-term goal, resulting in suboptimal prediction performances. In this paper, we propose a novel network named Completed Interaction Network (CINet) to simultaneously consider the social interactions in all moments, the environmental interactions and the short-term goal of pedestrians in a unified framework for pedestrian trajectory prediction. Specifically, we propose the Spatio-Temporal Transformer Layer (STTL) to fully mine the spatio-temporal information among historical trajectories of all pedestrians in order to obtain the social interactions in all moments. Additionally, we present the Gradual Goal Module (GGM) to capture the environmental interactions under the supervision of the short-term goal, which is beneficial to understanding the intentions of the pedestrian. Afterwards, we employ the cross-attention to effectively integrate the all-moment social and environmental interactions. The experimental results on three standard pedestrian datasets, i.e., ETH/UCY, SDD and inD demonstrate that our method achieves a new state-of-the-art performance. Furthermore, the visualization results indicate that our method could predict trajectories more reasonably in complex scenarios such as sharp turns, infeasible areas and so on. © 1999-2012 IEEE.

关键词： Prediction models

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Parallel Manufacturing for Industrial Metaverses:A New Paradigm in Smart Manufacturing

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IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica 2022年第12期9卷 2063-2070页

作者： Jing Yang Xiaoxing Wang Yandong Zhao The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100190 School of Artificial Intelligence University of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100049China Beijing SANBODY Technology Company LtdBeijing 214000China North Automatic Control Technology Institute Taiyuan 030006China

To tackle the complexity of human and social factors in manufacturing systems, parallel manufacturing for industrial metaverses is proposed as a new paradigm in smart manufacturing for effective and efficient operations of those systems, where Cyber-Physical-Social systems(CPSSs) and the Internet of Minds(Io M) are regarded as its infrastructures and the "Artificial systems", "Computational experiments"and "Parallel execution"(ACP) method is its methodological foundation for parallel evolution, closed-loop feedback, and collaborative optimization. In parallel manufacturing, social demands are analyzed and extracted from social intelligence for product R&D and production planning, and digital workers and robotic workers perform the majority of the physical and mental work instead of human workers, contributing to the realization of low-cost, high-efficiency and zero-inventory manufacturing. A variety of advanced technologies such as Knowledge automation(KA), blockchain, crowdsourcing and Decentralized Autonomous Organizations(DAOs) provide powerful support for the construction of parallel manufacturing, which holds the promise of breaking the constraints of resource and capacity, and the limitations of time and space. Finally, the effectiveness of parallel manufacturing is verified by taking the workflow of customized shoes as a case,especially the unmanned production line named Flex Vega.

关键词： Parallel Manufacturing Digital Workers CPSS Smart Manufacturing Industrial Metaverses

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Exploring painting synthesis with diffusion models 1

Exploring painting synthesis with diffusion models

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1st IEEE International Conference on Digital Twins and Parallel Intelligence, DTPI 2021

作者： Yi, Da Guo, Chao Bai, Tianxiang Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Beijing China

ISBN: (纸本)9781665433372

As a significant composition of art, fine art painting is becoming a research hotspot in machine learning community. With unique aesthetic value, paintings have quite different representations from natural images, making them irreplaceable. Meanwhile, the lack of training data is common in painting-related machine learning tasks. Therefore, the synthesis of fine art painting is meaningful and challenging work. There are two main types of generative models for image synthesis: generative adversarial networks (GANs) and likelihood-based models. GAN-based models can obtain high-quality samples but usually sacrifice diversity and training stability. Diffusion models are a class of likelihood-based models and have recently been shown to achieve state-of-the-art quality on the image synthesis tasks. In this paper, we explore generating fine art paintings by using diffusion models. We carried out the experiments on the partial impression paintings from the Wikiart dataset. The results demonstrate that the diffusion model can generate high-quality samples, and it is easy to train to cover more target distribution than the GAN-based methods. © 2021 IEEE.

关键词： Generative adversarial networks

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When Does Sora Show:The Beginning of TAO to Imaginative Intelligence and Scenarios Engineering

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IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica 2024年第4期11卷 809-815页

作者： Fei-Yue Wang Qinghai Miao Lingxi Li Qinghua Ni Xuan Li Juanjuan Li Lili Fan Yonglin Tian Qing-Long Han School of Artificial Intelligence University of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100049China State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100190China Faculty of Innovation Engineering Macao University of Science and TechnologyMacao 999078China Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering Indiana University-Purdue University IndianapolisIndianapolisIN 46202USA Faculty of Innovation Engineering Macao University of Science and TechnologyMacao 999078China Virtual Reality Fundamental Research Laboratory Department of Mathematics and TheoriesPeng Cheng LaboratoryShenzhen 518000China State Key Laboratory of Multimodal Artificial Intelligence Systems Institute of AutomationChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100190China School of Information and Electronics Beijing Institute of TechnologyBeijing 100081China School of Science Computing and Engineering TechnologiesSwinburne University of TechnologyMelbourneVIC 3122Australia

DURING our discussion at workshops for writing“What Does ChatGPT Say:The DAO from Algorithmic Intelligence to Linguistic Intelligence”[1],we had expected the next milestone for Artificial Intelligence(AI)would be in the direction of Imaginative Intelligence(II),i.e.,something similar to automatic wordsto-videos generation or intelligent digital movies/theater technology that could be used for conducting new“Artificiofactual Experiments”[2]to replace conventional“Counterfactual Experiments”in scientific research and technical development for both natural and social studies[2]-[6].Now we have OpenAI’s Sora,so soon,but this is not the final,actually far away,and it is just the beginning.

关键词： something Intelligence replace

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Continuous-Time Linear Parallel Output Regulation

Continuous-Time Linear Parallel Output Regulation

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2021 China automation Congress, CAC 2021

作者： Li, Hongyang Wei, Qinglai Wang, Fei-Yue The State Key Laboratory of Management and Control for Complex Systems Institute of Automation Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China

ISBN: (纸本)9781665426473

A novel parallel output regulation method is presented in this paper. The framework of the parallel output regulation problem is first introduced. Then, the existence of parallel controller is analyzed detailly in the situation that only the measurable information is obtained. Finally, the simulation example is given to show the performance of the presented method. © 2021 IEEE

关键词： Continuous time systems

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AUTOSIM:Automated Urban Traffic Operation Simulation via Meta-Learning

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IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica 2023年第9期10卷 1871-1881页

作者： Yuanqi Qin Wen Hua Junchen Jin Jun Ge Xingyuan Dai Lingxi Li Xiao Wang Fei-Yue Wang Zhejiang Lab Hangzhou 310030China ECARX Technology Co. Ltd.Shanghai 201811China IEEE Zhejiang Supcon Information Company Ltd. Hangzhou 310052China the State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems Institute of AutomationChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100190China Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis(IUPUI) IndianapolisIndiana 46202 USA School of Artificial Intelligence Anhui UniversityHefei 230039China

Online traffic simulation that feeds from online information to simulate vehicle movement in real-time has recently seen substantial advancement in the development of intelligent transportation systems and urban traffic *** has been a challenging problem due to three aspects:1)The diversity of traffic patterns due to heterogeneous layouts of urban intersections;2)The nature of complex spatiotemporal correlations;3)The requirement of dynamically adjusting the parameters of traffic models in a real-time *** cater to these challenges,this paper proposes an online traffic simulation framework called automated urban traffic operation simulation via meta-learning(AUTOSIM).In particular,simulation models with various intersection layouts are automatically generated using an open-source simulation tool based on static traffic geometry *** a meta-learning technique,AUTOSIM enables an automated learning process for dynamic model settings of traffic scenarios featured with different spatiotemporal ***,AUTOSIM is capable of adapting traffic model parameters according to dynamic traffic information in real-time by using a *** computational experiments,we demonstrate the effectiveness of the meta-learningbased framework that is capable of providing reliable supports to real-time traffic simulation and dynamic traffic operations.

关键词： Conditional generative adversarial network signalized urban networks short-term link speed prediction

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A Gait Events Detection Algorithm Based on the Invariant Characteristic of Hip Joint Kinematics 33

A Gait Events Detection Algorithm Based on the Invariant Cha...

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第33届中国控制与决策会议

作者： Ningcun Xu Xiwei Peng Liang Peng Zeng-Guang Hou Institute of Intelligent Sensing & Motion Control School of AutomationBeijing Institute of Technology The State Key Laboratory for Management and Control of Complex Systems(SKL-MCCS) Institute of AutomationChinese academy of Science

ISBN: (纸本)9781665431293

In order to make up for the shortcomings of a single inertial sensor,which is easily disturbed and unable to directly describe the periodic characteristics of gait,a novel gait events detection algorithm is proposed which is based on the invariant characteristics of hip joint *** healthy volunteers conducted a walking experiment over the ground,who were equipped with motion capture device and insole with *** hip angle derived from motion capture device were applied to detect gait events,heel stride(HS) and toe off(TO).And the gait events detected by ground reactor force(GRF) were taken as the reference *** mean absolute difference of HS is 28±42 ms,and the mean absolute difference of TO is 27 ± 43 ms. And the confidence levels of the two gait events are 97.5% and 99.2%,*** results demonstrate that the proposed gait events detection algorithm is reliability and has potential clinical application value.

关键词： gait event inertial sensor hip joint kinematics statistical analysis

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